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Item Q13 Q.13' i�` County of Monroe �y,4 ' ?, "tr, BOARD OF COUNTY COMMISSIONERS Mayor Michelle Coldiron,District 2 �1 nff `_ll Mayor Pro Tem David Rice,District 4 -Ile Florida.Keys Craig Cates,District 1 Eddie Martinez,District 3 w Mike Forster,District 5 County Commission Meeting April 21, 2021 Agenda Item Number: Q.13 Agenda Item Summary #3056 BULK ITEM: No DEPARTMENT: Sustainability TIME APPROXIMATE: STAFF CONTACT: Rhonda Haag (305)453-8774 2:00 PM AGENDA ITEM WORDING: Presentation of the results of the updated GreenKeys vulnerability assessment which is being completed by Erin Deady as part of a resilience planning grant from the Florida Department of Environmental Protection. ITEM BACKGROUND: This item is a presentation to the BOCC regarding an updated vulnerability assessment, which is Task 2.0 under an overall contract to develop adaptation action area guidelines and update the County's GreenKeys Vulnerability Assessment. The consultant team will be presenting an overview of the data collected and analyzed, the methods used to conduct the vulnerability assessment and output from the modeling. Pursuant to Florida Statute §§ 163.3164(1) and 163.3177(g)(g)(10), Monroe County created a Policy that within five (5) years of adoption of the April 2016 Comprehensive Plan staff would identify criteria to define Adaptation Action Areas (AAAs or AAA's) or a similar concept and propose locations for AAAs. An AAA is an optional comprehensive plan designation for areas that experience coastal flooding and that are vulnerable to the related impacts of rising sea levels for the purpose of prioritizing funding for infrastructure and adaptation planning. Monroe County secured a grant last year to develop the AAAs and update the GreenKeys Vulnerability Assessment to support the develop of those policies and proposed maps. The entire contractual scope of work consists of the following Tasks: Task 1. Annotated Analysis of Existing Data Resources, Best Practices and Case Studies for the Establishment of AAAs. Task 2. Updated Vulnerability Assessment(today's presentation) Task 3. Memorandum of Recommended Policy Alternatives for the Establishment of AAAs Task 4. Maps, Goals, Objectives and Policies for Preliminary AAAs Task 5. Public Engagement Meetings (including 2 presentations to the Board of County Commissioners Task 6. Final Report with Model Ordinance language for AAAs Packet Pg. 3203 Q.13' PREVIOUS RELEVANT BOCC ACTION: May 20, 2020 - The BOCC authorized the issuance of a Request for Proposals (RFP) for a consultant to assist the County in the development of Adaptation Action Areas (AAA's) August 19, 2020 - The BOCC approved the Final Ranking of the Respondents to the RFP and authorized Staff to negotiate a contract with the top ranked firm (Erin L. Deady, P.A.) September 16, 2020 - Approval of a contract with Erin L. Deady P.A., the top ranked respondent to the Request for Proposals for the Development of Adaptation Action Areas. CONTRACT/AGREEMENT CHANGES: N/A STAFF RECOMMENDATION: Not applicable DOCUMENTATION: Monroe County Contract Exhibit A FINANCIAL IMPACT: Effective Date: N/A Expiration Date: N/A Total Dollar Value of Contract: $92,000 previously authorized Total Dollar Value of this item: $0 Total Cost to County: N/A Current Year Portion: 0 Budgeted: YN/A Source of Funds: N/A CPI: N/A Indirect Costs: N/A Estimated Ongoing Costs Not Included in above dollar amounts: NA Revenue Producing: N/A If yes, amount: Grant: N/A County Match: N/A Insurance Required: No Additional Details: 09/16/20 NOT BUDGETED $75,000.00 FDEP RCP Grant R2111 09/16/20 NOT BUDGETED $0.00 Sustainability Fund 001-05008-530340 Total: $75,000.00 REVIEWED BY: Rhonda Haag Completed 04/01/2021 12:59 PM Pedro Mercado Completed 04/01/2021 1:45 PM Packet Pg. 3204 Q.13' Purchasing Completed 04/01/2021 1:52 PM Budget and Finance Completed 04/01/2021 2:00 PM Maria Slavik Completed 04/05/2021 1:24 PM Liz Yongue Completed 04/05/2021 3:39 PM Board of County Commissioners Pending 04/21/2021 9:00 AM Packet Pg. 3205 Q.13.a Exhibit A SECTION FOUR - SCOPE OF SERVICES Monroe County Resilient Coastlines Program Adaptation Action Areas (AAA's) 4.1 Purpose The Consultant will update existing data and develop recommended policy approaches for Adaptation Action Areas (AAAs). This project builds upon numerous sea level rise/data collection efforts to identify vulnerabilities and supports a critical time in the County's long-term recovery process following the devastation