Loading...
Item I4 BOARD OF COUNTY COMMISSIONERS AGENDA ITEM SUMMARY Meeting Date: August 18. 2005 Division:Growth Management DepartmentPlanning and Environmental Resources Staff Contact Person: K. Marlene Conaway Bulk Item: Yes X No AGENDA ITEM WORDING: Approval of a resolution adopting the Annual Assessment of Public Facilities Capacity Report for 2005. ITEM BACKGROUND: Section 9.5-292(b) of the Land Development Regulations (LDR's) requires the BOCC adopt an annual assessment of public facilities capacity for Monroe County. The PlaIUling Department has prepared a 2005 assessment for the BOCC's consideration and approval. This year's report finds that education, solid waste, potable water, parks and recreation, and transportation facilities all have sufficient capacity to serve anticipated growth. Although, State and county roads meet level of service standards, Big Coppit (Segment 3), Sugarloaf (Segment 5), Big Pine (Segment 10), Grassy (Segment 14), L. Matecumbe (Segment 17), Tea Table (Segment 18), U. Matecumbe (Segment 19), Cross Key (Segment 24) are below the LOS C threshold. The Tea Table (Segment 18), Cross Key (Segment 24) segments have been below the LOS threshold for the past four years. All of these segments have reserve volume or reserve capacities within the 5% allocation, except for Cross Key. The Cross Key segment has exceeded its reserve capacity. The continuous degradation of travel speeds in these segments should be of concern. The travel speeds on Cross Key segment are likely to improve with the implementation of a high level fixed bridge; completion is anticipated within the next three years. The Lower Matecumbe and Tea Table segments do not have any planned improvements to curtail the travel speed reductions. The Florida Department of Transportation, Village of Islamorada and Monroe County should work together to find a solution for the LOS report for these three segments within the Islamorada corporate limits. PREVIOUS REVELANT BOCC ACTION:The BOCC has approved assessments of public facilities capacity each year since 1987. CONTRACT/AGREEMENT CHANGES: None STAFF RECOMMENDA TIONS:Approval. TOTAL COST: N/A COST TO COUNTY: N/A REVENUE PRODUCING: Yes BUDGETED: Yes No No -L AMOUNT PER MONTH Year APPROVED BY: County Atty -2L OMB/Purchasing N/A Ris DIVISION DIRECTOR APPROVAL: anagement N/A DOCUMENTATION: Included X TImot j .I MCGa~P V Not Required _ DISPOSITION: AGENDA ITEM # RESOLUTION NO. ~ 2005 A RESOLUTION BY THE MONROE COUNTY BOARD OF COUNTY COMMISSIONERS ADOPTING THE Al\TNUAL ASSESSMENT OF MONROE COUNTY PUBLIC FACILITIES CAP ACITY FOR 2005 AS SUBMITTED BY THE MONROE COUNTY PLANNING AND ENVIRONMENTAL RESOURCES DEPARTMENT. WHEREAS, Section 9.5-292(b) of the Monroe County Land Development Regulations requires the Board of County Commissioners to adopt an annual assessment of public facilities capacity for unincorporated Monroe County; and WHEREAS, this annual assessment is used to evaluate the existing level of services for roads, solid waste, potable water, and educational facilities; and WHEREAS, once approved by the Board of County Commissioners, this report becomes the official assessment of public facilities upon which development approvals will be reviewed and approved for the upcoming year; and WHEREAS, Section 9.5-292 of the Land Development Regulations provides the minimum standards for level of service of roads, solid waste, potable water, and educational facilities; and WHEREAS, Section 9.5-292 requires the annual assessment of public facilities eapacity to clearly state those portions of unincorporated Monroe County with inadequate or marginally adequate public facilities; and WHEREAS, the annual report finds that sufficient capacity exists for solid waste, potable water, and educational facilities to meet anticipated growth through 2005; and WHEREAS, the transportation section of the annual report is based upon the findings of the 2005 US~l Travel Time and Delay Study prepared by URS, the County's transportation consultant; and WHEREAS, ten segments of U.S. 1 were classified as "marginally adequate" in terms of reserve capacity and therefore development activities in these areas will be closely monitored to minimize the possibility for further degradation in the level of service; and WHEREAS, one segment, Cross Key, of U.S. 1 was classified as "inadequate" in terms of reserve capacity but is likely to improve with the implementation of a high level fixed bridge for which completion is anticipated within the next three years. Therefore, development activities ill this ~a wm be closely monitored to' minimize the possibility lev~l of servioo, furtr~ degnuiaHon lin the NOW THEREFORE~ BE IT RESOL'VED BV THE BOARD OF COMMISSIONERS OF MONROE COUNTY, FLORiDA, that the ' Monroe County Public Facilities C~p!lcity tor 2005 i~: PASSED AND ADOPTED by the Board County Commi$51oners of Mcmroe FIOfida at a reguliU meeting held on the~" _ day of _ 200~, Mayo!:' Di1tle Spehar Mayor Pro Tem Chm-le:s "Sonny" McCoy Commissioner Rice Commissioner Goorge Neugent Comlnissiof:ler Mw-ray Nelson ...!..--,. i A 1'TEST: nANNY L _,-no -~. OlRrUTY CLERK 2005 MONROE COUNTY PUBLIC FACILITIES CAPACITY ASSESSMENT REPORT ci..J....;. ~'\:..; . 1"::'- Jo .#.... ~.. .' ".. '"I .P, ". . ... '. ..., p... EDUCATION SOLID WASTE POTABLE WATER TRANSPORTATION PARKS AND RECREATION JULY 2005 PREPARED BY THE DEPARTMENT OF PLANNING AND ENVIRONMENTAL RESOURCES 2005 Monroe County Public Facilities Capacity Assessment TABLE OF CONTENTS EXECUTIVE SUMMARy......................................................................... 2 INTRODUCTION.................................................................................... 6 I. GROWTH ANALySIS....................................................................... ....1 0 II. TRANSPORTATION FACILITIES......................................................... 26 III. POTABLE WATER.......................................................................... ..39 IV. EDUCATION FACILITIES.................................................................. 45 V. SOLID WASTE FACILITIES.............................................................. ...51 VI. PARKS AND RECREATION.............................................................. ..55 1 2005 Monroe County Public Facilities Capacity Assessment EXECUTIVE SUMMARY The Monroe County Land Development Regulations (hereafter referred to as "the Code") mandate an annual assessment of the roads, solid waste, potable water, and school facilities serving the unincorporated portion of Monroe County. In the event that these public facilities have fallen or are pro- jected to fall below the level of service (LOS) required by the Code, development activities must conform to special proce- dures to ensure that the public facilities are not further burdened. The Code clearly states that building permits shall not be is- sued unless the proposed use is or will be served by adequate public or private facili- ties. As required by the Code, the Board of County Commissioners (BOCC) shall con- sider and approve the annual report, with or without modifications. Any modifications that result in an increase of development capacity must be accompanied by findings of fact, including the reasons for the in- crease and the funding source to pay for the additional capacity required to serve the ad- ditional development. Once approved, this document becomes the official report of public facilities upon which development approvals will be based for the next year. This report distinguishes between areas of inadequate facility capacity and marginally adequate capacity. Inadequate facility ca- pacity is defined as those areas with capac- ity below the adopted LOS standard. Mar- ginally adequate capacity is defined as those areas at the adopted LOS standard or that are projected to reach inadequate capacity within the next twelve months. Residential and Nonresidential Growth for 2004 For the 2004 assessment, a population model that uses a 1990 Census base data and Monroe County Certificates of Occu- pancy to estimate and forecast population growth is used. The model is based upon the actual number of residential units built, and is therefore more accurate than previous models. The projected functional popula- tion of unincorporated Monroe County is expected to reach 76,334 people in 2005, a slight increase from 2004. Policy 101.3.1, the County's nonresidential RaGa policy in the 2010 Comprehensive Plan, was passed by the Board of County Commissioners in September of 2001 and was approved by the Department of Com- munity Affairs (DCA) in December of 2001, but was subsequently appealed. The appeal was withdrawn in August 2002. The policy remains as stated, non-residential growth, over the 15 year planning horizon, is limited to 239 square feet of development for each new residential unit. Assessment of Public Facilities for 2005 This year's report finds that education, solid waste, potable water, parks and recreation, and transportation facilities all have suffi- cient capacity to serve anticipated growth. Although, State and county roads meet level of service standards, Based on this year's results, Big Coppitt (Segment 3), Sugarloaf (Segment 5), Big Pine (Segment 10), Grassy (Segment 14), Lower Matecumbe (Segment 17), Tea Table (Segment 18), Up- per Metacumbe (Segment 19) and Cross Key (Segment 24) are below the LOS C threshold. However, seven of these seg- Executive Summary 2 2005 Monroe County Public Facilities Capacity Assessment ments have reserve capacities within the 5% allocation, except for the Cross Key seg- ment. Segments that have used-up all the 5% reserve trips are restricted in new devel- opment or redevelopment, except where redevelopment has no net increase in trips. The Cross Key segment has used-up all the 5% reserve trips, normally restricting any new development or redevelopment, but based upon the new fixed span bridge and widening at Jewfish Creek, this will not be an issue. The status of each facility is sum- marized below. Solid Waste: The combination of the eXlstmg haul-out contract and the space available at the Cud- joe Key landfill provides the County with sufficient capacity to accommodate all ex- isting and approved development for up to sixteeen years. Parks and Recreation: Unincorporated Monroe County has enough resource- and activity-based recreation ar- eas to serve the functional population and therefore has a LOS that is adequate. Addi- tionally, there is adequate reserve capacity to accommodate future population in- creases. Schools: Enrollment figures for the 2004-2005 school year and projected enrollment fig- ures for the 2005-2006 school year, show that O'Bryant Middle School, and Adams Elementary School exceed their recom- mended capacity and that Key West School is projected to exceed its recommend capac- ity for the 2004-2005 school year. How- ever, school facility plans are based on en- rollment projections 5 years out (2008-2009 school year), at which time sufficient capac- ity will be available. The remaining schools have more than sufficient capacity to ac- commodate all fall enrollment in 2005 and future years. Potable Water: A comparison between 2003 and 2004 shows an increase in water consumption of 2.74%. In October 2002, South Florida Water Management District approved the FKAA's increase in Water Use Permit (WUP). The WUP increases FKAA's po- tential withdraws to an average of 19.93 and a maximum of 23.79 Million Gallons per Day (MGD). In 2004, the FKAA distrib- uted an average of 17.65 and a maximum of 22.0 MGD to the Florida Keys. Water dis- tribution for 2005 is projected to average 18.42 and have a maximum of 22.4 MGD. An analysis of data shows that the residen- tial and overall LOS standards for water consumption, as set out in Objective 701.1 of the Monroe County Year 2010 Compre- hensive Plan, are being met. As a condition of the WUP, the FKAA is constructing a Floridian Aquifer Storage and Recovery (ASR) system. This system is designed to recharge and store water from the Biscayne Aquifer during the wet season (May through November) in the Floridian Aquifer which is approximately 800-1,000 feet below the ground surface, and then re- cover fresh water to supplement the Bis- cayne Aquifer during the dry season (December through April). Unless the pro- j ected future water demands decrease, the FKAA must also consider an alternative source of water supply such as a brackish or salt water source which will require a new water treatment plant. Roads: The adopted level of service (LOS) standard for US-1 is LOS C. Based on the findings of the 2005 US-1 Arterial Travel Time and Delay Study for Monroe County, as pre- Executive Summary 3 2005 Monroe County Public Facilities Capacity Assessment pared by URS Inc., the overall 2005 level of service for US-l is LOS C. The table on the following page shows the LOS and "status" of US-l by segment. County regulations allow development ac- tivities to continue in "areas of marginally adequate facility capacity" provided traffic speeds do not fall below the standard by more than five percent. Based on this year's results ten segments were considered marginally adequate, Big Coppitt (Segment 3), Saddlebunch (Segment 4), Sugarloaf (Segment 5), Big Pine (Segment 10), Grassy (Segment 14), Long (Segment 16), Lower Matecumbe (Segment 17), Tea Table (Segment 18), Upper Metacumbe (Segment 19), and Plantation (Segment 21) have re- serve speeds of less than or equal to 3 mph. However, all of these segments have reserve capacities within the 5% allocation. One segment, Cross (Segment 24) is inadequate. It not only falls below the LOS C threshold and has a reserve speed less than or equal to 3 mph, but also does not have any reserve capacities within the 5% allocation. Seg- ments that have used-up all the 5% reserve trips are restricted in new development or redevelopment, except where redevelop- ment has no net increase in trips. The Cross Key segment has used-up all the 5% reserve trips, normally restricting any new develop- ment or redevelopment, but based upon the new fixed span bridge and widening at Jew- fish Creek, this will not be an issue. This year's report indicates that ten seg- ments are "marginally adequate" and any applications for new development which would generate traffic in marginally ade- quate areas must submit a detailed traffic report for consideration during review. Please see table on the following page for "marginally adequate" facilities: County roads are subject to a lower standard (LOS D) than US-I. Based on the analysis found in the Technical Document of the Monroe County Year 2010 Comprehensive Plan, all County roads are operating at or above LOS D. Overall, most public facilities continue to be adequate; however demands on these facili- ties continue to grow. The Growth Man- agement Division is committed to monitor- ing changes in public facility demand and responding to changes in consumption pat- terns. The ability to coordinate with public facility providers and other municipalities in the Keys will become more and more criti- cal as we strive to maintain the quality of life we all enj oy. Executive Summary 4 2005 Monroe County Public Facilities Capacity Assessment 1 Stock Island 4-5 B Adequate 2 Boca Chica 5-9 A Adequate 3 Big Coppitt 9-10.5 D Marginal 4 Saddlebunch 10.5-16.5 C Marginal 5 Sugarloaf 16.5-20.5 D Marginal 6 Cudjoe 20.5-23 A Adequate 7 Summerland 23-2 B Adequate 8 Ramrod 25-27.5 A Adequate 9 Torch 27.5-29.5 A Adequate 10 Big Pine 29.5-33 D Marginal 11 Bahia Honda 33-40 B Adequate 12 7-Mile Bridge 40-47 A Adequate 13 Marathon 47-54 A Adequate 14 Grassy Key 54-60.5 D Marginal 15 Duck Key 60.5-63 B Adequate 16 Long Key 63-73 C Marginal 17 Lower Matecumbe 73-77.5 D Marginal 18 Tea Table 77.5-79.5 D Marginal 19 Upper Matecumbe 79.5-84 D Marginal 20 Windley 84-86 A Adequate 21 Plantation 86-91.5 C Marginal 22 Tavernier 91.5-99.5 A Adequate 23 Largo 99.5-106 A Adequate 24 Cross 106-112.5 D Inade uate Source: 2005 Arterial and Travel Time/ Delay Study, URS Inc. "Marginally Adequate" Segments # Name Mile Marker Range Reserve Speed 3 Big Coppitt 9.0 - 10.5 -0.5 4 Saddlebunch 10.5-16.5 1.3 5 Sugarloaf 16.5 - 20.5 -1.0 10 Big Pine 29.5 - 33.0 -1.2 14 Grassy 54.0 - 60.5 -0.4 16 Long 63.0 - 73.0 1.8 17 Lower Matecumbe 73.0 - 77.5 -0.5 18 Tea Table 77.5 - 79.5 -0.2 19 Upper Matecumbe 79.5 - 84.0 -1.4 21 Plantation 86.0 - 91.5 1.1 24 Cross 106-112.5 -2.9 Source: 2005 Arterial and Travel Time/ Delay Study, URS Inc. Executive Summary 5 2005 Monroe County Public Facilities Capacity Assessment INTRODUCTION This report is the annual assessment of pub- lic facilities capacity mandated by Section 9.5-292 of the Monroe County Land Devel- opment Regulations (hereafter referred to as "the Code"). The State of Florida requires all local jurisdictions to adopt regulations ensuring "concurrency". Concurrency means "that the necessary public facilities and services to maintain the adopted LOS standards are available when the impacts of development occur" (Chapter 9J-5 of the Florida Administrative Code). In other words, local governments must establish regulations to ensure that public facilities and services that are needed to support de- velopment are available concurrent with the impacts of development. In Monroe County, these regulations are contained within Section 9.5-292 of the Code. Section 9.5-292, titled Adequate facilities and development review procedures, con- tains two main sets of requirements: the minimum service standards for the four pri- mary public facilities (roads, solid waste, potable water, schools), and an annual as- sessment process to determine the available capacity of these public facilities. In addi- tion, Section 9.5-292 includes an equitable procedure for issuing permits when the rate of growth is likely to outpace the current capacity of these public facilities. Section 9.5-292 also requires the Director of Planning to prepare an annual report to the Board of County Commissioners on the ca- pacity of available public facilities. This report must determine the potential amount of