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Item N3BOARD OF COUNTY COMMISSIONERS AGENDA ITEM SUMMARY Meeting Date: March 19, 2003 Bulk Item: Yes No X Division: Growth Management Department: N/A AGENDA ITEM WORDING: Report on Monroe County's delegation trip to FEMA Region IV Headquarters to discuss proposed revisions to the County's Implementation Plan for Flood Insurance Inspection and Compliance Program and floodplain regulations. ITEM BACKGROUND: At its February 19, 2003, meeting, the Board of County Commissioners tabled action approving proposed amendments to its floodplain regulations to allow its FEMA Liaison (Commissioner McCoy), the County Attorney, and Growth Management staff an opportunity to prepare and discuss with FEMA other options for implementing the County's FEMA approved Flood Insurance Inspection and Compliance Program. Proposed options to be considered would not include reliance on restrictive covenants and would be consistent with the four-year statute of limitations under Florida law. A Monroe County delegation lead by Commissioner McCoy along with the Growth Management Litigation Attorney, Jim Hendrick, and Growth Management Division Director, Tim McGarry, will meet with FEMA representatives in Atlanta on March 18, 2003. Commissioner McCoy will brief the Board on the outcome of that meeting. PREVIOUS RELEVANT BOARD ACTION: Adopted Resolution 187-2002, approving Implementation Plan for the Flood Insurance Inspection and Compliance Program. CONTRACT/AGREEMENT CHANGES: N/A STAFF RECOMMENDATION: N/A TOTAL COST: N/A BUDGETED: Yes No N/A COST TO COUNTY: N/A SOURCE OF FUNDS: N/A REVENUE PRODUCING:Yes N/A No AMOUNT PER MONTH N/A YEAR APPROVED BY: County Attorney N/A OMB/Purchasing N/A I -Ask Management DIVISION DIRECTOR APPROVAL: DOCUMENTATION: Included TirrioMI( McGarft, AICP To follow Not Required _X N/A DISPOSITION: AGENDA ITEM #: 3/ 19/03 ELEMENTS OF MONROE COUNTY PROPOSAL TO COMPLY WITH FEMA'S MINIMUM REQUIREMENTS FOR ENFORCING THE COUNTY'S FLOODPLAIN MANAGEMENT REGULATIONS 1. Permit the expansion or structural alteration of the elevated portion of any residential structure non -conforming with the floodplain regulations contingent upon meeting the following conditions: (1) the improvement is not substantial as defined under the County's floodplain regulations; (2) a pre permitting inspection of the downstairs enclosure is completed by the County staff to document the extent of the non -conformity; and, (3 ), if within a "V" zone, the submittal of a professional engineer's or registered architect's sealed certification that the non- conforming improvements to the downstairs enclosure do not subject the elevated portion of the structure to increased flood risk or structural damage. This provision requires amendments to Section 9.5-316.1(a) of the County's floodplain regulations. It reflects the legal opinion of the County Attorney that structures with violations shielded by four-year statute of limitations under State law must be treated similarly to legally permitted improvements that are non- conforming. This proposed amending language, in combination with proposed Element #2 and #3, addresses the compliance issues associated with downstairs enclosures separately from those associated with the elevated portion of the structure. This approach is much more consistent with the Florida Statutes and the County Code in the trcatniont of non- conforming structures than is the approach in the County's current floodplain regulations. Page 1 of 5 /Ve 3/19/03 Existing Section 9.5-316.1(a) of the County's floodplain regulations treats the entire structure as non -conforming even if only the structure's downstairs enclosure is non -compliant. Under the County's zoning regulations governing non -conforming structures, non -substantial improvements are generally allowed as long as the non -conforming aspect of the structure is not further expanded. However, recognizing that unauthorized improvements to downstairs enclosures may have a direct impact on the level of property damage risk for both insured and uninsured properties, the County intends to institute safeguards on the permitting of any expansion or structural alteration of the elevated portion of a residential structure with a non -conforming downstairs enclosure. The first safeguard is a required County compliance inspection of the downstairs enclosure prior to permitting approval that allows the County to document the extent of the non-conformance for its records and as a quality control check on certifications to be submitted by architects or engineers. Element #3 requires this inspection for any downstairs enclosure with an opaque wall material prior to issuance of any permit for the expansion or structural alteration of the elevated portion of the residential structure. The second safeguard is the requirement for submittal of a sealed certification by a professional engineer or registered architect that any unpermitted improvements made to the downstairs enclosure within a "V" zone do not subject the elevated portion of the structure to increased flood risk or structural damage. In addition, if the downstairs enclosure contains an independent dwelling unit, as defined in the Monroe County -Florida Department of Community Affairs 1998 Memorandum of Understanding, below the dwelling unit in the elevated portion of the structure, the approval of any improvements would be subject to the limitations of Section 9.5-143 [non -conforming uses], Monroe County Code, if situated within a single family zoning district. Page 2 of 5 3/ 19/03 2. Require that the issuance of any permit to a downstairs enclosure be contingent upon bringing the downstairs structure into compliance with the floodplain regulations. This provision requires amendments to the County's floodplain regulations. It discourages the expansion of existing violations and greatly increases the likelihood that many more non -conforming downstairs will be brought into compliance much more quickly than relying solely upon the substantial improvement threshold. 3. Require that any residential structure with a downstairs enclosure have an inspection prior to the approval and issuance of a building permit for any structural alteration or expansion of the elevated portion of the structure. This element requires amending the County's floodplain regulations. It allows the County to document non -conforming structures that would not be routinely identified through existing code enforcement and permitting procedures. 4. Require an inspection prior to the transfer of all properties with elevated residential structures built after 1974; and, require that the results of this inspection be included as part of the closing documents upon transfer and, if appropriate, a statement that the enclosure is non -conforming with the County's floodplain regulations. This element requires amending the County's floodplain management regulations and other appropriate sections of the County Code. The requirement for inspection upon transfer of the property allows the County to identify and track non -conformities with the floodplain management regulations, particularly violations of less than four years old which are subject to removal under code enforcement action (see Element #5). It also ensures disclosure to new property Page 3 of 5 3/19/03 owners of floodplain non -conformities and restrictions placed on their use of and improvements to downstairs enclosures. 5. Continue to prosecute possible violations of the County's floodplain regulations through code enforcement action which are not protected by the four year statute of limitations using the Property Appraiser's records or County inspection reports. In situations where the County has discovered a possible violation of the floodplain regulations, the County has used as one of its evidentiary tools, property tax records. The use of property tax records will be made a more productive enforcement tool when coupled with proposed Elements # 3 and #4. 6. Permit only the enclosing with opaque materials of downstairs enclosures of less Man 299 -398 square feet or less in area. Require the use of screening or lattice in any downstairs enclosures of 300 square feet or more in floor area. These requirements will apply to all new construction and the expansion of existing conforming downstairs enclosures. This proposed restriction eliminates opportunities for the creation of new floodplain violations in the County. The restriction on use of opaque materials has been recommended by FEMA in the past. It acknowledges the constraints placed on the enforcement capabilities of the County by the Florida Statutes and case law. 7. Request the Monroe County Property Appraiser to provide the County's Growth Management Division with an annual update on the changes in the habitable floor area of downstairs enclosures in the property tax records to allow the County Growth Management Division to compile more complete data on improvements to downstairs enclosure Page 4 of 5 3/ 19/03 Although the County will collect data through the Flood Insurance Inspection Program and proposed compliance inspections these inspections will not necessarily identify all unpermitted improvements The update information provided by the Property Appraiser will be only used for tracking purposes and to supplement data collected from County inspections The information collected from inspections and the Property Appraiser will be compiled and provided to FEMA for monitoring purposes and potentially for input in the recalculation of insurance risk assessments and rates. Page 5 of 5 Mar 18 03 10:08a Growth Mgt (3051289-2854 p.2 HABITAT CONSERVATION PLAN FOR FLORIDA KEY DEER (Odocoileus virginianus clavium) AND OTHER PROTECTED SPECIES ON BIG PINE KEY AND NO NAME KEY, MONROE COUNTY, FLORIDA Draft — March 2003 March 18, 2003 ERRATA AND CLARIFICATIONS (these comments will be reflected in the HCP to be submitted to the USFWS) Sec. 2.3.4, p. 32: The Tiers are associated to H values: the mean value of all cells in Tier 1 is H = 0.259* 10-3; 'Tier 2, H = 0.183 * 10-3; and Tier 3, 11= 0.168* 10-3. Sec. 3.4, p. 38, Covered Activities: Delete "limited" and "expansion of in the following sentence: "The types of activities covered under this HCP include residential development, limited commercial development and expansion, o&paasion @ community and institutional facilities, and transportation improvements." The following sentence will be added at the end of the paragraph: "Other activities not described in this HCP are not authorized under this HCP. Whether or not specifically described in this HCP, all public and private development, including infrastructure, on Big Pine and No Name Keys permitted since March 13, 1995. shall be assigned an H-value which shall be counted against the total H-value authorized under this HCP.". Sec. 5.3.2, p. 47: Where it reads: "No development which may interfere with Key deer movement along the corridor will be permitted in Sands Subdivision.", it should read: "No development will be permitted which may interfere with Key deer movement along the Sands corridor, as shown in figure 5.2." • Sec. 5.3.5, p. 50: Require that the ROGO continue to give priority to Tier 3 over Tier 1 in the project area. Sec_ 2.3.2, pp. 27-28: 0 lleer Corridors: Development in deer corridors would have a reater impact, not lesser. o Patch Quality: Development in large, uninterrupted areas would have a greater impact, riot lesser. o Water Barriers: Development in areas without canals would have a areater impact, not lesser. "'Transportation improvements" refers to paving of dirt roads as well as 3-laning US-1. No new roads are "covered" by the HCP. The H-value for combined US-1 projects (Key deer underpasses, intersection improvement, and three-laning) is H = -0.80. The H-value per mile of road paving is H = 0.0372. The H-value for widening paved roads, per mile of widcning, will be calculated as follows: (additional paved width)/(initial width) * 0.0372, Page 1 of 2 Mar 18 03 10:08a Growth Mgt (305)289-2854 p,3 • Sec. 4.2.3, Page 42: Where it reads "(Section 3.5)", it should read "(Section 1.2.1)". • Sec. 6.1, Page 55: Sentence which refers to Appendix B will be deleted. • Sec. 5.33, Page 49, Table 5.2. Under impacts, the following changes apply: o Building Permits (29 instead of 12); H = 0.071 instead of 0.0168; Total H = 0.1489 instead of 0.1286; Credit Requested: H = 0.3390 instead of 0.3999. Other references to these numbers will be corrected. • In general: Clearing of native vegetation will be limited to that necessary to complete covered activities. Other clearing activities are not authorized under this HCP. • Sec. 5.3.2, p. 49. Where it reads: "No development will be allowed in Lower Keys marsh rabbit habitat. No residential or commercial development will be allow within 500 meters of marsh rabbit habitat, with the exception of isolated areas (Figure 2.2), which will be given negative ROGO points." • Sec. 5.3.3, p. 49. A new paragraph will be added after Table 5.2: "The total H-value for all development approvals on Big Pine Key and No Name Keys from March 13, 1995 to the date of the Incidental Take Permit Issuance will be compiled and provided to the USFWS within one month after permit issuance. This shall be included in the Habitat Mitigation and Habitat Banking calculations at a 3:1 ratio and deducted from the total H-value of the Incidental 'rake Permit." Sec_ 5.4.1, p. 53: A new bullet will be added to the Compliance Information List: "An updated master list of all development permitted on Big Pine Key and No Name Key with the start date of March 13, 1995, which records the H-value for each development approval and a running total which is cumulatively subtracted from the total H-value. This master list shall be maintained by Monroe County and made readily available to the public, USFWS and the DCA." • Misspellings will be corrected. ---------------------------------- end of errata and clarifications ---------------------------------- Page 2 of 2 Mar 18 03 10:07a Growth Mgt (305)289-2854 p,1 Growth Management Division 2798 Overseas Highway Suite 400 Marathon, Florida 33050 Voice: (305) 289-2517 FAX: (305) 289-2854 bounty of Conroe Board of County Commissioners Mayor Dube Spehar, Dist 1 Mayor Fro 1'em Murray E. Nelson, Dist, 5 Comm. Charles "Sonny" McCoy, Dist. 3 Comnt. George Neugent, D.,st. 2 Comm. David Ricc, Dist. 4 FAX CO SHEET To: FAX #: FROM: Growth Management Division (Cover + 2-_ pages) ■ ■ ■ ■ f ■ • ■ ■ • ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ t ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ • ■ ■ • • ■ • ■ ■ • • ■ ■ • ■ ■ ■ ■ • ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ ■ • ■ ■ ■ 1 HENRY LEE MORGENSTERN Attorney at Law 27316 CAYMAN LANE RAMROD KEY, FLORIDA 33042-5446 PHONE: 305.294.7838 E-MAIL ADDRESS: HenryLeeM@aol.com March 19, 2003 Monroe County Board of County Commissioners Marathon, Florida Re: BPK Habitat Conservation Plan Dear Commissioners: The National Wildlife Federation and Defenders of Wildlife urge you to pass the March 2003 Habitat Conservation Plan for the Florida Key Deer ("HCP"), with one important amendment. This amendment ensures that the level of development is consistent with the law and with the integrity of the HCP process. Based on population modeling, biologists determined that the total H-value of development in the project area could not exceed 1.4 without jeopardizing the deer, and that the County's requested development from the March 2002 draft only required an H of 0.7 (after deletion of the cross -island road). Up until a few days ago, the March 2003 draft appeared to request new development totaling H = 1.0. We agreed with that and were pleased to see the HCP progressing towards passage. Now we are told that, due to unexplained changes buried in a data summary table, the current draft of the HCP suddenly allows for H = 1.8, more than double the amount previously requested. This is apparently based on the claim that additional development equal to H = 0.8 should be added because of the underpass/US1 project of 2000. We believe this additional development is not legally supportable for several reasons. First, a saving of 3 deer per year does not justify an increase in development virtually equal to the entire amount the model previously allowed over 20 years. The model was not based on traffic, but on habitat, and does not support this increase. Second, the underpass project was a separate ITP (incidental take permit) with its own mitigation, and cannot be used a second time for a separate permit. Third, the efficacy of the underpass project for reducing deer mortality is as yet unproven, and therefore any assumed effect cannot be locked in by the HCP. Fourth, the public was repeatedly assured that the underpass project was outside the scope of the HCP. Most importantly, a harvest of 1.8 will not adequately protect the Key deer and disregards the Livable Communikeys Program. The amount of development this allows is far greater than that contemplated in the March 2002 county request, and is also far greater 0.4 than the amount allowed for in Table 2.4 (March 2002 draft). An H of 1.8 allows 30% more development than a total buildout of every parcel on Tiers 2 and 3, plus the maximum allowed development in Tier 1. (See chart below.) This level of development is inconsistent with a key conclusion of the Livable Communikeys, which was to keep the rural character of the island. Also attached to this letter is a copy of Table 2.2 of the September draft. If you compare it to Table 2.4 of the present draft (p. 30), you will see that, although the study model has not been changed or re -run, the resulting numbers are quite different. Finally, attached is a copy of a memo excerpt from the HCP committee process, where the consultant, Ricardo Calvo, answers committee member Alicia Putney's question as to the "exact H value cap," and Ricardo says, 'Total H = 1.1 is absolute." The fact that this was the intention all along is made clear on p. 47, second bullet, where the HCP computes 2% of the 'Total H" as .02. This is true, of course, only if the total His 1.0. We support the HCP with allowable development of H = 1.0, with no hidden add -on development credits. We are forced to object, however, to the unjustified additional credit. Thank you for your consideration. for Nati6nal Wildlife�deration and Defenders of Wil e H value calculation: 10 x 10 meter cell = 40.47 cells per acre Tier 1 = .259 x 10(-3) H per cell x 40.47 = .0105 H per acre = .0026 per 1/4 acre lot Tier 2 = .183 x 10(-3) H per cell x 40.47 = .0074 H per acre = .00185 per 1/4 acre lot Tier 3 = .168 x 10(-3) H per cell x 40.47 = .0068 H per acre = .0017 per 1/4 acre lot 59 Tier 3 acres = 236 lots x .0017 = .40 H for 236 lots 102 Tier 2 acres = 408 lots x .00185 = .7548 H for 408 lots 15 Tier 1 acres = 60 lots x .0020 = .12 H for 60 lots Total H with Tiers 1, 2 and 3 buildout = 1.2748 H for 704 lots plus .5252 H Cf Table 2.2 which uses lowest H values and estimates 500 - 600 houses max allowed DRAFT DOCUMENT - 2/25/2003 documented ranges (Lopez 2001) to account for stochastic events. The final model run result represents the average of the 10,000 iterations. To estimate the effects of increasing levels of development on the Key deer population, 10 scenarios were evaluated with the Key deer PVA model (Table 2.4). For any given scenario, the model chose the least valuable vacant parcels for development (parcels with the lowest K, H). As parcels are selected, the spatial model calculated the change in carrying capacity (K) and harvest (H). New K and H values, which represent the direct effects of development, are then input into the matrix model. Therefore, the model run simulates the effect of development on the Key deer population through time. Table 2.4. Effect of development on the Key deer. Scenario Number of Habitat Total Risk Risk Additional Residential Loss3 Harvese (probability) (probability) average Parcels (decrease (increase of Extinction of falling annual Develope& in K) in H) in 100 years below 50 mortality5 females at least once in 50 years 3 No Action 0 0 0.00 0.0005 0.0230 0 S 1 0 0 (-0.80) 0.0005 0.0230 0 S2 200 4 (-0.38) 0.0005 0.0230 0 S3 300 6 (-0.07) 0.0005 0.0230 0 S4 400 8 0.27 0.0005 0.0276 0.29 S5 500 10 0.67 0.0005 0.0291 1.21 S6 600 12 1.20 0.0011 0.0459 2.32 S7 700 14 1.79 0.0021 0.0653 3.23 S8 800 24 2.10 0.0023 0.0774 3.50 S9 900 27 2.47 0.0037 0.0956 3.82 Sl0 1000 30 2.91 0.0068 0.1198 4.13 St includes US-1 projects: wildlife underpasses, intersection improvement, and three -lanes. The combined effect of these projects is a surplus of three Key deer per year. All other scenarios include these projects. 