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Item 04 Traffic CirculationMonroe County Comprehensive Plan Update TRAFFIC CIRCULATION Table of Contents Item Page 4.0 Traffic Circulation Element..............................................................1 4.1 Introduction..................................................................................................................1 4.2 Definitions of Terms and Concepts....................................................................... 2 4.2.1 Classification of Major Thoroughfares................................................................................................2 4.2.2 Level of Service...............................................................................................................................................3 4.3 Analysis of Existing Transportation System ....................................................... 4 4.3.1 Existing Roadway System Overview.....................................................................................................4 4.3.2 Traffic Performance on County Roads..............................................................................................12 4.3.3 Existing U.S. 1/SR 5 Corridor.................................................................................................................13 4.3.4 Traffic Performance on U.S. 1 Overseas Highway) 16 4.3.5 2009 Operational Assessment of SR A-1-A.......................................................................................28 4.3.6 Existing Modal Split and Vehicle Occupancy Rates......................................................................28 4.3.7 Significant Existing Pedestrian and Bicycle Facilities................................................................29 4.3.8 Capacity of Significant Public Parking Facilities..........................................................................29 4.3.9 Availability of Transportation Facilities and Services for Existing Uses ............................30 4.3.10 Adequacy to Evacuate Population.....................................................................................................30 4.3.11 FDOT - Five -Year Work Program......................................................................................................33 4.4 Future Traffic Circulation....................................................................................... 3S 4.4.1 Introduction................................................................................................................................................35 4.4.2 Trip Forecasts for Monroe County.......................................................................................................35 4.4.3 Trip Forecasts for Incorporated Urban Areas................................................................................37 4.4.4 Future Traffic Forecasts...........................................................................................................................42 4.4.5 Traffic Monitoring Program....................................................................................................................52 Tables Item Page Table 4.1: Monroe County Public Road Mileage and Miles Traveled, 2009.................5 Table 4.2: Functional Classification of State Roads in Monroe County ..........................7 Table 4.3: FDOT Bridges in Monroe County...............................................................................9 Table 4.4: Monroe County Arterial and Collector Roads...................................................10 Table 4.5: Monroe County Maintained Bridges.....................................................................11 Table 4.6: 2009 Monroe County Paved Roadway Inventory...........................................12 Table 4.7: 2009 County Roads Level of Service.....................................................................14 Table 4.8: 2009 Operational Assessment of U.S. 1 in the City of Key West...............15 Traffic Circulation i Technical Document: May 2011 TABLE OF CONTENTS Monroe county Comprehensive Plan Update Table 4.9: U.S. 1 Signalized Intersection/Crossing Locations ........................... Table 4.10: U.S. 1 Overseas Roadway••....•...•.. 16 Table 4.11: Segments .................... .....................18 U.S. 1 Overseas HighwayThresholds ""." ... Level of Service Thresholds Table 4.12: ................................. 29 2006 through 2010 U. g S. 1 Level of Service Table 4.13: ..................................... 2010 U.S. 1 Reserve Capacity ................................................................... ...................20 ................22 1999 to 2009 Average Annual Daily Traffic on U.S. 1 Table 4.15: ..................................23 2009 Two-way and Peak Direction Peak Hour Volumes on U.S. 1..........25 Table 4.16: 2004 to 2008 Monthly Average Daily Traffic on U.S. 1 Table 4.17: ................................27 2009 Operational Assessment of SR A-1-A in the City of Key West Table 4.18: .......28 Evacuation Clearance Times Table 4.19: ............ FDOT's Five -Year Work Table 4.20: Program (2010 - 2014 Functional Population and Household Estimates for the ""' 33 Unincorporated County ""' " ............................................. Table 4.21: Forecast of Unincorporated Monroe County36 0 Table 4.22: Forecasted Household and Daily Trip Growth for theCityof Marathon ..........................: Table 4.23: ................... ........................................................... Forecasted Population Household, and Daily Trip Growth for the 8 City of Key Colony Beach, 2010-20 Table 4.24: Forecasted Residential Dwelling Unit Growth for the Cityof """..39 Layton..................... Table 4.25: .......... ............................................................................ Forecasted Dwelling Units and Daily Trip Growth for Islamorada, 0 Village of Islands, 2010-20301 Table 4.26: ................ Summary of Daily Trip and Residential Unit Forecasts Table 4.27: ............................... 