residential and nonresidential growth ex- pected in the upcoming year, and make an assessment of how well the roads solid , waste facilities, water supply, and schools will accommodate that growth. The report has a one-year planning horizon, or only considers potential growth and public facil- ity capacity for the next twelve months. In addition, the report must identify areas of unincorporated Monroe County with only marginal and/or inadequate capacity for some or all public facilities. In the event that some or all public facilities have fallen or are projected to fall below the LOS standards required by the Code, devel- opment activities must conform to special procedures to ensure that the public facili- ties are not further burdened. The Code clearly states that building permits shall not be issued unless the proposed use is or will be served by adequate public or private fa- cilities. Board Action Required Section 9.5-292(b)(4) requires the County Commission to consider this report and ap- prove its findings either with or without modifications. The County Commission cannot act to increase development capacity beyond that demonstrated in this report without making specific findings of fact as to the reasons for the increase, and identify- ing the source of funds to be used to pay for the additional capacity. Once approved by the County Commission, this document becomes the official assess- ment of public facilities upon which devel- opment approvals will be based for the next year. Public Facility Standards Section 9.5-292(a) of the Code pertains to the minimum standards for public facilities. It states, "After February 28, 1988, all de- velopment or land shall be served by ade- quate public facilities in accordance with the following standards: " Introduction 6 2005 Monroe County Public Facilities Capacity Assessment (1) Roads: a. County Road 905 within three (3) miles of a parcel proposed for development shall have sufficient available capacity to operate at level of service D as meas- ured on an annual average daily traffic (AADT) basis at all intersection and/or roadway segments. US-I shall have sufficient available capacity to operate at level of service C on an overall basis as measured by the US-I Level of Ser- vice Task Force Methodology. In addi- tion, the segment or segments of US-I, as identified in the US-I Level of Ser- vice Task Force Methodology, which would be directly impacted by a pro- posed development's access to US-I, shall have sufficient available capacity to operate at level of service C as meas- ured by the US-I Level of Service Task Force Methodology. b. All secondary roads where traffic is en- tering or leaving a development or will have direct access shall have sufficient available capacity to operate at level of service D as measured on an annual av- erage daily traffic (AADT) basis. c. In areas which are served by inadequate transportation facilities on US-I, devel- 0pment may be approved provided that the development in combination with all other development will not decrease travel speeds by more than five (5) per- cent below level of service C, as meas- ured by the US-I Level of Service Task Force Methodology. (2) Solid Waste: Sufficient capacity shall be available at a solid waste disposal site to accommo- date all existing and approved develop- ment for a period of at least three (3) years from the projected date of com- pletion of the proposed development or use. The Monroe County Solid Waste and Resource Recovery Authority may enter into agreements, including agree- ments under section 163.01, Florida Statutes, to dispose of solid waste out- side Monroe County. (3) Potable Water: Sufficient potable water from an ap- proved and permitted source shall be available to satisfy the projected water needs of a proposed development, or use. Approved and permitted sources shall include cisterns, wells, FKAA dis- tribution systems, individual water con- densation systems, and any other sys- tem which complies with the Florida standards for potable water. (4) Schools: Adequate school classroom capacity shall be available to accommodate all school age children to be generated by a proposed development or use. These are the four primary public facilities that must be monitored for adequate capac- ity according to the Code. The available ca- pacity for each of these facilities may be either sufficient to accommodate projected growth over the next year, marginally ade- quate, or inadequate. In situations where public facilities serving an area are pro- jected to be only marginally adequate or inadequate over the next year, the Code sets out a review procedure to be followed when issuing development permits in that area. The Code states that "the county shall not approve applications for development in areas of the county which are served by in- adequate facilities identified in the annual adequate facilities (Public Facility Capacity Assessment) report, except the county may approve development that will have no re- duction in the capacity of the facility or Introduction 7 2005 Monroe County Public Facilities Capacity Assessment where the developer agrees to increase the level of service of the facility to the adopted level of service standard." The Code goes on to state that "in areas of marginal facility capacity as identified in the current annual adequate facilities report, the county shall either deny the application or condition the approval so that the level of service stan- dard is not violated." The determination of an additional development's impact on ex- isting public facilities in areas with marginal or inadequate capacity is determined by a "facilities impact report" which must be submitted with a development application. Service Areas Section 9. 5-292(b )(2) of the Code divides unincorporated Monroe County into three service areas for the purposes of assessing potential growth and how public facilities can accommodate that growth. The boundaries mentioned in the Code have been revised to account for recent incorpo- rations. The map below shows the three service areas of the Keys as they are cur- rently recognized. The Upper Keys service area includes all unincorporated Monroe County north of the Map of Sencice Areas The Upper Keys MM 112-91 ~~ (If''Jr -u'- ~~ p~ .' q e~~ ,; .) ~ 00, )':' .1 ~ J,.. .q._ a", " ~51 .ap .". .. . ~. )~. d- The Middle Keys MM 91-47 .t .~ ~ I ." The Lower Keys MM 47-4 Introduction 8 2005 Monroe County Public Facilities Capacity Assessment Tavernier Creek Bridge. The Middle Keys includes the area of Unincorporated Monroe County between the Seven-Mile Bridge and the Tavernier Creek Bridge. The Lower Keys is Unincorporated Monroe County south of the Seven Mile Bridge. Unfortunately, the data available on popula- tion, permitting, and public facilities does not always conform to the above boundaries for the Upper, Middle, and Lower Keys. Additionally, due to the recent incorporation of Islamorada and Marathon (which are ex- cluded from this assessment where speci- fied) the boundaries identified in Section 9.5-292(b) are no longer valid for unincor- porated Monroe County. This report makes use of the best available data, aggregated as closely as possible to the boundaries shown in on the following page. Previous Board Action Due to unavailability of any reserve capac- ity for traffic on US-Ion Big Pine Key, the County was required to impose a morato- rium in 1995 on any new development on Big Pine. In December 1997, as a result of a change in the methodology used to deter- mine level of service, the moratorium on Big Pine Key was lifted. However, the re- sults of the 1999 Travel Time and Delay Study indicated that the segment of US-1 through Big Pine Key once again fell below the adopted LOS standard. Due in part to the re-timing of the intersection of US 1 and Key Deer Boulevard, the level of service on the Big Pine segment of US 1 improved in 2000, but decreased again in 2001 and 2002. Based on the 2003 Arterial Travel Time and Delay Study the LOS had in- creased to 'C'. Meaning, there was suffi- cient reserve capacity, and the moratorium on traffic generating development was lifted. The improvement in the LOS is due in part to further re-timing of the intersec- tion and an intersection improvement pro- ject, which was completed by FDOT this year. It is not anticipated that these im- provements will permanently improve the LOS on Big Pine Key, but a 3-laning pro- ject is being designed by FDOT to achieve a longer term acceptable level of service. The Planning and Environmental Resources De- partment has completed a Master Plan for Big Pine Key and No Name Key, which is waiting to be adopted, which will address future solutions to traffic problems within the community. Areas of Critical County Concern At the County Commission's discretion, ar- eas with marginally adequate facilities may be designated as Areas of Critical County Concern (ACCC), pursuant to Sections 9.5- 473 and 9.5-473.1 of the Code. The ration- ale behind this designation is to assure that development in ACCC areas does not im- pact existing public facilities to the extent that development must be halted in the area. Should the Board initiate the ACCC desig- nation process, the Development Review Committee and Planning Commission must review the proposed designation. Section 9.5-473(c) requires the designation to in- clude "Specific findings regarding the pur- pose of the designation, the time schedule for the planning effort to be implemented, identification of the sources of funding for the planning and potential implementing mechanisms, delineation of a work pro- gram, a schedule for the work program and the appointment of an advisory committee, if appropriate. " Introduction 9 2005 Monroe County Public Facilities Capacity Assessment I. GROWTHANALYSIS This section of the report examines the growth of Monroe County over the last year. This analysis considers the changes in population, the number of residential build- ing permits issued, and the amount of non- residential floor area permissible. Growth trends will be examined for both the unin- corporated as well as the incorporated por- tions of the County. Population Composition There are three different measurements of population in Monroe County: the func- tional population, the permanent population, and the seasonal population. The capacity of most public facilities is designed based on potential peak demand. To help assess peak demand, the permanent and seasonal populations are often combined to give a "functional" population, or the maximum population demanding services. The projected permanent population is based on a methodology created by The De- partment of Planning and Environmental Resources, and is based on 1990 Census data. Permanent population figures re- ceived from the 2000 Census data reflect a discrepancy in the estimates made by the planning model and actual census figures. At this time the Planning and Environ- mental Resources is revising the methodol- ogy for population projection to accurately reflect the permanent population figures published by the 2000 Census. Projected permanent residents spend most or all of the year in the County, while the seasonal population includes seasonal resi- dents and the tourist population. The sea- sonal population includes the number of seasonal residents, the number of people staying in hotels, motels, vacation rentals, campsites, recreational vehicles, live aboard vessels, and those staying with friends and relatives. It is important to remember that permanent population figures are for the entire calen- dar year, while the seasonal population fig- ures used here is the number of seasonal residents and visitors in the Keys on any given evening. Seasonal population figures are not the total number of seasonal resi- dents or visitors in the county over the cal- endar year, but the estimated number who stay on any given night. The Tourist Development Council indicate that Monroe County hosts around three mil- lion visitors a year, however not of all these people are in the Keys on the same evening. Peak seasonal population figures represent the number of people who could stay on any given evening based upon peak occupancy rates, and therefore represent the peak de- mand which could be placed on public fa- cilities from seasonal visitors on any given evemng. When the peak seasonal population figures are combined with the permanent resident population, the result is the functional popu- lation. Actual 2000 Census data for the permanent population indicates a trend to- wards a higher seasonal percentage of the functional population. Planning Area Enumeration Dis- tricts (PAEDs) PAEDs, or Planning Area Enumeration Dis- tricts, are the basic unit of geographical analysis used by the Planning and Environ- mental Resources Department. The PAEDs are a combination of the "planning areas" utilized by the Planning Department in the early 1980s and the US Census Bureau's "enumeration districts". These two levels of analysis were combined in 1987 for ease of use. Since most PAEDs follow island Growth Analysis 10 2005 Monroe County Public Facilities Capacity Assessment boundaries, they can be aggregated to match most service districts for public facilities. There are a total of twenty-two (22) PAEDs in Unincorporated Monroe County. . The City of Key West (including north- ern Stock Island) is not contained within any PAED boundaries. . The City of Key Colony Beach is con- tained within the geographic area of PAED 8, but is not included with the PAED population figures. . The City of Marathon encompasses PAEDs 7, 8, & 9, and its population is .L, " PAED 15 " PAED 14 contained within unincorporated Mon- roe County until 2000. . The City of Layton falls within PAED 11, but its population is removed from Unincorporated Monroe County. . The Village of Islamorada occupies PAEDs 12A, 12B, 13, & 14, and has its own population figures starting in 1998. . PAEDs 19 and 20 are the last PAEDs before the "bend" in US-I, and have been grouped together in this report be- cause of data constraints. The dividing line between PAEDs is the center of US- 1. . Growth Analysis 11 2005 Monroe County Public Facilities Capacity Assessment As mentioned earlier, Section 9.5-292 of the Land Development Regulations (LDRs) di- vides Monroe County into three service ar- eas. The Upper Keys service area includes PAEDs 12B through 22, or the area from Mile Marker 83.5 to 112, the Middle Keys includes PAEDs 7 through 13 (Mile Marker 47.5 to 83.4), and the Lower Keys service area is composed of PAEDs 1 through 6 from Mile Marker 4 to 47.4. The chart below shows the individual PAEDs by their mile marker ranges, and also shows the islands included within a particular PAED's boundary. Functional Population The functional population is the sum of the number of permanent residents and the peak seasonal population. Figure 1.3 shows the functional population for all of Monroe County (including the incorporated areas), excluding Mainland Monroe County and the population in the Dry Tortugas. The func- tional population of Monroe County is ex- pected to grow by 3,325 people from 2005 to 2015. This represents an increase of two percent (2%) over the fifteen year period. Figure 1.4 shows the trend in Functional Population Changes from 1990 to 2015. However, the numerical and percent change columns show that the rate of increase is expected to slow dramatically over the same time period (see Figure 1.5). Figure 1.6 shows the breakdown m func- 1 Stock Island 2 Boca Chica, East Rockland, Big Coppitt, Geiger, Shark 3 Sadd1ebunch Keys, Lower Sugarloaf, Upper Sugarloaf 4a Cudjoe, Summerland, Ramrod, Big-Midd1e-Little Torch 4b No Name Key 5 Big Pine Key 6 W. Summerland, Spanish Harbor, Bahia Honda, Ohio, Missouri, Little Duck, Pigeon Key 7 Knight, Hog, Vaca, Boot, Stirrup (Marathon) 8 Fat Deer, Little Crawl, Crawl #5, (Marathon) & (Key Colony Beach) 9 Grassy Key (Marathon) 10 Duck Key, Little Conch Key, Conch Key 11 Long Key, Fiesta Key, (Layton) 12a Craig Key, Lower Matecumbe (Is1amorada) 12b Windley Key (Is1amorada) 13 Teatab1e Key, Upper Matecumbe (Is1amorada) 14 Plantation Key (Is1amorada) 15 Key Largo (Tavernier area) 16 Key Largo 17 Key Largo (Rock Harbor) 18 Key Largo 19-20 Key Largo 21 Key Largo (North Key Largo, Ocean Reef, Card Sound area) 22 Cross Key (18 Mile Stretch area) Source: Monroe County Planning Depertment, 2005 4-6 7-12.4 12.5-20.5 20.6-29 N/A 29.5-33 34.5-46 47.5-53.2 53.3-56.4 56.5-60 61-64 65-71 72-78 83.5-85.5 79-83.4 85.6-91 91.1-94.5 94.6-98 98.1-100.6 100.7-103.5 103.6-107.5 N/A 107.6-112 Growth Analysis 12 2005 Monroe County Public Facilities Capacity Assessment 2005 2010 2015 * * 162,041 164,769 165,366 2,728 597 1.66% 0.36% Source: Monroe COllllty Planning Department, 2005 Figure 1.4 -Trend in Functional Population Changes 170,000 ::: 165,000 0 .... ~ ;:l 160,000 0. 0 ~ "@ ::: 155,000 ",8 Q ::: ;:l 150,000 ~ 145,000 0 ('.l '7 'D 00 0 ('.l '7 'D 00 0 ('.l '7 0\ 0\ 0\ 0\ 0\ 0 0 0 0 0 0\ 0\ 0\ 0\ 0\ 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 - - - - - ('.l ('.l ('.l ('.l ('.l ('.l ('.l ('.l il 3.00% i$ 0 2.50% .... 0 ::: 2.00% ",8 1.50% '" -; 0. 