2 The model selected parcels with lowest total habitat value to the Key deer. 3 From the carrying capacity grid in the spatial model. It is an input to the matrix model. ` From the harvest grid in the spatial model. It is an input to the matrix model. H in scenarios Sl, S2 and S3 is a surplus caused by the overall effect of US-1 projects (i.e., surplus of three deer per year, per USFWS 1999). Net harvest was kept at 0 for these scenarios; therefore the no net change in model results (risk and additional mortality). 5 Results from matrix model run. Refers to females only. The model rums provide an estimate of the risk of extinction in 100 years and the risk of the population falling below 50 individuals (females) at least once in 50 years (Table 2.2). Both are expressed as probabilities. The model also estimates the average additional human -induced mortality (number of female deer). 30 s6 ) Zo;,,-,- INTERNAL WORKING DRAFT DOCUN[ENT - NOT INTENDED FOR DISTRIBUTION - SUBJECT TO REVISION Table 2.2. Key deer PVA: Potential effect of development on the Key deer population Scenario F. 6vsknt Habitat Habitat Total Extinction Risk Additional Bum* Loss Loss Hawes? risk in 100 (probability) of average Units (acres) (K 2 yeses falling below morality in decrease) (expressed threshold at 100 years as least once in 50 probability+) years 3 SO 0 0 0 0.0000 0.0005 0.0023 0 sit 0 0 0 0.0000 0.0005 0.0023 0 S2' 0 0 0 0.0000 0.0005 0.0023 0 S3 200 74 4 0.0003 0.0005 0.0242 0 S4 300 111 6 0.0034 0.0006 0.0263 55 S5 400 148 8 0.0068 0.0007 0.0327 124 S6 500 195 10 0.0108 0.0011 0.0416 210 S7 600 222 12 0.0160 0.0017 0.0567 295 S8 700 259 14 0.0220 0.0028 0.0823 368 S9 800 297 24 0.0251 0.0066 0.0981 389 Si0 900 334 27 0.0288 0.0073 0.1173 412 Sit 1000 371 30 0.0331 0.0098 0.1470 435 S I = Ongoing US-1 improvements (wildlife underpasses and intersection improvement); S2 = Ong"* US -I itatprovements plus cross -island road. All other scenarios include the US- I and cross -island toad improvements. 2 K = carrying opacity; habitat loss and harvest are estimated by the spatial component of the model. ' Threshold - 50 iaxlividuals. sea-_.....---.____ ...._.. _... . - ..- ...... _ .... _ .._........_......... e Y 2f9 IS9 , 40 ; Sa St. S-2 V SA S. Ss S' V $o SM stt insM Frgnre 2,5. Key deer PVA: Effect of development on the level of take of Ket• deer 2.1.2 Silver rice rat (q omyc argentatus) On April 30,1991, the rice rat was designated as endangered in the Lower Florida Keys, west of Seven Mile Bridge, Untitled ALICIA'S QUESTIONS TO RICARDO: Subj: HCP questions Date: 10/14/02 To: micainnk@aol.com 6. Where does the HCP show the exact H value cap which will be alto wed (a) overall, (b) over the next 20 years, and (c) per year? 7. Where does the HCP show that, for purposes of determining the amo unt of development, the H value of lands acquired as "mitigation" cannot be credited against t he H value of lands developed? RICARDO'S ANSWER TO ALICIA: Subj. In preparation for next week's meeting Date: 1115/02 4:28:07 PM Eastern Standard Time From: Ricardo_N_Calvo@URSCorp.com Committee Members: We reviewed all the comments and want to provide the following brief responses in preparation for our meeting next week (comments by the NG O's mainly require clarification - they will be discussed in the meeting): 6.6 The HCP is clear in requesting a total (20 yr) H =1.1. 6.7 Total H =1.1 is absolute. It does not depend on acquisition. Page 1 Key elements of the HCP KEY ELEMENTS OF THE HCP Objective: To obtain an Incidental Take Permit from the USFWS for Key deer and other covered species in Big Pine and No Name Keys. Incidental take may occur as a during the execution of development activities in the project area. The HCP establishes how much development may occur and the guidelines under which development must occur to ensure habitat conservation and species protection. • Duration: 20 years • Covered Species: Key deer, Lower Keys marsh rabbit, eastern indigo snake, Garber's spurge • Covered Activities o Residential and commercial development, auxiliary uses o Community/Government facilities o Transportation improvements • Permit Issuance Criteria o Taking is incidental o Minimization and mitigation o Adequate funding o No reduction in species survival and recovery o Other measures per USFWS • Measures of Impact o Development has two main impacts on the Key deer: habitat loss (K in the PVA model) and human -induced mortality (H in the PVA model) o Human -induced mortality includes roadkills, entanglement, predation by domestic predators, and poaching. The USFWS maintains a detailed database with this information o The effect of H on the model results is much larger than the effect of K o Therefore, impacts are measured by "H", which represents the proportional contribution to human -induced mortality of different areas throughout the project area. o Every parcel has an H value. The parcel database, with the H value for each parcel has been provided to the County for their use. o The total H of a development activity is calculated by multiplying the parcel H x a land use multiplier (based on traffic generation because highway mortality is by far the main cause of human -induced mortality) x number of acres (or sq. ft. developed/1,000). Any H for road paving is calculated as number of miles x H/mile. o Total H;mpac, over 20 years: 1.0 (allows for 200 houses, plus facility expansions, and limited road paving). o H = 1.0 is a fixed maximum; the actual H incurred may be lower if mitigation falls short due to unwilling sellers or lack of funding. Page 1 of 3 o H is highly correlated with measures of incidental take: average additional human -related Key deer mortality and the probability that the population fall to below 50 females in 50 years. Level of Take: o Key deer: ■ For H=1.0, the PVA model predicts —4 additional human -induced deer deaths per year. ■ For H = 1.0, the PVA model also predicts an increase of 1.7% in the probability that the population fall below 50 females in 50 years (from 2.3% under current conditions to 4.0% for H = 1.0). ■ The number human -induced Key deer deaths varies from year to year. However, it is highly correlated with deer density, as measured by the average number of deer seen in field censuses. The ratio of human - induced deaths to deer seen has varied little in the last 13 years. The proposed level of impacts should not result in a significant increase in this ratio. ■ An increase of 4 human -induced deaths per year would not result in a significant increase in the ratio. The increase would be well within the observed year-to-year variation. o Lower Keys Marsh Rabbit: Activities such as road paving may occur within 500 in of marsh rabbit habitat. No loss of marsh rabbit habitat will occur. o Indigo Snake: Anticipated loss of about 7-15 acres of potential habitat. Avoidance and Minimization o Conservative modeling assumptions o Traffic management o Progressive development o No development in the Key deer corridor across Sands Subdivision o In Tier 1 lands: No more than 5% of all residential units permitted over 20 years a total H of 0.02 (2% of the total), whichever results in a lower total H o No commercial development allowed in Tier 1 areas. o Development of scarified/disturbed areas o Development of Tier 3 and Tier 2 lands Habitat Mitigation o Measure of habitat quality/impacts: H o Proposed level of take: H = 1.0 o Proposed mitigation ratio: 3:1 (Mitigation H = 3.0) o Acquisition and management o Habitat banking (activity since 1995): H = 0.3999 o Regulatory control over rate and type of development (modified ROGO) Page 2 of 3 Implementation o Monroe County — lead implementing agency o Monitoring and reporting o Funding assurances o Compliance: ■ Monroe County will halt issuance of development permits if: • Mitigation lags development by 5% of H at the end of a reporting year (i.e., if Hacq.ked is 5% smaller than H;mpact • Unwilling sellers prevent mitigation from matching impacts (within 5%) • Funding shortage prevents mitigation from matching impacts (within 5%) • The ratio human -induced deer deaths over average number of deer seen is higher than 1.53 for two consecutive years Permit issuance may resume when unwilling sellers or funding become available. Page 3 of 3 Board of County Commissioners Resolution RESOLUTION -2003 A RESOLUTION BY THE MONROE COUNTY BOARD OF COUNTY COMMISSIONERS AUTHORIZING THE SUBMITTAL OF THE HABITAT CONSERVATION PLAN (HCP) FOR BIG PINE AND NO NAME KEYS TO THE U.S. FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE FOR AN INCIDENTAL TAKE PERMIT OF THE ENDANGERED SPECIES INCLUDING MINIMIZING AND MITIGATING THE LEVEL OF TAKE. WHEREAS, on October 26, 1998, the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (USFWS), Florida Game and Fish Commission, the Florida Department of Community Affairs (FDAC), Florida Department of Transportation and Monroe County entered into a Memorandum of Agreement for the development of a Habitat Conservation Plan (HCP) for Big Pine and No Name Keys; and WHEREAS, the public agencies are among the federal, state and local agencies that have regulatory authority or responsibility under certain federal and state statutes, including the Endangered Species Act of 1973, as amended, the National Environmental Policy Act of 1969, the Constitution of Florida and state and local planning and zoning laws to conserve threatened and endangered species and their habitats on Big Pine and No Name Keys from adverse effects resulting from public and private development actions; and WHEREAS, the HCP is a mechanism whereby the concerns and responsibilities of the various public agencies with regard to the conservation of the Key Deer and other covered species, and public and private development of Big Pine and No Name Keys can be coordinated; and WHEREAS, all projects including state and county roadway improvements and all other public and private development activities on Big Pine and No Name Keys are subject to individual review by USFWS and will enjoy a benefit from this comprehensive review by USFWS; and WHEREAS, the traffic Level of Service (LOS) on US #lin Big Pine Key is currently and has been since 1996 below the adopted standard and is anticipated to continue to worsen unless road improvements can be made to US #1; and WHEREAS, the USFWS agreed to allow FDOT to proceed with the construction of a short-term intersection improvement on US #1 on Big Pine under the condition that the FDCA, FDOT and Monroe County agree to develop the HCP; and WHEREAS, a Joint Participation Agreement (JPA) was signed by FDOT, FDCA and Monroe County in January 2000 to fund and facilitate development of the HCP; and WHEREAS, an HCP Coordinating Committee, consisting of two representatives from each MOU signatory agency and two citizens designated by the County was established for purpose of assisting the contracting agency, FDOT, in selection of an experienced professional consulting firm to prepare the HCP and associated documents; and WHEREAS, URS Corporation Southern was selected as the Contractor to prepare the HCP; and WHEREAS, Section 10 of the Endangered Species Act allows an applicant to apply for a permit for "incidental take" of federally designated endangered species; and WHEREAS, a comprehensive study was completed of the Key Deer and other endangered species populations and conditions necessary for their continued viability; and WHEREAS, three workshops were held with the community as part of the Monroe County Livable CommuniKeys Program (LCP) to determine a preferred development action, which was analyzed by the Contractor to determine the level of "take" of the endangered species by the action; and WHEREAS, the HCP is a plan for minimizing and mitigating the determined level of "take"; and WHEREAS, formal submittal of the HCP and it's associated documents and application of an Incidental Take permit shall only be made after all three HCP co -applicant agencies are in agreement with the submittal, NOW THEREFORE; BE IT RESOLVED BY THE BOARD OF COUNTY COMMISSIONERS OF MONROE COUNTY, FLORIDA to authorize the submittal of the Habitat Conservation Plan (HCP) for Big Pine and No Name Keys to the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service. PASSED AND ADOPTED by the Board of County Commissioners of Monroe County, Florida at a regular meeting held on the 19 day of March, A.D., 2003. Mayor Dixie Spehar Mayor Pro Tern Murray Nelson Commissioner Charles "Sonny" McCoy Commissioner David Rice Commissioner George Neugent (SEAL) ATTEST: DANNY KOHLAGE, CLERK Deputy Clerk BOARD OF COUNTY COMMISSIONERS OF MONROE COUNTY, FLORIDA Mayor/Chairperson A O TO FO — SLTM N L Attorney s c: — Staff Report County of Monroe Planning and Environmental Resources K. Marlene Conaway, Director 2798 Overseas Highway Suite 400 Marathon, Florida 33050 Voice: (305) 289-2500 FAX: (305) 289-2536 March 3, 2003 TO: Board of County Commissioners FROM: K. Marlene Conaway, Director Planning and Environmental Resources Board of County Commissioners Mayor Charles "Sonny" McCoy, Dist. 3 Mayor Pro Tem Dixie Spehar, Dist. 1 Comm. Bert Jimenez, District 4 Comm. Murray Nelson, Dist. 5 Comm. George Neugent, Dist. 2 SUBJECT: Habitat Conservation Plan for Big Pine and No Name Keys Summary Monroe County, DCA and FDOT entered into a Joint Participation Agreement (JPA) to prepare a Habitat Conservation Plan (HCP) to address potential impacts from development activities in Big Pine and No Name Keys. The HCP describes a conservation and mitigation strategy to minimize and mitigate for the incidental take of threatened and endangered species due to any construction activities including residential and commercial development, transportation improvements, public facilities and institutional expansion. A maximum "take" from development activities over the 20- year period is given and a methodology to balance development with mitigation included. The Board of County Commissioner approval before submittal of the HCP is required in the JPA. Also, be aware, that the Department of Community Affairs have agreed to abate their appeals of the twenty-one Board of County Commissioners approved Big Pine Key Beneficial Use residential permits when the HCP is submitted. Background With the establishment of the National Key Deer Refuge in 1957 an active program to protect the Key Deer on Big Pine and No Name Keys began. By the 1980's the deer population had recovered to approximately 300 individuals, but there was continuing concern that road mortality and habitat loss threatened the population. FDOT began consultation in the late 1980's and continued into the early 1990's to find a solution to the high incidence of road mortality of Key Deer along US#1. The underpasses currently being constructed on US#1 in Big Pine Key is a result of this work. It was also recognized that additional improvements are needed to US#1 so that the roadway will meet the Concurrency Level of Service required in the 2010 Comprehensive Plan. Policy 301.7.3 states that additional lanes might be added to US# 1 to ease traffic congestion but that such improvements "shall be deferred until the completion of a Habitat Conservation Plan for the Island." Habitat Conservation Planning The Habitat Conservation Plan for Big Pine and No Name Keys was developed in conformance with a Memorandum of Understanding between the County, State and USFWS as a way to resolve County of Monroe the ongoing conflicts over the impacts of proposed development on the natural resources. Section 10 of the Endangered Species Act allows a developer, the "applicant," to apply for a permit for "incidental take" of federally -designated endangered species. The process basically involves determination of the level of reduction or "take" of the species caused by the proposed development. The applicant proposes the development along with a plan for mitigation of the "take" caused by the development. The mitigation plan is written in the form of a Habitat Conservation Plan. The HCP process for Big Pine and No Name Keys was initiated in February 2000. The applicants are Monroe County, the Florida Department of Community Affairs (DCA) and the Florida Department of Transportation (FDOT), those entities that would build, or issue local permits to build, the proposed development. The Habitat Conservation Plan document was produced with the assistance of an HCP committee made up of concerned agencies and citizen representatives. The document first submitted to the Board of County Commissioners in September 2002. The Commission requested the consultant to take it to the HCP committee for review. The application for the incidental take permit is proposed to be sent to the USFWS in March 2003. The process to develop the HCP consisted of three major components: 1) study of the endangered species populations and conditions necessary for their continued viability, 2) crafting of a proposed development action within this context and determination of the level of "take" caused by the action, and 3) development of a plan for mitigating the determined level of "take." Livable CommuniKeys Program The Livable CommuniKeys Program (LCP) is a community -driven planning effort aimed at determining the amount, type and location of additional development appropriate for the planning area. The process was initiated in Big Pine Key and No Name Key in April 2000 and has run in close coordination with the HCP. Three major public workshops and meetings were held to facilitate the LCP effort; followed up by newsletters sent to both residents and landowners. Stakeholder discussions and citizen surveys were also conducted. The newsletters summarized the needs and desires expressed by the community in the workshops. From this summary a community vision was formulated. The community vision and stated planning objectives were used to evaluate possible development alternatives. Several alternative plans for Big Pine and No Name Keys were formulated. These plans were aimed at satisfaction of basic community needs within the existing regulatory framework. The alternatives were then subjected to a planning analysis to see which ones were consistent with the community vision, could meet community needs and desires and were within reasonable cost and feasibility. Alternatives for residential, commercial, recreational and transportation development were all evaluated. The analysis is contained in the Development Alternatives Report generated in March 2001. Alternatives considered the most feasible means of fulfilling community needs and desires included a clustered residential plan and a commercial redevelopment plan. Preferred options for meeting community recreational and transportation needs were also presented. These preferred alternatives were then analyzed for consistency with environmental goals, particularly protection of endangered species in the HCP model developed for these islands. 