41 2010-2030 Annual Average Daily Traffic Forecasts for U.S. 1 Table 4.28: ..................43 2010-2030 Reserve Speed Forecast for U.S. 1 Table 4.29: ..................................................45 2010-2030 Reserve Volume and Residential Unit Capacity Forecast per Segment of U.S. 1.... Table 4.30: .................................................................. Projected U.S. 1 Level of Service, 2010 - 6 Traffic Circulation ii Technical Document: May 2011 TABLE OF CONTENTS Monroe County Comprehensive Plan Update 4.0 TRAFFIC CIRCULATION ELEMENT j9J-5.019(1), (2), and (3)] The Traffic Circulation Element of the Monroe County (County) Comprehensive Plan addresses the data inventory requirements of 9J-5.019(1), (2), and (3) of the Florida Administrative Code (F.A.C.). The data inventory requirement will support the development of goals, objectives, policies, and implementation programs for the Traffic Circulation Element. 4.1 Introduction Pursuant to Rule 9J-5.019, F.A.C., local -governments not located within the urban area of a Metropolitan Planning Organization (MPO) with population in excess of 50,000, shall adopt a traffic circulation, mass transit, ports, aviation, and related facilities elements consistent with the provisions of this rule and Chapter 163, Part II, F.S. The County is not located within an urban area of a MPO, but has a population in excess of 50,000. The purpose of the Traffic Circulation Element Data Inventory and Analysis is to describe and analyze the existing traffic conditions, project future conditions, and prepare a foundation for the formulation of goals, objectives, and policies for the County. Data has been gathered, analyzed, and portrayed in textual, tabular, and graphic form, including a series of transportation maps. An additional focus of this element is to further multimodal opportunities within the County, adhering to requirements outlined in Senate Bill (SB) 360 and House Bill (HB) 697 that revise Chapter 163, F.S. The Traffic Circulation Element and Data and Inventory Analysis presents: 1. An analysis of the existing transportation system, including the ability of transportation facilities and services to serve existing land uses, and the adequacy of the existing and projected transportation system to provide emergency evacuations; 2. Growth trends and travel patterns, including relationships between land uses and the transportation system; 3. Projected transportation system level of service; 4. An analysis of local and state programs; 5. Maintenance of adopted levels of service standards; and 6. Land use policy implications of transportation management programs necessary to promote public transportation. Traffic Circulation 1 Technical Document: May 2011 Monroe County Comprehensive Plan U 4.2 Definitions of Terms and Concepts 4.2.1 Classification of Major Thoroughfares Major thoroughfares are categorized into functional classification groups according to the character of service they provide. The four functional classification groups for urban areas are principal arterials, minor arterials, collectors, and local streets. The extent and degree of access control is a significant factor in defining the functional classification of a roadway. Regulated limitation of access is necessary on arterials to enhance their primary function of mobility, while the primary function of local streets is to provide access. The functional classifications of major thoroughfares are defined in A Policy on Geometric Design of Highways and Streets (American Association of State Highway and Transportation Officials, 2004), and provided below: • Principal Arterials. The principal arterial system serves the major centers of activity and the highest volume traffic corridors of urbanized areas. Principal arterials typically serve longer distance trips. Although they constitute a small percentage of the total roadway network, principal arterials carry a high portion of the total urban area traffic. The principal arterial system also carries most of the trips entering and exiting the urban area. Service on principal arterials is normally continuous with relatively high traffic volumes, long average trip lengths, and high operating speeds. Service to abutting lands is typically subordinate to the provision of travel service and major traffic movements. • Rural Principal Arterials. The rural principal arterial system consists of a network of routes that provide for movements between urban areas. The system provides for corridor movement with trip density suitable for substantial statewide travel. In more densely populated states, this class of highway includes most of the heavily traveled routes that might warrant multilane improvements. The rural principal arterial system includes most existing rural freeways, and is stratified into two design groups consisting of freeways and other principal arterials. • Minor Arterials. The minor arterial system interconnects and supports the principal arterial system. It accommodates trips of moderate lengths at a lower level of mobility than provided by principal arterials. Minor arterials provide continuity among communities and, ideally, do not penetrate identifiable neighborhoods. Generally, the spacing of minor arterials is not greater than one mile in developed areas. Currently, there are no minor arterials in the County. • Collectors. The collector streets stem y provides vehicular access to and mobility within residential neighborhoods, commercial, and industrial areas. It differs from the arterial system by penetrating neighborhoods and distributing trips from arterials to their ultimate destinations. Collector streets also channelize vehicular traffic from local streets onto the arterial system, and have moderate operating speeds and shorter travel distances than arterials. Traffic Circulation 2 Technical Document: May 2011 Monroe County Comprehensive Plan Update • Local Streets. The local street system comprises all roadways not in one of the higher systems. It provides direct access to abutting land uses and connections to the higher order systems. Local streets offer the lowest level of vehicular mobility and service, through traffic is often discouraged. 