1.00% 0 ~ 0.50% .s 0) 0.00% co ::: -0.50% '" 0 -1.00% ~ 0 0 ('.l '7 'D 0\ 0\ 0\ 0\ 0\ 0\ 0\ 0\ - - - - 1__ Trend in Population Changes I Figure 1.5 -Functional Population Rate ofIncrease 00 0\ 0\ - ('.l o o ('.l o o ('.l '7 o o ('.l ('.l o ('.l '7 o ('.l o o o ('.l 'D o o ('.l 00 o o ('.l I---+--- Fllllctional Population I Growth Analysis 13 2005 Monroe County Public Facilities Capacity Assessment Upper Keys Middle Keys Lower Keys Unincorporated 103,001 Subtotal Incorporated Area 46,348 County Total 149,349 Source: Monroe COlmty Planning Department, 2005 42,171 30,443 30,387 40.94% 29.56% 29.50% 100.00% 76,334 85,707 162,041 tional population by the three service areas. Regionally, the Upper Keys accounted for the largest portion of the 1990 unincorpo- rated functional population (42,171 people, or 40.9% of the total). This is followed by the Middle Keys, which is comprised of 29.6% (30,443 people) of the total 1990 functional population; and finally, the Lower Keys, which contained 30,387 peo- ple, or 29.5% of the unincorporated func- tional population. Based on projected functional population projections for the year 2015, the Upper Keys is expected to have the largest popula- tion (38,362 or 48.7% of the total), followed by the Lower Keys (36,263 or 46.0% of the total) and lastly the Middle Keys (4,206 or 5.34% of the total). In the year 1997, the Upper Keys service area lost twelve percent (12%) of its functional population to the incorporation of Islamorada. In the year 1999, the unincorporated functional popula- tion of the Middle Keys dramatically de- creased by more than eighty-seven percent 74.11% 78,277 86,492 164,769 76.00% 78,831 86,535 165,366 100.00% (87%), due to the incorporation of the City of Marathon. Projected Permanent and Seasonal Population The total permanent resident population in Monroe County is projected to grow from 78,855 people in 1990 to a potential 90,654 people in 2015, an increase of fifteen per- cent (15%) over the twenty-five year period. The projected permanent resident popula- tion as a percentage of the functional popu- lation fluctuates between 53% and 55% from 1990 to 2015. The years 1991 and 1993 were the only years in which the county-wide permanent resident growth rate exceeded one percent (1 %) per year. The peak seasonal population in Monroe County is projected to grow from 70,493 people in 1990 to 74,712 people by 2015, an increase of six percent (6%) over the twenty-five year period. The peak seasonal population as a percentage of the functional population fluctuates between 47.20% in Figure 1.7 - Projected Permanent and Seasonal County-wide Population 1990-2015 Seasonal Population 70,493 73,491 73,737 74,533 74,712 Permanent Population 78,855 85,622 88,305 90,236 90,654 Functional Population 149,348 159,113 162,042 164,769 165,366 Source: Monroe COlmty Planning Department, 2005 Growth Analysis 14 2005 Monroe County Public Facilities Capacity Assessment 1990 to 45.2% by 2015. The county-wide peak seasonal population growth rate ex- ceeded four percent (4%) in 1993. Growth rates fluctuated between -1.7% and 1.9% for the remainder of the years under study, and are expected to continue to decline. The incorporation of Islamorada and Mara- thon has created substantial reductions in both permanent and seasonal population for the Upper and Middle Keys service areas. As mentioned above, the Upper Keys ser- vice area lost 12% of its functional popula- tion, and the Middle Keys service area is lost 87% of its functional population as a result of the incorporation of the City of Marathon. The functional population in the Upper Keys service area is expected to increase from 37,314 to 37,541 (0.61%) from 2004 to 2005. This projected increase results from the addi ti on of 151 permanent resi- dents and 76 in the seasonal population. The functional population in the Middle Keys service area is expected to increase from 4,140 to 4,154 (0.34%) from 2004 to 2005. This projected increase results from the addition of 9 permanent residents and 5 in the seasonal population. The functional population in the Lower Keys service area is expected to increase from 34,347 to 34,639 (0.85%) from 2004 to 2005. This projected increase results from the addition of 217 permanent resi- dents and 74 in the seasonal population. 2000 Census Population The projected population data through 2015 presented in this report (both the permanent and seasonal populations) has been based on 1990 census data. The population pro- jection model has not yet been updated to incorporate the Census 2000 data that was released in late 2001. However, a compari- son of the projected 2000 permanent popu- lation and the actual population reported in the 2000 census shows that the proj ection overestimated the population of the unincor- porated area by 3,298 people. Figure 1.8 shows that the difference between the pro- j ected 2000 data and the actual permanent population reported by the 2000 census for the entire Monroe County to be 6,093 per- Unincorporated Area Upper Keys 19,740 15,168 17,435 -2,267 Middle Key s 13,948 800 1,098 -298 Lower Keys 18,062 20,008 20,741 -733 Incorporated Areas Is1amorada N/A 6,846 7,665 -819 Layton 183 186 208 -22 Key Colony Beach 977 788 1,101 -313 Marathon N/A 10,255 11,272 -1,017 Key West 24,832 25,478 26,102 -624 Total 77,742 79,529 85,622 -6,093 Source: D.S Census Bureau and Monroe COlmty Planning Department, 2005 Growth Analysis 15 2005 Monroe County Public Facilities Capacity Assessment sons. Taking this discrepancy into account, the permanent population of Monroe County is not growing as rapidly as pre- dicted. However, the functional population remains a valid estimate for planning pur- poses because of an increase in the amount of seasonal residents. In other words, al- though the permanent population was esti- mated to be larger than what was actually reported in the 2000 Census, the number of seasonal residents has increased. Therefore, the functional population estimates remain valid, and indicates an increase in the per- centage of the seasonal population. Number of Residential Permits The second major component of the Growth Analysis Section is the number of residen- tial permits issued. The majority of the new residential permits issued are for permanent residential use. However, some of the per- mits issued for permanent dwellings are used by the seasonal population. One issue to remember when considering growth based upon building permits is the time lapse that occurs between when a per- mit for a new residence is issued, and when that residence is ultimately occupied. The knowledge that the Rate of Growth Ordi- nance (ROGO) was about to be adopted in the early 1990s caused many property own- ers to obtain building permits prior to when they were prepared to construct their dwell- ings. As a result, there are many dwellings in the Keys that have permits, but are not yet fully constructed or are only partially complete. Based upon this time lapse, the number of residential permits issued over- states the actual number of new residential dwellings that currently require public fa- cilities. The number of dwelling units (permanent and seasonal) which can be permitted in Monroe County has been controlled by ROGO since July of 1992. ROGO was de- veloped as a response to the inability of the road network to accommodate a large-scale hurricane evacuation in a timely fashion. A series of complex models developed during the first evacuation study identified an ap- proximate number of additional dwelling units which could be permitted and which would not have a detrimental effect on the amount of time needed to evacuate the Keys. The ROGO system was developed as a tool to equitably distribute the remaining number of permits available both geo- graphically and over time. The ROGO system distributes a set number of allocations for new residential permits on a yearly basis from July 14 of one year to July 13th of the following year. Year 13 of the system started on July 14, 2004. Year 14 began on July 14, 2005. Each service area of unincorporated Monroe County and several of the incorporated areas receive a set number of allocations for new residen- tial permits that can be issued during that particular ROGO year. The number of allo- cations available to a particular area was based upon the supply of vacant buildable lots located in that area prior to the start of the ROGO system. The Ocean Reef area of north Key Largo is exempted from the ROGO system due to its proximity to Card Sound Road, an alternate evacuation route. The ROGO system allowed 255 allocations for new residential units in unincorporated Monroe County each year for the first six years of the ROGO system. The number of allocations available was reduced by the State of Florida Administration Commission during Year 7 of ROGO based upon a lack of progress on the implementation of the Year 2010 Comprehensive Plan. Available allocations were reduced by twenty percent Growth Analysis 16 2005 Monroe County Public Facilities Capacity Assessment In order to comply with Policy 101.2.13 re- ductions in allocations for both ROGO Year 12 and Year 13 because nutrient reduction credits were not available for all alloca- tions awarded in previous years. The Board of County Commissioners adopted Ordinance Number 037-2004 to hold the k' f h . h r Upper Keys 12B-22 83.5-112 ran mgs 0 t e Slxty-t ree app lcants Middle Keys 7-13 47.5- 83.4 which would have received allocations Lower Keys 1-6 4-47.4 for ROGO Year 12 Quarter 4 and Year 13 Source Monroe COllllly Building Deparlmenl, 2005 (20%), taking the available figure from 255 to 204 new residential units. The number of available allocations in unin- corporated Monroe County was further re- duced by the incorporation of Islamorada, which now receives 22 residential alloca- tions per year. The incorporation of Islamo- rada reduced the number of available alloca- tions in unincorporated Monroe County from 204 to 182. This number was further reduced by the incorporation of Marathon, which received a total of 24 new residential allocations. The incorporation of Marathon reduced the number of available new resi- dential allocations in unincorporated Mon- roe County from 182 to 158. Rule 28-20 if adopted by the Administrative Commission will increase the County allocation back to the original 197 units a year, 71 units a year will be allocated for affordable housing. Based on the 158 allocations, the ROGO system, in unincorporated Monroe County, now allocates 46 units to the Upper Keys service area, 7 units to the Middle Keys ser- vice area, and 74 units to the Lower Keys, for an annual total of 127 market rate resi- dential units each ROGO year. The remain- ing 31 allocations are for affordable hous- ing. Fifteen (15), one moderate and four- teen very low, low and median, affordable allocations were rolled over from Year 13 making a total of 46 affordable allocations available for year 14. Quarter 1. Because of the reductions re- quired for Year 13, only fifty of the sixty- three ranked applications were allocated. The remaining thirteen applicants will re- ceive allocations when they become avail- able. Regarding Year 14, the County and State agencies are working to adopt a less restric- tive provision which recognizes that waste- water treatment facilities are being con- structed to serve existing residential units. The Rule which would have been less re- strictive was challenged and the Administra- tive Hearing Judge ruled in favor of the State and County; the rule will be consid- ered at the August 9, 2005 meeting of the Governor and Cabinet. Figure 1.10, on the following page, shows the breakdown of new residential permits issued for unincorporated Monroe County since 1992. The data presented in the table does not include permits issued in Key West, Key Colony Beach, Layton, or Isla- morada. Also, the boundaries between the Upper and Middle Keys service areas, and the boundaries used for this data are slightly different. The chart below compares the boundaries. Basically, the service areas from the Code breaks at Whale Harbor Channel, and does not include Upper and Lower Matecumbe in the Upper Keys, while the permitting records break at Chan- nel Five and do include Upper and Lower Matecumbe in the Upper Keys. Figure 1.9 explains these differences. 12A-22 7-13 1-6 71-112 47.5-70.9 4-47.4 Growth Analysis 17 2005 Monroe County Public Facilities Capacity Assessment Figure 1.10 - New and Replacement Residential and Seasonal Units Pennitted by Year for Unincorporated Monroe County 1992 Upper Keys 190 38 0 6 23 257 Middle Keys 67 0 0 I 0 68 Lower Keys 189 0 14 0 0 203 Subtotal 446 38 14 7 23 528 1993 Upper Keys 104 0 0 5 0 109 Middle Keys 55 2 0 I 0 58 Lower Keys 80 0 0 I 0 81 Subtotal 239 2 0 7 0 248 1994 Upper Keys 109 0 0 3 0 112 Middle Keys 94 0 0 0 0 94 Lower Keys 36 0 0 I 0 37 Subtotal 239 0 0 4 0 243 1995 Upper Keys 131 2 0 4 0 137 Middle Keys 27 2 2 I 5 37 Lower Keys 144 0 0 0 0 144 Subtotal 302 4 2 5 5 318 1996 Upper Keys 114 0 3 3 0 120 Middle Keys 40 0 15 0 0 55 Lower Keys 83 0 0 6 0 89 Subtotal 237 0 18 9 0 264 1997 Upper Keys 89 0 12 0 0 101 Middle Keys 27 4 0 0 77 108 Lower Keys 73 0 0 0 0 73 Subtotal 189 4 12 0 77 282 1998 Upper Keys 78 0 0 3 0 81 Middle Keys 13 0 0 0 lID 123 Lower Keys 66 0 0 0 0 66 Subtotal 157 0 0 3 110 270 1999 Upper Keys 138 0 0 2 0 140 Middle Keys 20 0 0 24 63 107 Lower Keys 87 0 0 0 I 88 Subtotal 245 0 0 26 64 335 2000 Upper Keys 67 0 35 0 0 102 Middle Keys 4 0 0 0 34 38 Lower Keys 75 0 0 0 0 75 Subtotal 146 0 35 0 34 215 2001 Upper Keys 62 0 13 7 I 83 Middle Keys 9 0 0 10 0 19 Lower Keys 80 0 0 38 0 118 Subtotal 151 0 13 55 1 220 2002 Upper Keys 75 0 0 14 0 89 Middle Keys III 0 25 22 0 158 Lower Keys 7 0 0 45 0 52 Subtotal 193 0 25 81 0 299 2003 Upper Keys 72 0 0 17 0 89 Middle Keys 138 0 0 22 0 160 Lower Keys 25 0 0 5 0 30 Subtotal 235 0 0 44 0 279 2004 Upper Keys 41 0 0 37 0 78 Middle Keys 83 0 0 9 0 92 Lower Keys 2 0 0 I 0 3 Subtotal 126 0 0 47 0 173 TOTAL 2,905 48 119 288 314 3,674 Source: Monroe County Building Department, 2005 Growth Analysis 18 2005 Monroe County Public Facilities Capacity Assessment Figure 1.11- Comparison of Residential Permits by Service Area 2003-2004 2004 LOWlr Keys 2% 2003 LOWlr Keys 11% Upper Keys 32% Middle Keys 53% Upper Keys I 45% Middle Keys 57% ource: Monroe County Building Department, 2005 Figure 1.12 - Comparison of Residential Permit Types 2003-2004 2004 Single ~Family 73% Mobile Home/RV Multi} 6% Family 0% Duplex 0% 200Protel/Motel 0% Multi- Family 0% Hotel/Motel 0% Single ~ Family 84% Mobile Home/RV 27% Duplex 0% ource: Monroe County Building Department, 2005 Single Family 446 239 239 Duplex 38 2 0 Multi-Family 14 0 0 Mo bile Home/RV 7 7 4 302 237 4 0 2 18 5 9 189 4 12 o 157 245 o 0 o 0 3 26 146 o 35 o 151 o 13 55 193 235 o 0 25 0 81 44 126 o o 47 2905 48 119 288 Figure 1.13-Comparison of Residentiai Permit Types 1992-2004 600 .eJ "s 500 iJ 400 p... '0 300 .... 0) .n 200 8 Z 100 o 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 . Single Family. Duplex. Multi-Family . Mobile Home/RV . Hotel/Motel Growth Analysis 19 2005 Monroe County Public Facilities Capacity Assessment According to Building Department records 3,674 residential permits were issued from 1992 to 2004, with 79% (2,905) being is- sued to single family residences. Only 12% (455) of the residential permits were issued to duplex, multifamily, or mobile home pro- jects. Almost 37% (1,369) of all the resi- dential permits issued in the past decade were issued in 1991 to 1992 as applicants were attempting to obtain permits prior to ROGO. A total of 173 residential permits were issued in unincorporated Monroe County in 2004, a decrease from 2003 at- tributable to Policy 101.2.13 that was men- tioned above. There were more new resi- dential permits issued in 1999 than any pre- vious year back to 1992. Figures 1.11 and 1.12 show the distribution of new residential permits issued in unin- corporated Monroe County during 2003 and 2004. Figure 1.11 shows a decrease in the total number of permits issued in the Upper and Lower Keys service areas relative to the number issued in the Middle Keys from 2003 to 2004. There were 106 fewer new residential permits issued in 2004 than 2003. Figure 1.12 shows the composition of resi- dential permits issued in 2003 and 2004. No new duplexes or multi family dwelling units were permitted in either year. Single family residential permits occupy the largest percentage in both years, with 109 fewer single-family permits being issued in 2004. The number of mobile home permits in- creased by 2. Figure 1.13 shows the total number of per- mits issued in unincorporated Monroe County from 1992 to 2004. The chart shows a swell in permitting activity prior to the adoption of ROGO, and then declines following its adoption. Figure 1.14 shows the breakdown in the types of residential permits issued over the last decade. Figure 1.14 - Types of Permits Issued 1992- Mobile 2004 Home/RV 8% Multi- Family 3% Diip~ex 1% Hotel! Motel 9% Single Family 79% Source: Monroe County Building Department, 2005 Non-Residential Square Footage Nonresidential permitting also plays a role in growth analysis. Nonresidential permits include everything that is not residential, like: industrial, commercial, nonprofit & public buildings, and replacement or remod- eling of existing nonresidential structures. Also included are vested and ROGO ex- empt hotels, motels, campgrounds, marinas and other commercial facilities. With very little industrial and agricultural activity in the Keys, the predominant form of nonresidential development is commer- cial. In Monroe County, there are two pri- mary types of commercial development: retail trade and services (which includes tourism-related development such as mari- nas and restaurants). Therefore, the impact of nonresidential development on public facilities varies significantly based on the type of commercial use. Nonresidential and residential developments Growth Analysis 20 2005 Monroe County Public Facilities Capacity Assessment Figure 1.15 - New Nonresidential Permits by Year* 1992 Upper Keys 15 40,506 Middle Keys 2 7,263 Lower Keys 5 1,529 Subtotal 22 49,298 1993 Upper Keys 4 16,334 Middle Keys 4 24,812 Lower Keys 4 27,236 Subtotal 12 68,382 1994 Upper Keys 4 24,648 Middle Keys 7 31,079 Lower Keys 4 0 Subtotal 15 55,727 1995 Upper Keys 24 147,319 Middle Keys 12 109,331 Lower Keys 8 10,004 Subtotal 44 266,654 1996 Upper Keys 17 102)95 Middle Keys 6 93,334 Lower Keys 2 14,149 Subtotal 25 210,278 1997 Upper Keys 14 93,503 Middle Keys 83 8,420 Lower Keys 2 18,3 27 Subtotal 99 120,250 1998 Upper Keys 4 60,936 Middle Keys 73 16,304 Lower Keys 1 24,152 Subtotal 78 101,392 1999 Upper Keys 8 14,861 Middle Keys 68 84)15 Lower Keys 1 2,054 Subtotal 77 101,630 2000 Upper Keys 8 33,873 Middle Keys 68 75,584 Lower Keys 5 19,168 Subtotal 81 128,625 2001 Upper Keys 31 73,307 Middle Keys 1 4,998 Lower Keys 4 8,575 Subtotal 36 86,880 2002 Upper Keys 3 3,773 Middle Keys 