0) County of Monroe The LCP Master plan is currently being drafted and will implement the various requirements of the HCP. Future development is limited to ten residential units a year for a total of two hundred units over the 20 year planning horizon, commercial development will follow at 239 square feet for each residential unit permitted, some expansion of community facilities and recreation areas is included as well as expansion of existing community organizations. The plan will also provide other elements as identified in the community planning process. Attached is the Livable CommuniKey's Newsletter which summarizes the types and amount of development proposed to stay within the permit and the vision of the community. The plan should be ready for review by the Planning Commission in April 2003. The MOU with DCA includes mechanisms to allow the County to move forward with changes to implement the HCP through a 380 Agreement before the plan amendment is complete. Action Proposed in the HCP The proposed development action in the HCP is expressed in terms of the total level of impact that will result in an acceptable level of "take" of the Key deer. The level of "take" is determined by the removal of habitat value measured in discrete units. The habitat value units are assigned to individual parcels within the planning area and consist of two main components: direct impact (habitat loss) and indirect impact (highway mortality). The location and traffic generated are the two primary development components causing these impacts. The HCP will equate the total loss of habitat value units to a specific level of acceptable impact. Monroe County will track the impact of issued permits to ensure that the total acceptable level of habitat value units is not exceeded. The HCP will not specify exactly where permits will be issued or for what type of development but it will provide clear direction to the county on which locations and types will have greater impact. The Habitat Conservation Plan proposes to mitigate the "take" of Key deer mainly by putting habitat under public protection. Habitat protection is considered the highest priority action for protection of Key deer and other listed animal and plant species. Thus the habitat value units expended by allowing development can be mitigated to some extent by purchase of a certain level of habitat value elsewhere. Mitigation will also involve management of the acquired habitat, and other activities. The HCP also proposes actions to minimize development impacts. Examples include implementation of traffic calming designs and restrictions on fencing. The application for incidental take will be reviewed by the USFWS under Section 10 of the federal Endangered Species Act. Staff Recommendation Approve the resolution authorizing submittal of the Habitat Conservation Plan for Big Pine and No Name Keys. 3 Livable CommuniKeys Newsletter , Inside this issue: Planning for the future Community Vision HCP and LCP Plan Proposals - Three Tiers Big Pine Park US 1 Corridor Design Workshop Transportation im- provements What is limiting de- velopment on Big Pine Key and No Name Key? • Need to protect the endanger species. • Traffic congestion on us #1. • Hurricane evacuation times. • County -wide morato- rium on hotel/motel units. 1 1 2 MO N R OF CC U N T t DEPARTMENT OF PLANNING A N C ENVIRONMENTAL R E S O U R C E S Volume 1 , Issue 4 Livable ConuntmiKeys Program Big Pine Key and No Name Key PLANNING FOR THE FUTURE During the spring and fall of 2000, the residents and property owners of Big Pine and No Name Keys worked with Monroe County planning staff on the Livable CommuniKeys Program (LCP) to identify the needs and desires of the community for future development on Big Pine Key and No Name Key. 2 Alternative potential development patterns and types were drafted during the process 3 for evaluation to determine any possible impacts to the endangered species which 3 make these islands their home. In order for any new development, including road im- 3 provements, to occur a permit from U. S. Fish and wildlife Service (USFWS) is re- quired. Therefore, the county and state have funded the preparation of a Habitat Conservation Plan (HCP) for the islands. The HCP is a proposal to mitigate and compensate for the potential negative ef- fects of develop- ment activities on the endangered species. The HCP will be reviewed by the USFWS to determine if it meets the species protection crite- ria. IMUNITY BY THE COMMUNITY TIT c . I _ < n,- collected c:' the community workshops: We envision Big Pine and No Name Keys as a rural community with a small town atmosphere and way -of -life where people feel a connection with their friends and neighbors. A community rich in natural and scenic resources including endan- gered habitat like nowhere else in the world. A unique community in the Flor- ida Keys where people can live in har- mony with the natural world. Where resi- dents and visitors can take advantage of the local goods and services without fighting traffic. Where kids of all ages have plenty of recreational opportunities. Where the dreams of home ownership and planting roots in the community can be realized. Where government regulations make sense and work for the betterment of all. Above all, we envision a community that responds to the needs of all its inhabitants. Page 2 The Blue Hole Lands in Big Pine and No Name Keys will be classified into three Tiers based on their environmental sensitivity and distance to US #1 . Developed canal lots Livable CommuniKeys Program Big Pine Key and No Name Key Volume 1 , Issue 4 Livable CommuniKeys and the HCP: Moving forward together The Livable CommuniKeys Process Master Plan (LCP) is currently being drafted and will soon be ready for presentation to the commu- nity and the Planning Commission. Approval to submit The Habitat Conservation Plan (HCP) will be considered by the Board of County Commissioners in March 2003. The HCP is a permit application to allow a limited amount of development to occur as long as the impact on the endangered species is minimized and mitigated and the long term viability of the species is considered. The USFWS interest is in the protection of the en- dangered species. The LCP plan provides the framework for development activities. The LCP Master Plan minimizes impacts from development on the Key Deer by locating de- velopment in areas of least value to the deer and reducing trip length; limiting amount of proposed development to maintain the rural character and to maximize the amount of habitat protected; and mitigating development by purchasing land for permanent protection. Plan Proposal Three Tiers The proposed LCP Master Plan will classify all land on Big Pine and No Name Keys into three `tiers' based on conservation and infill priorities. Most of the islands are classified as Tier I because of their environmental sensitiv- ity and importance for the continued viability of the Key Deer. Tier 2 lands are canal lots located a distance from US # I with a potential for secondary impacts on the deer from cars. Tier 3 lands are canal lots in close proximity to US #1, which provide little habitat value to the endangered species and because of location, a decreased potential for deer kills from vehi- cles. Some undeveloped lots in Tier 3 are also located between existing developed commer- cial lots in the US #1 corridor. The development activities proposed in the Plan are expected to occur over a 20-year hori- zon. Proposed activities include: • Residential units at a rate of roughly 10 per year for a total of 200 units. • Commercial development, limited to 2,400 square feet a year, around existing com- mercial areas, mainly along the US # l corri- dor. • New recreational facilities constructed on existing developed or disturbed/scarified lots. • Limited expansion of community uses, churches, public offices, waster water facili- ties, and the existing fire station. • Transportation improvements, the widen- ing of local, paved roads to accommodate bi- cycle paths and storm water and sewer infra- structure and a third lane on US #1. LEGEND �• wn.r Ar -TYrI .: TrrAllim A— • TMr 11 :> DRAFT C�oun- Tier I - Hieh Oualitv Habitat No Name Key Most of Big Pine Key Port Pine Heights Tier II - Moderate Habitat/Distance US #1 Canal lots mid island Tier III -Lowest Quality/ Close to US #1 Canal lots Livable CommuniKeys Program Big Pine Key and No Name Key Volume 1 , Issue 4 IWI US #1 Big Pine Key Corridor Design Charrette On January 16th and 17th the Big Pine and No Name community is invited to participate in a design charrette which will focus on the US #1 corridor through Big Pine Key. A design char- rette is an intensive workshop in which design professionals, planners, landscape architects, and transportation engineers work directly with community members to create a vision and plan for the community. Charrettes are typically a short, intensive process focused on producing a plan which reflects the input of everyone involved. For Big Pine, the charrette will be focused on the US #1 corridor area, extending roughly from St. Peter's Church to North Pine Chan- nel. The issues to be addressed in the char- rette will include visual enhancement, bicycle and pedestrian safety, appropriate parking and identification and enhancement of Big Pine Key's "sense of place". The area enhance- ment plan resulting from the charrette will be included in the Livable CommuniKeys Plan for Big Pine and No Name Keys. The recom- mendations proposed in the plan will be de- veloped within the context of the Florida Keys Scenic Highway Corridor Management Plan and the Overseas Heritage Trail. Please see the back page of this newsletter for loca- tion and time information. Big Pine Park Design Approved in December The Livable CommuniKeys public workshops held in 2000 highlighted the community de- sire for additional active park space. In March 2002, after much public input, the county pur- chased the Mariner's Resort for a community park. The site is approximately 10 acres in size and located on Bogie Channel on the east- ern side of Big Pine. Beginning in June the Monroe County Parks and Recreation Board held a series of four public workshops to ob- tain community input on the wants, needs and concerns for direction on park design. In De- cember the Board of County Commissioners approved a conceptual design layout for the proposed park. The concept includes: Page 3 Join us and help plan the Big Pine Key US # 1 Corridor • a little league baseball and softball field • a skate park • a community center • basketball/roller hockey court ow,* • walking trail with fitness stations Recreation Planning • tennis courts • bocce ball and shuffleboard areas Active Recreation • a playground Passive Recreation • an area for future pool development The next stage of the park development will be • Children/Adults the permitting process and to seek approval from the Monroe County Planning Commis- sion. Travel Improvements to US Highway ## 1 The Plan will include widening of US Highway # 1 to three lanes. Studies have demonstrated that widening the Highway to three lanes will bring the level of service on the road to an acceptable level "C" for the next 20 years. Several options were analyzed in the HCP. The potential impact on the Key Deer of the additional lane has been mitigated by the construction of the deer cross- ings on US #1. A scenario, suggested in LCP workshops and further studied for a cross -island connector road north of US # 1 to provide a way for people to move around the island without going onto US #1 has been abandoned. The Board of County Commissioners, after receiving com- munity comments, decided not to move for- ward with the proposed road at it's meeting in December 2002. Design for the bike path on US #1 will be discussed at the Charrette on January 16. Other bike paths on County roads are in- cluded in the HCP and will give the commu- nity additional safe areas for biking, skating and walking. US # 1 Corridor Florida Department of Transportation Correspondence Feb 20 03 10:55a James L Roberts Co Rdmin 305-292-4544 p,2 �,..3 Florida Department of Transportation !EB BUSH 1000 Northwest 1 1 1 th Avenue GOVERN -OR F. BARRY, Jk. Miami, Florida 33172-5800 SECRETARv Office of the District Secretary District Six (305) 470-5197 February 7, 2003 Mr. James Roberts, County Administrator c/o Monroe County Growth Management Division 2798 Overseas Highway, Suite 410 Marathon. FL 33050 Dear Mr_ Roberts: As you know, the Florida Department of Transportation, along with the Florida Department of Community Affairs and Monroe County are co -applicants on an Incidental Take Permit (ITP) application to be submitted to the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (USFWS). The ITP would authorize the incidental take of the Key deer and other protected species in Big Pine and No Name Keys, which may result from development activities over a 20-year period. The co -applicants have worked diligently together since 1999 in order to develop a viable Habitat Conservation Plan (HCP) to support the ITP application. The preparation of the HCP and accompanying Environmental Assessment included detailed scientific studies, continuous agency coordination, and ambitious public involvement. The Department endorses the Final Draft HCP submitted to the Monroe County Board of County Commissioners for consideration, and looks forward to your approval of the Final Draft HCP for submittal to the USFWS for official review. The Department is committed to funding the construction phase for the US-1 roadway improvements (i.e., three-laninR), as recommended in the HCP. Should you have questions regarding the Department's support of the HCP, please feei tree to contact Javier RodAgEterme at your convenience. `t11 1 Jo Abre E. Di rict Secretary JA/cbo cc: C. Leroy Irwin, FDOT Javier Rodriguez, FDOT Colleen Castille, FDCA www.dot.state.fl.us Florida Department of Transportation JEB BUSH 605 Suwannee Street THOMAS F. BARR1 JR. GOVERNOR Tallahassee, Florida 32399-0450 SECRETARY February 11, 2003 Ms. Marlene Conaway Monroe County Growth Management Department 2798 Overseas Highway, Suite 410 Marathon, Florida 33050 Dear Ms. Conaway: Re: Habitat Conservation Plan Big Pine Key — No Name Key The three co -applicants have met and determined that the Habitat Conservation Plan (HCP) is ready for submittal to the Monroe County Board of County Commissioners (BOCC) for approval, as stipulated in the HCP Memorandum of Agreement between the three co -applicant agencies. The HCP will be provided to Committee members in February. URS is completing revisions to the HCP and Environmental Assessment (EA) based on input from the Committee, the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (USFWS), and other parties. The structure of the plan remains the same: the total 20-year impacts will not exceed H = 1. 1; avoidance and minimization measures include modeling assumptions, regulatory measures (e.g., rate of growth), and development standards (e.g., fencing guidelines); mitigation and compensation for permitted impacts will include a 3H:1 H ratio of land acquisition and management, which will occur alongside development activities; and monitoring, reporting, and other typical HCP provisions. The revised HCP will omit the cross -island road (which the BOCC voted down in December 2002), and will state a limit to H in Tier 1 in order to ensure and clarify protection of Tier 1 lands. The HCP will be presented to the BOCC for approval on March i 9th. it is anticipated that the HCP and EA, along with the Incident Take Permit application, will be submitted to the USFWS in April. After submittal to the Service, the document will follow the process as required by the Service. The work of the Committee has been completed and I would personally like to extend my appreciation to you for your participation over the past three years, CLI/mh Sincerely, C. L. Irwin Committee Chairman www.dot.state.fl.us ® RECYCLED PAPER Habitat Conservation Plan HABITAT CONSERVATION PLAN FOR FLORIDA KEY DEER (Odocoileus virginianus clavium) AND OTHER PROTECTED SPECIES ON BIG PINE KEY AND NO NAME KEY, MONROE COUNTY, FLORIDA Draft — March 2003 ERRATA AND CLARIFICATIONS (these comments will be reflected in the HCP to be submitted to the USFWS) • Sec. 2.3.4, p. 32: The Tiers are associated to H values: the mean value of all cells in Tier 1 is H = 0.259* 10-3; Tier 2, H = 0.183* 10-3; and Tier 3, H = 0.168* 10-3. • Sec. 3.4, p. 38, Covered Activities: Delete "limited" and "expansion of in the following sentence: "The types of activities covered under this HCP include residential development, limited commercial development and expansion, cKpansion of community and institutional facilities, and transportation improvements." The following sentence will be added at the end of the paragraph: "Other activities not described in this HCP are not authorized under this HCP". • Sec. 5.3.2, p. 47: Where it reads: "No development which may interfere with Key deer movement along the corridor will be permitted in Sands Subdivision.", it should read: "No development will be permitted which may interfere with Key deer movement along the Sands corridor, as shown in figure 5.2." Sec. 5.3.5, p. 50: Require that the ROGO continue to give priority to Tier 3 over Tier 1 in the project area. • Sec. 2.3.2, pp. 27-28: o Deer Corridors: Development in deer corridors would have a rg eater impact, not lesser. o Patch Quality: Development in large, uninterrupted areas would have a rg eater impact, not lesser. o Water Barriers: Development in areas without canals would have a rg eater impact, not lesser. • "Transportation improvements" refers to paving of dirt roads as well as 3-laning US-1. No new roads are "covered" by the HCP. The H-value for combined US-1 projects (Key deer underpasses, intersection improvement, and three-laning is H = -0.80. The H-value per mile of road paving is H = 0.0372. • Sec. 4.2.3, Page 42: Where it reads "(Section 3.5)", it should read "(Section 1.2.1)" 0 Sec. 6.1, Page 55: Sentence which refers to Appendix B will be deleted. • Sec. 5.33, Page 49, Table 5.2. Under Impacts, the following changes apply: o Building Permits (29 instead of 12); H = 0.071 instead of 0.0168; Total H = 0.1489 instead of 0.1286; Credit Requested: H = 0.3390 instead of 0.3999. Other references to these numbers will be corrected. In general: Clearing of native vegetation will be limited to that necessary to for and associated with covered activities. Other clearing activities are not authorized under this HCP. MAYOR DIXIE SPEHAR AND MEMBERS OF THE BOCC: RE: AGENDA ITEM N* PLEASE AMEND THE ERRATA / CLARIFICATION SHEET OF MARCH 18, 2003 AS FOLLOWS: 1. DELE `THE H-VALUE FOR COMBINED US-1 PROJECTS: (KEY DEER UNDERPASSES, INTERSECTION IMPROVEMENT, AND THREE LAMING) IS H = -0.80" on the basis that this not only violates federal law, but also defaults on commitments made to the community. 