4.2.2 Level of Service [9J-5. 019 (3) (a)] Level of Service (LOS) standards can be determined for various public facilities. For roadways, it is defined in the Highway Capacity Manual 2000 (Transportation Research Board, 2000) as: "A qualitative measure describing operational conditions within a traffic stream, based on service measures such as speed and travel time, freedom to maneuver, traffic interruptions, comfort, and convenience." There are six different LOS classifications that represent a range of operating conditions and the driver's perception of those conditions. They are described below. • Level of Service A. This LOS generally describes free -flow traffic operations where motorists are completely unimpeded in their ability to maneuver within the traffic stream. Drivers are able to travel at their desired speed, and delays at intersections are minimal. • Level of Service B. This LOS also describes free -flow traffic conditions, although the presence of other vehicles within the traffic stream is noticeable. The ability to maneuver within the traffic stream is only slightly restricted and stopped delays are not significant. • Level of Service C. For LOS C conditions, traffic flow is generally stable, although the driver's choice of speeds and ability to maneuver are increasingly restricted. Longer queues at signalized intersections characterize this level of service. • Level of Service D. Traffic flow is generally unstable where minor increases in flow result in substantial delay. Driving speeds are tolerable for short periods, but are subject to sudden variance. The ability to maneuver and select a travel speed is severely restricted. • Level of Service E. Large traffic volumes and significant delay typify this LOS traffic flow is unstable and is generally maintained by a low speed. Driver comfort is low due to limited space between vehicles and rapidly changing speeds, and extensive delays are typically experienced at critical intersections. Traffic Circulation 3 Technical Document: May 2011 Monroe County Comprehensive Plan Update • Level of Service F. Traffic flow is characterized by extremely low speeds. Driving comfort is low and motorists incur significant delays. Substantial queuing also occurs at critical intersections. Traffic performance calculations are generally based upon a methodology obtained from acity M the latest edition of the Transportation Research Board's Highway Capanual. However, since U.S. 1 is the only principal arterial serving the people and visitors of the Florida Keys, a task force was established in the early 1990s to develop a methodology to assess LOS and capacity of U.S. 1 in this unique setting. As noted in the 2010 U.S. 1 Arterial Travel Time and Delay Study by the County, the methodology is a procedure for using travel speeds as a means to assess LOS and reserve capacity on U.S. 1. "The method.... considers both the overall level of service from Key West to the mainland, and the level of service on 24 selected segments. [It] was developed from basic criteria and principles in Chapter 7 (Rural Multilane Highways), Chapter 8 (Rural Two -Lane Highways), and Chapter 11 (Urban and Suburban Arterials) of the Highway Capacity Manual." Summarized in detail in the Analysis of Existing Transportation System section, the approach is based on a comparison of posted speed limits and median travel speeds that are measured in the field. For other roadways within the County, the LOS shall be determined based on the Generalized Service Volume Tables as published in the most recent Quality/Level of Service Handbook by the Florida Department of Transportation (FDOT). These tables list the maximum service volumes based upon various roadway characteristics including, but not limited to, number of lanes, presence of a divided median, number of traffic signals per mile, and provision of turn lanes at intersections. 4.3 Analysis of Existing Transportation System [9J-5.019(3) (a), (b)J 4.3.1 Existing Roadway System Overview 4.3.1.1 Overview The roadway network in the County, particularly the Florida Keys, is unique. The Harry S. Truman Blue Star Memorial Overseas Highway (U.S. 1 and S.R. 5), functions as an arterial, collector, and "Main Street" all rolled into one. Nowhere else is there a 112 miles -plus long archipelago connected by over 40 bridges along a single roadway. While U.S. 1 is the principal highway in Monroe County, it is by no means the only road. Branching off from U.S. 1 are numerous local and collector roads serving the many subdivisions and the five incorporated cities throughout the Keys. Roadway access to and from Monroe County is provided by only two roads: U.S. 1 and Card Sound Road (CR 905A). These two facilities serve the Florida Keys as economic and public safety lifelines. It cannot be overstated the need to assess the operation of U.S. 1 within a Traffic Circulation 4 Technical Document: May 2011 Monroe County Comprehensive Plan Update regional context to ensure the Florida Keys' only continuous roadway link will continue to function properly. The total 2009 Monroe County roadway centerline mileage and daily vehicle miles traveled (DVMT) distributions by functional classification (for all state, county, local/city roads) are presented in Table 4.11. As shown in the table, as of the end of 2009, the county has a total of 801.445 centerline miles of roadways. Of this total, 583.453 miles are in designated small urban areas and 217.992 miles are in designated rural areas. Table 4.1- Monroe County Public Road Mileage and Miles Traveled, 2009 Source: Florida Department of Transportation Notes: 1. Length of a roadway without regard to number of lanes. 2. DVMT: The product of a road's centerline miles and its annual average daily traffic, AADT. 3. In an area with population 5,000 to 49,999. 