0 0 Lower Keys 26 110,805 Subtotal 29 114,578 2003 pper eys Middle Keys 37 110,446 Lower Keys 0 0 Subtotal 44 124,097 2004 pper eys Growth Analysis 21 2005 Monroe County Public Facilities Capacity Assessment tend to fuel one another. Residential popula- tions provide markets for nonresidential ac- tivities. Nonresidential development, in turn, helps to drive population growth by providing services and employment. Cer- tain types of nonresidential development also concentrate the demand for public fa- cilities within certain locations and during peak periods. The Monroe County Building Department tracks the number of nonresidential permits by subdistrict in unincorporated Monroe County. In addition to the number of per- mits, the Building Department tracks the amount of square footage affected in each nonresidential building permit issued. Figure 1.15, on the previous page, shows the trends in nonresidential permitting from 1992 to 2004. The subdistricts shown in the chart do not directly correspond to the ser- vice areas mandated in section of 9.5-292 of the Land Development Regulations. Refer to the boundary descriptions found in Fig- ure 1.10 of this report to compare the two areas. There were six non-residential per- mits issued for commercial construction. In Figure 1.16- New Commercial Square Footage by Service Area 1992-2004 LO\\er Keys. 17% Upper / Keys 43% Middle / Keys 40% 2005 the heading of Figure 1.15 was changed to exclude the previously used term "redevelopment" in the heading. Therefore the number of permits and corre- sponding square footage refer only to new non-residential development permits and the corresponding square footage. Figure 1.15A is a new table that was added to show the total number of non-residential permits that were issued in each sub-area. Figure 1.15A - Number of Commercial Permits by Year 2004 Upper Keys 443 Middle Keys 51 Lower Keys 268 Subtotal 762 TOTALS 762 Figure 1.16 shows the relative amount of square footage permitted in each of the three service areas from 1992 to 2004. Figure 1.17 on the following page shows the trends in the amount of nonresidential permitting activity have fluctuated through- out the last decade. The permitting activity based on square footage affected generally declined from 1990 through 1994 with a major jump in affected area occurring in 1995 which resulted from the knowledge of an impending implementation of a nonresi- dential permit allocation system similar to the ROGO system for residential develop- ment. Since residential development is con- strained through the Rate of Growth Ordi- nance and the Permit Allocation System, it was thought that nonresidential 40,506 16,334 24,648 147,319 102,795 93,503 60,936 14,861 33,873 73,307 3,773 13,651 5,200 630,706 7,263 24,812 31,079 109,331 93,334 8,420 16,304 84,715 75,584 4,998 0 110,446 5,598 571,884 1,529 27,236 0 10,004 14,149 18,327 24,152 2,054 19,168 8,575 110,805 0 7,480 243,4 79 49,298 68,382 55,727 266,654 210,278 120,250 101,392 101,630 128,625 86,880 114,578 124,097 18,278 1,446,069 Growth Analysis 22 2005 Monroe County Public Facilities Capacity Assessment Figure 1.17 - Nonresidential Permits by Semce Area 1992-2004 ~ 300,000 if] - 250,000 '" .- ..... 200,000 l=1 <!) "0 150,000 .- m <!) 100,000 ~ l=1 50,000 0 Z 0 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 _ Upper Keys _ Middle Keys c=J Lower Keys -+- Total (commercial) development should also be constrained in the interest of maintaining a balance of land uses. At the time the Comprehensive Plan was prepared in 1991, 17.6% of the land was under residential use, while 4.6% was used for commercial development as indicated in Table 2.1, Monroe County Existing Land Uses, in the Monroe County Year 2010 Comprehensive Plan Technical Document. It was determined that this balance was ap- propriate given the knowledge available at the time the Comprehensive Plan was pre- pared. To assure that balance was maintained, the Comprehensive Plan proposed Policy 101.3.1, which states: "Monroe County shall maintain a bal- ance between residential and nonresidential growth by limiting the gross square footage of nonresidential development over the 15 year planning horizon in order to maintain a ratio of approximately 239 square feet of nonresidential development for each new residential unit permitted through the Per- mit Allocation In other words, the Comprehensive Plan limits the square footage of new commer- cial development that may be permitted. The commercial square footage allocation is 239 square feet for each (1) new residential permit issued. This equates to around 37,762 square feet of new commercial de- velopment per year throughout unincorpo- rated Monroe County. Between adoption of the 2010 Comprehen- sive Plan on April 15, 1993, and December 31, 2001, permits were issued for 462,529 square feet of non-residential floor space, which was not exempted from the compre- hensive plan defined non-residential permit allocation system. This amount of non- residential floor space includes permits for development within the Village of Islamo- rada and City of Marathon prior to their re- spective incorporation. Of the total square feet permitted, 276,641 square feet was permitted after April 15, 1993 (adoption of the 2010 Comprehensive Plan) and prior to January 4, 1996. The re- maining 185,888 square feet was permitted after that date for proj ects vested from the non-residential permit allocation system provisions of the 2010 Comprehensive Plan. Growth Analysis 23 2005 Monroe County Public Facilities Capacity Assessment The BOCC adopted NROGO in September 2001. The approval was challenged, but subsequently a settlement was reached and NROGO became effective November 2002. Applicants were requesting 18,222 square footage of floor area for the year 10 NROGO allocation. There was 44,292 SF of non-residential floor area available for year 10 (July 2001-July 2002). The BOCC approved 22,150 SF to be allocated for year 10. At the end of the allocation period for year 10 there was a total of 26,090 SF to be carried over to year 11. By year 12 (July 2003-July 2004), there was approximately 85,858 SF of non-residential floor area available for allocation. The Board of County Commissioners approved the Planning Commission's recommenda- tion that 10,700 square feet of floor area be made available for Year 12. Monroe County Board of County Commissioners later amended the Year 12 annual alloca- tion. By Resolution, passed and adopted on March 18,2004, the Board of County Com- missioners increased the annual allocation for Year 12 to 16,000 square feet of floor area all of which was made available for , applicants in a single allocation in January, 2004. Of the 16,000 square feet, 11,913 were granted NROGO allocations. 3,776 out of the remaining 4,587 square feet was allocated in July of 2004 with the remaining 311 square feet of floor area to be carried over. On November 17, 2004 the Board of County Commissioners adopted in Resolu- tion 424-2004 and approved 16,000 square feet of floor area to be made obtainable for Year 13 (July 2004 - July 2005) with the first allocation of 8,000 square feet in Janu- ary 2005, and the second allocation of 8,000 square feet in July 2005. There was 80,741 square feet of non-residential floor area available for allocation in Year 13. There was 5,075 out of the 16,000 square feet al- located carried over to Year 14. The BOCC will recommend in the fall of 2005 the amount of square feet to be allocated for Year 13 (July 14, 2004 through July 13, 2005). Summary To summarize, this growth analysis is based upon projected changes in population as well as residential and nonresidential per- mitting in unincorporated Monroe County. There are two groups that compose the population in Monroe County: the perma- nent resident population, and the peak sea- sonal population. The sum of these two groups gives the functional population, or the maximum number of people in the Keys . . on any gIven evemng. The functional population of all Monroe County is expected to grow by more than 6,000 people from 1990 to 2015, an in- crease of 11 % over the period. Planning Department projections show the rate of increase in functional population is ex- pected to slow after the year 2000. The functional population of unincorporated Monroe County is expected to reach 75,219 people in 2003, a decrease of 27% from 1990 due to the incorporations of Islamo- rada in 1997 and Marathon in 1999. The Upper Keys portion of unincorporated Mon- roe County accounts for 49.3% of the unin- corporated functional population, while the Lower Keys portions accounts for 45.3% in 2003. These percentages are expected to remain relatively constant through 2015. The permanent population of all of Monroe County, according to the 2000 Census was reported as 79,529, an increase of 1,787 Growth Analysis 24 2005 Monroe County Public Facilities Capacity Assessment from the 1990 Census. This is 6,093 less than the projected 2000 population. In terms of the number of residential permits, a total of 173 residential permits (including vested or ROGO exempt hotel rooms) were issued in 2004, a decrease from 2002. From 1992 to 2004, 79% of the residential permits (2,905) were issued to single family residences, while only 12% (455) were issued for multifamily, duplex, or mobile homes. A total of 173 permits (73%) were issued for single family residences in 2004. The current rate of growth guidelines indicate that unincorporated Monroe County has a total of 158 permits it may issue during the ROGO year (not including the additional 90 replacement affordable housing units which were allowed by the DCA based upon the lower enclosure removal program). In terms of the number of new non-residential permits, a total of 6 commercial permits were issued in 2004, accounting for 18,278 square feet of new commercial development. The Nonresidential Rate of Growth Ordi- nance (NROGO) was approved and became effective in November 2002. Based on the BOCC a total of 16,000 square feet of NROGO allocation was available for new non-residential development in year 13. The BOCC will recommend in the fall of 2005 the amount of square feet to be allocated for Year 13 (July 14,2004 through July 13,2005). 25 2005 Monroe County Public Facilities Capacity Assessment IL TRANSPORTATION FACILITIES This section of the report investigates the current capacity of the transportation net- work in Monroe County. This analysis in- cludes changes in traffic volumes, the level of service on US. 1, the reserve capacity of the highway and county roads, and the Flor- ida Department of Transportation Five Year Work Program for Monroe County. Roads are one of the four critical public fa- cilities identified for annual assessment in the Land Development Regulations. In fact, roads are the only public facility with clear and specific standards for level of service measurements identified in the Land Devel- opment Regulations and Comprehensive Plan. The regulations require all segments of US. 1 to remain at a level of service of 'C', and all County roads to be remain at a level of service 'D'. Subsequent portions of this section will explain the level of service measurements, and how the level of service is calculated. Existing Roadway Facilities Monroe County's roadway transportation system is truly unique. Nowhere else is there a chain of islands over 100 miles long connected by 42 bridges along a single highway. This single highway, the Over- seas Highway (US. 1), functions as a col- lector, an arterial, and the "Main Street" for the Keys. US. 1 is a lifeline for the Keys, from both economic and public safety per- spectives. Each day it carries food, sup- plies, and tourists from the mainland. In the event of a hurricane, it is the only viable evacuation route to the mainland for most of Monroe County. US. 1 in Monroe County is predominantly a two-lane road. Of its 112 total miles, ap- proximately 80 miles (74%) are two-lane segments that are undivided. The four-lane sections are located on Key Largo, Tavern- ier (MM 90 to 106), the Marathon area (MM 48 to 54), Bahia Honda (MM 35 to 37), and from Key West to Boca Chica (MM 2 to 9). In addition to US. 1, there are 450 miles of County (secondary) roads with 38 bridges. US. 1 and the County (secondary) roads have a combined total of approximately 340 intersections in the Keys. The Monroe County Division of Public Works is charged with maintaining and improving secondary roads which are located within the bounda- ries of unincorporated Monroe County. The Florida Department of Transportation (FDOT) is responsible for maintaining US. 1. Figure 2.1 identifies the traffic signals in operation along the US. 1 corridor (excluding those found on the island of Key West). College Road Cross Street MacDonald Avenue Key Deer Blvd. 33rd Street/School Cross- mg Sombrero Beach Blvd. 107th Street 109th Street Pedestrian Crossing Key Colony Causeway Coco Plum Drive Woods Avenue/School 90 Plantation Key Crossing 90.5 Plantation Key Sunshine Road 91.5 Tavernier Ocean Boulevard 99.5 Key Largo Atlantic Boulevard 10 1 Key Largo Tradewinds 105 Ke Lar 0 Pedestrian Crossin Source: 2005 Arterial and Travel Time/ Dela Stud, URS Inc. 4.4 4.6 4.8 30.3 Stock Island Stock Island Stock Island Big Pine Key 48.5 50 52.4 52.5 53 53.5 54 Marathon Marathon Marathon Marathon Marathon Fat Deer Key Fat Deer Key Transportation Facilities 26 2005 Monroe County Public Facilities Capacity Assessment Traffic Volumes Traffic counts can be very useful in assess- ing the capacity of the road network and help determine when capacity imp~ove- ments need to be made. The two primary measurements for determining traffic vol- umes are the average daily traffic in an area (referred to as an "ADT"), and the annual average daily traffic (referred to as an "AADT"). Average daily traffic counts are collected from both directions over seven twenty-four hour periods which usually in- clude a weekend. The amount of traffic counted over the week is then divided by five or seven to yield the average daily traf- fic for a particular location. The "5-day ADT" measurement considers only week- days, and the "7-day ADT" includes the weekend. The ADT information can then be used in a formula called a "weekly fac- tor" to estimate the annual average daily traffic, which is an estimate of the average amount of traffic at a particular location on any given day of the year. In Monroe County, traffic counts have been conducted in the same locations since 1992 These counts occur at Mile Marker 84 on Upper Matecumbe, Mile Marker 50 in Marathon, and at Mile Marker 30 on Big Pine Key. The counts are usually per- formed during the six-week peak tourist season which begins in the second week of February. This year's counts were com- pleted between February 27 and March 12, 2005. Figure 2.2, on the following page, compares the traffic counts for 2005 with those for 2004. The average weekday (5-Day ADT) and the average weekly (7-Day ADT) traffic vol- umes, compared to last year's data, slightly decreased at Marathon. Upper Matecumbe and Big Pine Key traffic volumes have slightly increased in 2005. The AADT when compared to last year has decreased in all three segments. Big Pine Key (MM 30) 5-Day ADT 23,108 24,304 7-Day ADT 22,538 23,788 AADT 19,894 19,844 Marathon (MM 50) 5-Day ADT 37,604 37,405 7-Day ADT 36,563 36,085 AADT 32,274 30,102 Upper Matecumbe (MM 84) 5-Day ADT 27,194 27,980 2.89% 7-Day ADT 27,561 27,693 0.48% AADT 24,328 22,927 -5.76% Source: 2005 Arterial and Travel Time/ Delay Study, URS Inc. 5.18% 5.55% -0.25% -0.53% -1.31% -6.73% A detailed historical comparison of the AADT traffic counts at all three locations for the period from 1995 to 2005 is shown in Figure 2.3. Figure 2.3 shows that the Marathon location consistently records the highest traffic vol- umes throughout the period, with counts generally in the upper 20,000 to 30,000 range. The AADT counts for Big Pine ~over in the low 20,000 range over the pe- nod. Meanwhile Upper Matecumbe had been gradually increasing from 1995 to 2004 from a range of 20,000 up to around 25,000. Last year Upper Matecumbe de- creased to about 23 000 , . US. 1 historic traffic growth is depicted in a regression analysis graph in Figure 2.4. A linear regression analysis of the AADT at each of the three locations over the last twelve years indicates that in the Big Pine Key segment has negative growth rate of 0.05% per year. Traffic growth rates in Marathon and Upper Matecumbe segments of US. 1 are positive 0.79% and 1.71% per year, respectively. Transportation Facilities 27 2005 Monroe County Public Facilities Capacity Assessment Figure 2.4 - Regression Analysis of AADTs 1995-2005 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 o Marathon Rate of growth ~ 1.51 % per yearL ......... ... ..... .....-- ... - .. - ...... - ... - - - . ~.... ... """""""""""",,,,;;;;;;;;;;;,,"""""""",""""";~;;;;;""""""""""~""';;;;;;;;;;;""""'~ . JIIi........... ~"".._'"''.;;;;;;-''''' - '''-''''''.'';;;;~.'''''.''''''