2. R_EPLACE: TABLE 2.4 IN THE MARCH 2O03 DOCUMENT WITH TABLE 2.2 IN THE SEPTEMBER 2002 DOCUMENT. No new data to justify the proposed change has been brought forward. III• `THE TOTAL ALLOWABLE DEVELOPMENT UNDER THIS HCP SHALL NOT EXCEED A TOTAL H VALUE OF 1.0, COMPUTED BY ADDING THE H VALUE FOR ALL DEVELOPMENT PERMITTED BY THE COUNTY SUBSEQUENT TO MARCH 13, 1995." This will return the HCP to the previously agreed on values. N�� INTERNAL WORIONG DRAFT DOCUMENT - N(yr R4TENDED FOR DLSTRiBUTION -SUBJECT TO REVISION Table 22- Key deer PVA_ Pa m" eD'ixt afdavdap®mt an the Kay doer popular m Tow E diodim Riot Adds l Soesmo swift Low Loss Ihawese d* is 100 ) of avr=e UA tt (acte4? (K2 Yaes filow ieic" (aspmmd andnid at mrulfty in 100 years st imR aeoe in 50 3 S0 s- 0 0 0 0.0000 0.0005 0.0023 0 J J_ 0 0 .0001) GAM 0-0023 SO 0 S2 r 0 ,{ a) 0 0.4m O.A005 Q0023 0 S3 200 ` 4 4 0.9m 0 0005 4.0242 0 55 S4 300 ' 111 6 0,064 Q0006 Um ss 140 148 8 0.0068 0.AOD<1 0.0327 124 S6 = SW 185 10 0.0108 0.0011 0.0416 210 S7 600 222 12 OA160 OA017 0.0567 88 700 259 14 0.0220 0.002$ 0.0623 369 '99 g0D 297 24 0.0251 0.0066 OA981 399 810 900 334 27 0.0288 OAM 0.1173 4I2 Sl1 1000 371 30 0,0331 0 0.1470 435 ); S2 a _ Sl -- Ompft US-1 hWn mmM (WOMM =1 I I I inatl ia'etaect 0M piaE US-1 impmvmmmmu Plea =oW4dmd mad. AN alter soatmia c bM*S& the US-1 awl ti 2 K - Gctl►=eg "!_'_'„ le fte I= aed hat s am edified 6�►11w a i of *0 " `7 � i J 3 7hM&Aoid — 90 bWRisidMgk. 7 -� M cj `, 1 � - s c r e 7s V in N a an ! s 96 a a ff sn FiPttre ?.5. Key feet' PVA.- Effect of devetoptaeM oo.the YO *Stake of Key deer 2.1.2 Silva rice rat ( A29dowl On April 30,1991, the rice rat was deaigamad'as in ttrp Lower Florida Keys, west of Saved Mile Bride. 21 DRAFT DOCUMENT - 2/25/2003 documented ranges (Lopez 2001) to account for stochastic events. The final model run result represents the average of the 10,000 iterations. To estimate the effects of increasing levels of development on the Key deer population, ' 10 scenarios were evaluated with the Key'deer PVA model (Table 2.4). For any given scenario, the model chose the least valuabl� vacant parcels for development (parcels with the lowest K, H). As parcels am selected the spatial model calculated the change in carrying capacity (K) and harvest (M. New K and H values, which represent the direct effects of development, are then input into the matrix model. Therefore, the model run simulates the effect of development on the Key deer population through time. Table 2.4. Effect of development on the Key deer. Scenario Number of Habitat Total Ris Risk Additional Residential Loss3 Harvest (probability) (probability) average Parcels (decrease (increase of Extinction of falling 50 annual Developed2 in K) in H) in 100 years below mortality' females at least once in 50 years 3 No Action 0 0 0.00 0.0005 0.0230 0 S 1' 0 0 (-0.80)) 0.0005 0.0230 0 S2 200 4 (-0.38) 0.0005 0.0230 0 S3 300 6 (-0.07) 0.0005 0.0230 0 S4 400 8 0.27 0.0005 0.0276 0.28 S5 500 10 0.67 0.0005 0.0291 1.21 S6 600 12 1.20 0.0011 0.0459 2.32 S7 700 14 1.79 0.0021 0.0653 3.23 S8 800 24 2.10 0.0023 0.0774 3.50 S9 900 27 2.47 0.0037 0.0956 3.82 S 10 1000 30 2.91 0.0068 0.1198 4.13 S1 includes US-1 projects: wildlife underpasses, intersection improvement, and three -lanes: The combined effect of these projects is a surplus of three Key deer per year. All other scenarios include these projects. 2 The model selected parcels with lowest total habitat value to the Key deer. 3 From the carrying capacity grid in the spatial model. It is an input to the matrix model. ` From the harvest grid in the spatial model. It is an input to the matrix model. H in scenarios S1, S2 and S3 is a surplus caused by the overall effect of US-1 projects (i.e., surplus of three deer per year, per USFW S 1999). Net harvest was kept at 0 for these scenarios; therefore the no net change in model results (risk and additional mortality). ' Results from matrix model run. Refers to females only. The model runs provide an estimate of the risk of extinction in 100 years and the risk of the population falling below 50 individuals (females) at least once in 50 years (Table 2.2). Both are expressed as probabilities. The model also estimates the average additional human -induced mortality (number of female deer). W 2/25/2003 Habitat Conservation Plan for Florida Key Deer (Odocoileus virginianus clavium) and other Protected Species on Big Pine Key and No Name Key, Monroe County, Florida Prepared for: U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service 1339 20th Street Vero Beach, Florida 32960-3559 Prepared by: Florida Department of Transportation, District VI 1000 NW 111'h Avenue, Room #6101 Miami, Florida 33172 Monroe County 2798 Overseas Highway, Suite 410 Marathon, Florida 33050 Florida Department of Community Affairs 2796 Overseas Highway, Suite 212 Marathon, Florida 33050 With assistance from consultants: URS Corporation 700 S. Royal Poinciana Blvd., Suite 1000 Miami Springs, Florida 33166 March 2003 2/25/2003 Habitat Conservation Plan for Florida Key Deer (Odocoileus virginianus clavium) and other Protected Species on Big Pine Key and No Name Key, Monroe County, Florida Prepared for: U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service 1339 20th Street Vero Beach, Florida 32960-3559 Prepared by: Florida Department of Transportation, District VI 1000 NW 111`h Avenue, Room #6101 Miami, Florida 33172 Monroe County 2798 Overseas Highway, Suite 410 Marathon, Florida 33050 Florida Department of Community Affairs 2796 Overseas Highway, Suite 212 Marathon, Florida 33050 With assistance from consultants: URS Corporation 700 S. Royal Poinciana Blvd., Suite 1000 Miami Springs, Florida 33166 March 2003 DRAFT' DOCUMENT — 2/25/2003 Table of Contents 1. INTRODUCTION AND BACKGROUND 6 1.1 ............................................................. Background and Purpose of the Plan............................................................. 6 1.1.1 Historical Background and Memorandum of Agreement ............... 8 1.1.2 Coordinating Committee................................................................. 9 1.1.3 Objectives of the Plan ..................................................................... 9 1.2 Plan Development Process and Methodology ............................................. 10 1.2.1 Technical Studies.......................................................................... 10 1.2.2 Public Information and Involvement ............................................ 10 1.3 HCP Covered Area...................................................................................... 12 1.4 Regulatory Basis of the HCP....................................................................... 12 1.4.1 Endangered Species Act............................................................... 12 1.4.2 Clean Water Act............................................................................ 13 2. BIOLOGICAL CONDITIONS..............................................................................14 2.1 Covered Species........................................................................................... 14 2.1.1 Florida Key Deer (Odocoileus virginianus clavium).................... 14 2.1.2 Lower Keys Marsh Rabbit (Sylvilagus palustris hefneri)............. 15 2.1.3 Eastern Indigo Snake (Drymarchon corals couperi) .................... 19 2.2 Vegetation and Habitat................................................................................ 19 2.2.1 Pinelands....................................................................................... 20 2.2.2 Hammocks.................................................................................... 22 2.2.3 Freshwater Wetlands..................................................................... 23 2.2.4 Saltwater Marsh/Buttonwood Marsh ............................................ 24 2.2.5 Mangroves.....................................................................................24 2.3 Scientific Basis of the HCP: The Key Deer Population Viability Analysis (PVA) Model and Its Application ................................................. 25 2.3.1 Field Studies of the Population Dynamics of the Key Deer ......... 25 2.3.2 Development of the Key Deer Population Viability AnalysisModel............................................................................. 26 2.3.3 PVA Model Analysis and Results ................................................ 29 2.3.4 Application of the PVA Model to the Habitat Conservation Plan 31 3. LAND USE CONDITIONS.................................................................................... 35 3.1 Introduction.................................................................................................. 35 3.2 Land Ownership........................................................................................... 35 3.3 Habitat Management Activities................................................................... 36 3.4 Covered Activities....................................................................................... 38 4. ALTERNATIVE PLANNING STRATEGIES.................................................... 40 4.1 Introduction.................................................................................................. 40 4.2 Planning Strategies Analyzed...................................................................... 41 4.2.1 Planning Strategy #1: No Action Alternative/No Take ................ 41 4.2.2 Planning Strategy #2: Reduced Take ............................................ 41 4.2.3 Planning Strategy #3: Proposed Alternative ................................. 42 4.3 Comparison of Alternatives......................................................................... 42 ii DRAFT DOCUMENT — 2/25/2003 5. CONSERVATION STRATEGY AND PROCEDURES ..................................... 43 5.1 Biological Goals........................................................................................... 43 5.2 Summary of Take and Its Effects on the Covered Species .......................... 44 5.3 Conservation Strategy - Mitigation Measures and Procedures .................... 45 5.3.1 Conservative Assumptions and Level of Take ............................. 45 5.3.2 Avoidance and Minimization........................................................ 46 5.3.3 Habitat Mitigation and Habitat Banking ....................................... 49 5.3.4 Habitat Management..................................................................... 50 5.3.5 Regulatory Actions....................................................................... 50 5.3.6 Other Considerations.................................................................... 51 5.4 Monitoring and Reporting............................................................................ 51 5.4.1 Reporting.......................................................................................53 6. IMPLEMENTATION AND FINANCING........................................................... 55 6.1 Regulatory Actions...................................................................................... 55 6.1.1 Roles and Responsibilities............................................................ 55 6.1.2 Implementation Schedule.............................................................. 55 6.2 Funding........................................................................................................ 56 6.3 Permit Amendment Procedures................................................................... 57 6.4 Permit Renewal............................................................................................ 58 7. REFERENCES........................................................................................................59 7.1 Agencies and Persons Contacted................................................................. 59 7.2 Bibliography................................................................................................ 60 8. LIST OF PREPARERS.......................................................................................... 68 8.1 URS Corporation......................................................................................... 68 8.2 Sub-Consultants........................................................................................... 68 List of Figures Figure 1.1 Project area Figure 2.1 Key deer locations from telemetry data Figure 2.2 Marsh rabbit habitat Figure 2.3 Vegetative cover of Big Pine Key and No Name Key Figure 2.4 Six grid layers used to generate weighting factor grid Figure 2.5 Key deer PVA model grid layers Figure 2.6 Tier classification system in the project area Figure 3.1 Land ownership n the project area Figure 5.1 Relationship between human -induced Key deer mortality and deer density Figure 5.2 Key deer corridor across Sands Subdivision iii DRAFT DOCUMENT — 2/25/2003 List of Tables Table 1.1 HCP public meetings Table 2.1 Covered Species Table 2.2 Habitat type distribution within the project area Table 2.3 Gender and age -classes of radio collared Key deer in Big Pine Key and No Name Key, 1998-1999 Table 2.4 Effect of development on Key deer Table 2.5 H multiplier for land use categories Table 2.6 Tier classification system Table 3.1 Land Ownership in the project area as of mid-2002 Table 5.1 Estimated loss of native vegetation from covered activities Table 5.2 Impacts and mitigation in Big Pine Key and No Name Key, 1995 — present Table 5.3 Projected budget for monitoring Key deer population for 20-year period Table 6.1 Estimated cost of the HCP iv DRAFT DOCUMENT — 2/25/2003 ACRONYMS AND ABBREVIATIONS Act Endangered Species Act ADID Advanced Identification of Wetlands CARL Conservation and Recreation Lands CCP Comprehensive Conservation Plan CFR Code of Federal Regulations Corps U.S. Army Corps of Engineers County Monroe County CWA Clean Water Act DCA Florida Department of Community Affairs ESA Endangered Species Act FDOT Florida Department of Transportation F.S. Florida Statutes FWC Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation Commission GIS Geographic Information System HCP Habitat Conservation Plan IS Improved Subdivision ITP Incidental Take Permit LCP Livable CommuniKeys Program LDR Land Development Regulations LOS Level of Service MCLA Monroe County Land Authority MM Mile Marker on US-1 MOA Memorandum of Agreement NEPA National Environmental Policy Act NGVD National Geodetic Vertical Datum NRCS National Resource Conservation Service PD&E Project Development and Environment Plan Habitat Conservation Plan Preserve Coupon Bight Aquatic Preserve and Preserve Buffer PVA Population Viability Analysis Refuge National Key Deer Refuge ROGO Rate of Growth Ordinance US-1 U.S. Highway 1 USC United States Code USFWS United States Fish and Wildlife Service v DRAFT DOCUMENT — 2/25/2003 1. INTRODUCTION AND BACKGROUND 1.1 Background and Purpose of the Plan The Florida Department of Transportation (FDOT), Monroe County, and the Florida Department of Community Affairs (DCA)(the Applicants) submit this Habitat Conservation Plan (HCP or Plan), which addresses impacts to covered species resulting from potential development activities over a 20-year year period in Big Pine Key and No Name Key, Monroe County, Florida (Figure 1.1). Activities covered under this HCP include residential and commercial development, as well as transportation improvements to meet the community needs of Big Pine Key and No Name Key. The HCP establishes the guidelines under which covered activities may occur and describes a conservation and mitigation strategy to minimize and mitigate for the incidental take of threatened and endangered species during the execution of covered development activities. The Plan has been developed in accordance with the federal Endangered Species Act of 1973, as amended (ESA or Act). A number of species listed at the Federal and/or state level(s), including the endangered Florida Key deer (Odocoileus virginianus clavium), have been documented to occur, or have the potential to occur, within the project area. The Applicants have determined that the incidental take of Key deer may occur as a result of development activities during the next 20 years. Incidental take coverage is also requested for two additional species that may be indirectly affected mainly through habitat loss by urban development activities throughout the 20-year period. This HCP and accompanying Incidental Take Permit (ITP) application support the Applicants' request for the incidental take of Key deer and other covered species within the project area from the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service (the Service or USFWS). In compliance with the ITP issuance criteria listed in Section 10(a)(1)(B) of the Act, the HCP provides for the minimization and mitigation of the incidental take. Ultimately, the incidental take would not significantly affect the likelihood of survival and recovery of the species in the wild. The Applicants understand that the ITP itself does not authorize development activities. Instead, the ITP authorizes the incidental take of covered species that may occur as a result of covered activities during the 20-year permit. 0 DRAFT DOCUMENT -- 2/25/2003 Figure 1.1. Project area 7 DRAFT DOCUMENT — 2/25/2003 1.1.1 Historical Background and Memorandum of Agreement Several listed species, including the Key deer, occur on Big Pine Key and No Name Key. The Key deer are wide-ranging and use a variety of habitats, including developed areas; consequently, they share much of their range with the human population. The Key deer was listed as endangered at the federal level in March 1967 [32 Code of Federal Regulations (CFR) 4001]. Since the establishment of the National Key Deer Refuge (Refuge) in 1957, population levels recovered. In 1951, there were an estimated 25 to 80 individuals; by 1973 the population had recovered to approximately 300 to 400, including 151 to 191 deer on Big Pine Key alone (FDOT 1999). However, mortality from road kills and habitat loss continued to threaten the population and, by 1982, population numbers were down to between 250 and 300 individuals (Klimstra 1985, USFWS 1985a). In the late 1980s, the FDOT began consultation to find a solution to the high road mortality of Key deer along portions of US-1 on Big Pine Key. In September 1993, FDOT convened a stakeholders meeting, after which an Ad Hoc Committee pursued solutions to the highway mortality of the Key deer. FDOT funded a Concept Study to examine viable alternatives for reducing Key deer mortality caused by vehicle collisions. The study focused on consensus -building via public involvement and agency coordination, coupled with scientific analyses, and identified a series of structural and non-structural alternatives (FDOT 1996). The Concept Study recommended that wildlife underpasses be installed to allow the Key deer to move safely across the undeveloped segment of US-1 (approximately MM 33.0 to MM 31.0) and that a series of non- structural options, including signage, be implemented in the developed portion of US-1 in Big Pine Key (approximately MM 31.0 to MM 29.5). Following the recommendations of the Concept Study, FDOT funded a Project Development & Environment (PD&E) Study to further evaluate the alternatives identified in the Concept Study (FDOT 1998). The PD&E Study included extensive public involvement and formal consultation with the USFWS. In January 1999, the Service issued a Biological Opinion for the Key deer (USFWS 1999a). During the course of the PD&E Study, a Technical Task Force developed possible solutions for alleviating traffic congestion on US-1 on Big Pine Key. The Task Force recommended an intersection improvement project in the vicinity of the signalized intersection at US-1 and Key Deer Boulevard. Intersection improvements included adding a northbound through lane on US-1, both east and west of the traffic signal; extending the intersection's existing souhbound left -turn lane on US-1; and improving the traffic signalization timing. The wildlife underpasses and intersection improvement have been constructed. Since 1995, Big Pine Key has been under a building moratorium due to an insufficient level of service (LOS) on US-1. The moratorium was lifted temporarily in 1996. Improvements to US-1 would improve the LOS, thereby alleviating the building moratorium. The Service agreed to allow the intersection improvement project to proceed on the condition that an HCP be prepared. DRAFT DOCUMENT — 2/25/2003 In 1998, the Applicants and two Technical Assistance Agencies, the Service and the Florida Fish and Wildlife Conservation Commission (FWC), signed a Memorandum of Agreement (MOA) to develop an HCP for the Key deer and other protected species in the project area. The purpose of the MOA was to direct an interagency approach to the conservation of federally protected species on Big Pine Key and No Name Key. Specific objectives of the MOA were to define the relationships and cooperative agreements between signatory parties, determine appropriate growth and build out levels for the project area and establish a multi -agency HCP Coordinating Committee. 