4. In an area with less than 5,000. The daily vehicle miles traveled averaged 3,193,243 DVMT. The County's designated small urban areasz account for approximately 2,322,449 DVMT, or 72.7 percent of the County's total DVMT. The rural areas account for 870,794 DVMT or 27.3 percent of the total DVMT. 1 Source: Florida Department of Transportation. z The designated urban areas are Key West, Marathon, Village of Islamorada, Key Colony Beach, and the City of Layton. These cities/town maintain all local streets within each corespondiong jurisdiction. Traffic Circulation 5 Technical Document: May 2011 Monroe County Comprehensive Plan Update As of June 30, 2010, the FDOT has estimated that state roadways in Monroe County, comprised of U.S. 1/S.R. 5 and S.R. A-1-A, totaled 119.3 centerline miles: 79.1 miles in urban areas and 40.2 miles in rural areas. The corresponding DVMT are 1,668,100 DVMT for urban areas and 583,000 DVMT in the rural areas. 4.3.1.2 State Maintained Roads and -rid es The Florida Department of Transportation is responsible for maintaining and improving State roads. The FDOT's Five Year Work Program, which is updated annually, provides a schedule of major roadway improvements. Funding for these improvements comes from fuel taxes, vehicle license fees, federal aid, and occasionally from bond sales. U.S. 1 and South Roosevelt Boulevard/S.R. A1A are the only state roads in the County. U.S. 1 originates in the City of Key West on Whitehead Street at the corner of Fleming Street (MM 0.0). The route traverses approximately four miles within Key West via Truman Avenue and North Roosevelt Boulevard before converting to the Overseas Highway at MM 4.5 and extending 112 miles to the Miami -Dade County Line. SR A1A begins at the intersection of Bertha Street and Roosevelt Boulevard as a four lane undivided roadway, extending eastward past the Key West International Airport before terminating at the intersection with U.S. 1 at the east end of the island. Roadways are generally classified based on their role meeting travel demand needs, assisting in defining land use relationships, and the jurisdiction responsible for its maintenance. The functional classification for U.S. 1 in the County is a principal arterial. Within some areas, U.S. 1 is classified as a rural principal arterial while in others, such as the cities of Marathon and Key West, it is classified as an urban principal arterial. Table 4.2 presents the designated functional classifications for U.S. 1 and SR A1A by segments within Monroe County. Table 4.3 presents the listing of the 57 bridges under FDOT jurisdiction as of October 2010. These bridges represent over 19 miles of structures primarily along the U.S. 1/SR 5 Corridor. The only non-U.S. 1 related bridge structure is the South Roosevelt Boulevard (SR A1A) bridge over the Riviera Canal in Key West. 4.3.1.3 County Maintained Roads While the geography of the Keys precludes the typical roadway grid found in other developed areas of Florida, there are a significant number of local and collector roads throughout the archipelago. The County maintained roadways are generally considered to be collectors, while the remaining roadways are local streets. Both types of facilities ultimately channel traffic towards U.S. 1. The Monroe County Division of Public Works, Roads and Bridges Department, is responsible for maintaining and improving county roads and rights of way, bike paths, and Traffic Circulation 6 Technical Document: May 2011 Monroe County Comprehensive Plan Update county bridges. The department follows the Seven Year Roadway and Bicycle Path Plan as a guide when repairing and resurfacing roads and bridges throughout the county. Proposed roadway improvements are evaluated and prioritized based on a point system developed by the County. The primary funding sources for improvements to County roads are the constitutional and local option gas taxes. This funding is supplemented by Card Sound tolls, impact fees, right-of-way permit fees, and joint participation funding. Table 4.2 - Functional Classification of State Roads in Monroe County Functional Roadway Name SegmentCounty/ State/ Roadway Federal Whitehead St. / Truman Ave. / N. U.S. 1 / Fleming Street to FDOT U-PA 4.531 SR 5 Stock Island Roosevelt Blvd. Overseas Highway U.S.1 / Stock Island to Boca FDOT U-PA 13.655 SR 5 Chica U.S. Boca Chica to 0.947 Overseas Highway 1/SR 5 mile west of Parrish FDOT R-PA 28.593 Avenue U.S. 1 / Palm Island Drive to Overseas Highway SR 5 0.947 mile east of FDOT U-PA 6.220 122°d Street 0.947 mile east of Overseas Highway U.S. 122nd Street to 0.814 FDOT R-PA 42.843 1/SR 5 mile west of Estall Street U.S. 1 / 0.814 mile north of Overseas Highway SR 5 Estall Street to 0.303 FDOT U-PA 9.324 mile north of CR 905 0.303 mile west of Overseas Highway U.S. junction CR 905 to FDOT R-PA 5.870 1/SR 5 Miami -Dade County Line South Roosevelt SR A1A Bertha Street to U.S. 1 FDOT U-PA 2.935 Boulevard Source: FDOT's 2009 Florida Traffic Information and Highway Data CD Notes: 1. U-PA -- Urban, Principal Arterial; R-PA -- Rural, Principal Arterial The County maintains over 600 miles of secondary roads, in addition to 25 bridges totaling less than one mile in length. The County is therefore responsible for a roadway system roughly five times the length of U.S. 1. These secondary roads are vital to Monroe County in that these roads link U.S. 1 to residential, commercial, and recreational areas. Traffic Circulation 7 Technical Document: May 2011 Monroe County Comprehensive Plan Update Tables 4.4 and 4.5 provide an inventory of county maintained major roads and bridges, respectively. Included in these totals are CR-905 through North Key Largo and Card Sound Road (CR-905A), which combined provide an alternate route to the mainland. The County collects tolls at Card Sound Bridge, the longest County -maintained bridge, through an enterprise fund for the Card Sound Road and Toll District. The tolls provide operation and improvement funding for CR-905A within the district, which extends from the Miami -Dade County line to CR-905. The Remainder of This Page Intentionally Left Blank Traffic Circulation 8 