~ - ... . -4' - - ~ ;;;; ;;;; ~;;;; ;;;; *- - '. Upper Matecumbe Big Pine Rate of growth Rate of growth ~ 2.37% per year ~ 0.07 % per year I I I I I I~ 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 . Big Pine Key . Marathon .. Upper Matecunbe Upper Matecunbe Trendline - - Marathon Trendline ,Big Pine Key Trendline Source: 2005 Arterial and Tra\el Time/ Delay Study, URS Inc. Level of Service Background Monroe County has conducted travel time and delay studies of US. 1 on an annual basis since 1991. The primary objective of the US. 1 Arterial Travel Time and Delay Study is to monitor the level of service on US. Highway 1 for concurrency manage- ment purposes pursuant to Chapter 163, Florida Statutes and Section 9.5-292 of the Land Development Regulations. The study utilizes an empirical relationship between the volume-based capacities and the speed- based level of service methodology devel- oped by the US. 1 Level of Service Task Force. The US. 1 Level of Service Task Force is a multi-agency group with members from Monroe County, the Florida Department of Transportation, and the Florida Department of Community Affairs. A uniform method- Transportation Facilities 28 2005 Monroe County Public Facilities Capacity Assessment ology was developed in 1993 and amended December 1997. The methodology adopted considers both the overall level of service from Key West to the mainland, and the level of service on 24 selected segments. The methodology was developed from basic criteria and principles contained in Chapters 7 (Rural Multilane Highways), Chapter 8 (Rural Two-Lane Highways) and Chapter 11 (Urban and Suburban Arterials) of the 1985 Highway Capacity Manual. Overall Level of Service on U.S. 1 For the purposes of this study, overall speeds are those speeds recorded over the 108-mile length of US 1 in the Keys be- tween Key West and Dade County. Overall speeds reflect the conditions experienced during long distance or through trips. Given that US. 1 is the only principal arte- rial in Monroe County, the movement of through traffic is an important considera- tion. The overall level of service or capacity of the entire length of US. 1 is measured in the average speed of a vehicle traveling from one end to the other of US.!. The level of service (LOS) criteria for overall speeds on US. 1 in Monroe County, as adopted by the US. 1 Level of Service Task Force, are as follows: LOSA LOSS LOSe LOS 0 LOS E LOS F 51.0 mph or above 50.9 mph to 48 mph 47.9 mph to 45 mph 44.9 mph to 42 mph 41.9 mph to 36 mph below 36 mph Both Monroe County and the Florida De- partment of Transportation have adopted a level of service 'c' standard for the overall length of US.!. In other words, a vehicle traveling from Mile Marker 4 to Mile Marker 112 (or vice versa) must maintain an average speed of at least 45 mph to achieve the level of service 'c' standard. The median overall speed during the 2005 study was 45.3 mph, which is 0.1 mph lower than the 2004 median speed of 45.4 mph. The mean op- erating speed was 44.2 mph with a 95% confi- dence interval of plus or minus 1.1 mph. The mean speed correspond to LOS D conditions and the median speed correspond to LOS C condi- tions. The highest overall speed recorded in the study was 48.4 mph (0.5 mph higher than the 2004 highest overall speed), which occurred on Wednesday, March 2, 2005 between 3 :00 p.rn. and 5:29 p.rn., in the northbound direction. The lowest overall speed recorded was 36.8 mph (2.5 mph lower than the 2004 lowest overall speed), which occurred on Friday, March 11, 2005 be- tween 4:00 p.rn. and 6:27 p.rn. in the northbound direction. Figure 2.5 shows that the overall me- dian speed for U.S. 1 has remained between 45.3 mph and 47.8 from 1992 to the present with it decreasing steadily for the last three years. Fur- thermore it has reached the lowest median speed in the last 13 years. Should the overall median speed ever fall below 45 mph (the minimum LOS C standard), then the U.S. 1 capacity would be considered inadequate. 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 c c c c c c c c c c c c c c 0.5 -0.1 0.5 -0.7 -0.7 -0.8 1 -0.3 1 -0.2 -1 -0.7 -0.1 46.9 47.4 47.3 47.8 47.1 46.5 45.7 46.7 46.4 46.9 47.1 46.1 45.4 45.3 Source: 2005 Arterial and Travel Time/ Dela Stud, URS Inc. Transportation Facilities 29 2005 Monroe County Public Facilities Capacity Assessment 48.0 -- ~ ~ 47.0 rfJ ; 46.0 =6 ~ 45.0 44.0 ~ W * ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ M ~ ~ ~ ...;' ,,~ ,,~ ,,~ ,,~ ,,~ ,,~ ...;' '\;"- '\;"- '\;"- '\;<::j '\;<::j '\;<::j Years Level of Service on U.S. 1 Segments In addition to a determination of the overall capacity throughout the entire 108 mile length of US. 1 between Mile Marker 4 and 112, Section 9.5-292 of the Land Develop- ment Regulations requires that the capacity of portions or "segments" of US. 1 also be assessed annually. There are a total of twenty four (24) segments of US. 1 from Mile Marker 4 to Mile Marker 112. A de- scription of the segment boundaries can be found in Figure 2.6 on the following page. The segments were defined by the US. 1 Level of Service Task Force to reflect road- way cross sections, speed limits, and geo- graphical boundaries. Segment speeds reflect the conditions ex- perienced during local trips. Given that US. 1 serves as the "main street" of the Keys, the movement of local traffic is also an important consideration on this multipur- pose highway. However, the determination of the median speed on a segment is a more involved process than determining the over- all level of service since different segments have different conditions. Segment condi- tions depend on the flow characteristics and the posted speed limits within the given seg- ment. The Land Development Regulations require each segment of the highway to maintain a level of service of 'c' or better. The level of service criteria for segment speeds on US. 1 in Monroe County depends on the flow characteristics and the posted speed limits within the given segment. Flow character- istics relate to the ability of a vehicle to travel through a particular segment without being slowed or stopped by traffic signals or other devices. Segments with a series of permanent traffic signals or other similar traffic control devices in close proximity to each other are considered to be "Interrupted Flow Segments", and are expected to have longer travel times due to the delays caused by these signals or control devices. Road- way segments without a series of signals or control devices are considered to be "Uninterrupted Flow Segments". Uninter- rupted segments may have one or more traf- fic signals, but they are not in close prox- imity to one another as in the interrupted segment case. The methodology used to determine median speed and level of service on a particular segment is based upon that segment's status as an interrupted or unin- terrupted flow segment. The criteria, listed by type of flow characteristic, are explained in Figure 2.7. F or all "uninterrupted" segments containing isolated traffic signals, the travel times were reduced by 25 seconds per signal to account for lost time due to signals. The Marathon and the Stock Island segments are consid- Transportation Facilities 30 2005 Monroe County Public Facilities Capacity Assessment 1 4 5 Cow Key Bridge Key Haven Boule- Stock Island, Key Ha- l (N) vard ven 2 5 9 Key Haven Boule- R kl d D . Boca Chica, Rockland 2 d oc an nve var 3 9 10.5 Rockland Drive Boca Chica Road Big Coppitt 2 4 10.5 16.5 Boca Chica Road Harris Channel Shark, Saddlebunch 3 Bridge (N) 5 16.5 20.5 Harris Channel Bow Channel BridgeLower & Upper Sugar- 3 Bridge (N) (N) loaf 6 20.5 23 Bow Channel Spanish Main Drive Cudjoe 4A Bridge (N) 7 23 25 Spanish Main East Shore Drive Summerland 4A Drive 8 25 27.5 East Shore Drive Torch-Ramrod Ramrod 4A Bridge (S) 9 27.5 29.5 Torch-Ramrod N. Pine Channel Little Torch 4A Bridge (S) Bridge (N) 10 29.5 33 N. Pine Channel Long Beach Drive Big Pine 5 Bridge (N) 11 33 40 Long Beach Drive 7- Mile Bridge (S) W. Summerland, Bahia 6 Honda, Ohio 12 40 47 7- Mile Bridge (S) 7- Mile Bridge (N) 7-Mile Bridge 6 13 47 54 7 - Mile Bridge (N) Cocoa Plum Drive Vaca, Key Colony 7 Beach 14 54 60.5 Cocoa Plum Drive Toms Harbor Ch Fat Deer Crawl, Grassy 8 Bridge (S) 15 60.5 63 Toms Harbor Ch Long Key Bridge (S)Duck, Conch 10 Bridge (S) 16 63 73 Long Key Bridge Channel #2 Bridge Long, Fiesta, Craig 11 (S) (N) 17 73 77.5 Channel #2 Bridge Lignumvitae Bridge L M b 12A (N) (S) ower ate cum e 18 77.5 79.5 Lignumvitae Tea Table Relief Fill 12A Bridge (S) Bridge (N) 19 79.5 84 Tea Table Relief Whale Harbor Upper Matecumbe 13 Bridge (N) Bridge (S) 20 84 86 Whale Harbor Snake Creek Bridge W. dl 12B Bridge (S) (N) m ey 21 86 91.5 Snake Creek Ocean Boulevard Plantation 14 Brid e (N) 22 91.5 99.5 Ocean Boulevard Atlantic Boulevard Tavernier 15 & 16 23 99.5 106 Atlantic Boulevard C-905 Key Largo 17 - 20 24 106 112.5 C-905 County Line Sign Key Largo, Cross Key 22 Source: 2005 Arterial and Travel Time/ Dela Transportation Facilities 31 2005 Monroe County Public Facilities Capacity Assessment ered "interrupted" flow facilities. There- fore, no adjustments were made to travel times on these segments. The segment limits, the median travel speeds, and the 2004 and the 2005 LOS are presented in Figure 2.8. Figure 2.9 is a map of the segment boundaries indicating 2005 LOS. The median segment speed ranged from 56.6 mph (LOS A) in the 7-Mile Bridge segment to 30.2 mph (LOS B) in the Stock Island segment. The level of service determined from the 2005 travel time data yielded changes to ten segments; two re- sulted in positive level of service changes while eight resulted in negative level of ser- vice changes. Below is a list of the follow- ing level of service changes as compared to 2004 data: . The Big Coppit segment (Segment 3) de- creased from LOS 'c' to LOS 'D' . The Saddlebunch segment (Segment 4) de- creased from LOS 'B' to LOS 'c' . The Sugarloaf segment (Segment 5) de- creased from LOS 'c' to LOS 'D' . The Ramrod segment (Segment 8) increased from LOS 'B'toLOS 'i'l . The Big Pine segment (Segment 10) de- creased from LOS 'c' to LOS 'D' . The 7-Mile Bridge segment (Segment 12) increased from LOS 'C'toLOS 'i'l . The Grassy segment (Segment 14) decreased from LOS 'c' to LOS 'D' . The Long Key segment (Segment 16) de- creased from LOS 'B' to LOS 'c' . The L Matecumbe segment (Segment 17) decreased from LOS 'c' to LOS 'D' . The U Matecumbe segment (Segment 19) decreased from LOS 'c' to LOS 'D' Compared to 2004, the median segment speeds decreased in eighteen of the 24 segments ranging between 0.1 mph to 2.8 mph lower. Four seg- ments experienced an increase in median speeds, ranging from 0.9 mph to 3.5 mph, compared to last year's data. None of the changes in speed could be attributed to any specific change in conditions except the changes in traffic volumes, frequency of draw- bridge openings and general traffic conditions. Reserve Capacities The median overall speed of US. 1 in 2005 is 45.3 mph, which is a decrease of 0.1 mph from the 2003 overall median speed of 45.4 mph. The difference between the median speed and the LOS C standard gives the re- serve speed, which in turn can be converted into an estimated reserve capacity of addi- tional traffic volume and corresponding ad- ditional development. The median overall speed of 45.3 mph compared to the LOS C standard of 45 mph leaves an overall re- serve speed of 0.3 mph. This reserve speed is converted into an estimated into an esti- mated reserve capacity (5,564 daily trips). The estimated reserve capacity is then con- verted into an estimated capacity for addi- tional residential development (869 units), assuming balanced growth of other land uses. Applying the formula for reserve vol- ume to each of the 24 segments of US. 1 individually gives maximum reserve vol- umes for all segments totaling 85,986 trips. These individual reserve volumes may be unobtainable, due to the constraints im- posed by the overall reserve volume. As stated earlier, the Land Development Regulations mandate a minimum level of service of 'c' for all roadway segments of US. 1. However, county regulations and FDOT policy allow segments that fail to meet LOS C standards to receive an alloca- tion not to exceed five percent below the LOS C standard. The resulting flexibility will allow a limited amount of additional Transportation Facilities 32 2005 Monroe County Public Facilities Capacity Assessment Figure 2.7 - Level of Service Standards Bas ed on Flow Characteris tics A >= 35 mph >= 1.5 mph above speed limit B >= 28 mph 1.4 mph above to 1.5 mph below speed limit C >= 22 mph 1.6 mph below to 4.5 mph below speed limit D >= 17 mph 4.6 mph below to 7.5 mph below speed limit E >= 13 mph 7.6 mph below to 13.5 mph below speed limit F < 13 mph > 13.5 mph below speed limit Source: 2005 Arterial and Travel Time/ Delay Study, URS Inc. 1 Stock Island B B 32.0 30.2 -1.8 2 Boca Chica A A 58.2 55.8 -2.4 3 Big Coppitt C D 46.1 44.7 -1.4 4 Saddlebunch B C 53.7 50.9 -2.8 5 Sugarloaf C D 48.3 46.6 -1.7 6 Cudjoe A A 48.1 47.8 -0.3 7 Summerland B B 46.4 45.7 -0.7 8 Ramrod B A 46.4 47.8 1.4 9 Torch A A 47.6 46.8 -0.8 10 Big Pine C D 38.4 36.4 -2.0 11 Bahia Honda B B 52.5 52.6 0.1 12 7-Mile Bridge C A 53.1 56.6 3.5 13 Marathon A A 35.2 35.2 0.0 14 Grassy C D 50.3 49.5 -0.8 15 Duck B B 54.4 53.6 -0.8 16 Long B C 52.9 50.8 -2.1 17 1. Matecumbe C D 50.5 50.0 -0.5 18 Tea Table D D 49.0 49.9 0.9 19 U. Matecumbe C D 40.9 39.1 -1.8 20 Windley A A 41.8 41.8 0.0 21 Plantation C C 40.0 39.4 -0.6 22 Tavernier A A 48.3 47.7 -0.6 23 Largo A A 45.5 44.7 -0.8 24 Cross D D 45.0 44.4 -0.6 Overall C C 45.4 45.3 -0.1 Source: 2005 Arterial and Travel Time/ Delay Study, URS Inc. 33 2005 Monroe County Public Facilities Capacity Assessment Figure 2.9 -Map of US 1 Segments ~ I #2Cl L.OS A 34 2005 Monroe County Public Facilities Capacity Assessment land development to continue until traffic speeds are measured again next year or until remedial actions are implemented. These segments are candidates for being desig- nated either "backlogged" or "constrained" by FDOT. Applications for new develop- ment located within backlogged or con- strained segments are required to undergo a thorough traffic analysis as part of the re- VIew process. Based on this year's results, Big Coppitt (Segment 3), Sugarloaf (Segment 5), Big Pine (Segment 10), Grassy (Segment 14), Lower Matecumbe (Segment 17), Tea Table (Segment 18), Upper Metacumbe (Segment 19) and Cross Key (Segment 24) are below the LOS C threshold. However, seven of these segments have reserve capacities within the 5% allocation, except for the Cross Key segment. Segments that have used-up all the 5% reserve trips are re- stricted in new development or redevelop- ment, except where redevelopment has no net increase in trips. The Cross Key seg- ment has used-up all the 5% reserve trips, normally restricting any new development or redevelopment, but based upon the new fixed span bridge and widening at Jewfish Creek, this will not be an issue. A detailed summary table displaying level of service and reserve capacity values for each seg- ment is contained in the "2005 US. 1 Arte- rial Travel Time and Delay Study". In addition to the requirement that areas with inadequate public facilities be identi- fied in the annual assessment, the Land De- velopment Regulations also require those areas with marginally adequate public fa- cilities to be identified. For the purposes of this report, US. 1 segments with reserve speeds of less than or equal to 3 mph (Figure 2.10) in 2005 will be considered as "marginally adequate". This year's report indicates that eleven seg- ments are "marginally adequate" and any applications for new development which would generate traffic in marginally ade- quate areas must submit a detailed traffic report for consideration during review. Please see Figure 2.11 for "marginally ade- quate" facilities. "Marginally Adequate" Segments Figure 2.11 Mile Marker # Name Range Reserve 3 Big Coppitt 9.0 - 10.5 -0.5 4 Saddlebunch 10.5-16.5 1.3 5 Sugarloaf 16.5 - 20.5 -1.0 10 Big Pine 29.5 - 33.0 -1.2 14 Grassy 54.0 - 60.5 -0.4 16 Long 63.0 - 73.0 1.8 17 Lower Matecumbe 73.0 - 77.5 -0.5 18 Tea Table 77.5 - 79.5 -0.2 19 Upper Matecumbe 79.5 - 84.0 -1.4 21 Plantation 86.0 - 91.5 1.1 24 Cross 106-112.5 -2.9 Source: 2005 Arterial and Travel Time! Delay Study, URS Inc. Level of Service on County Roads Section 9.5-292 of the Land Development Regulations establishes a level of service standard of LOS D for all County roads, as measured on a volume or annual average daily traffic (AADT) basis. Based on the results of this analysis as shown on Table 4.7 in the Monroe County Year 2010 Comprehensive Plan Technical Docu- ment, all of the County roads examined are operating at or above the County standard of LOSD. Improvements to Roadway Facilities Major improvements scheduled for US. 1 are Transportation Facilities 35 2005 Monroe County Public Facilities Capacity Assessment outlined in the Florida Department of Transportation Five-Year Work Pro- gram. The major project for unincorporated Monroe County in the current FDOT Work Program (2004/2005 to 2008/09) is to re- place the Jewfish Creek drawbridge with a high-level fixed-span bridge and the instal- lation of culverts to improve the tidal flow to the surrounding wetlands. The construc- tion phase for this project began in 2005. Additionally, the 18 mile stretch between the Jewfish Creek Bridge and Florida City is also scheduled for reconstruction begin- ning in 2005. Another major project on the 5-year Work Program is the reconstruction of the Card Sound Road/County Road 905 intersection scheduled for 2007/08. Other road proj ects in the current FDOT Work Program include the preliminary en- gineering phase for adding a center turn lane on US-1 at Big Coppitt Key, Knights Key (MM 46.9-49.1), Grassy Key (MM 57.5-59.9), Long Key (MM 65.3-66.0), and Plantation Key (MM 85.7-86.7). These pro- jects are scheduled to begin construction in 2006, with the exception of Long Key and Plantation Key, which are scheduled for construction in 2007/08. In addition to the turn lane projects, numer- ous resurfacing projects are scheduled throughout the Keys over the span of the 5- year Work Plan. In addition to the road projects on us. 1, the construction of different segments of the Florida Keys Overseas Heritage Trail are included in the current 5-year Work Plan. These construction projects include: . The segment from MM 5.2- Key Haven to MM 9.6-Big Coppitt Key . The segment from MM 16.5-Sugarloaf Key to MM 24.5-Summerland Key . The segment from MM 25-Summerland Key to MM 26.2- Ramrod Key . The segment from MM 26.2-Ramrod Key to 29.9 Big Pine Key, . The segment from MM 33.3 Spanish Harbor Bridge to MM 40.5 (south end of the 7-mile bridge), . The segment from MM 59.2 on Grassy Key to MM 65.2 Long Key . The segment from City of Layton MM 68.4 to MM 70.8-Channel 5 Bridge, and . The segment from ChannelS-Bridge to Anne's Beach. The following historic bridges are also scheduled for reconstruction to be used as part of the Overseas Heritage Trail: . The old Park Channel Bridge at MM 18.7, . The Bow