of Category 4, Hurricane Irma. The effort includes assessments of latest data and case studies for AAAs; updating vulnerability modeling; developing policy recommendations for AAAs; GIS analysis of potential AAAs; and outlining future data needs and options. The deliverables from this AAA project will inform decision-making for long-term sea level rise planning and rebuilding/recovery efforts. y 4.2. Project Description: The County's GreenKeys Climate and Sustainability Plan includes Recommendation 1-31, "Develop criteria for Adaptation Action Areas and adoption in Comprehensive Plan." The County adopted an Energy and Climate Element policy into its 2030 Comprehensive Plan directing the identification of criteria to define AAAs and the update of existing maps or creation of new maps that display potential impacts of sea-level rise for consideration in long-term planning decisions (see Policy 1502.1.4). The County has also collected extensive data; completed vulnerability analyses; completed the 5-year GreenKeys Climate and Sustainability Action Plan; acquired countywide mobile LiDAR elevation data; and 2 c? is currently completing Peril of Flood comprehensive plan amendments. The County's next priority is developing AAAs and associated Goals, Objectives, and Policies within the Coastal Management Element. Monroe County expects the consultant will develop draft AAAs (preliminary AAAs with associated goals, objectives, and policies) using existing policy guidance, best practices, case studies, updated data, and most current approaches as a foundation for this effort. c c, While the county has already undertaken initial vulnerability modeling assessments, other more recent initiatives warrant updating this model to serve as the basis for AAAs. The updates to the is model will add the County's current mobile LiDAR elevation data; evaluate updated sea level 0 rise projections of the Southeast Florida Regional Climate Compact; and include outputs from r_ the County's two-year Countywide Roads and Stormwater Analysis with implementation plans for actual road and stormwater projects. The consultant will also review data from the County's FEMA Community Rating System-compliant Watershed Management Plan which identified E initial areas of stormwater and County facilities' future flood risk. The updated vulnerability model will be utilized to determine infrastructure and habitat impacts as well as areas of increasing vulnerability for a 2030, 2060, and 2100 sea-level rise assumption horizon. The planning process will also incorporate stormwater management and social vulnerability analyses using best practices identified by the Center for Disease Control's (CDC) Social Vulnerability Index or other evaluation strategies identifying vulnerable populations and potential public health risks. Further, the County will consider approaches incorporating infrastructure and public facilities; habitat and land acquisition, management or protections that restore natural shoreline Page 1 of 6 Adaptation Action Area Development Exhibit A—Scope ofServices Packet Pg. 3206 Q.13.a features; and development and recovery considerations. Lastly, the County is in the process of updating its Local Mitigation Strategy and developing a Post Disaster Recovery Strategy to position itself for long-term recovery. These updated strategies will further inform the County's AAA policy framework. The County anticipates the consultant review these data sources for the vulnerability modeling updates. 4.3 Project Tasks & Deliverables Task 1 A. Title: Annotated Analysis of Existing Data Resources, Best Practices and Case Studies for the Establishment of AAAs. B. Goal: Document numerous approaches to developing AAAs in Florida and other states to determine best practices for AAA development. e( C. Description: Several local governments have already undertaken efforts to designate AAAs to fit localized priorities. Some local governments have designated wholesale geographic areas within their community broadly as an AAA, while others have created independent project-oriented approaches. As an Area of Critical State Concern, Monroe County is likely to have unique issues in addressing its AAAs that will include consideration of elements related to the built and natural environment, as well as recovery efforts due to Hurricane Irma. The Consultant will review the AAAs establishment work u done by other County and municipal jurisdictions across the state. The Consultant may also look outside of Florida at best practices and