Technical Document: May 2011 Monroe County Comprehensive Plan Update Table 4.3 - FDOT Bridges in Monroe County Bridge ID 900003 BridgeName/Location Bridge t I Boca Chica Channel SR 5 U.S. 1 SB 900105 Bridge Name/Location Ohio Bahia Honda Channel SR 5 U.S. 1 900016 Bahia Honda SR 5 U.S. 1 SB 900106 Spanish Harbor Channel SR 5 U.S. 1 900045 Bahia Honda SR 5 U.S. 1 NB 900107 Harris Channel SR 5 U.S. 1 900054 Riviera Canal SR-AlA Key West 900108 Harris Gap SR 5 U.S. 1 900073 Key Largo Cut SR 5 U.S. 1 NB 900109 North Harris Channel SR 5 U.S. 1 900074 Boca Chica Channel SR 5 U.S. 1 NB 900110 North Pine Channel SR 5 U.S. 1 900076 Whale Harbor U.S. 1 SR 5 900111 South Pine Channel U.S. 1 SR 5 900077 U.S. 1 & Snake Creek Canal SR 5 U.S. 1 900112 Park Channel SR 5 U.S. 1 900078 Tavernier Creek SR 5 NB U.S. 1 900113 Torch Channel SR 5 U.S. -1 900080 Rockland Channel SR 5 U.S. 1 900114 Torch Ramrod Channel SR 5 U.S. 1 900081 Shark Channel U.S. 1 SR 5 900115 Bow Channel SR 5 U.S. 1 900086 Cow Key Channel U.S. 1 SR 5 900116 Kemp Channel SR 5 U.S. 1 900088 Tea Table Relief SR 5 (U.S. 1) 900117 Niles Channel Comp SR 5 900089 Tea Table Channel SR 5 U.S. 1)_ 900125 Cow Key Channel U.S. 1 (SR 5) SB 900090 Saddle Bunch #5 SR 5 U.S. 1 900126 Vaca Cut U.S. 1 SR 5 900091 Saddle Bunch # 4 SR 5 U.S. 1 900127 Tavernier Creek SR 5 SB U.S. i 900092 Saddle Bunch #3 Channel SR 5 U.S. 1 900128 Salt Run SR 5 U.S. 1 900093 Saddle Bunch #2 SR 5 U.S. 1 900129 NAS Overpass Boca Chica SR 5 U.S. 1 900094 Dante B. Fascel (Long Key Channel) SR 5 900130 Key Largo Cut SR 5 U.S. 1 SB 900095 Indian Key Channel SR 5 U.S. 1 900131 jewfish Creek Bridge SR 5 U.S. 1 900096 Li num Vitae Channel SR 5 U.S. 1 900132 jewfish Creek Bridge Ramp A SR 5 (U.S. 1 900097 Channel No. 2 SR 5 U.S. 1 900133 jewfish Crk Bridge Ramp B SR 5 U.S. 1 900098 Channel Five U.S. 1 SR 5 900134 jewfish Crk Bridge Ramp C To NB U.S. 1 900099 Tom's Harbor Cut U.S. 1 SR 5 900135 jewfish Creek Bridge Ramp D SR 5 (U.S. 1 900100 Tom's Harbor Channel U.S. 1 (SR 5) 900136 Crocodile Crossing Bridge SR 5 U.S. 1 900101 Seven Mile Bridge SR 5 U.S. 1 900137 First Deer Crossing SR 5 U.S. 1) 900102 Lower Sugarloaf Channel SR 5 U.S. 1 900138 Second Deer Crossing SR 5 U.S. 1 900103 Missouri Little Duck Channel SR 5 (U.S. 900139 Manatee Creek Bridge U.S. 1 (N.B. & 900104 1 Ohio Missouri Channel SR 5 (U.S. 1 Source: Florida Bridge Information, FDOT, Office of Maintenance, October 1, 2010. Traffic Circulation 9 Technical Document: May 2011 Monroe Co Table 4.4 - Monroe County Arterial and Collector Roads Comprehensive Plan Update Duval Street Truman Avenue to Eaton Street Flagler Avenue CR-5 ( ) White Street to S. Roosevelt U-mA 0.483 Key West Whitehead Street Fleming Street to Eaton Street U mA 1.981 Key West Eaton Street WhiteheaAvenue d Street to Palm U-mA 0.100 Key West Palm Avenue Eaton Street to N. Roosevelt Blvd. U-mA 0.832 Key West First Street Flagler Avenue to N. Roosevelt Blvd. U-mA 0.429 Key West Bertha Street Flagler Avenue to S. Roosevelt Blvd. U-mA 0.385 Key West Fifth Street McDonald Avenue to Cow Key U-mA 0.387 Key West McDonald/ Mahoney Avenue Peninsular Avenue to U.S. 1 5 U C 0.896 Stock Island (CR 941) Key Haven Road U.S. 1 to Evergreen Avenue 5 U-C 1.149 Stock Island Boca Chica Road CR 941 ( ) U.S. 1 to Boundary Lane 6 U-C 0.684 Racoon Cross Street U.S. 1 to 12th Avenue 11 U-C 5.600 Boca Chica Ocean Bay Drive U.S. 1 to Atlantic Ocean 4 U-C 0.516 St ock Island Atlantic Boulevard U.S. 1 to Caribbean Drive 99 U-C 0.510 Key Largo Sugarloaf Boulevard (CR 939) U.S. 1 to Atlantic Ocean 100 U-C 0.350 Key Largo Blimp Road/Dump Road U.S. 1 to Kemp Channel 17 R-MC 6.600 Lower Sugarloaf Middle Torch Road U.S. 1 to Big Torch Key Road 21 R-mC 1.948 Cudjoe Little Torch Key Road U.S. 1 to Lobster Tail Road 28 R-mC 2.992 Middle Torch Key Deer Boulevard (CR 940) U.S. 1 to Big Spanish Channel 28 R-mC 1.61823 Little Torch Watson Boulevard (CR 940) Channel to Avenue B 30 R-mC 3.4 Big Pine Duck Key/Bimini U.S. 1 to Toms Harbor Cut 31 R-mC 4.470 Big Pine CR 905 U.S. i to Ocean Reef Club 61 R mC 0.508 Duck Card Sound Road (CR 905A) U.S. 1 to Miami -Dade County Line 106 R-mC 10.909 Kev Largo Bluewater Drive (CR 9617) U.S. 1 and U.S. 1 R-mC 5.000 Key Largo CR 939A Su arloaf Channel to CR 939 R-MC 0.917 Saddlebunch Sources: FDOT's 2009 Florida Traffic Information R MC 2.480 Bridges Division. and Highway Data CD and Monroe ty, Roadsandaf Coung Notes: Classifications: U-mA - mC — Rural, Minor Collector. Urban, Minor Arterial; U-C - Urban Collector; R-MC — Rural, Major Collector; R- Traffic Circulation 10 Technical Document: May 2011 Monroe County Comprehensive Plan Update Table 4.5 - Monroe County Maintained Bridges Bridge ID • 904025 Location Palm Avenue at Garrison Bight 117 Key West 2 904110 Boca Chica (CR-941) at Geiger Key Cut 125 Geiger Key 2 904120 Boca Chica (CR-941) at Similar Sound 51 Boca Chica 2 904140 Palm Drive at Bay Point Canal 25 Saddlebunch 2 904151 Shore Drive over un-named canal N/A Sugarloaf 2 904152 Shore Drive at canal 25 Sugarloaf 2 904153 Sugarloaf Boulevard (CR-939) at un-named canal 123 Sugarloaf 2 904155 Old State Road 4A at Sugarloaf Creek 200 Sugarloaf 2 904160 CR-938B at Sugarloaf Creek N/A Sugarloaf 904165 Tarpon Creek 46 Sugarloaf 2 904250 Caribbean Drive 24 Summerland 2 904305 Watson Boulevard at un-named canal 28 Big Pine 2 904307 Fern Avenue at Joe's Canal 28 Big Pine 2 904310 Watson Boulevard at un-named canal 28 Big Pine 2 904320 Watson Road at Bogie Channel N/A Big Pine 904600 Duck Key Drive at Tom's Harbor Channel 245 Duck 2 904602 Truman Bridge/Duck Key Drive 76 Duck 904603 Bimini Drive at Sam's Canal 42 Duck 2 904604 Harbor Drive at Joe's Canal 55 Duck 2 904606 Seaview Drive at un-named canal 55 Duck 2 904608 Valois Boulevard at Canal N/A Largo 2 904910 Bahama Drive 31 Duck 2 904916 Ocean Bay Drive 18 Largo 2 904980 CR-905A at Steamboat Creek 312 Largo 2 904982 Card Sound Road (CR-905A) at Tubby's Creek 100 Largo 2 904984 Card Sound Road (CR-905A) at Mosquito Creek 100 Largo 2 904986 Card Sound Road (CR-905A) at Saunder's Creek 100 Largo 2 904990 