Channel Historic Bridge at MM 20.2, . The Kemp Channel Bridge at MM 23.6, . The old South Pine Channel Bridge at MM29, . The Ohio-Bahia Honda Bridge at MM 38.7, . The Ohio-Missouri Historic Bridge at MM 39.1, . The Missouri-Little Duck Key at MM 39.8, and . The old Long Key Bridge at MM 63. Copies of the FDOT's most recent Five Year Work Program are available at the Florida Department of Transportation of- fices in Marathon. Summary The Land Development Regulations pro- vide clear guidance for assessing the capac- ity of the roadway system in Monroe County. US. 1 is required to maintain at Transportation Facilities 36 2005 Monroe County Public Facilities Capacity Assessment least a level of service of 'C', while County roads must maintain a level of service of 'D'. Level of service is determined using the speed-based methodology developed by the US. 1 Level of Service Task Force in 1993. The speed based methodology util- izes the empirical relationship between vol- ume-based capacities, and median vehicle speeds. The level of service for US. 1 is measured for the overall 108 miles of the roadway as well as for the 24 individual segments making up the roadway in the Keys. The traffic volumes recorded at Big Pine, Marathon and Upper Matecumbe have in- creased as compared to the traffic volumes during the 2003 study. Using the historical traffic data, incorporating the 2003 data (based on a regression analysis), the three count locations on US. 1 have shown a traf- fic growth of 0.07%, 1.51%, and 2.37% per year respectively. The overall travel speed on US. 1 for 2005 is .1 mph lower compared to the 2004 over- all travel speed. The reserve speed for the entire length of US. 1 is .3 miles per hour. This means that the entire segment is oper- ating with only marginal capacity. Compared to 2004 data, the travel speeds on 4 of the 24 segments increased. These seg- ments are: -Ramrod (+1.4 mph) -7-Mi1e Bridge (+3.5 mph) -Tea Table (+0.9 mph) -Bahia Honda (+0.1 mph) The Marathon and Windley segments had no change in travel speed between 2005 and 2004. Though, travel speeds in 18 segments have decreased. They are: -Stock Island (-1.8 mph) -Boca Chica (-2.5 mph) -Big Coppitt (-1.5 mph) -Sadd1ebunch (-2.8 mph) -Sugarloaf (-1.8 mph) -Cudjoe (-0.3 mph) -Summerland (-0.7 mph) -Torch (-0.8 mph) -Big Pine (-1.9 mph) -Grassy (-0.8 mph) -Duck (-0.8 mph) -Long (-2.1 mph) -L Matecumbe (-0.5 mph) -U Matecumbe (-1.8 mph) -Plantation (-0.7 mph) -Tavernier (-0.6 mph) -Key Largo (-0.8 mph) -Cross (-0.6 mph) Compared to last year's (2004) study results, there are changes in LOS in ten of the seg- ments studied. The Big Coppitt, Sugarloaf, Big Pine, Grassy, L. Metacumbe and U Metacumbe segments experienced decreases in LOS from C to D. The Saddlebunch and Long Key segments experienced decreases in LOS from B to C. The Ramrod segment has experienced an increase in LOS from B to A. The 7-Mile Bridge segment has experienced an increase in LOS from C to A. The largest speed increase of 3.5 mph was recorded in the 7-Mile Bridge segment, while the largest speed decrease of 2.8 mph was recorded in the Saddlebunch segment. US. 1 segments with reserve speeds of less than or equal to 3 mph should be given par- ticular attention when approving develop- ment applications. This year, there are eleven segments of US. 1 in this category: Transportation Facilities 37 2005 Monroe County Public Facilities Capacity Assessment -Big Coppitt (MM 9.0 - MMlO.5) -Sadd1ebunch (MM 10.5 - 16.5) -Sugarloaf(MM 16.5 - -20.5) -Big Pine (MM 29.5 - MM 33.0) -Grassy (MM54.0 - 60.5) -Long (MM 63.0 - MM 73.0) Big Coppit (Segment 3), Sugarloaf (Segment 5), Big Pine (Segment 10), Grassy (Segment 14), L. Matecumbe (Segment 17), Tea Table (Segment 18), U Matecumbe (Segment 19), Cross Key (Segment 24) are below the LOS C threshold. The Tea Table (Segment 18), Cross Key (Segment 24) segments have been below the LOS threshold for the past four years. All of these segments have reserve vol- ume or reserve capacities within the 5% allo- cation, except for Cross Key. The Cross Key segment has exceeded its reserve capacity. The continuous degradation of travel speeds in these segments should be of concern. The travel speeds on Cross Key segment is likely to improve with the implementation of a high level fixed bridge, completion is anticipated within the next three years. The Lower Mate- cumbe and Tea Table segments do not have any planned improvements to curtail the travel speed reductions. The Florida Depart- ment of Transportation and/or the Monroe County should conduct a special study along -L. Matecumbe (MM 73.0 - MM 77.5) -Tea Table (MM 77.5 - MM 79.5) -D. Matecumbe (MM 79.5 - MM 84.0) -Plantation (MM 86.0 - MM 91.5) -Cross (MMI06.0 - MM 112.5) this stretch of US. 1, which should include the above two segments and Upper Mate- cumbe (Segment 19) which has -1.4 mph re- serve speed, compared to last years reserve speed of 0.4, to determine what improve- ments, if any can be implemented to improve the declining travel speeds. The signal at the Key Deer Boulevard inter- section in Big Pine (Segment 10) continues to influence the travel speeds on this segment, and has experienced 15 delay events compare to the 13 from the 2004 study. Particular at- tention should be given to development or redevelopment that will add more trips to this particular segment, because the LOS has fallen below LOS threshold and has a reserve speed of -1.2 with a 5% allocation of 406 trips. All County roads have levels of service above the required standard of 'D' . Transportation Facilities 38 2005 Monroe County Public Facilities Capacity Assessment IlL POTABLE WATER The Florida Keys Aqueduct Authority (FKAA) is the provider of potable water in the Florida Keys. The Biscayne Aquifer is the groundwater supply source for the FKAA. The wellfield is located in a pine- land preserve west of Florida City in Mi- ami-Dade County. The FKAA wellfield contains some of the highest quality groundwater in the State, meeting or ex- ceeding all regulatory standards prior to treatment. Strong laws protect the wellfield from potentially contaminating adj acent land uses. Beyond the County's require- ments, FKAA is committed to comply with ~nd surpass all federal and state water qual- Ity standards and requirements. The groundwater from the wellfield is treated at the 1. Robert Dean Water Treat- ment Facility in Florida City, which cur- rently has a maximum water treatment de- sign capacity of 23.8 million gallons per day (MGD). The water treatment process consists primarily of lime softening, filtra- tion, disinfection and fluoridation. The treated water is pumped to the Florida Keys through a 130 mile long pipeline at a maxi- mum pressure of 250 pounds per square inch (psi). The pipeline varies in diameter from 36 inches in Key Largo to 18 inches in Key West. The FKAA distributes the treated water through 648 miles of distribu- tion piping ranging in size from % inch to 12 inches in diameter. In 2004, the FKAA replaced over 140,400 feet of various size distribution water mains. The FKAA's Wa- ter Distribution System Upgrade Plan calls for the upgrade or replacement of approxi- mately 40,000 feet of water main during fiscal year 2005-06. The FKAA maintains storage tank facilities which provide an overall storage capacity of 45.2 million gallons system wide. The size of the tanks vary from 0.2 to 5.0 million gallons. These tanks are utilized during pe- riods of peak water demand and serve as an emergency water supply. Since the existing transmission line serves the entire Florida Keys (including Key West), and storage ca- pacit~ is an integr~l part of the system, the capacIty of the entIre system must be con- sidered together, rather than in separate ser- vice districts. Also, the two saltwater Reverse Osmosis (RO) plants, located on Stock Island and Marathon, are available to produce potable water under emergency conditions. The RO des.alinat~on plants are capable of producing theIr desIgned capacities of 1.8 and 0.9 mil- lion gallons per day (MGD) of water re- spectively. ' At present, Key West is the only area of the County served by a flow of potable water sufficient to fight fires. Outside of Key West, firefighters rely on a variety of water sources, including tankers, swimming pools, and salt water either from drafting sites on the open water or from specially con- structed fire wells. Although sufficient flow to fight fires is not guaranteed in the County, new hydrants are being installed as water lines are replaced to make water available for fire fighting purposes and pump/tank stations are being upgraded to provide additional fire flow and pressure. A map of the various FKAA facilities in the Keys is shown on the next page. Demand for Potable Water In October 2002, South Florida Water Man- agement District approved the FKAA's in- crease in Water Use Permit (WUP). The WUP increases FKAA's potential withdraw- als to an average of 19.93 and a maximum Potable Water 39 2005 Monroe County Public Facilities Capacity Assessment Figure 3.1 - FKAA Facilities S>STDj ~Y'v'ER\iIEW .'0;:" ~ .. :..: y:.~ ....~~ ) L -,.....t . ~~,:...,~> -' ~.. ~ ~~.:.~,:....,:, ~' !':..~ . ,:..; -" ....1-,.1;...'.: ~;. 'J"":. :;. v:,: L., '.I".:, __ . ~;c.~:,:,"", '<o~~"~;---I .~ ..._ ..~.~~.L;.~ ;~~;<J~ - 6!=!~ o-lP ;:-:,:~i':: (~~..~~~ ~~~ r~) \... ~, t..1~ > , ::'0 ....;1 ;:L't.li- I, ~!'::'; C8:-:::-.; ..:.':..... ',;:: ~:.;. Il~ ":)1,,';:-:0:; ~?i_J ~.v ;-: t.~~ VFY-, ; _~;) >-l=' p.~~PS I (~5""-) S'~imcRL~\: ,~:,_~j' K~Y ? :~: ,.i-' i:.;IJ;::~ r---:'-~ M-cu>l ! ;<'.0. P.J:J."T .....: ~ ~'""'-,-""~ .,~~ ~-..... ~........ ''''~'... . 1 . ~ I I I I I .~' - "., ' ." t~- ~ CI)I'~--) . i ~:- ., 't,: '--" "". t\(....k::. i \-... .. '-,'. .- ','-..\ \~ -.... I'lJ \ \~,\ .'=;::\ :---..11"- "-,'>'::-, ~~ /- ,.~- ~) /---' _/-/ -.........<~ :..:':<t)J~J[) K:..... r~SJ[h.""-:-..:~:..: '. - :'0:: ""lr:' P~...~ $~~_.i ~ t::J::J fF ;::lJ~~ of 23.79 Million Gallons per Day (MGD). In 2004, the FKAA distributed an average of 17.65 and a maximum of 22.0 MGD to the Florida Keys. As a condition of the WUP, the FKAA is constructing a Floridian Aquifer Storage and Recovery (ASR) sys- tem. This system is designed to recharge and store water from the Biscayne Aquifer during the wet season (May through N 0- vember) in the Floridian Aquifer which is approximately 800-1,000 feet below the ground surface, and then recover fresh wa- ter to supplement the Biscayne Aquifer dur- ing the dry season (December through April). In addition, until the ASR system is online, the FKAA must limit the dry season withdrawal from the Biscayne Aquifer to 17.0 MGD by using an alternative water source, pressure reduction, public outreach, and assistance from municipal agencies in enforcing water conservation ordinances (i.e. irrigation ordinance). ...:.:L.=:: ) ; ..." - ~ (..'-I~~-::.:-.... .r..-q.~.~ -- ;. ......~' ;.j .-...--,.. -...- ~ - <. ~. ~ ~ - :.. .....': r,;~-;~~ l ~" "V ' I ,:i :\ ~ ,:~ _.:' ;, .....:-:L.: ... \-- ~,- ~ '. .......... ~ .,... ~.... 1~::<~7 -'~ jF n"''''-'';;;;~ 'U-.II :)fV ; ~ Cl 4fr ~re ',.....c:_',_y:~? ,! ;\.~.~~-P,..,~~ ~,~, =\.... . qc>..;:: c c.-; :;. .... <;) -"-' .... ....vn- ~ ..... -,;;RO ~ I.;.;~: 1 i~ i-P p,..t,l;": ;.;: '..:.~ - :,:. IL -._,~..... - ... r , 5. S LJ ,~:,. ;'~ ;"~I--: .,. _~ c.....~: __~: ~:..~~~.'., . ~ ..,. .: 10,.';:,:. ~-.lt...~A~.-lOf'.~ , :lC-::: '-l~ "'U~PS 2" 65:: ~80 :'UI.,lP$ --- ;(;,LALj(....C;:.......A f,~~T-_') ~o"3i~ ._ .~.....ro:....... __,_.-" ;. _~:1 HP f-l~ ~:.;.s ~.~~; .~ _1o,l.J .-.~- '-, "I";':;\.'\I"S~t.f.Y t:pr-:'" Cr--~G K [y $~A~~~ ----'---~ . J 5')0 i-1'-= i=-.....M~.::; _____ :":;'A\\'L H.! Q~~ ---- ; .10 H:-J ."UI,IPS -.:.?-~~ ............-6~~...... s~ r.,!.::..Rf.<~HO'\l ;;: ~J .-l~ ....LJI.,IPS K":5V : - !~ , ~"" -) -...- : ~j ~~ ~T' IC~' ~~::- f-- ;!I'Sr --) ~ y .......I"'(.~. ... ........ .__ ____ :i 4:';' ,:8- p....Io)I-";-- ,.__.:~.::;_.......... However, unless the proj ected future water demands decrease or the ASR system proves unsuccessful, the FKAA must also consider an alternative source of water sup- ply such as a brackish or salt water source which will require a new water treatment plant. Demand for potable water is influenced by many factors, including the size of the per- manent resident and seasonal populations, the demand for commercial water use, land- scaping practices, conservation measures, and the weather. Figure 3.2 summarizes FKAA's historic withdrawals, in millions of gallons. The table also shows the percent change in withdrawal from one year to the next, the existing Water Use Permit (WUP) withdrawal limits, and the reserve capacity available for future development under the existing WUP. Potable Water 40 2005 Monroe County Public Facilities Capacity Assessment 1980 2,854.90 N/A N/A 1981 3,101.10 8.60% N/A N/A 1982 3,497.30 12.80% N/A N/A 1983 3,390.20 -3.10% N/A N/A 1984 3,467.50 2.30% 4,450 982.5 1985 4,139.20 19.40% 4,450 310.8 1986 4,641.50 12.10% 5,110 468.5 1987 4,794.60 3.30% 5,110 315.4 1988 4,819.80 0.50% 5,110 290.2 1989 4,935.90 2.40% 5,110 174.1 1990 4,404.10 -10.80% 5,560 1,155.90 1991 4,286.00 -2.70% 5,560 1,274.00 1992 4,461.10 4.10% 5,560 1,098.90 1993 5,023.90 12.60% 5,560 536.1 1994 5,080.00 1.1 0% 5,560 480 1995 5,140.40 1.20% 5,778 637.6 1996 5,272.00 2.60% 5,778 506 1997 5,356.00 1.60% 5,778 422 1998 5,630.00 5.10% 5,778 148 1999 5,935.30 5.40% 5,778 -157.3 2000 6,228.00 10.60% 5,778 -450 2001 5,626.70 -9.70% 5,778 151.3 2002 6,191.16 10.03% 7,274 1083.29 2003 6,288.29 1.57% 7,274 985.84 2004 6,460.85 2.74% 7,274 813.15 Source: Florida Keys Aqueduct Authority, 2005 Figure 3.3 - FKAAAnnual Water Withdrawl Figure 3.4 - WUP Remaining Allocation 8,000 ~ 7,000 ..s 6,000 '" o 5,000 ~ 4,000 :-_~ 3,000 2,000 51 1,000 o A - - - - - - 1,200 1,000 en 800 ~ 0 600 ~ 0 400 <..., 0 200 en ~ 0 .~ ;:;:1 -200 ~ -400 -600 ~'V ~l). ~Ic ~% ~<:::, ~'V ~l). ,,"I ,,"I ,,"I ,,"I 'Ii 'Ii 'V\:l ~ '" -.. \0 ~ -.. "'1- & "I "'1- ~ -.. 00 a ~ & -.. "I & "I 1_ Annual WithdraWll (MG) -+- WUP Limit (MG) 1 Potable Water 41 2005 Monroe County Public Facilities Capacity Assessment Average Daily Withdrawal 19.93 Maximum Daily Withdrawal 23.79 Annual Withdrawal 7,274 Allfigures are in millions ofgallons Source: Florida Keys Aqueduct Authority, 2005 The previous graphs show the relationship between the amount of water withdrawn on an annual basis and the limit of the Water Use Permit to the present. Figure 3.5 shows the projected water demand for 2005. Fig- ure 3.6 indicates the amount of water avail- able on a per capita basis. Based on Func- tional Population and permitted water with- drawal, the average water available is above 100 gallons per capita (person). The 100 gal- 17.65 22 6,461 18.42 22.4 6,723 7.274.45 billion gallons. Preliminary figures for 2005 indicate an in- crease in average day water use of 4 percent through May compared to 2004 figures. Therefore, the average daily water demand withdrawal projections for 2005 reflect this Increase. 1998 156,120 15,830,000 101.4 19,190,000 122.9 1999 157,172 15,830,000 100.7 19,190,000 122.1 2000 159,113 15,830,000 99.5 19,190,000 120.6 2001 159,840 15,830,000 99 19,190,000 120.1 2002 160,568 19,930,000 124.1 23,790,000 148.2 2003 161,227 19,930,000 123.6 23,790,000 147.6 2004 161,235 19,930,000 123.6 23,790,000 147.5 2005 162,041 19,930,000 123 23,790,000 146.8 Source: 1. Monro e CountyP opulation Es timates &Forecas ts 1990 to 2015 (February, 2000) 2. Florida Keys Aqueduct Authority, 2005 Ions per person per day standard is com- monly accepted as appropriate, and is re- flected in Policy 701.1.1 of the Year 2010 Comprehensive Plan. FKAA's current Water Use Permit (Permit # 13-00005W) from the South Florida Water Management District was obtained in 2002, and is good for a period of five years. The current WUP allows an average daily water withdrawal of 19.93 million gallons per day (MGD), a maximum daily withdrawal of 23.79 MGD, and a yearly maximum of Improvements to Potable Water Facilities FKAA has a long-range capital improve- ment plan for both the distribution system and the transmission and supply system, as shown in the table below. The total cost of the scheduled improvements is approxi- mately $107 million over the next 5 years. These proj ects are to be funded by the newly revised water rate structure, long- term bank loans, and grants. Potable Water 42 2005 Monroe County Public Facilities Capacity Assessment The scheduled distribution system improve- ments include replacing and upgrading lines in various subdivisions throughout the Lower, Middle, and Upper Keys. These improvements began in 1989, when FKAA embarked on the Distribution System Up- grade Program to replace approximately 190 miles of galvanized lines. In addition to improvements to the distribu- tion system, FKAA also has significant im- provements planned for the transmission and supply system. FKAA expects to ex- pand the treatment capacity at the 1. Robert Dean Water Treatment Plant to meet future water demands. Also, the FKAA is plan- ning improvements to the pump stations to improve flow/pressure and construction of water storage tanks to provide additional emergency water supply. Figure 3.7 on the following pages shows the projected capital improvements to the pota- ble water system planned by the FKAA. Potable Water 43 2005 Monroe County Public Facilities Capacity Assessment 1077 Phase IT-High Service Pump 897,100 2,000,000 2,897,100 1073 Aquifer Storage and Recovery 100,000 1,700,000 1,800,000 (ASR) StockIslandRO-Permeators & Carbonation 375,000 375,000 Des alination Production Facility 500,000 750,000 2,000,000 24,000,000 27,250,000 (Des ign Only) Replace DistributionPipe 3,500,000 3,000,000 3,000,000 3,220,000 3,220,000 15,940,000 North Ro 0 s evelt Blvd (JP A 120,000 2,000,000 2,120,000 w/FDOT) Water Tank-Long Key Station 1,400,000 1,400,000 2186 KeyWestPlantPump Station 2,282,000 3,218,000 5,500,000 2183 Cudjoe Tank &Pump Station 1,750,000 1, 750,000 2191 Vaca Cut Tank &Pump Station 280,000 280,000 Islamorada TanksIDistribution 2187 480,000 480,000 Imp. 2189 Big Pine Pump Station 360,000 360,000 Stock Island Pump Station 1,100,000 1,100,000 Improvements Key Largo Storage Tank &Dist. 100,000 1,450,000 250,000 1,800,000 Pump Station 1075 MarathonPump Station Imp. 900,000 900,000 (Engine &P urn ps) 1042 J ewfish Creek/Cro ss Key (DOT) 5,980,000 18,000 120,000 6,118,000 C-lllCanalBridge (JP A w/FDOT 1,000,000 1,000,000 Phase IT-Cathodic Protection System 1,200,000 1,200,000 1064 Key Largo Trans Pump Sta. & 2,000,000 2,000,000 Pipe line lus t. Plantation TransmissionPump 340,000 6,400,000 1,000,000 7,740,000 Station White he a d/S 0 uthard TransmissionMain 150,000 150,000 Replace 1,400' 18" Trans.