approaches like AAAs, such as Resiliency Districts, that garner policy and financial prioritization in local government decision- making as an adaptation strategy. x D. Deliverables: 1) Final Memorandum Outlining Existing Data Resources, Best Practices and Case 0 Studies for the Establishment of AAAs Task 2 A. Title: Updated Vulnerability Assessment 0 B. Goal: Update the County's GreenKeys Climate and Sustainability Vulnerability Assessment which will provide the modeling and data to support policy development for E the establishment of AAAs. C. Description: The Consultant will update the County's vulnerability assessment utilizing new elevation data (provided by County), updated sea level rise projections, shoreline information, capital project data, social vulnerability index, and stormwater management data. The updated vulnerability modeling with new elevation data will be used to determine infrastructure and habitat impacts as well as areas of increasing vulnerability for a 2030, 2060, and 2100 sea level rise assumption horizon. The analysis will also incorporate an Page 2 of 6 Adaptation Action Area Development Exhibit A—Scope ofServices Packet Pg. 3207 Q.13.a analysis stormwater management and social vulnerability using best practices such as the Center for Disease Control's Social Vulnerability Index or other evaluation strategy (identifying vulnerable populations and potential public health risks). Monroe County has made a long-term commitment to the development of its GreenKeys Climate and Sustainability Plan, recognizing data gaps and developing more refined data for decision-making. The County has built datasets related to stormwater structures,roads, habitat and habitat transitions, County, and critical facilities. The consultant will update the County Vulnerability Assessment to develop a policy framework for addressing multiple priorities: infrastructure/services, habitat and recovery. Examples of how AAAs could be developed include potentially "categorizing" the types of AAAs and developing specific Objectives and Policies related to the vulnerabilities within those geographic areas. As such, the County anticipates developing multiple AAAs. Concepts for different planning challenges will be parsed out;pre-mitigation planning will be focused; and a tool to target grants, recovery assistance, and prioritize capital planning and land policy will also be created. Updating the vulnerability analysis related to habitat transitions or impacts could assist the County in aligning land acquisition, management and restoration policies to utilize critical landscapes, such as mangroves, as a natural resiliency strategy. Updated analysis using the County's new elevation data could also serve as the basis for AAAs that align with capital planning to ensure the continuity of social and governmental services after storms as well as longer-term with the impact of sea level rise and/or other social- related impacts. a� Based on this updated data-assessment, the Consultant will develop recommendations for policy approaches for the designation of AAAs. D. Deliverable(s): x 1) Assessment of available County data and analysis of existing data resources. 2) Memorandum describing modeling strategy approach including elevation data, social c t� vulnerability, stormwater, natural systems, and recovery elements. 3) Present County and stakeholder engagement elements and results, including meeting materials (agendas and meeting minutes), draft findings, refined analysis results, and is intermediate vulnerability assessment results. 4) Finalized Vulnerability Assessment r_ Task 3 A. Title: Memorandum of Recommended Policy Alternatives for the Establishment of AAAs B. Goal: This Task seeks to develop policy alternatives for consideration by, and input from, the Board of County Commissioners to establish AAAs. C. Description: Understanding that the County has a unique geography with an equally unique system of growth management regulations, the County views AAAs as a critical Page 3 of 6 Adaptation Action Area Development Exhibit A—Scope ofServices Packet Pg. 3208 Q.13.a policy tool to address vulnerable areas through policy and financial investments that will strengthen its natural resources,housing,regional economy,and overall tax base as impacts from climate change increase over time. It will be necessary to contemplate different types of AAAs or policies to implement different sets of goals. This deliverable will explore those options, informed by the deliverables from Tasks 1 and 2, and include options for the County to consider in establishing AAAs. D. Deliverables: 1) Draft Memorandum of Recommended Policy Alternatives for the Establishment of AAAs y 2) Present draft findings to County staff and refine analysis results and finalize vulnerability results including Agenda and Minutes from meeting with County staff. 