Card Sound Road (CR-905A) at I.C.W.W. 2,775 Largo 2 Source: Monroe County, Hoacls and triages Division, December 6U1U. Table 4.6 presents the Monroe County paved roadway inventory, including the incorporated cities. Approximately 85 percent of the County's roadways are paved. Mainland Monroe County consists primarily of government -owned parks and preserves, and consequently has very few roads. The only road in the area that was County - maintained is Loop Road (CR-94), a 16-mile excursion off US 41 crossing the Miami -Dade Dade and Collier County lines. Loop Road can be found on most maps as CR 94, although Traffic Circulation 11 Technical Document: May 2011 Monroe County Comprehensive Plan Update the roadway no longer has a numbered designation and is now managed by the National Park Service (NPS). The Flamingo Lodge Highway is a mainland Monroe County road that is also under NPS administration. Table 4.6 - 2009 Monroe County Paved Roadway Inventory Monroe County Roads in unincorporated areas Incorporated City Roads Islamorada Key Colony Beach Key West Layton Marathon Total C' M'1 306.1 i 91.411 397.5 64.5 7.3 64.1 2.0 j 66.5 0.0 7.3 0.0 80.2 0.0 1.8 0.0 ! 64.1 ity i eage 217.9 2.0 219.9 Total County and City Roads 524.0 93.4 617.4 Source: Florida Department of Transportation. Data as of September 30, 2009. Map Series 4-1 depicts the current roadway network and jurisdiction within the County and Map Series 4-2 depicts the current roadway functional classification. 4.3.2 Traffic Performance on County Roads For County roadways, the maximum service volume threshold standard is established as LOS D. This LOS standard shall be determined based on the Generalized Service Volume Tables as published in the most recent Quality/Level of Service Handbook by the FDOT. Table 4.7 and Map Series 4-4 summarizes the LOS for the County roadways where data is available. As summarized in Table 4.7 and according to the 2008 Monroe County Public Facilities Capacity Assessment Report, almost all county roadways currently operate at or better than LOS D. The one exception is Palm Avenue between White Street and U.S. 1 (N. Roosevelt Boulevard) which has a peak hour LOS of F based on 2009 traffic data. Traffic Circulation 12 Technical Document: May 2011 Monroe County Comprehensive Plan Update 4.3.3 Existing U.S. 1/SR 5 Corridor U.S. 1/SR 5 in the County is defined between MM 0.00 and 112.6. It generally consists of a cross-section varying between two and four lanes. The posted speed limits also vary from 35 miles per hour in urban areas, such as in the cities of Marathon and Key West, to 55 miles per hour in rural segments. Of its 112 total miles, approximately 80 miles (74%) are two-lane segments that are undivided. The 4-lane sections are located on Key Largo, Tavernier (MM 90 to 106), the Marathon area (MM 48 to 54), Bahia Honda (MM 35 to 37), and from Key West to Boca Chica (MM 2 to 9). Map Series 4-3 depicts the number of through lanes for U.S. 1 and the County maintained roadways. The Remainder of This Page Intentionally Left Blank Traffic Circulation 13 Technical Document: May 2011 Monroe County comer he gv Plan Update u Traffic Circua§o 14 Technical Docume§ Na 2011 Monroe County Comprehensive Plan Update Table 4.8 presents a summary of the operational evaluation of U.S. 1 within the City of Key West (MM 0.0 to MM 4.0). As shown in the table, several segments of Truman Avenue (two lanes) and North Roosevelt Boulevard (four lane divided facility) are at or over capacity. Table 4.8- 2009 Operational Assessment of U.S. 1 in the City of Key West US-1 Segment in Key West FDOT From 0 Count Posted Station Speed Nuin- ber of' Lanes Peak Peak TWO Hour Hour Wily Peak Peak 1, 2009 Peak Direc- Direc- 0 AADT Hour tion tion S Volurne Volume MSV Whitehead Street (MM Fleming Truman 5013 30 2LU 6,700 685 387 570 D Avenue 0.0)Street Truman White- head Simonton 5011 30 2LU 9,300 951 538 570 D Street Street Street Truman Simonton White 5008 30 2LU 16,800 1,719 972 880 F Street Street Street Jose Truman White Marti 5004 25 2LU 16,800 1,719 972 880 F Street Street Drive North Jose First Roosevelt Marti 5004 30 4LU 19,600 2,005 1,134 1,960 B Street Boulevard I Drive North Roosevelt First Kennedy 5034 35 4LU 34,500 3,529 1,996 1,960 F Street Drive Boulevard North Kennedy US 1/S. Roosevelt Roosevelt 0105 35 4LU 33,500 3,427 1,938 1,960 D Boulevard Drive I Blvd. Notes: 1. Traffic information obtained from FDOT's 2009 Florida Traffic Information and Highway Data CD. 2. Two-way Peak hour peak hour, peak direction volumes derived through the application of corresponding K and D factors provided in the preceding source. 3. Maximum Service Volumes (MSV) based on LOS D value as obtained from FDOT's Generalized Peak Hour Directional Volumes for Florida's Urbanized Areas, 2009 FDOT Quality / Level of Service Handbook, Table 7. Many sections of U.S. 1 in urban Monroe County contain parallel frontage roads. In several cases, these frontage roads are the old U.S. 1 segments. Pursuant to A Policy on Geometric Design of Highways and Local Streets (American Association of State Highway Transportation Officials, 2004), frontage roads serve numerous functions, depending upon the type of arterial they serve and the character of the surrounding area. Such roads may be used to control access to an arterial highway; to function as a street facility serving adjoining property; and to maintain circulation of traffic on each side of the arterial. The frontage roads generally separate local traffic from the higher speed through traffic on U.S. 1 in the County. By serving local traffic, these roads assist in reducing traffic volumes on U.S. 1 thereby facilitating an increase in level of service. Typically, bicycle and pedestrian facilities are located on or adjacent to frontage roads in urban areas. Traffic Circulation 15 Technical Document: May 2011 Monroe County Comprehensive Plan Update Eighteen traffic signals are located along U.S. 1 (Overseas Highway) within the Florida Keys. These locations include pedestrian signals at MM 48.5, MM 53.0 in