- Key 300,000 300,000 Largo swamp Replace 20,000' 36" Trans. Key 1,500,000 900,000 2,400,000 Largo 3073 Des al Seawall &Do lphins 400,000 400,000 New Admin Bldg/Garage 200,000 175,000 5,700,000 8,700,000 1,200,000 15,975,000 3077 Marathon Central Warehous e 1,000,000 500,000 1,500,000 DESAL Customer Service/Records Bldg 120,000 1,700,000 1,820,000 Marathon Cus tom er Service Center 175,000 600,000 1,500,000 2,275,000 DESAL/Sto ck Is land/Lower Keys 200,000 200,000 Garage Wastewater 3083 Stock Island Pump Station 80,000 80,000 Wastewater Potable Water 44 2005 Monroe County Public Facilities Capacity Assessment arathon Middle/High School (7- Coral Shores High School (9-12) 12) ey Largo Elementary !Middle School (K-8) Stanley Switlik Elementary (K-6) lantation Key Elementary!Middle School (K-8) IV. EDUCATION FACILITIES The Monroe County School Board oversees the operation of 13 public schools located throughout the Keys. Their data includes both unincorporated and incorporated Mon- roe County. The system consists of three high schools, one middle school, three mid- dle/elementary schools, and six elementary schools. Each school offers athletic fields, computer labs, a cafetorium that serves as both a cafeteria and auditorium, and bus service. Approximately 54 busses transport about 4,316 students to and from school each day. In addition to these standard fa- cilities, all high schools and some middle schools offer gymnasiums. The school system is divided into three sub- districts that are similar, but not identical to the service areas outlined in Section 9.5-292 of the Land Development Regulations. One difference is that the School Board includes Fiesta Key and the islands that make up Is- lamorada in the Upper Keys (Subdistrict 1), while the Land Development Regulations place them in the Middle Keys (Subdistrict 2). Also, the School Board includes Key West in the Lower Keys (Subdistrict 3), Source: Monroe Count School Board, 2005 while the Land Development Regulations do not consider Key West. The data pre- sented in this section are based on the School Board's subdistricts. Subdistrict 1 covers the Upper Keys from Key Largo to Lower Matecumbe Key and includes one high school and two elemen- tary/middle schools, as shown in Figure 4.1. Subdistrict 2 covers the Middle Keys from Long Key to the Seven Mile Bridge and in- cludes one high/middle school and one ele- mentary school. Subdistrict 3 covers the Lower Keys, from Bahia Honda to Key West and includes one high school, one middle school, one elementary/middle school, and five elementary schools. Refer- ence figures 4.1 and 4.2. Demand for School Facilities The population of school age children in Monroe County is influenced by many fac- tors, including the size of the resident and seasonal populations, national demographic trends (such as the "baby boom" genera- tion), that result in decreasing household size, economic factors such as military em- ployment, the price and availability of hous- ing, and the movements of seasonal resi- dents. Reference figure 4.2a on the follow- Ing page. ey West High School (9-12) orace O'Bryant Middle School (6-8) dams Elementary (K-5) rcher/Reynolds Elementary (K-5) oinciana Elementary (K-5) Sigsbee Elementary (K-5) ig Pine Key Neighborhood School Pre K-3) Sugarloaf Elementary !Middle School K-8) 45 Education Facilities 2005 Monroe County Public Facilities Capacity Assessment Figure 4.2 Key Largo Elementary Coral Shores High Plantation Key Bementary/Middle stanley SWitlik Bementary pO . ~' 'L~/;'" ~' Marathm Hig, Horace 0 '8 ryant M id d Ie Poinciana Elementary Sugarloaf Sigsbee Elem entary Elem entary -li, , Gerald Adam s ,.... " '-~~ ~~~<_ :.~,' ElementarY~,,., "~.,, -, -.:..... .~~.,. ~'., '-~. .~~JifI!JJ~' ''-'-.. KeyWestHigh Glynn Archer Elem entary Reynold Elem entary Figure 4.2a Enrollment by Grade Level 01 02 03 0-4 05 06 07 OS 09 10 11 12 KG PK Tolal Big Pine Neighborhood Charter ( ( 0 ( [ 0 ( ( 0 ( ( ( 2 ( 2 Coral Sho res Hi gh S c h 001 ( ( 0 ( [ 0 ( 2.10 20 17 2.~ ( I 6U Gerald Adams Elemenlary School 5 5~ 58 5 [ 0 ( ( 0 ( ( ( 5~ ( 291 Glynn Archer Elementary School 3( 4 45 5 5[ 0 ( ( 0 ( ( ( 4 81 36(. Horace O'Bryant Middle School ( ( 0 ( [ 2.70 2.5 27 0 ( ( ( ( ( Biil Key Largo Elemenlary 8 104 104 10 1m 112. 11 11' 0 ( ( ( 7 58 99 Key West High School ( ( 0 ( [ 0 ( ( 431 361 23! 27( ( ( 1,30 Ma lath on Hi g h School ( ( 0 ( [ 0 9 1O~ 111 9~ 11 7[ ( ( 5!H Monroe county DJJ ( ( 0 ( [ 0 ( I 2 { I { { { ~ Mo ntessorl C harte r - Key Wesl 1 1! 15 [ 0 ( ( 0 ( ( ( ( ( 4,j Montessori Island Charter 2 11 2.4 2' 1[ 1 ( ( 0 ( ( ( 21 ( 131 PACE - Lower Keys ( ( 0 ( [ 0 5 1 ( ( 1~ PACE - Upper Keys ( ( 0 ( [ 0 1 I 5 { { ~ Planlation Key EI e me nlary Scho oi 5 6 52 6 7 88 B ( 0 ( ( [ 51 i 54li Poinciana Elementary School 8 9E 94 7 101 0 ( ( 0 ( ( [ 9( ( 53~ Slgsbee Elementary School 51 34 39 31 3 0 ( ( 0 ( ( [ 31 ( 231 Stanley Switli~ Elemenlary School 9 84 79 B' 7 93 ( ( 0 { { { 7' 44 62~ Sug arloaf EI em e nlary School 5[ 5 59 B 74 105 8 11 0 ( ( ( 4 2.8 7n olal 55i 57 6fH S8< 53 66 63- 61 7fjJ, 66 53l 38 52 231 7,87G Education Facilities 46 2005 Monroe County Public Facilities Capacity Assessment 605 597 649 702 672 701 757 758 800 810 801 811 619 1,310 1,213 1,235 1,198 1,223 1,273 1,253 1,183 1,173 1117 1112 1073 992 718 698 721 737 730 703 675 643 668 647 641 650 548 2,633 2,508 2,605 2,637 2,625 2,677 2,685 2,584 2,641 2,574 2,554 2,534 2,159 545 523 578 642 637 612 637 660 679 682 693 654 596 734 775 776 769 782 815 834 791 671 687 714 676 624 1,279 1,298 1,354 1,411 1,419 1,427 1,471 1,451 1,350 1,369 1,407 1,330 1,220 1,114 1,120 1,155 1,255 1,237 1,327 1,372 1,344 1,305 1,327 1301 1382 1303 852 902 876 909 897 863 899 814 838 854 874 873 800 899 810 1,039 1,013 987 960 937 913 941 854 901 904 718 541 529 516 486 500 499 574 566 513 544 598 591 291 480 441 462 454 454 520 493 460 393 376 386 382 360 521 566 613 626 637 608 620 632 599 586 583 547 536 471 400 431 431 398 404 423 393 358 363 326 295 237 81 81 85 52 52 58 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 10,000 9,000 927492069,343 g;-zrTS 8871 9,136" 9,1578938 8930 8,000 ' ~5 _ _ _ _ _ _ -'----- 8,847 -'---- 8,83 6,000 7,000 - - - - - - - - - --1;6-2-4 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 I-+- Total Fall School Enrollment I The School Board collects enrollment data periodically throughout the year. Counts taken in the winter are typically the highest, due to the presence of seasonal residents. Table (Figure 4.3) shows the fall school en- rollments from 1992 to 2004 by sub districts as taken from the School Board's Fall Student Survey. Level of Service of School Facilities The Monroe County Land Development Regulations do not identify a numeric level of service standard for schools (such as 10 square feet of classroom space per student). Instead, Section 9.5-292 of the regulations requires classroom capacity "adequate" to Figure 4.3a Charter Schools Fall School Emollments, 2004 22 4 48 137 16 19 24 accommodate the school-age children gener- ated by proposed land development. The School Board uses recommended capaci- ties provided by the Florida Department of Education (FDOE) to determine each Education Facilities 47 2005 Monroe County Public Facilities Capacity Assessment school's capacity. All schools have ade- quate reserve capacity to accommodate the impacts of the additional land development activities projected for 2004-2005 school year. Figure 4.4 shows each school's pro- jected number of students. Enrollment figures for the 2003-2004 school year and projected enrollment fig- ures for the 2004-2005 school year, show that O'Bryant Middle School, and Adams Elementary School exceed their recom- mended capacity and that Key West School is projected to exceed its recommend capac- ity for the 2004-2005 school year. How- ever, school facility plans are based on en- rollment projections 5 years out (2008-2009 school year), at which time sufficient capac- ity will be available. The remaining schools have more than sufficient capacity to ac- commodate all fall enrollment in 2005 and future years. Figure 4.4 -School Capacity, & Projected Number of Students Subdistrict 1 Coral Shores 868 831 818 747 835 Key Largo 1,240 1,191 1,115 1,082 1,031 Plantation 971 645 653 665 649 Subtotal 3,079 2,667 2,586 2,494 2,515 Subdistrict 2 Marathon 1,018 667 673 724 665 Switbk 925 668 674 684 651 Subtotal 1,943 1,335 1,347 1,408 1,316 Subdistrict 3 Key West 1,349 1,312 1,267 1,313 1,408 O'Bryant 833 818 838 876 887 Sugarloaf 1,356 941 842 835 888 Adams 547 506 546 605 552 Archer 470 398 371 357 350 Poinciana 660 585 574 591 550 Sigs bee 534 357 373 327 284 Student FISH Ca- be added Location Stations pacity CO-FTE Utilization (removed) CO-FTEUtilization Coral Shores HS 1,285 1,221 796 65% 738 60% Gerald Adams School 691 656 562 86% -139 521 101% Glynn Archer ES 579 550 347 63% -216 322 96% Horace O'Bryant School 1,187 1,128 841 75% -334 780 98% Key Largo School 1,323 1,257 1,029 82% -257 954 95% Key West HS 1,601 1,521 1,352 89% 1,254 82% Marathon HS 1,187 1,128 657 58% -327 609 76% Plantation Key School 883 839 658 78% -256 610 105% Poinciana ES 504 479 547 114% 120 507 85% Sigsbee ES 563 535 291 54% 270 50% Sugarloaf School 1,455 1,382 886 64% 822 59% Switlik School 921 875 648 74% -377 601 121% Monroe Total 12,179 11,571 8,614 74% -1,786 7,988 82% Education Facilities 48 2005 Monroe County Public Facilities Capacity Assessment Improvements to School Facilities Florida Statute 163.3177 requires counties to identify lands and zoning districts needed to accommodate future school expansions. In order to bring the Monroe County Year 2010 Comprehensive Plan into compliance with this statute, in 1998 the Monroe County Planning Department and School Board conducted research to determine the existing school capacity and the potential need for future educational facilities in Monroe County. This study focused on land requirements for each of the schools expansion needs. Over- all, the County has sufficient vacant and ap- propriately zoned land to meet the area's current and future school siting needs. The specific land requirements for the public schools in the County are discussed below. Key Largo Elementary/Middle School (K-8) Meeting the substantial land requirements of Key Largo School is a top priority of the School Board. The Department of Educa- tion (DOE) has instructed the Monroe County School Board to construct an addi- tional 43,100 square feet of school space. However, current land use regulations pro- hibit the School Board from construction of any additional facilities on or adjacent to its current site due to the environmental sensi- tivity of the area. The School Board re- cently made an unsuccessful attempt to pur- chase a new site on which to build the re- quired school facilities. Unless the Board is able to provide these facilities in Key Largo they will be non-compliant with the mini- mum DOE standards. Fully utilizing the current Key Largo site would enable the School Board to meet their DOE require- ments and to minimize other secondary en- vironmental impacts associated with the construction of a new school. It has been determined that the School Board may clear the required amount of land, but the loca- tion of the clearing is still under review by the Planning and Environmental Resources Department. Plantation Key Elementary/Middle School (K-8) The DOE has instructed the Monroe County School Board to construct an additional 16,600 square feet of school space for this school. The parcel of land for this school is not large enough to accommodate this de- velopment and regulations prohibit the School Board from constructing any addi- tional facilities on, or adjacent to, its current site due to the environmentally sensitive nature of the area. The Village of Islamo- rada will address plans for Plantation Key School and other educational facilities in its comprehensive plan. Stanley Switlik Elementary Expanding the existing school facilities into the two parcels of land flanking the current site will accommodate the land require- ments for Stanley Switlik Elementary. The school has a new cafeteria/kitchen/ multipurpose building as well as new park- ing and ballfields. Construction on the new facilities has been completed. Marathon High and Middle School The land requirements for Marathon High and Middle School are currently being met. The DOE has instructed the Monroe County School Board to construct a new 13,000 square foot auditorium for this school that could also serve as a community center. Coral Shores High School The School Board is currently finishing construction on the replacement school, which is scheduled for completion by the end of 2003. Education Facilities 49 2005 Monroe County Public Facilities Capacity Assessment Figure 4.5, on the following page, is a table showing the results of the investigation com- pleted by the Monroe County School Board and Planning Department III 1998 and up- dated in 2004. There are approximately 21 acres of vacant land zoned NA surrounding the current site. There are approximately 4.27 acres of vacant land zoned SC and 8.6 acres of vacant land zoned IS surrounding the current site. There are approximately 27 acres of vacant land zoned NA and 34 acres zoned SRsurrounding the current site. (1) The School Board is working with Monroe County Planning Department to meet this need prior to the end of 2004. Key Largo Elementary /Middle School 27 acres (SC & SR) 2 acres (1) (K-8) o acres Plantation Key Elementary/Middle School (K-8) Coral Shores High School Stanley Switbk Elementary N/ A (2) N/A (2) N/A N/A N/A o acres 8.29 acres (SR) 20.13 acres (SR) 9.43 acres (SC) Marathon High and Middle Schools 27 acres (SR) o acres (3) o acres Big Pine Neighborhood Elementary 4.5 acres (SC) o acres o acres SugarloafMiddle and Elementary 42 acres (SC & NA) o acres o acres There are approximately 70 acres of vacant land zoned SR and 65 acres zoned NA surrounding the current site. N/A N/A N/A (2) Islamorada will address plans for Plantation Key School, Coral Shores High School and other educational facilities in their co rehensive Ian. 50 2005 Monroe County Public Facilities Capacity Assessment Monroe County's solid waste facilities are managed by the Solid Waste Manage- ment Department, which Key Largo oversees a comprehensive Long Key . CudJoe system of collectIOn, recy- Old Site Closed 2/25/91 No Longer Active cling, and disposal of solid Unused Site None Currently Inactive waste. Prior to 1990, the Source: Monroe County Solid Waste Management Department, 2005 County's disposal methods consisted of incineration and landfilling at sites on Key Largo, Long Key, and Cudjoe Key. Combustible materials were burned either in an incinerator or in an air curtain destructor. The resulting ash was used as cover on the landfills. Non-combustible materials were deposited directly in the landfills. J( SOLID WASTE FACILITIES curbside contractors and prepared by WMI for shipment out of the Keys. However, it. is important to note that a second, unused SIte on Cudjoe Key could be opened if neces- Closed 12/31/90 Closed 1/7/91 o 180,000 sary. Figure 5.2 below summarizes the status of the County's landfills and incinera- tors. The County's recycling efforts began in Oc- tober 1994, when curbside collection of re- cyclable materials was made available to all County residences and businesses. Recy- cling transfer centers have been established in the Lower, Middle, and Upper Keys. The mulching of residential yard waste has been suspended indefinitely, due to the presence of citrus canker in the Florida Keys. Other government agencies are mulching and re- using yard waste, and private enterprises are collecting aluminum and other recyclable materials. In August 1990, the County entered into a contract with Waste Management, Inc. (WMI) to transport the solid waste to the contractor's private landfill in Broward County. In accordance with County- approved franchise agreements, private con- tractors perform collection of solid waste. Residential col- lection takes place four times . S . & Waste Management of White goods, a week (2 gar- Keys Sallltary ervlce Mid-Keys Waste, Inc. Florida, Inc. waste oil, bat- Ocean Reef Club, Inc. bage/trash, 1 Source: Monroe County Solid Waste Management Department, 2005 teries and tires recycling, 1 yard *On xcurrentl serves the Villa e ofIslamorada. are handled waste); nonresi - . separately, with collection sites operating at dential collection vanes by contrac~. The each landfill/transfer station site. The four (4) contractors currently servIng the County collects household hazardous waste Keys are identified in Figure 5.1. at the Long Key and Cudj oe Key Transfer Stations in addition to the Key Largo Recy- cling Y~rd. Hazardous waste from cond~- tionally exempt small quantity generators IS collected once a year, as part of an Amnesty Days program. An electronics recy.cling program is in the initial phases, and wIll be The County's incinerators and landfills are no longer in operation. The landfill sites are now used as transfer stations for wet gar- bage, yard waste, and construction debris collected throughout the Keys by the four Solid Waste Facilities 51 2005 Monroe County Public Facilities Capacity Assessment conducted in cooperation with the House- hold Hazardous Waste collections. Demand for Solid Waste Facilities For solid waste accounting purposes, the County is divided into three districts which are similar, but not identical to the service