3) Final Memorandum of Recommended Policy Alternatives for the Establishment of AAAs Task 4 A. Title: Maps, Goals, Objectives and Policies for Preliminary AAAs B. Goal: This task will use the recommended policy alternatives for the establishment of AAAs and graphically depict these areas for public review and comment. C. Description: The Consultant will visually depict Maps of the AAAs informed by the policy direction developed and provided in Task 3. As a companion to the Map series, the Goals, w Objectives and Policies will be developed to support the designation of AAAs for internal review and consideration by the Board of County Commissioners in Task 6. The scope of the Map series will be defined by the best practices research from Task 1,the Vulnerability 0 Assessment in Task 2 and Policy direction from the Board of County Commissioners in Task 3. The AAAs maps may include substantial parts of the County or be more narrowly tailored to address location-specific issues. Goals, Objectives and Policies will clearly be t� tailored to address the unique priorities within those designations. C 0 D. Deliverable(s): 1) Develop Draft AAA Maps Series and Goals, Objectives and Policies 2) Present draft AAA Map Series and Goals, Objectives and Policies to County staff and refine analysis results including Agenda and Minutes from meeting with County staff. Minutes from meeting with County staff. Task 5 Page 4 of 6 Adaptation Action Area Development Exhibit A—Scope ofServices Packet Pg. 3209 Q.13.a A. Title: Public Engagement Meetings B. Goal: This task ensures there is public participation in the review and development of AAAs. C. Description: The Consultant will make all documents, reports, studies, and agendas readily available for public viewing (at County offices and County website) and provide presentations at public workshops,public work sessions, and public meetings on the work completed to develop policy alternatives to establish AAAs and associated maps. The County's geography being over 100 miles in length requires public meetings in multiple locations to ensure all public participants have the ability to attend and participate in a location relatively close to their property. D. Deliverables: e( 1) Series of 3 Public Workshops 41 in the Upper, Middle and Lower Keys with public engagement materials to present modeling results to County and the public after Deliverable 2. Minutes, sign-in sheets, agenda and presentation materials will be included. All municipalities will be invited to attend. 2) Series of 3 Public Workshops 42 in the Upper, Middle and Lower Keys with public engagement materials to present modeling results to County and the public after Deliverable 4. Minutes, sign-in sheets, agenda and presentation materials will be included. All municipalities will be invited to attend. 2 c? 3) Board of County Commissioners Presentation 41 to seek policy direction with Agenda and presentation materials after Deliverable 3. Minutes, agenda and presentation materials will be included. _2 4) Board of County Commissioners Presentation 42 to seek policy direction with Agenda X and presentation materials after Deliverable 4. Minutes, agenda and presentation materials will be included. 5) Website content will be developed. 0 t� 6) Coordination will occur with the County's Public Information Officer to distribute at least 4 press releases prior to public and County Commission Presentations. 0 Task 6 2 r_ 0 A. Title: Final Report with Model Ordinance language for AAAs B. Goal: This task will develop the final recommended Goals, Objectives, and Policies for the Coastal Management Element of the Monroe County Comprehensive Plan and AAAs map series. C. Description: The Consultant will review all work deliverables and public comment as well as BOCC direction to finalize comprehensive plan amendment language for AAAs. D. Deliverables: Page 5 of 6 Adaptation Action Area Development Exhibit A—Scope ofServices Packet Pg. 3210 Q.13.a 1) Draft Report with Model Ordinance Language for AAAs. 2) Present draft report with Model Ordinance Language for AAAs to County staff and refine analysis results. 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