the City of Marathon, and MM 105 in Key Largo. Table 4.9 identifies the traffic signals along U.S. 1 (excluding those found on Key West). Table 4.9 - U.S. 1 Signalized Intersection/Crossing Locations 4.4 Stock Island College Road Fully signalized 4.6 Stock Island Cross Street Fully signalized 4.8 Stock Island MacDonald Avenue Fully signalized 19.5 Upper Sugarloaf Crane Blvd Fully signalized 30.3 Big Pine Key Deer Blvd Fully signalized 48.5 Marathon 33rd Street/School Crossing Fully signalized) 50.0 Marathon Sombrero Beach Blvd Fully signalized 52.4 Marathon 107th Street Fully signalized 52.5 Marathon 109th Street Fully signalized 53.0 Marathon Pedestrian Crossing Pedestrian Crossing 53.5 Fat Deer Key Colony Causeway Fully signalized 54.0 Fat Deer Coco Plum Drive Fully signalized 90.0 Plantation Woods Avenue/School Crossing Fully signali7ed2 90.5 Plantation Sunshine Road Fully signalized 91.5 Tavernier Ocean Blvd Fully signalized 99.5 Key Largo Atlantic Blvd Fully signalized 101.0 Ke Lar o Y g Tradewinds Fully signalized 105.0 Key Largo Pedestrian Crossing Pedestrian Crossing Notes: 1.. Fisherman's Hospital Campus. - Coral Shores High School (only during school times). 4.3.4 Traffic Performance on U.S. 1(Overseas Highway) 4.3.4.1 Methodology The U.S. 1 Level of Service Task Force, a multi -agency group comprised of the County, FDOT, and Florida Department of Community Affairs, prepared the methodology used for monitoring conditions on U.S. 1 in the Florida Keys. The Task Force formulated the methodology in 1993 and amended in 1997 (U.S. 1 Methodology). The U.S. 1 Methodology developed utilizes an empirical relationship between the volume - based capacities and the speed -based LOS methodology. It established a procedure for using travel speeds on U.S. 1 as a means of assessing LOS and reserve capacity. The method Traffic Circulation 16 Technical Document: May 2011 Monroe County Comprehensive Plan Update considers both the overall LOS of the entire 108-mile stretch of U.S. 1 from Key West to the mainland, as well as the LOS for 24 smaller roadway segments3 as shown in Table 4.10. Based on the current methodology to assess LOS on U.S. 1 in the Florida Keys, LOS is based on a comparison between average posted speed limits and average travel speeds for individual segments along U.S. 1. Data collected annually during the spring (peak seasonal population) to assess the LOS on U.S. 1 is compiled and analyzed in accordance with the Task Force's methodology that has been vetted and approved by many agencies, including FDOT. The methodology and the resultant analysis do not include peak hour, peak direction data or analysis. Measurements of the travel speeds on U.S. 1 are established by conducting travel time runs from Key West to the mainland during peak tourist season, defined as the 6-week period beginning the second week of February and ending the fourth week of March each year. The minimum acceptable LOS for U.S. 1 is C, while the overall (108-miles) travel speed on U.S. 1 is established as 45 miles per hour to equate to LOS C, regardless of the posted speed limit of a segment. As noted in the 2010 U.S. 1 Arterial Travel Time and Delay Study by the County: "Under the adopted growth management process if the overall LOS for U.S. 1 falls below the LOS C Standard, then no additional land development will be allowed in the Florida Keys." U.S. 1 in some sections of the County is considered to be an uninterrupted flow facility. However, in more urban settings, U.S. 1 functions as an interrupted flow facility given the number of closely spaced traffic signals within a segment. Table 4.11 summarizes the LOS thresholds for interrupted and uninterrupted flow segments of U.S. 1 utilizing the U.S. 1 Task Force methodology, which are based on travel speeds. Table 4.11 also summarizes the LOS thresholds for the overall U.S. 1 108-mile corridor. The Remainder of This Page Intentionally Left Blank 12010 U.S. 1 Arterial Travel Time and Delay Study Traffic Circulation 17 Technical Document: May 2011 Table 4.10 - U.S. 1 Overseas Roadway Segments 1 Cow Key Bridge (N) 2 1 Key Haven Boulevard 3 Rockland Drive 4 Boca Chica Road 5 Harris Channel Bridge (N 6 Bow Channel Bridge (N) 7 ! Spanish Main Drive 8 1 East Shore Drive 9 ! Torch -Ramrod Bridge (S) 10 N. Pine Channel Bridge fN 11 � Long Beach Drive 12 11 7-Mile Bri 13 17-Mile Bridge (N) 14 I Coco Plum Drive 15 1 Toms Harbor Ch Bridge (S 16 Long Key Bridge (S) 17 Channel #2 Bride N) 18 Lignum Vitae Bridge (S) 19 Tea Table Relief Bridge (N' 20 Whale Harbor Bride S 21 Snake Creek Bridge (N) 22 Ocean Boulevard 23 Atlantic Boulevard 24 1 C-905 Monroe County Comprehensive Plan Update Key Haven Boulevard Rockland Drive Boca Chica Road Harris Channel Bridge (] Bow Channel Bridge (N) Spanish Main Drive East Shore Drive Torch -Ramrod Bridge (S N. Pine Channel Bridge Beach Drive 7-Mile Bridge (S) 7-Mile Cocoa Plum Drive Toms Harbor Ch Bridge (Cl Long Key Bridge (S) Channel #2 Bridge (N) Lignum Vitae Bridge (S Tea Table Relief Bridge Whale Harbor Bric Snake Creek Brid Ocean Boulevard Atlantic Boulevard C-905 County Line Sign 4.0 5.0 II 4LD 30/35/ 45 5.0 9.0 4LD 55/45 9.0 10.5 2LU 45/55 1 10.5 16.5 2LU 45/55 16.5 20.5 2LU 45/55 20.5 23.0 i 2LU 45/55 23.0 25.0 2LU 45 25.0 ! 27.5 2LU 45 27.5 29.5 2LU 45 29.5 33.0 2LU 45 2LU 33.0 40.0 (70%) 45/50/ 4LD ' 55 30% 40.0 47.0 2LU 55 j 2LU 47.0 54.0 0 (4LD) 35/45 87% I 54.0 60.5 2LU 45/55 60.5 63 0 2LU 55 63.0 j 73.0 2LU 55 45 73.0 77.5 2LU 55 77.5 79.5 2LU 55/45 79.5 84.0 2LU 45 84.0 86.0 2LU 45 86.0 91.5 2LU 45 91.5 99.5 1 4LD 45 50 99.5 106.0 4LD 35 45 106.0 112.6 2LD 35/45/ 55 Traffic Circulation 18 Technical Document: May 2011 Monroe County Comprehensive Plan Update Table 4.11- U.S.1 Overseas Highway Level of Service Thresholds LOS Interrupted Flow Uninterrupted Flow Segments A >_ 35 mph 1.5 mph above speed limit B >_ 28 mph 1.5 mph below speed limit C >_ 22 mph 4.5 mph below speed limit D >_ 17 mph 7.5 mph below speed limit E >_ 13 mph 13.5 mph below speed limit F < 13 mph More than 13.5 mph below speed limit Overall 108-mile Corridor A 51.0 mph or above B 50.9m hto48m h C 147.9m hto45m h D 44.9m hto42m h E 41.9m hto36m h F Below 36 mph Source: DRAFT 2010 U.S. 1 Arterial rravel rime ana ueiay �)tuay tjtuy /-uiuj. The adopted LOS standard for U.S. 1 in the County is LOS C, as defined in the U.S. 1 Task Force methodology which provides that the LOS shall be maintained with 5 percent of LOS C. For County roadways, the adopted LOS standard is D, utilizing the methodology described in the latest edition of the Quality Level of Service Handbook prepared by FDOT. In particular, the Generalized Service Volume tables are used to assign LOS peak hour, peak direction volume thresholds. 