1.1.2 Coordinating Committee In accordance with the MOA, the Applicants established a multi -agency HCP Coordinating Committee at the outset of the HCP process. The Coordinating Committee included representatives from the Applicants, Technical Assistance Agencies (USFWS and FWC), and two citizen representatives from Big Pine Key and No Name Key. The objectives of the Coordinating Committee were: • Acquire and manage consultants tasked with developing the HCP; • Establish funding obligations among the HCP Co -Applicant Agencies; • Define the desired outcome of the HCP; and • Define Applicant roles. The HCP Coordinating Committee met approximately every other month, beginning in late 1999 and continuing through December 2002. 1.1.3 Objectives of the Plan At the outset of the study, the Applicants worked in consultation with the Service to establish clear and measurable biological goals for the HCP. Initially, a 5% probability of extinction in 100 years for the Key deer was established as the biological threshold to measure the effect of development activities. During the development of the HCP, this threshold was modified (see Section 5). Biological studies performed for this HCP focused on the Key deer, and emphasized a habitat -based approach for other covered species. The Key deer are wide ranging and utilize virtually all available habitat in the project area, including developed areas (Lopez 2001). In contrast, the other species included in the HCP (see Section 2.3) are restricted to one or two habitat types within the project area. For example, the Lower Keys marsh rabbit (Sy/vilagus palustris he fneri) is restricted to wetland habitats. Therefore, the Plan focused on the Key deer as an "umbrella species" and operated under the assumption that avoiding and minimizing impacts to Key deer habitat, would also provide direct protection to both populations and habitats of other terrestrial species. 6 DRAFT DOCUMENT — 2/25/2003 The plan aims at providing for the protection of covered species in the project area, while allowing development activities that satisfy community needs in Big Pine Key and No Name Key. 1.2 Plan Development Process and Methodology The development of the HCP included scientific studies, developing and evaluating alternatives, and implementing a public information and participation program. Concurrently with the HCP, Monroe County carried out a planning effort based on community participation, in order to determine community needs. 1.2.1 Technical Studies Lopez (2001) studied the ecology and population dynamics of the Key deer for three years. He followed the movement, habitat utilization and fate of over 200 deer using radio -telemetry and census procedures. The study produced a Population Viability Analysis (PVA) model to evaluate the impacts of development scenarios on the Key deer population. The model evaluates the likelihood that the species will persist for a given time into the future under different scenarios. Land development alternatives produced by the community were evaluated using the PVA model to quantify the associated impacts to Key deer in the project area. The PVA model was reviewed and critiqued by Dr. Resit Akcakaya (Applied Biomathematics, Inc.), an expert in population models and PVA. Dr. Akcakaya reviewed the model twice, in June 2000 and August 2001. Additionally, two technical workshops were held in Miami, Florida among the Applicants and the USFWS and the FWC to review the Key deer PVA model. For a description of PVA model development see Section 2.2. Concurrently, Monroe County carried out a Livable CommuniKeys Program (LCP) to determine the community's preferred type, location, and amount of development in the project area. A Development Alternatives Report produced in March 2001 (Monroe County Department of Planning and Environmental Resources, 2001) provides a detailed description of the final LCP alternatives, the methods used to develop these alternatives and the planning criteria by which alternatives were evaluated. The LCP for Big Pine Key and No Name Key, as well as this HCP provide the basis of a Master Plan for future development within the project area. 1.2.2 Public Information and Involvement The development of the HCP included extensive public involvement activities. The public information and participation plan included identification of stakeholders, periodic project -update mailings, several public meetings, and an open-door policy for public input. 10 DRAFT DOCUMENT — 2/25/2003 Stakeholders are those individuals and organizations with an economic, cultural, social or environmental interest in the HCP. They included property owners, elected officials and other community leaders, Federal, State and local governments, permitting and reviewing agencies, environmental organizations, members of the media, and interested private citizens. Using the 1999 Monroe County Property Appraiser database as a foundation, a stakeholder database containing the names and addresses of more than 4,400 landowners was developed. Public feedback helped identify over 100 additional stakeholders, who were included in the database. These additional stakeholders represent individuals or groups that did not own land within the project area but were interested in the process and outcome of the HCP, including non-profit and environmental organizations. The list of stakeholders was used to distribute public meeting invitations and project status reports. The stakeholder database was continually updated and maintained, per input received at public meetings from private landowners, citizen letters to the FDOT, and forwarding addresses provided by the U.S. Postal Service. Three public meetings were held in Big Pine Key between February 2000 and March 2001 (Table 1.1). The objectives of the meetings were to inform the public about the scientific basis of the HCP, describe how land development alternatives were evaluated, and obtain input to ensure that all points of view were considered. Meetings were announced through direct mailings to property owners and other stakeholders, radio announcements, and newspapers. Generally, the public meetings included a presentation and a question and answer session. Public comments were recorded in very meeting. Meetings were held in accordance with applicable State and Federal laws, including provisions for the disabled as required by the Americans with Disabilities Act. Table 1.1. HCP public meetings First Public Meeting Second Public Meeting Third Public Meeting Date February 1, 2000 April 17, 2000 March 27, 2001 Time 7:00 pm 7:30 pm Venue Big Pine Key United Big Pine Key United Methodist Church Methodist Church Number of Approximately 400 Approximately 100 Attendees 11 Two sessions: 4:30 pm and 7:30 pm Big Pine Key Neighborhood School Approximately 35 at each session (70 total) DRAFT DOCUMENT — 2/25/2003 Table 1.1. HCP public meetings First Public Meeting Second Public Meeting Third Public Meeting Meeting • Introductory meeting • Present the model, its • Present preliminary Objectives . Present background opportunities and model results for material and the HCP constraints biological analysis of process • Present current status the Key deer and • Present the project of the Key deer Lower Keys marsh schedule and • Discuss land rabbit upcoming activities acquisition programs, • Discuss how the • Provide opportunity land use regulations Livable Communi- to identify public and traffic analyses Keys Program's concerns scenarios will interrelate with the knowledge of the species biology 1.3 HCP Covered Area The Florida Keys, including the project area, comprise a 113-mile long chain of islands extending southwest from the southern tip of the Florida mainland peninsula to the Dry Tortugas. Key Largo (25.1 square miles) and Big Pine Key (10.4 square miles) are the largest islands in this chain and possess the greatest diversity and acreage of habitats. Big Pine Key and No Name Key are situated in the southern third of the Florida Keys, also known as the Lower Keys. Long narrow channels separate the islands and connect the Gulf of Mexico with the Straits of Florida (Figure 1.1). The HCP project area encompasses 7,031 total acres, including 5,840 acres on Big Pine Key and 1,191 acres No Name Key. These two islands support more than two-thirds of the Key deer population. Sixty-six percent of the project area is in conservation, including Federal lands within the Refuge, state-owned lands and lands owned by the Monroe County Land Authority (MCLA). Though these lands currently receive protection, they are included within the Plan's covered area since the effects of development are evaluated on Key deer throughout Big Pine Key and No Name Key. 1.4 Regulatory Basis of the HCP 1.4.1 Endangered Species Act The U.S. Congress enacted the Endangered Species Act in 1973 (Act) to protect plant and animal species that are likely to become extinct. The Service is responsible for implementing the ESA for those species under its jurisdiction, which include all terrestrial and freshwater species and sea turtles that utilize nesting beaches. Under the ESA and its implementing regulations, taking protected species, even incidentally, is prohibited with exceptions identified in 50 CFR 223.206. As defined in Section 9 of the ESA, the term "take" means to harass, harm, pursue, hunt, shoot, wound, kill, trap, capture, or collect or attempt to engage in any such conduct, where harm is an act which actually kills or injures wildlife. Such acts include significant habitat modification or 12 DRAFT DOCUMENT — 2/25/2003 degradation that may result in impairing essential behavioral patterns, such as breeding, feeding or sheltering (50 CFR Part 222). Incidental take is the accidental capture of listed fish or wildlife species or take of critical habitat, that is not intentional, but occurs as a result of an otherwise lawful project activity conducted by a Federal agency or applicant (50 CFR Part 402.02). An action which results in the incidental take of listed species or protected habitat, but will not jeopardize the continued existence of species and systems, is required to have an incidental take statement and permit to comply with Sections 7(b)(4) and 10(a)(1)(B) of the Act. Section 10 of the Act describes circumstances under which the incidental take of federally listed species may be authorized for non -Federal activities. Section 10(a)(1)(B) of the Act establishes the ITP process by which the Secretary of the Interior authorizes the incidental take of a threatened or endangered species. Section 10(a)(2)(A) of the Act requires ITP applicants to submit a "conservation plan" which specifies the impact to the species likely to result from the proposed action and the measures that would be taken to minimize and mitigate such impacts. 1.4.2 Clean Water Act Lands containing jurisdictional wetlands are present in the project area (Figure 2.2). Dredge and fill activities in jurisdictional areas, including wetlands, are regulated by the Section 404 Clean Water Act (CWA) program, which is jointly administered by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency and the U.S. Army Corps of Engineers (Corps). The Key deer HCP does not support any Section 404 permit under the CWA nor does it exempt landowners from obtaining CWA compliance from the Corps for activities that may impact jurisdictional areas. If a federally listed covered species is to be adversely affected by proposed development activities in a jurisdictional wetland, the Corps must consult with the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service and/or National Marine Fisheries Service in accordance with Section 7 of the Act. Effects to federally listed covered species resulting from impacts to jurisdictional wetlands within the project area will be addressed through the Section 7 consultation at the time such development is proposed. 13 DRAFT DOCUMENT — 2/25/2003 2. BIOLOGICAL CONDITIONS 2.1 Covered Species The HCP provides for a conservation strategy for three federally listed species (Table 2.1). Based on the best available scientific information on each of the covered species, future development on Big Pine Key has the greatest probability of impacting the Key deer. The Florida Key deer has been used as umbrella species in the analysis conducted for this Plan. A brief description of the covered species follows. Table 2.1. Covered species. Common Name Scientific Name Federal Status Key deer Odocoileus virginianus clavium E Lower Keys marsh rabbit Sylvilagus palustris hefneri E Eastern indigo snake Drymarchon corals couperi T E=Endangered, T=Threatened 2.1.1 Florida Key Deer Wdocoileus virginianus clavium Description The Florida Key deer is the smallest race of North American white-tailed deer. Key deer are morphologically distinct from other races of white-tailed deer and exhibit a stocky body, with shorter legs and a wider skull. Mature adults measure between 25 to 30 inches at the shoulder with average weights of 55 to 75 pounds for males, and 45 to 65 pounds for females. The Key deer's primary food source is the red and black mangrove, but they also feed on approximately 160 other plants to meet nutritional requirements (Klimstra and Dooley 1990). Compared to northern white-tailed deer, Key deer are more solitary (Harding 1974). Home ranges average about 299 acres (greater during the breeding season) for male deer and 138 acres for females. The breeding season begins in September, peaks in October, and declines through December and January, while the peak of fawning coincides with the onset of the rainy season in April and May (Harding 1974, Silvy 1975). Factors resulting in the low reproductive performance of Key deer include low fecundity and reproductive activity as well as high fetal sex ratios and mean age of initial reproduction (Folk and Klimstra 1991 b). Distribution The Key deer are wide ranging and utilize virtually all available habitat in the project area, including developed areas (Figure 2.1, Lopez 2001). The principal factor influencing the distribution and movement of Key deer is the location and availability of fresh water. Deer swim easily between keys and use all islands during the wet season 14 DRAFT' DOCUMENT — 2/25/2003 when drinking water is available, but congregate on large islands during the dry season (Folk and Klimstra 1991a, Silvy 1975). Permanent deer populations are found on islands with extensive pine and hardwood habitats in addition to a year-round supply of fresh water (Klimstra and Harding 1978). Hammocks provide important cover for fawning and bedding, whereas open developed areas are used for feeding and resting. Key deer have been documented as permanent residents throughout Big Pine, Big Torch, Cudjoe, Howe, Little Pine, Little Torch, Middle Torch, No Name, Sugarloaf, and Summerland Keys. Big Pine Key (5,840 acres) and No Name Key (1,191 acres) support more than two-thirds of the entire population, and both islands have permanent fresh water and extensive pineland habitat. Other keys receive transient use as a result of the lack of a permanent supply of fresh water: Annette, Big Munson, Little Munson, Johnson, Knockemdown, Mayo, Porpoise, Ramrod, Toptree Hammock, Wahoo, Water Key (east) and Water Keys (west). Habitat Development has led to the presence of patchy habitats where not all deer requirements are met in a single area, thereby increasing the movements of Key deer (Silvy 1975). Human -related mortality, primarily road kills, is the greatest known source of deer loss and accounts for about 50 percent of identified deaths, or an average of 44 animals per year (Lopez 2001). The current Key deer population on Big Pine Key and No Name Key is estimated at 453-517 animals (Lopez 2001), compared to 151 to 191 animals in the 1970s (Silvy 1975) and 25 to 80 animals in 1955 (Dickson 1955). The greatest impact on Key deer is the loss of habitat to development. Other factors include road kills, mortality of young from falling into drainage ditches, and predation by free -roaming dogs (Folk 1991, Lopez 2001). 2.1.2 Lower Keys Marsh Rabbit (Sylvilagus palustris hefneri) The Lower Keys marsh rabbit is listed as endangered by both the Service and the FWC Description The Lower Keys marsh rabbit is a subspecies of the marsh rabbit (Sylvilagus palustris) and is discernible from the adjacent Upper Keys subspecies (Sylvilagus palustris paludicola) by its skull proportions, sculpturing, and darker coloration (Lazell 1984). The Lower Keys marsh rabbit has a shorter molariform tooth row, higher and more convex frontonasal profile, broader cranium, and elongated dentary symphysis. The body is 12 to 15 inches in length with short dark brown dorsal fur and gray -white ventral fur. The tail is dark brown and inconspicuous. Hind feet range from two and one-half to three inches while the ears range from 1.7 to 2.4 inches (Forys 1996). 