areas outlined in Section 9.5-292 of the Land Development Regulations (LDRs). One difference is that Windley Key, which is considered to be in the Upper Keys dis- trict in the LDRs, is included in the Middle Keys district for purposes of solid waste management. Another difference from the LDRs is that the cities of Layton and Key Colony Beach are included in the Middle Keys district for solid waste management. Although Islamorada incorporated on De- cember 31, 1997, the municipality contin- ued to participate with Monroe County in the contract with Waste Management Inc. until September 30, 1998. Data for Monroe County solid waste generation is calculated by fiscal year which runs from October 1 to September 30. Therefore, the effects of Is- lamorada's incorporation on solid waste ser- vices appear in the 1999 data. Data for the City of Key West and the Village of Islamo- rada is not included in this report. Marathon's incorporation was effective on October 1, 2000 and they continue to par- ticipate in the Waste Management Inc. con- tract. Effects of the incorporation, if any, would have appeared in the 2001 data. Demand for solid waste facilities is influ- enced by many factors, including the size and income levels of resident and seasonal populations, the extent of recycling efforts, household consumptive practices, landscap- ing practices, land development activities, and natural events such as hurricanes and tropical storms. Analyses provided by a 1985 1987 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 28,585 32,193 31,173 28,430 26,356 27,544 37,211 30,110 28,604 31,573 32,003 33,119 29,382 32,635 29,663 31,018 31,529 28,890 37,094 33,931 31,924 28,549 26,727 28,986 30,662 30,775 31,845 33,625 36,440 30,938 30,079 29,367 31,217 31,889 15,938 22,206 23,033 22,988 20,699 18,872 22,198 24,831 25,113 27,823 29,350 30,920 37,431 33,420 31,166 30,700 30,385 73,413 91,493 88,137 83,342 75,604 73,143 88,395 85,603 84,492 91,241 94,978 100,479 97,751 96,134 90,196 92,935 93,803 NA 24.63% -3.67% -5.44% -9.28% - 3.26% 20.85% -3.16% -1.30% 7.99% 4.10% 5.79% -2.71% -1.65% -6.18% 3.04% 0.93% 2004 32,193 31,583 33,762 97,538 3.98% Note: The figures from 1985 to 1991 include \\hite goods, tires, construction debris, and yard waste. They do not include source-separated recyclables. Source: Monroe County Solid Waste Management Department, 2005 Solid Waste Facilities 52 2005 Monroe County Public Facilities Capacity Assessment Figure 5.4 - SolidWaste Generation 1985 -2004 by District 120,000 100,000 80,000 m i=1 60,000 0 E--< 40,000 20,000 0 ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~R~~ ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ 1_ Key Largo - Long Key c::=:::J Cudjoe Key -k- Total 1 private research group indicate that the av- erage single-family house generates 2.15 tons of solid waste per year. Mobile homes and multifamily units, having smaller yards and household sizes, typically generate less solid waste (1.96 and 1.28 tons per year, respectively). The previous table and graph (Figures 5.3 & 5.4) summarize the solid waste generated by each district. The totals for each district are a combination of four categories of solid waste: garbage, yard waste, bulk yard waste and other (includes construction and demo- lition debris). After reaching a peak in 1988, the data shows a general decline in the total amount of solid waste generated throughout the County. However, in 1993 there was an in- crease of 21 percent in the amount of solid waste generated. This increase is attributed to the demolition and rebuilding associated with Hurricane Andrew, which made land- fall in South Florida in late August 1992. For the next two years the amount of solid waste generated in the County was once again on the decline. However, from 1996 onward the amount of solid waste generated had been on the increase until 1998, when it reached its highest level yet. This increase is attributed to the debris associated with Hurricane Georges, which made landfall in the Keys in September of 1998. A portion of the decline seen from 1998 to 1999 may be attributable to the reduction in solid waste collected from Islamorada. The con- tinuing decline shown in 2000 and 2001 is due to a reduction in construction and demolition debris being brought to the County transfer stations following the im- plementation of the Specialty Hauler ordi- nances. Yearly fluctuations are expected and contributed primarily by organic mate- rial from storm events. The 2003 to 2004 increase may have been linked to citrus tree removal due to citrus canker. Level of Service of Solid Waste Fa- cilities Section 9.5-292 of the Land Development Regulations requires that the County main- tain sufficient capacity to accommodate all existing and approved development for at least three (3) years. The regulations spe- cifically recognize the concept of using dis- posal sites outside Monroe County. As of January 2005, Waste Management Inc., reports a reserve capacity of approxi- mately 31.2 million cubic yards at their Solid Waste Facilities 53 2005 Monroe County Public Fa life. In addition to this contract the 180,000 cubic yard reserve at the C~unty landfill on Cudjoe Key would be sufficient to handle the County's waste stream for an additional four to five years (at current ton- nage levels), should the County choose to discontinue haul-out as the means of dis- posal. Central Sanitary Landfill m Broward County, a volume sufficient to serve their clients for another 12 years. Figure 5.5 be- low shows the remaining capacity at the Central Sanitary Landfill. Monroe County has a contract with WMI authorizing use of in-state facilities through September 30, 2016, thereby providing the County with approximately twelve years of guaranteed capacity. Ongoing modifica- tions at the Central Sanitary Landfill are creating additional air space and years of The combination of the eXIstmg haul-out contract and the space available at the Cud- joe Key landfill provides the County with sufficient capacity to accommodate all ex- i~ting and approved development for up to sIxteen years. Remaining Capacity 27 yd3 3 (volume in millions of cubic yards) 34.2 yd Remaining Capacity (time) 13 years 14 years Source: Monroe County Solid Waste Management Department, 2005 3 32.3 yd 3 30.5 yd 3 31.2yd 14 years 14 years 12 years Solid Waste Facilities 54 2005 Monroe County Public Facilities Capacity Assessment VL PARKS AND RECREATION An annual assessment of parks and recrea- tional facilities is not mandated by Section 9.5-292 of the Monroe County Land Devel- opment Regulations, though it is required for concurrency management systems by the Florida Statutes. The following section has been included in the 2005 Public Facili- ties Capacity Assessment Report for infor- mational purposes only. Level of Service standards for parks and recreational facilities are not mentioned in the Land Development Regulations, but are listed in Policy 1201.1.1 of the Monroe County Year 2010 Comprehensive Plan. Parks and Recreational Facilities Level of Service Standard The level of service (LOS) standard for neighborhood and community parks in un- incorporated Monroe County is 1.64 acres per 1,000 functional population. To ensure a balance between the provisions of re- source- and activity-based recreation areas the LOS standard has been divided equally between these two types of recreation areas. Therefore, the LOS standards are: . 0.82 acres of resource-based recrea- tion area per 1,000 functional popu- lation . 0.82 acres of activity-based recrea- tion area per 1,000 functional popu- lation The LOS standards for each type of recrea- tion area can be applied to unincorporated Monroe County as a whole or to each sub- area (Upper, Middle, and Lower Keys) of unincorporated Monroe County. In deter- mining how to apply the LOS standard for each type of recreation area, the most im- portant aspect to consider is the difference between resource- and activity-based rec- reation areas. Resource-based recreation areas are established around existing natural or cultural resources of significance, such as beach areas or historic sites. Activity- based recreation areas can be established anywhere there is sufficient space for ball fields, tennis or basketball courts, or other athletic events. Since the location of resource-based recrea- tion areas depends upon the natural features or cultural resources of the area and cannot always be provided near the largest popula- tion centers, it is reasonable to apply the LOS standard for resource-based areas to all of unincorporated Monroe County. Since activity-based recreation areas do not rely on natural features or cultural resources for their location and because they can be pro- vided in areas with concentrated popula- tions, it is more appropriate to apply the LOS standard to each subarea of the Keys. It is important to note that the subareas used for park and recreational facilities differ from those subareas used in the population projections. For the purpose of park and recreational facilities, the Upper Keys are considered to be the area north of Tavernier (PAEDs 15 through 22). The Middle Keys are considered to be the area between Pi- geon Key and Long Key (PAEDs 6 through 11). The Lower Keys are the area south of the Seven Mile Bridge (PAEDs 1 through 6). Although the Middle and Lower Keys subareas both contain portions of PAED 6, the population of PAED 6 is located in the Lower Keys subarea. An inventory of Monroe County's parks and recreational facilities is presented below. Parks and Recreation 55 2005 Monroe County Public Facilities Capacity Assessment Figure 6.1 - Parks and Recreation Facilities Semng Unincorporated Monroe County Garden Cove Hibis cus Park Friendship Park Key Largo Comm unity Park SunsetPoint Harry Harris Settler's Park SunnyHaven Key Largo Elem entary Coral Shores High School Plantation Key Elem entary Subarea Total Pigeon Key Mara tho n High S cho 0 I Switlik Elem entary Subarea Total Little Due k Ke y MissouriKey West Summerland Heron Avenue Palm Villa Big P ine Leisure Club Blue Heron Park Watson Field Ramrod Key Swim Hole Summ erland Es tates Little TorchBoatRamp Sugarlo afElem entary Baypoint Park Palm Drive cuI-de sac RocklandHammock Boca Chica Beach Delmar Avenue Big CoppittFire Department Playground Parks and Recreation Upper Keys Subarea Undeveloped. Undeveloped. Basketball courts (2), playground, ball field, picnic shelters, parking and public res tro om s. A soccer field, two (2) ball fields, six (6) tennis courts, a jogging trail, three (3) basketball courts, roller hockey, volleybalL playground, picnic shelters, public restrooms,parking and aquatic center. Waterfront park with a boatramp. Two (2) ball fields, playgro und, res tro 0 m s, picnic shelters, beach, parking (89) and boat ramp. P laygro und, park benche s, trails, and a his to ric platfo rm. Undeveloped. Monro e County Scho 0 lDis trict; Playground, bas eball field, running track, indoor gym. Monroe County School District; Baseball field, football field, softball field,S tennis courts,indoorgym. Monroe County School District; playground, I tennis court, I basketball court, I baseball field. Middle Keys Subarea His to ric structure s, re s earch/educa tional facilities, and a railro ad m us eum. Monroe County School District; Baseball and football field, softball field, 3 tennis courts, 3 basketballcourts, indoor gym. Monroe County School District; Playground, 2 baseball fields, shared so c c er/fo 0 tball field. Lower Keys Subarea Picnic shelters, re s tro 0 m s, bo at ram p, and be ach are a. Undeveloped. BoatRamp. Undeveloped. Playground and benches. Undeveloped. P laygro und, bas ketball co urt, yo uth c enter, and picnic she lters. Two (2) tennis courts, ballfield, playground, and vo lleyball. Swimming area with no facilities. Undeveloped. Boatramp. Monro e County Scho 0 lDis trict;1 bas eball fie ld, playground. Playground, vo lleybalL bo cchi balLtwo (2) tennis courts, and picnic area. Undeveloped. Undeveloped. Beach area. Boatramp. Playground and benches. 15 12 3 0.09 5. 79 5 25.5 3.5 318 0.69 0.5 O.B 0.1 0.1 2.5 6 0.2 0.46 192 14 16.4 3.4 10.1 1.7 47.98 7.8 2.5 10.3 0.57 1.75 5.5 2.4 3.1 1.58 0.75 2005 Monroe County Public Facilities Capacity Assessment The facilities are grouped by subarea and are classified according to the principal use (resource or activity). There are currently 98.26 acres of resource- based recreation areas either owned or leased by Monroe County as shown in Fig- ure 6.1. Using the functional population projection for 2004 of 75,801 persons in unincorporated Monroe County, and the LOS standard of 0.82 acres per 1,000 func- tional population, the demand for resource based recreation areas is approximately 62.16 acres. The county currently has a re- source-based land to meet the level of ser- vi ce with an extra 36.10 acres of reserve capacity. Level of Service Analysis for Activ- ity-Based Recreation Areas The Year 2010 Comprehensive Plan allows activity-based recreational land found at educational facilities to be counted towards the park and recreational concurrency. There is currently a total of 101.08 acres of developed activity-based recreation areas either owned or leased by Monroe County and the Monroe County School Board. This total represents 47.98 acres in the Upper Keys (including Plantation Key in Islamo- rada), 10.3 acres in the Middle Keys (including Marathon), and 42.8 acres in the Lower Keys. Based on a LOS standard of 0.82 acres of activity-based recreation areas per 1,000 functional population in unincor- porated Monroe County (37,314-Upper, 4, 140-middle, and 34,347-Lower), the de- mand for these recreation areas are 30.60, 3.39 and 28.16 acres for the Upper, Middle, and Lower Keys, respectively. There is currently a reserve of 17.38, 6.9, and 14.64 (Upper, Middle, and Lower) for a total of 38.92 acres of activity-based recrea- tion areas for all of unincorporated Monroe County. Figure 6.2 shows the level of ser- vice analysis for activity-based recreation areas in each subarea. Future Parks and Recreation Plan- ning Monroe County is currently undertaking a comprehensive analysis of its parks and rec- reation system in order to more accurately plan for the recreational needs of the popu- lation. A parks and recreation master plan is being prepared and is anticipated to be com- plete within a year of this report. The mas- ter plan will assess the current level of ser- vice standard and how it is applied through- out the county, evaluate the current park system, recommend areas where new park sites should be acquired, and funding mechanisms which may be used for that ac- quisition. The master plan is mandated by the Year 2010 Comprehensive Plan and will allow the county to address the parks and recreation needs more accurately. Upper Keys Total Middle Keys Total Lower Keys Total Total 37,541 4,154 34,639 76,334 47.98 10.3 42.8 101.08 Source: Monroe County Planning Department, 2005 30.78 3.41 28.40 62.59 17.20 6.89 14.40 38.49 Parks and Recreation 57 2005 Monroe County Public Facilities Capacity Assessment Identifying parks and recreation needs is also a part of the on going Livable Commu- niKeys Program. This community based planning initiative looks at all aspects of an area and, among other planning concerns, identifies the parks and recreation desires of the local population. The Livable Commu- niKeys Program has been completed on Big Pine Key and No Name Key, and Tavernier. The process is near completion on Key Largo and Stock Island. Acquisition of Additional Recrea- tion Areas The Monroe County Year 2010 Comprehen- sive Plan states in Objective 1201.2 that "Monroe County shall secure additional acreage for use and/or development of re- source-based and activity-based neighbor- hood and community parks consistent with the adopted level of service standards." The elimination of deficiencies in LOS stan- dards for recreation areas can be accom- plished in a number of ways. Policy 1201.2.1 of the Comprehensive Plan pro- vides six (6) mechanisms that are accept- able for solving deficits in park level of ser- vice standards, as well as for providing ade- quate land to satisfy the demand for parks and recreation facilities that result from ad- ditional residential development. The six (6) mechanisms are: . Development of park and recrea- tional facilities on land that is al- ready owned by the county but that is not being used for park and rec- reation purposes; . Acquisition of new park sites; . Interlocal agreements with the Monroe County School Board that would allow for the use of existing school-park facilities by county residents; . Interlocal agreements with incorpo- rated cities within Monroe County that would allow for the use of ex- isting city-owned park facilities by county residents; . Intergovernmental agreements with agencies of state and federal gov- ernments that would allow for the use of existing publicly-owned lands or facilities by county resi- dents; and . Long-term lease arrangements or joint use agreements with private entities that would allow for the use of private park facilities by county residents. To date, the county has employed two of these six mechanisms - acquisition of new park sites (number 2 above) and interlocal agreements with the School Board (number 3 above). However, these agreements need to be examined more closely to determine the amount of available acreage for calculat- ing concurrency. Furthermore, Monroe County cannot rely upon joint use facilities to eliminate existing deficiencies or meet future LOS requirements until interlocal, intergovernmental, or private use joint agreements are executed. For instance, the County is currently reviewing and revising the interlocal agreements with the Monroe County School Board to provide greater day time accessibility for students to public rec- reational facilities. Once executed, these agreements will ensure that the facilities will be available for general use to Monroe County residents to meet peak season, weekend, or time of day recreation de- mands. Parks and Recreation 58