15 DRAFT DOCUMENT — 2/25/2003 rigure z.1. Key deer locations trom telemetry data (Lopez 2001) 16 DRAFT DOCUMENT -- 2/25/2003 The Lower Keys rabbit is most active at night, in early morning or late afternoon, or during overcast weather. It feeds on a variety of plants, including leaves, shoots, buds, and flowers of grasses, herbaceous, and woody plants. Breeding behavior includes chasing of inferior males and receptive females by dominant males. In late summer, adult rabbits may chase young from the nest area. Distribution The Lower Keys marsh rabbit is presently known from many of the larger Lower Keys including Sugarloaf, Saddlebunch, Boca Chica, and Big Pine Keys and the small islands near these keys (Forys et al. 1996). Historically, the species may also have existed on Cudjoe, Ramrod, Middle Torch, Big Torch, and Key West Keys, but has been extirpated from these areas (Lazell 1984). The Lower Keys marsh rabbit probably occurred on all of the Lower Keys that supported suitable habitat but did not occur east of the Seven -mile Bridge where it is replaced by S. p. paludicola. Known localities for the rabbit are on privately owned land, state-owned land, and federal land within the National Key Deer Refuge and Key West Naval Air Station. In 1995, a comprehensive survey for Lower Keys marsh rabbits located 81 areas comprising 783 acres that provided suitable habitat, with 50 of these areas occupied (Forys et al. 1996). Suitable habitat for this species is highly fragmented across all of the Lower Keys. Natural marsh habitats are limited in the Florida Keys, and have decreased in total area due to development for residential, commercial, or military -related purposes. Since the rabbit occurs in small, relatively disjunct populations, has a low population density, and is subject to predation by domestic predators, the species is in danger of extinction. Predation by domestic cats is the principal cause of mortality. Some road mortality occurs as rabbits attempt to move among increasingly isolated Lower Keys marshes. In the past, the Lower Keys rabbit was often hunted by man; this is not known to be a current threat. Connectivity among suitable habitat patches is necessary for marsh rabbit dispersal among patches, and isolation from domestic predators is perhaps the main factor to help this species survive (Forys and Humphrey 1994). Habitat Lower Keys marsh rabbit habitat occurs in saltmarshes and buttonwood areas throughout Big Pine Key (Figure 2.2). The species primarily occurs in grassy marshes and prairies of the Lower Keys in the middle of the salinity gradient but also includes less saline areas and the beach berm habitat. The Lower Keys marsh rabbit builds mazes of runs, dens, and nests in coastal (saline to brackish) or freshwater, inland marsh habitats. Two plant 17 �;o Name Key 71 1 0- DRAFT DOCUMENT — 2/25/2003 species, fringerush (Fimbristylis sp.) and bottonwood (Conocarpus erecta), are always present in the rabbit's habitat. In freshwater marshes, cattails (Typha latifolia), sawgrass (Cladium jamaicense), and sedges (Cyperus sp.) are common associates. Sometimes, spikerush (Eleocharis sp.) is also found. In coastal marshes, common associates include cordgrass (Spartina sp.), saltwort (Batis maritima), glasswort (Salicornia virginica), sawgrass (Cladium jamaicense), and sea ox-eye daisy (Borrichia frutescens). The rabbit's runs, dens and nests are made in cordgrass or sedges. Nests are lined with belly hair. 2.1.3 Eastern Indigo Snake (Drymarchon corals couperi) On January 31, 1978, the eastern indigo snake was designated as threatened throughout its entire range. Description The eastern indigo snake is a large, non-poisonous snake that grows to a maximum length of eight feet. The color in both young and adults is shiny bluish -black, including the belly, with some red or cream coloring about the chin and sides of the head. The indigo subdues its prey (including venomous snakes) through the use of its powerful jaws, swallowing the prey usually still alive. Food items include snakes, frogs, salamanders, toads, small mammals, birds, and young turtles. Distribution Currently, the species is known to occur throughout Florida, except in the Marquesas and Dry Tortugas. The indigo snake is wide ranging and may cover between 125 to 250 acres. Habitat The indigo snake seems to be strongly associated with high, dry, well -drained sandy soils, closely paralleling the sandhill habitat preferred by the gopher tortoise. It is also known to occur in mangrove swamps, wet prairie, xeric pinelands and scrub (Cox and Kautz 2000). During warmer months, indigo snakes also frequent streams and swamps, and individuals are occasionally found in flat woods. Gopher tortoise burrows and other subterranean cavities are commonly used as dens and for egg laying. 2.2 Vegetation and Habitat Mangroves and buttonwood saltwater wetlands are the most abundant habitat types in the project area, and account for 40 percent and 48 percent of Big Pine Key and No Name Key, respectively (Figure 2.3, Table 2.2). Uplands, including pinelands and hammocks, are the second most abundant habitat type and cover 29 percent of Big Pine Key and 48 percent of No Name Key. Developed areas are the least abundant habitat type and cover 19 DRAFT DOCUMENT — 2/25/2003 19 percent of Big Pine Key and five percent of No Name Key. Freshwater wetlands are found in the central and northern portions of Big Pine Key. Table 2.2. Habitat type distribution within the project area Percent Area Habitat type ADID categories Big Pine Key No Name Key Pinelands Pinelands 22 12 Hammocks Hammocks, ridge/hammock 7 36 Freshwater Freshwater marsh, freshwater Wetland hardwoods, freshwater pine 12 - Buttonwoods Buttonwoods, grasslands, saltmarsh 15 12 Mangrove Mangrove, scrub mangrove 25 36 Developed Developed, exotics 19 4 100 100 ADID: Advance Identification of Wetlands (FMRI 1995). The Florida Keys Advance Identification of Wetlands (ADID) Project (McNeese and Taylor 1998) was the source map to develop a vegetation map of the project area. All land with the project area was field -verified and ADID habitat types were merged into six categories: pineland, hammock, freshwater wetland, buttonwood, mangrove and developed (Silvy 1975, Lopez 2001; Table 2.2). Water and Dune habitat categories were deleted from the vegetation map because the Key deer rarely uses those types of habitat. 2.2.1 Pinelands Pinelands are upland forest communities with an open canopy dominated by the native slash pine (Pinus elliottii var. densa). Keys pinelands are fire -adapted and dependent on periodic fires for their long-term persistence. Surrounded by wet prairie habitats and/or mangroves, pinelands typically occur on locally elevated areas of bedrock, which may flood seasonally or during extreme storm events. Xeric conditions in this habitat are partly caused by locally low rainfall and the exposed rock ground cover. The extent of subcanopy development in a pineland is dependent upon the frequency of surface fires. Pinelands on Big Pine Key typically have a well -developed subcanopy consisting of palms (silver thatch palm, Coccothrinax argentata; Key thatch palm, Thrinax morissh; Thatch palm, T. radiata; saw palmetto, Serenoa repens) (Bergh and Wisby 1996). Other species found in the pineland understory include strongbark (Bourreria cassinifolia), locust berry (Byrsonima lucida), silver thatch palm, pineland croton (Croton linearis), rough velvetseed (Guettarda scabra), wild sage (Lantana involucrata), and long -stalked stopper (Psidium longipes). Shrub vegetation in Lower Keys pinelands varies in composition and density. For example, Big Pine Key pinelands have a low and sparse ground covering of grasses and bare limestone, whereas on Cudjoe, Little Pine, and No Name Keys a continuous hardwood understory of six meters height or more is present due to prolonged absence of fire. 20 w� a N W C R R 0 0 m �� -� 5' n m 0 c z 0 z d 3 T. a 0 0 c 3 r� z y DRAFT DOCUMENT — 2/25/2003 More tropical plant species also occur in the Lower Keys pineland shrub stratum including Caesalpinia (Caesalpinia pauciora), dune lily -thorn (Catesbaea parviora), pisonia (Pisonia rotundata), and pride -of -Big -Pine (Strumpfia maritime). Plant species from adjacent habitats may invade at the pineland margins. For example, gumbo limbo (Bursera simaruba), inkwood (Exothea paniculata) and wild tamarind (Lysiloma latisiliquum) occur in pinelands sited adjacent to a hammock. Only four plant species endemic to South Florida pinelands (partridge pea, Chamescista lineata; small -leaved melanthera, Melanthera parvifolia, rockland spurge, Chamaesyce deltoidea var. serpyllum; sand flax, Linum arenicola) occur on Big Pine Key (Ross and Ruiz 1996), likely as a result of water table depth, salinity, and other physical variables. Pinelands in the Lower Keys have declined markedly in recent history, primarily as a result of development. Coverage in Big Pine Key has decreased by 50% since 1940 (Ross 1989). At present, somewhat extensive pinelands occur on Big Pine, Little Pine, No Name, Cudjoe, and Sugarloaf Keys. Distribution of pineland vegetation in the Keys appears to coincide with the presence of freshwater lenses (McNeese 1998). Other limiting factors on the establishment, growth, and persistence of pinelands appear to be lack of fire (Alexander and Dickson 1970, Snyder et al. 1990, Carlson et al. 1993) and salt -water intrusion into freshwater lenses (Ross et al.1994). Without prescribed burning, the 2,268 acres of pinelands remaining in the Lower Keys could succeed into hardwood hammock in the next 50 years. Pinelands occur throughout the project area. Key deer preferentially utilize this habitat for the permanent freshwater sources that are critical to survival of the species. Key deer also feed on herbaceous species and the fruits of woody species found in pinelands (Monroe County 1987). The fire regime of pinelands creates an environment of easily accessible food resources for the Key deer (Monroe County 1987). 2.2.2 Hammocks Along with pinelands, tropical hardwood hammocks represent the climax upland community type in the Florida Keys and are second to pinelands in terms of biodiversity (Ross et al. 1992). Tropical hardwood hammocks in the Florida Keys are closed, broad- leaved forests that occupy elevated, well -drained and relatively fire -free areas. Hammocks in the Lower Keys are more widespread than pinelands, except for Big Pine Key where the area of pineland is greater than that of hammock. Approximately 560 acres of hammock occur on Big Pine Key and 385 acres on No Name Key (Figure 2.3). The greatest limiting factor on hardwood hammocks in the Florida Keys has been human influence, in particular from development. Canopy trees of the Lower Keys hammocks tend to be smaller than those in hammocks occurring in other parts of Florida, and are often referred to as "low hammock" or "Keys hammock thicket". Trees commonly found in low hammock generally have a smaller trunk diameter and grow closer together. Species include poisonwood (Metopium toxiferum), buttonwood (Conocarus erectus), blolly (Guapira discolor), Key thatch palm, 22 DRAFT DOCUMENT — 2/25/2003 Spanish stopper (Eugenia foetida), wild dilly (Manilkara bahamensis), Jamaica dogwood (Piscidia piscipula), and white stopper (Eugenia axillaris). Other species present on the windward side of low hammocks, referred to as transitional hammock or thorn scrub, include black torch (Erithalis fruticosa), saffron plum (Bumelia celastrina), sea grape (Coccoloba uvifera), blackbead (Pithecellobium guadalupense), indigo berry (Randia aculeata), tallowwood (Ximenia americana), darling plum (Reynosia septentrionalis), joewood (Jacquinia keyensis), barbed-wire cactus (Cereus pentagonus), and prickly pear cactus (Opuntia stricta). Herbaceous plants are largely absent from Keys hammocks. Grasses include low panicum (Panicum spp.) and sour paspalum (Paspalum conjugatum) (MRCS 1989). In addition, hammocks support a diverse flora of orchids, ferns, bromeliads, and other epiphytes (Snyder et al. 1990, USEPA Undated 12), and are home to the federally endangered Key tree cactus (Cereus robinii). Tropical hammocks provide shelter for many animals during periods of high water and also nesting, feeding and roosting sites for many local and migratory birds (MRCS 1989). Key deer primarily utilize this habitat for cover, cool shelter, fawning and bedding (Silvy 1975). Other endangered and threatened species found in these areas include the Lower Keys marsh rabbit and Eastern indigo snake (MRCS 1989). Additionally, tropical hardwood hammocks provide essential habitat for the white -crowned pigeon (Columba leucocephala), Schaus' swallowtail butterfly (Papilio aristodemus ponceanus), and tree snails (Liguus spp.). 2.2.3 Freshwater Wetlands Throughout the Keys, freshwater wetlands are restricted to areas landward of the seasonal high tide line and in the Lower Keys are found in areas underlain by freshwater lenses (McNeese 1998). The persistence of freshwater ecosystems is limited primarily by freshwater availability, tidal influence, and human activities, including direct and indirect effects of development such as draw -down and contamination (McNeese 1998, Folk et al. 1991, Kushlan 1990, McKenzie 1990, Lapointe 1989). During the dry season, freshwater lenses of Big Pine Key can diminish by as much as 50 percent (Stewart et al. 1989). Freshwater wetlands are located in the northern and central portions of Big Pine Key but are present in one parcel on No Name Key and represent 689.4 and 3.4 acres, respectively. This habitat type is dominated by sawgrass (Cladium jamaicense) and spikerush (Eleocharis spp.). Forested freshwater systems in the Keys are generally pinelands with a sawgrass understory (McNeese 1998). Freshwater wetlands are typically found in isolated, seasonally flooded depressions with elevations of +3.0 feet National Geodetic Vertical Datum (NGVD) or less (Kruer 1995) and may be found in conjunction with pinelands. Freshwater wetlands provide critical habitat for several listed species, in particular the Key deer and Lower Keys marsh rabbit (Sylvilagus palustris hefneri). These habitats and surface waters represent the only dry season source of freshwater for 23 DRAFT DOCUMENT — 2/25/2003 wildlife (McNeese 1998, NRCS 1989) and play an important role in attenuating nutrients and other contaminants in surface water runoff. 2.2.4 Saltwater Marsh/Buttonwood Marsh Throughout the Florida Keys, salt marshes and buttonwood associations occur in coastal locations similar to mangrove wetlands (Montague and Wiegert 1990). Salt marshes are non -woody, salt -tolerant communities occupying supratidal zones that are occasionally inundated with salt water. Two types of salt marsh are found in the Florida Keys, low marsh and high marsh. Low marsh species include salt -tolerant herbs such as glasswort (Salicornia spp.) and Keygrass (Monanthochloe littoralis), while high marsh is dominated by Gulf cordgrass (Spartina spartinae), fringe rushes (Fimbrystylis spp.), and sea -oxeye daisy (Borrichia frutescens) (McNeese 1998). Buttonwood associations border high marsh communities and have similar ecological characteristics (McNeese 1998). Plant species that inhabit this community prefer low - energy waves with little tidal disturbance. Buttonwood forests are dominated by the silver buttonwood (Conocarpus erectus). Other species include salt tolerant herbaceous perennials and woody shrubs such as fringe -rushes, Keygrass, Gulf cordgrass, and seashore dropseed (Sporobolus virginianus). There are approximately 685 acres of buttonwood marsh on Big Pine Key and 170 acres on No Name Key (Figure 2.3). Salt marsh/buttonwood marsh communities provide important habitat for terrestrial species including the federally endangered Lower Keys marsh rabbit, silver rice rat (Oryzomys argentatus), and diamondback terrapin (Malaclemys terrapin). Buttonwood areas provide herbaceous foods and loafing areas for Key deer. Common residents include polychaetes, gastropod mollusks, bivalve mollusks and crustaceans. Birds tend to use the marsh for feeding rather than for nesting however few species of birds, fish, reptiles, or mammals can be considered residents of salt marshes, and larger longer -lived organisms are not tolerant of the environmental fluctuations (Montague and Wiegert 1990). 2.2.5 Manrg oves Mangrove communities consist of facultative halophytes, which are tolerant of anaerobic saline soils and tidal inundation. Three species are found in Florida: the red mangrove (Rhizophora mangle), black mangrove (Avicennia germinans), and white mangrove (Laguncularia racemosa). In general, the zonation of mangrove communities is regulated by elevation. Red mangroves occur in the middle and lower intertidal zone and upper subtidal zone. Black mangroves dominate the upper intertidal zone and are generally found between the red and white species. White mangroves occur on the landward edge of mangrove forests, throughout the intertidal and in the upper portions of the swamp. Ground cover within a mangrove forest consists of leaf litter and decomposing forest debris. 24 DRAFT DOCUMENT — 2/25/2003 Throughout the Florida Keys, mangrove forests form the predominant coastal vegetation community. Mangroves are found along the edges of shorelines, bays and lagoons and on overwash areas throughout the Keys. Major limiting factors on mangrove establishment, growth and persistence in the Florida Keys appear to be water quality, substrate, and development (Lewis 1980, Snedaker and Lugo 1973, Strong and Bancroft 1994, Odum et al. 1982). Mangrove habitat occurs on approximately 1,495 acres of Big Pine Key and 374 acres of No Name Key (Figure 2.3). Mangrove communities in the Florida Keys provide essential habitat for numerous ecologically and economically important species (FWC Undated 7). The leaves and fruits of red and black mangroves are a primary food source for the Key deer, which spend considerable time foraging in tidal wetlands (Monroe County 1987, Silvy 1975). In South Florida, mangroves are important habitat for at least 220 fish species, 24 reptile and amphibian species, 18 mammal species, and 181 bird species (Odum et al. 1982), and provide nesting habitat for a number of threatened and endangered species, including the white -crowned pigeon (Columba leucocephala). Additionally dissolved organic matter from mangroves serves as an alternate food source, the basis for heterotrophic microorganism food webs, and a source of chemical cues for estuarine species (Snedaker 1989). 2.3 Scientific Basis of the HCP: The Key Deer Population Viability Analysis (PVA) Model and Its Application 2.3.1 Field Studies of the Population Dynamics of the Key Deer Prior to 1998, Silvy (1975) had conducted the most recent, comprehensive population study of Key deer population dynamics in the early 1970s. Between 1998 and 2001, Lopez (2001) studied the Key deer population on Big Pine Key and No Name Key. To determine the fate of individual Key deer through time, Lopez placed radio transmitters on over 200 deer (Table 2.3) and monitored the status of individual deer for up to three years. Information on individual deer provided and assessment of the year-to-year probability of mortality and fecundity. Radio telemetry data also provided a clear picture of habitat utilization, deer movement, and deer distribution in the study area. Table 2.3. Gender and age -classed of radio collared Key deer in Big Pine Key and No Name Key, 1998-1999 (after Lopez, 2001) Adults Yearlings Fawns Total Male 52 35 9 96 Female 82 32 12 126 Total 134 67 21 222 Fawns: <1 year old; Yearlings: 1-2 years old; Adults: >2 years old. From March 1998 to December 1999, Lopez (2001) also performed weekly censuses along 10 miles of roads and bi-monthly censuses along 44 miles of roads in Big Pine Key and No Name Key. The censuses provided information on deer number and density. 25 DRAFT DOCUMENT — 2/25/2003 2.3.2 Development of the Key Deer Population Viability Analysis Model Numerous models have been developed for estimating the risk of extinction for small populations (Akcakaya 2000). A Population Viability Analysis (PVA) model is a collection of methods for evaluating the threats faced by populations or species, their risks of extinction or decline, and their chances for recovery (Akcakaya and Sjogren- Gulve 2000). Species viability is often expressed as the risk or probability of extinction, population decline, expected time to extinction, or expected chance of recovery (Akcakaya and Sjogren-Gulve 2000). PVA models attempt to predict such measures based on demographic and habitat data. PVA modeling involves the use of computer simulations to assess extinction threats and is becoming one of the primary tools for the classification of threatened and endangered species by wildlife management agencies nationwide. A PVA model was developed to evaluate development impacts on the Florida Key deer population. Key deer movements, habitat utilization, ecology and demographic data were used to construct the model (Lopez 2001). The PVA model included two main components: a) a matrix model of population dynamics and b) a spatial habitat model of carrying capacity and secondary impacts. Matrix Model Quantitative information on mortality and fecundity for deer of different stages (e.g., fawn, yearling, adult) was used to create a matrix model, which allows for simulating the fate of the population under different scenarios (Lopez 2001). In a matrix model, changes in mortality or fecundity result in changes in the way the population size changes through time. A stage -based matrix model of population dynamics represents the dynamics of the population as a function of annual estimates of fecundity (average number of fawns produced by females) and survival (probability of surviving from one year to the next). The Key deer model is applied only to females and takes the form: Fy F. $j , Sy Su Where Sf, Sy, and Sa are fawn, yearling, and adult survival, respectively, and F,, and FQ are yearling and adult fecundity estimates, respectively. The matrix model allows for the analysis of stochasticity (i.e., the haphazard, year-to-year variation in fecundity and survival associated with changes in the environment). Stochastic events are particularly significant for small populations and, therefore, the model includes estimates of the variability of the population parameters. For example, annual female survival and variance estimates for each stage class were determined using 26 DRAFT DOCUMENT — 2/25/2003 a known -fate model framework in the computer program MARK (White and Burnham 1999, Lopez 2001). The model also allows for evaluating the effects of stochastic events, such as hurricanes. A detailed discussion of the methodology to estimate model parameters is found in Lopez (2001, 2003) and Lopez et al. (2003). Spatial Model While the matrix model represents the overall dynamics of the Key deer population in the study area, the spatial model represents the location -specific contribution to the matrix model parameters. For example, localized changes in habitat quality and distribution, or in the number and location of paved roads may affect both fecundity and survival. The spatial model also sought to address the anticipated impacts of development. Urban development causes two main types of impacts on the Key deer: 1. A change in carrying capacity. Urban development displaces and modifies Key deer habitat, therefore affecting the capacity of the remaining habitat to sustain Key deer. 2. An increase in human -induced Key deer mortality. A change in the amount of development and resulting changes in the human population may in turn result in changes in the mortality of Key deer caused by motor vehicle collisions, entanglement in fences, and other human -related effects. Therefore, in order to address impacts to carrying capacity and mortality, the spatial model includes a carrying capacity and a "harvest" (i.e., human -induced mortality) grid. The grids represent the entire study area as an array of l Ox 10 meter cells; each cell's value represents its contribution to the total carrying capacity or harvest of the study area. A weighting factor grid supported the development of the carrying capacity and harvest grids. The objective of the weighting grid was to address location -specific conditions that affect carrying capacity and harvest. For example, two grid cells of the same vegetation type may contribute differently to the carrying capacity of the Key deer depending on their proximity to canals: a pineland cell located in the middle of a large pineland area would provide better habitat to the Key deer that an isolated pineland cell surrounded by canals. Similarly, development of a pineland cell near US-1 would create a lesser vehicle collision impact (due to shorter travel distance to US-1) than development of a pineland cell located far from US-1 (because of the longer travel distance to US-1). Six parameters entered into the weighting factor grid (Figure 2.4): • House density. Development in areas with areas with higher house density would have a lesser impact on the deer than development in areas of lower house density. • Deer corridors. Development in Key deer corridors would have a lesser impact than development in areas outside Key deer corridors. 27 DRAFT DOCUMENT — 2/25/2003 • Patch quality: Development in larger, uninterrupted habitat areas would have a lesser impact on the Key deer than development in smaller, fragmented habitat areas. • Deer density: Development in areas of low Key deer density would have a lesser impact than development in areas of high density. • Distance from US-1. Development near US-1 would have a lesser impact on the Key deer than development farther from US-1. • Water barriers. Development in areas without canals would have a lesser impact than development in areas with canals. Deer Corridors Water Barriers Deer Density Distance from US 1 House Density LA Patch Quality Figure 2.4. Six grid layers used to generate weighting factor grid (darker shades = higher deer value) 28 DRAFT DOCUMENT — 2/25/2003 Because more than one factor may affect the value of a given cell, the final cell value in the weighting factor grid was the average of the six parameters, where 0 represented the lowest value to the Key deer and 2 represented the highest value to the Key deer. The final carrying capacity grid (Figure 2.5) represents the contribution of each 1 Ox 10 meter cell to the total carrying capacity of the study area after applying the weighting factor. Similarly, the final harvest grid represents the proportional contribution of each 1 Ox 10 meter cell to the total harvest in the study area. Harvest Grid Carrying -Capacity Grid Figure 2.5. Key deer PVA model grid layers. For any given scenario, the location and intensity of development affect both the carrying capacity and the mortality of the Key deer (darker shades = higher deer value). 2.3.3 PVA Model Analysis and Results The final PVA model includes the matrix model of population dynamics and the spatial model, which allows for addressing development impacts. The program RAMAS Metapop (Applied Biomathematics, Inc.) was used to run the model. The model provides estimates of population size, probability of extinction, and other risk estimates. In a model "run", the initial population number by stage class, is multiplied by the matrix; the result represents the number of Key deer in each stage class one year later. This new number is multiplied by the matrix again, to generate the population number for year 2. The model run simulates 100 years. The process is repeated 10,000 times. Each time, the computer randomly varies matrix parameters and hurricane probabilities, within 29 DRAFT DOCUMENT - 2/25/2003 documented ranges (Lopez 2001) to account for stochastic events. The final model run result represents the average of the 10,000 iterations. To estimate the effects of increasing levels of development on the Key deer population, 10 scenarios were evaluated with the Key deer PVA model (Table 2.4). For any given scenario, the model chose the least valuable vacant parcels for development (parcels with the lowest K, H). As parcels are selected, the spatial model calculated the change in carrying capacity (K) and harvest (H). New K and H values, which represent the direct effects of development, are then input into the matrix model. Therefore, the model run simulates the effect of development on the Key deer population through time. Table 2.4. Effect of development on the Key deer. Scenario Number of Habitat Total Risk Risk Additional Residential Loss3 Harvese (probability) (probability) average Parcels (decrease (increase of Extinction of falling annual Developed2 in K) in H) in 100 years below 50 mortalitys females at least once in 50 years 3 No Action 0 0 0.00 0.0005 0.0230 0 S 1 0 0 (-0.80) 0.0005 0.0230 0 S2 200 4 (-0.38) 0.0005 0.0230 0 S3 300 6 (-0.07) 0.0005 0.0230 0 S4 400 8 0.27 0.0005 0.0276 0.28 S5 500 10 0.67 0.0005 0.0291 1.21 S6 600 12 1.20 0.0011 0.0459 2.32 S7 700 14 1.79 0.0021 0.0653 3.23 S8 800 24 2.10 0.0023 0.0774 3.50 S9 900 27 2.47 0.0037 0.0956 3.82 S 10 1000 30 2.91 0.0068 0.1198 4.13 S 1 includes US-1 projects: wildlife underpasses, intersection improvement, and three -lanes. The combined effect of these projects is a surplus of three Key deer per year. All other scenarios include these projects. 2 The model selected parcels with lowest total habitat value to the Key deer. 3 From the carrying capacity grid in the spatial model. It is an input to the matrix model. From the harvest grid in the spatial model. It is an input to the matrix model. H in scenarios S1, S2 and S3 is a surplus caused by the overall effect of US-1 projects (i.e., surplus of three deer per year, per USFWS 1999). Net harvest was kept at 0 for these scenarios; therefore the no net change in model results (risk and additional mortality). 5 Results from matrix model run. Refers to females only. The model runs provide an estimate of the risk of extinction in 100 years and the risk of the population falling below 50 individuals (females) at least once in 50 years (Table 2.2). Both are expressed as probabilities. The model also estimates the average additional human -induced mortality (number of female deer). 30 DRAFT' DOCUMENT — 2/25/2003 Results suggest that the probability of extinction of the Key deer in 100 years is less than one percent, even in the presence of levels of development unlikely to occur in the project area (Table 2.4). Model results also indicate the probability that the Key deer population will fall below 50 females at least once in 50 years is 2.3 percent even with no further development. The model suggests that annual human -induced mortality is likely to increase with the intensity of development. The matrix model is more sensitive to changes in H than to changes in K. In turn, changes in H are highly correlated with predicted impacts measured as either the risk of falling under 50 individuals in 50 years or additional annual human -induced mortality. The equations that relate H with these impact assessment variables are: Percent Risk(so) _ 2.2eo'SBH, and Additional Annual Human -Induced Mortality (males plus females) _-0.65HZ + 4.85H - 0.34 In both cases, the equations explain 99% of the variance; therefore, H is an excellent predictor of development impacts to the Key deer. 2.3.4 Application of the PVA Model to the Habitat Conservation Plan First, the spatial component of the PVA model provides a reliable predictor of development impacts on the Key deer: Harvest (H), which is highly correlated with estimates of impacts. Throughout this HCP, H is used as the measure of impact and incidental take on the Key deer. The spatial model provides the H value of any given parcel. H for a parcel is the sum of the H value for each IOx10-m grid cell inside the parcel. A cell is counted within a parcel if >50% of its area is inside the parcel. To estimate the H value of a development activity, the H value from the H grid is multiplied by a factor that accounts for the traffic generated by specific land uses (Table 2.5). The multiplier is based on traffic generation because vehicle collisions with Key deer is, bar for, the most important human -related cause of mortality for the Key deer. Therefore, the H impact areas can be readily measured for any parcel and any type of development activity. 31 DRAFT DOCUMENT — 2/25/2003 Table 2.5. H multiplier for land use development cateizories' Average Daily Trip Land Use Generation H Multiplier Single family residential 9.5 1 Fences only __ 0 23 Auxiliary uses __ 0.23 Retail 70.0 7.4 (per 1,000 sq. ft.) Hotel/Motel 7.9 0.8 (per room) Office 5.9 0.6 (per 1,000 sq. ft.) Institutional 13.0 1.4 (per 1,000 sq. ft.) Industrial 5.0 0.5 (per 1,000 sq. ft.) Recreational 67.0 7.0 ' The multiplier is based on traffic generation because vehicle collisions with Key deer is the most important human -related cause of mortality for the Key deer. 2 Average daily trips generation was estimated from the Institute of Traffic Engineers Manual; daily trip generation by land use has not been verified for the Florida Keys. 3 Fences and auxiliary uses, as defined in the Monroe County Land Development Regulations, are assumed to cause no additional traffic impacts; they were assumed to cause habitat loss (change in K), which has a lesser effect on the matrix model than changes in H. For example, to estimate the H impact of a recreation park on a 5-acre parcel, first the spatial model is queried to obtain the H for the parcel; then H is multiplied by the corresponding factor, 7.0 in this case (Table 2.5), to obtain the total H for the proposed development. For land uses in which the factor depends on the square footage of development, the procedure is the same, but the factor is applied after the square footage is taken into account. For example, a 2,500 sq. ft. expansion of a retail site would result in a total H equal to: H for the parcel from spatial model x (2,500/1,000 sq. ft.) x 7.4 (retail multiplier). Second, the Key deer studies done under this HCP and the resulting spatial model provided the basis to develop a conservation priority classification for undeveloped lands in the study area. The private undeveloped lands in the study area are classified into three "Tiers" (Table 2.6 and Figure 2.6). Tier 1 lands are high quality habitat. Tier 3 lands are the lowest quality habitat. The tier classification provided support to determining the location of potential development and prioritizing mitigation areas. 32 DRAFT DOCUMENT — 2/25/2003 Table 2.6. Tier classification system (vacant privately -owned lands) Tier Description Area (acres) Big Pine No Name Key Key 1 Lands where all or a significant portion of the land area is 973.4 217.0 characterized as environmentally sensitive and important for the continued viability of HCP covered species (i.e., high H). These lands are high quality Key deer habitat, generally representing large contiguous patches of native vegetation, which provide habitat for other protected species as well. 2 Scattered lots and fragments of environmentally sensitive 101.6 0 lands that may be found in platted subdivisions. A large number of these lots are located on canals, which are of minimal value to the Key deer and other protected species since the canal presents a barrier to dispersal. 3 Scattered lots within already heavily developed areas, which 58.5 0 provide little habitat value to the Key deer and other protected species. Some of the undeveloped lots in this Tier are located between existing developed commercial lots within the US-1 corridor or are located on canals. Total 1133.5 217.0 33 A a N —1 A� n m n m o' `G rt s v rt m 0 n C fs7 z N N !1\1 N W DRAFT DOCUMENT — 2/25/2003 3. LAND USE CONDITIONS 3.1 Introduction The Florida Keys encompass a group of islands and therefore terrestrial habitats are naturally fragmented. Development has greatly increased the degree of habitat fragmentation mainly by reducing patch size, increasing distances among patches, and in some cases creating barriers to dispersal (Strong and Bancroft 1994). Development in the Florida Keys has occurred primarily in upland areas, resulting in the loss of almost half of the upland habitats, from 20,038 acres in pre -development times to 10,353 acres in 1995 (URS 2002). Lower Keys islands developed at a slower pace than the Middle and Upper Keys, but many subdivision plats were filed throughout the 1950s and 1960s. As human alteration of the habitat on Big Pine Key and No Name Key progressed, land was set aside for preservation, establishing the National Key Deer Refuge (Refuge) in 1957. Habitat removal and alteration on remaining private lands continued through the 1970s and the population on Big Pine Key and No Name Key increased steadily. A "housing boom" during the late 1970s and early 1980s brought about significant changes in the configuration of native habitat on the islands and the composition of the human community. Presently 15 percent and 4.5 percent of the total landmass of Big Pine Key and No Name Key, respectively, are developed. This chapter provides an overview of the land use and planning conditions in Big Pine and No Name Key, and focuses on future land use changes that are expected to occur over the next 20 years. The information contained herein provides that basis for the assessment of impacts to protected species and habitat in the project area that are likely to occur as the result of planned urban development in the future. Development occurring within the project area is used to model the amount of "take" that will be permitted under this HCP. 3.2 Land Ownership Approximately 69 percent of the land within the project area is in public ownership (Table 3.1; Figure 3.1). The main landowner is the Federal government with 55 percent, all of which is within the Refuge. Federal, state and county agencies purchase and manage lands within the project area for the purpose of environmental protection and conservation. The USFWS owns 52 percent of Big Pine Key and 71 percent of No Name Key. The State of Florida purchases land under the Conservation and Recreation Lands (CARL) program, which is administered by the FDEP. State-owned lands within the project area include the Coupon Bight Aquatic Preserve and Preserve Buffer Lands and lands within the Coupon Bight/Key deer CARL project area, which combined are less than ten percent of the project area. The Monroe County Land Authority (MCLA) purchases a wide variety of vacant lands as directed in the Monroe County Comprehensive Plan and own two percent of the land within the project area. 35 DRAFT DOCUMENT — 2/25/2003 Table 3.1. Land ownership in the project area as of mid-2002'. Big Pine Key No Name Key Total Acres % Acres % Acres % Federal 3,184 51.8 801 70.8 3,985 54.8 State 856 13.9 50 4.4 906 12.5 County 135 2.2 12 1.0 147 2.0 Private 836 13.6 52 4.6 888 12.2 Developed Private 1,134 18.5 217 19.2 1,351 18.5 Undeveloped Total 6,145 100.0 1,132 100.0 7,277 100.0 Includes submerged lands. 3.3 Habitat Management Activities Federal, State and County agencies conduct habitat management activities within the project area. The federal Government, through the National Key Deer Refuge is the main landowner in the study area. The Refuge also manages most of the land within the project area. Management activities include prescribed burning, mowing and clearing of fire breaks, filling of ditches to prevent deer drownings and limit salinity intrusion, habitat restoration and development and protection of habitat corridors. The Refuge is developing a Comprehensive Conservation Plan (CCP), scheduled for completion in 2006. The CCP will outline a vision for the Refuge, guide management decisions, and outline goals, objectives, and strategies to achieve the visions and purposes of the Refuge. Development of the CPP is a requirement of the National Wildlife Refuge System Improvement Act of 1997. The FDEP Office of Coastal and Aquatic Managed Areas manages state-owned lands within the Coupon Bight Aquatic Preserve and Preserve Buffer (Preserve), whereas the Service manages state-owned lands within the Coupon Bight/Key deer CARL project area under an existing lease agreement. A management plan developed for the Coupon Bight Aquatic Preserve (Florida Department of Natural Resources 1992) states that research and habitat restoration are primary needs for the Preserve. Current management activities include the installation of mooring and warning buoys, seagrass restoration, treatment of coral band disease, and sea turtle nesting beach surveys. Research activities within the Preserve include juvenile fish studies, larval recruitment of the spiny lobster, and studies on the effectiveness of fishing exclusion zones. 36 LMMIR Pdvata Owners* I o"ft in Public Ownwamp DRAFT DOCUMENT — 2/25/2003 The Monroe County Land Steward is responsible for the management of county -owned public lands within the project area and throughout the Florida Keys. Currently no formal management plan exists for these lands; however, several small habitat restoration and management plans have been developed for individual parcels and subdivisions within the project area. Ongoing management efforts are conducted as needed or when funding becomes available. Primary responsibilities include trash removal, invasive exotic plant control, prescribed burning and other issues related to natural resource management. The Land Steward works in conjunction with the Monroe County Public Works Division, the MCLA, and volunteer groups to implement management activities. Habitat management of county lands should commence Keys -wide during FY 2002-2003 that begins October 2002, contingent upon funding approval. Larger tracts of land will receive priority for management. These lands are primarily conservation lands acquired through grants from the Florida Communities Trust, for which contract requirements necessitate immediate management. Management of remaining county lands throughout the Keys will be prioritized depending upon several factors including logistics, habitat quality, presence of rare species, and the character of the adjoining lands. Federal, state and county agencies also work together to jointly manage larger tracts of undeveloped land in which all are landowners. Within the project area this land is primarily pinelands. Management of pineland habitat will be addressed in a Fire Management Plan for Big Pine Key and No Name Key, which is currently being developed by the Lower Keys Wildland Fire Hazard Reduction Initiative. Prescribed burning will be conducted by all three agencies in the project area where there is contiguous pineland habitat. Individual undeveloped lots that cannot be burned because they are between developed properties will be maintained free of solid waste and non- native invasive plants and allowed to grow to hammock vegetation. 3.4 Covered Activities This HCP addresses the incidental take of protected species that may result from development activities in Big Pine Key and No Name Key in the next 20 years. The types of activities covered under this HCP include residential development, limited commercial development and expansion, expansion of community and institutional facilities, and transportation improvements. This HCP establishes the total amount of impact, expressed in terms of H, over 20 years to be allowed in the execution of the types of activities listed above. Covered activities will comply with the avoidance and minimization guidelines established in this HCP (see Section 5.3). Finally, the Master Plan for Future Development of Big Pine Key and No Name Key, which is being developed in accordance with this HCP, will regulate the amount and extent of each type of covered activity over the next 20 years in the project area. A key development activity included in this HCP is the widening of US-1 in the developed segment of Big Pine Key. The FDOT may expand US-1 from two to three lanes, to provide a center turn lane in the business district portion of Big Pine Key. The 38 DRAFT DOCUMENT — 2/25/2003 additional lane would commence near St. Peter's Catholic Church (MM 31.5) and continue through Big Pine Key to the Pine Channel Bridge (MM 29.5). The project would include two separate portions, one east and one west of the recently completed intersection improvement project. This project is necessary to satisfy State of Florida concurrency requirements and therefore to lift the building moratorium in the project area. W DRAFT DOCUMENT — 2/25/2003 4. ALTERNATIVE PLANNING STRATEGIES 4.1 Introduction Monroe County initiated the Livable CommuniKeys Program (LCP) in April 2000. The LCP was developed concurrently with the HCP and, while it focused on addressing the needs of the local citizens, all development alternatives were discussed in the context of the Key deer's biology. Like the HCP, the overall goal of the LCP was to determine the appropriate amount, type and location of development in the project area and the associated mitigation that would provide for community needs while maximizing conservation of the Key deer other covered species. Monroe County held public workshops and open houses to ascertain public views on planning and conservation issues; it used local media outlets and mailings to alert the public and to distribute surveys. Public workshops were held on April 6, May 25, and September 21, 2000 (Monroe County 2001a). The public's understanding of the habitat needs of the Key deer was facilitated during presentations and open discussion at three HCP meetings held in tandem with LCP meetings (see Section 1.2.2). Results of the community workshops and meetings were used to identify key community issues, develop planning objectives and generate conceptual land use alternatives and conservation strategies for the project area. In the LCP workshops, the following key community issues were identified: Ascertain the distribution of future residential development within the project area. 2. Maintain the rural character of the project area while still allowing some future development. 3. Implement solutions to the traffic congestion on US-1 and minimize the need for local trips on US-1. 4. Develop a community gathering facility and/or more active recreation facilities on Big Pine Key. 5. Discourage new development on No Name Key. During the LCP process, Monroe County developed planning objectives to evaluate potential development scenarios. These objectives were based on the combined key issues expressed by the community, existing planning constraints and the existing habitat needs of the Key deer and other covered species. The ten objectives are: Minimize the need for local vehicular trips on and across US-1, from north to south; 40 DRAFT DOCUMENT — 2/25/2003 2. Improve the level of traffic service on US-1 to a standard that, in accordance with local regulations, would allow some development and to maintain that level of service over the planning horizon; 3. Discourage new development on No Name Key; 4. Encourage additional commercial development to be oriented to the local community rather than to the regional or tourist communities; 5. Continue to allow some development but generally keep the level low to achieve the maintenance of a "rural community" envisioned by the citizens; 6. Provide for a community gathering center and some active recreation; 7. Provide for a conservation plan with a reasonable level of implementation costs and logistics; 8. Provide for a conservation plan which complies with current regulatory constraints (for example, wetlands protection); 9. Provide greater certainty to the property owners and Key deer herd managers as to the location of future development; and 10. Minimize the alteration of undisturbed natural habitat. 4.2 Planning Strategies Analyzed 4.2.1 Planning Strategy #1: No Action Alternative/No Take Under this strategy, no HCP would be prepared. With no improvement in the LOS for US-1, the building moratorium would continue indefinitely. No new residential, commercial or recreational development would occur within the project area. The community would retain its rural character, but no additional community facilities would be provided. With the construction of the wildlife underpasses and the intersection improvement project on US-1, Key deer mortality would be reduced and there would be a surplus of six deer over pre -construction conditions (FWS 1999). 4.2.2 Planning Strategy #2: Reduced Take Recently completed US-1 projects result in a surplus of six deer. A reduced take alternative would involve a reduced amount of development that would overcome the surplus and result in no net take. The PVA model suggests (Table 2.2) that developing up to 300 low-H single family residential parcels, as well as three-laning US-1, would result in no net take. Under this alternative, important community needs would remain unsatisfied, such as community and government facilities expansions. 41 DRAFT DOCUMENT — 2/25/2003 4.2.3 Plannine Strategy #3: Proposed Alternative The proposed alternative provides for development activities that alleviate the building moratorium, improve the level of service on US-1, restore a low rate of growth in the study area, and offer community and public facilities improvements that satisfy community needs (see Section 3.5). With the avoidance, minimization, and mitigation measures described in this HCP, no significant negative impacts on covered species are anticipated. 4.3 Comparison of Alternatives Both the no action and reduced take alternatives were rejected mainly because they would impose undue restrictions on the community's ability to meet key needs, such as traffic improvements, while not providing significant added value to the conservation of the covered species. The proposed alternative provides for a development program that satisfies the community's needs for growth and infrastructure, while ensuring habitat protection in perpetuity for the conservation of covered species. 42 DRAFT DOCUMENT — 2/25/2003 5. CONSERVATION STRATEGY AND PROCEDURES 5.1 Biological Goals The two primary, measurable goals of this HCP are: a) to ensure the protection of covered species habitat, and b) to limit the increase in human -induced mortality of Key deer so that no significant negative effect on the species occurs. The following measures will ensure habitat protection: • The loss of native habitat will be severely restricted under this HCP: Native habitat loss caused by development activities over the next 20 years will be limited to no more than 0.5% of the current native habitat area. • Land development regulations will direct development activities to areas of low habitat quality. No more than 2 percent of the total impact over 20 years will be allowed in Tier 1 areas (H = 0.02). • A land acquisition program to protect habitat areas in perpetuity. • Habitat management of acquired lands. The number of human -induced deaths for Key deer varies year to year and is significantly correlated with a measure of deer density (Figure 5.1). The goal of this HCP is to ensure that development activities do not result in a significant increase in the relative occurrence of human -induced mortality of Key deer. 70.00 _I 60.00 r 50.00 E 40.00 1 w c 30.00 20.00 ; y = 0.382x + 20.255 E 10.00 , RZ = 0.574 z 0.00 0 50 100 Average Number of Deer Seen in Road Censuses (1988 - 2000) Figure 5.1. Relationship between human -induced Key deer mortality and deer density. Data from USFWS, and Roel Lopez (pers. comm.) 43 DRAFT DOCUMENT — 2/25/2003 5.2 Summary of Take and Its Effects on the Covered Species Under this HCP, the Applicants will carry out covered activities progressively over 20 years. All development activities combined over the 20-year period will have a maximum cumulative impact of H = 1.0. For H = 1.0, the resulting probability that the population will fall below 50 females at least one in 50 years and the average additional total annual human -induced mortality are, respectively: Percent Risk(50) = 2.2e0 58*" = 4.0% Additional Annual Human -Induced Mortality = -0.65* 1.02 + 4.85* 1.0 - 0.34 = 3.9 deer/year Thus, the PVA model predicts that the combined effect of 20 years of development for a total H = 1.0 would raise the probability that the population will fall under 50 females at least once in 50 years by 1.7 percent (from 2.3 to 4.0 percent) and increase human -related Key deer mortality by 3.9 deer a year. Additionally, the probability of extinction in 100 years is <0.1 percent, nearly undistinguishable from current conditions. No direct loss of Lower Keys marsh rabbit or silver rice rat habitat is anticipated as a result of development activities. No new residential or commercial development will be allowed on marsh rabbit habitat or within 500 meters of accessible marsh rabbit habitat. Development activities likely to occur within the 500-meter buffer area are limited to roadway expansions and the expansion of two existing churches not to exceed more than 2,500 square feet of floor area per church. These types of development usually do not bring up typical causes of indirect impacts to marsh rabbits, namely domestic predators such as cats. However, minor secondary effects may occur. Housing development activities may occur in subdivisions within 500 meters from marsh rabbit habitat; these areas are largely inaccessible to the marsh rabbit due to roads or canals. Thus residential development is expected to have no direct effect on the marsh rabbit. Community facilities, commercial development, and other infrastructure development will occur either outside areas of concern for the marsh rabbit or on parcels already altered and of no value to the marsh rabbit. Moreover, road widening activities will not be allowed in marsh rabbit habitat. Development activities were estimated to result in the loss of up to approximately 7.1 acres of native vegetation, affecting pinelands, hammocks, and freshwater wetlands (Table 5.1). This represents a loss of about 0.1 percent of native habitat in the HCP covered area and a minor direct effect or take on the covered species. Construction activities will cause temporary and localized indirect impacts in the vicinity of the construction areas. After construction, other indirect effects may remain, such as edge effects. Given that the majority of the activities contemplated in the 20-year development plan will occur in areas of low habitat quality or on already disturbed areas, indirect and secondary effects are expected to be minimal. 44 DRAFT DOCUMENT — 2/25/2003 Table 5.1. Estimated loss of native vegetation from covered activities Type of Development Acres of Habitat Cleared Pineland Hammock Wetland Residential 0.3 0.8 N/A Commercial N/A N/A N/A Community/ N/A N/A N/A Recreational Facilities N/A N/A N/A Institutional uses 1.0 N/A N/A Public N/A N/A N/A Facilities N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A Transportation 2.0 1.0 2.0 Improvements N/A N/A N/A Other Proposed N/A N/A N/A Activities N/A N/A N/A Total: 3.3 1.8 2.0 5.3 Conservation Strategy - Mitigation Measures and Procedures The conservation program is focused primarily on strict avoidance and minimization measures, habitat mitigation based on replacing lost habitat value, and the protection and management in perpetuity of acquired habitat. The main goal of the Plan is to mitigate for the anticipated incidental take of covered species in accordance with the requirements for issuance of a Section 10(a)(1)(B) ITP. 5.3.1 Conservative Assumptions and Level of Take The reported level of take, H = 1.0, is used in this HCP to measure the maximum amount of impacts over 20 years and to establish the level of impact to be mitigated. The model assumes that the entire impact of H = 1.0 is incurred at the outset of the model run. In practice, H = 1.0 will be accrued over 20 years. The progressive increase in impact levels will allow the Key deer to adapt to changing circumstances, whereas the assumption that all impacts occur at once increases the impact estimates in the model runs. The model assumed total habitat loss for newly developed or redeveloped parcels, as well as for the facilities expansion. The Key deer uses all available open areas, including developed areas. However, the PVA model assumes that any development results in the loss of the entire parcel. For example, 200 developed residential lots in Pine Channel States contribute 1.8 Key deer to the carrying capacity of the study area (i.e., K = 1.8). 45 DRAFT' DOCUMENT — 2/25/2003 However, the model assumes that 200 new houses will contribute nothing to the carrying capacity. Therefore, the model overestimates the impact of development and provides a conservative support to planning for development activities. The Applicants chose to evaluate a more stringent population viability measure. Recent PVA and conservation literature recommends that conservation planners evaluate shorter - term risks to make management decisions (Akcakaya 2000, Akcakaya and Sjogren-Gulve 2000). The Key deer PVA model can estimate a variety of risk timeframes. For example, extinction risk may be expressed as the probability of extinction of the Key deer in 100 years. Historically, the Key deer population dwindled to less than 50 individuals, but rebounded with the implementation of protection measures (see Section 1.2.1). The Applicants chose to use the risk that the population fall below 50 females at least once in 50 years as a more conservative and realistic measure of risk in evaluating potential development activities. This more stringent indicator guided subsequent viability and incidental take analyses. Finally, the PVA model predicts and average of 3.9 additional human -induced Key deer deaths per year. The number of human -induced Key deer deaths varies from year to year, but is strongly correlated with a measure of deer density (Figure 5.1). Therefore, the ratio "deaths/deer seen" provides an indicator of the potential effects of development on the relative occurrence of human -induced deaths. If development impacts are small, and other factors remain the same, future development should not significantly increase the ratio. For the last 13 years (1988-2000), the mean ratio of human -induced Key deer deaths and average deer seen in censuses is: deaths/average deer seen = 1.38 Standard deviation = 0.28 95% confidence interval = (1.23 — 1.53) The predicted average increase in human -induced mortality (3.9 deer) would fall within the 95% confidence interval, suggesting that no significant increase in the ratio should occur as a consequence of the proposed level of take. For example, an increase of four deer deaths in each of the last 11 years would have produced a mean ratio of 1.48, which is well within the 95% confidence interval. The overall effect of the proposed level of development over 20 years is expected to fall be within the existing yearly variability. 5.3.2 Avoidance and Minimization Avoidance and minimization measures were applied at every step in the preparation of the HCP. First, the Applicants made key decisions, discussed above, in the development and use of the Key deer PVA model, which resulted in a conservative approach to modeling. M