4.3.4.2 Level of Service on U.S. 1 The existing (2010) LOS analysis for the 24 roadway segments of U.S. 1 from Key West to the mainland is summarized in Table 4.12 and depicted in Map Series 4-4. The Remainder of This Page Intentionally Left Blank Traffic Circulation 19 Technical Document: May 2011 r-4 C Monroe County Comprehensive Plan Update m < v v < m m < LPN U < m < < < '' MU 3 N to d" d' d, 'd•' M V m • '. < U U � U U y U < U < C < U N A MLiOn i. LN Ln Ln Ln Ln - d0" N O� W Lr; x < < w U Ln MLnd. 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Ln Z Traffic Circulation 20 Technical Document: May 2011 Monroe County Comprehensive Plan Update Based upon measured speeds and travel times for the various segments as reported in the DRAFT 2010 U.S. 1 Arterial Travel Time and Delay Study, four segments of U.S. 1 currently fail to operate at an acceptable LOS (i.e. below LOS Q. They are: • U.S.1 on Big Coppitt Key from MM 9.0 to MM 10.5 (segment 3); U.S.1 on Grassy Key from MM 54.0 to 60.5 (Segment 14); U.S. 1 on Lower Matecumbe Key from MM 73.0 to 77.5 (Segment 17); and • U.S. 1 on Tea Table Key from MM 77.5 to MM 79.5 (segment 18). Table 4.12 also provides a summary of the historic LOS analysis between years 2006 and 2010. The data shows that segments 3 and 18 may need capacity improvements to maintain the adopted LOS C standard. Segment 3 is at LOS D for the two most recent consecutive years, 2009 and 2010. Segment 18 is at LOS D for four consecutive years, 2007 through 2010. 4.3.4.3 U.S. 1 Reserve Capacity The difference between segment travel speeds and the LOS C standard is known as the Reserve Speed. Based upon the U.S. 1 Task Force methodology, Reserve Speed is converted into an estimated reserve capacity of additional traffic volumes and corresponding additional development. If the LOS C standard is exceeded, a fixed number of additional trips for land development are allowed as calculated based on the U.S. 1 Methodology until the next update of the U.S. 1 Arterial Travel Time and Delay Study or until mitigation actions are implemented. According to the 2010 U.S. 1 Arterial Travel Time and Delay Study (August 2010), segments 3, 17, and 18 have reserve capacity within the 5 percent allocation. No reserve capacity exists on U.S. 1 on segment 14 due to the deficiency magnitude. However, a portion of U.S. 1 in segment 14 (Grassy Key) is under construction, and is expected to have better LOS once the construction is complete. The remaining 20 segments on U.S. 1 currently operate at an acceptable LOS. Additionally, U.S. 1 overall currently has a measured travel speed of 46.9 miles per hour which equates to LOS C with a reserve speed of 1.9 miles per hour or 35,240 daily trips as reserve volume. The 2010 available capacity for each segment on U.S. 1 is summarized in Table 4.13. The individual segments reserve volumes may be unobtainable, due to the constraint imposed by the overall reserve volume. Traffic Circulation 21 Technical Document: May 2011 Monroe County Comprehensive Plan Update Table 4.13 - 2010 U.S. 1 Reserve Capacity 1 Cow KeyBride N g f ) Key Haven Boulevard 21186 j N/A 2 I Key Haven Boulevard Rockland Drive 4,973 N/A 3 Rockland Drive Boca Chica Road 0 i 549 4 Boca Chica Road Harris Channel Bridge (N) 21593 N/A 5 Harris Channel Bridge (N) Bow Channel Bridge (N) 265 N/A / 6 Bow Channel Bridge (N) Spanish Main Drive 2,525 N/A 7 Spanish Main Drive East Shore Drive 11967 ' N/A 8 East Shore Drive Torch -Ramrod Bridge (S) 1,866 N/A / 9 Torch -Ramrod Bridge (S) N. Pine Channel Bridge' fN ) I 2,087 , N/A 10 N. Pine Channel Bridge (N) Long Beach Drive 1,520 i N/A 11 12 Long Beach Drive 7-Mile Bridge (S) i 7-Mile BridgeS f) I 7-Mile 7,187 1 N/A 13 7-Mile Bridge (N) Bridge (N) 3,716 N/A Cocoa Plum Drive 17,771 N/A 14 1 Cocoa Plum Drive Toms Harbor Ch Bridge (S) 0 0 15 Toms Harbor Ch Bridge (S) Long Key Bridge (S) 16 Long Key Bridge (S) j Channel #2 Bridge (N) 1,565 6,722 N/A 17 1 Channel #2 Bridge (N) Lignum Vitae Bridge (S) 0 N/A 940 18 Lignum Vitae Bridge (S) Tea Table Relief Bridge (N) 0 19 Tea Table Relief Bridge (N) Whale Harbor Bridge (S) 611 727 20 Whale Harbor Bridge (S) Snake Creek Bridge (N) 4,468 N/A N/A 21 Snake Creek Bridge (N) Ocean Boulevard 2,881 N/A 22 Ocean Boulevard Atlantic Boulevard 9,539 N/A 23 Atlantic Boulevard C-905 9,121 N/A 24 C-905 County Line Sign 7,187 N/A Source: DRAFT 2010 U.S.1 Arterial Travel Time and Delay Study (July 2010). 4.3.4.4 Traffic Volumes on U.S. 1 Traffic volumes along U.S. 1 were obtained from FDOT's count stations. Table 4.14 summarizes the Historic Annual Average Daily Traffic (AADT) on U.S. 1 between 1999 and 2009. The historic AADT between 1999 and 2008 were obtained from the 2008 Florida Traffic Information CD published by FDOT. The 2009 AADT was estimated by adjusting the 24-hour daily traffic counts obtained from FDOT synopsis reports with seasonal and axle factors. Table 4.15 summarizes the 2009 two-way and peak direction peak hour volumes on U.S. 1. Traffic Circulation 22 Technical Document: May 2011 Monroe County Comprehensive Plan Update It t"I CLtii o i o 0 0 0 0 0 o o M rn o o 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 d' 0 0 4, 0 0 0 0 t` 0 0 u'i T d' Ln L1'i Ln Lri .--i Ln C LPi C O N O O - O, M M �-+ d' M M M N N N •--I �-1 '-I .-a .-i .--I M M '-1 O N C O O O O N O O C O O i CLn 00 �D d' Lfi en O c O Ln �O IL �O Ln �0 c-i t, CO Ln d' N O N Lr) N O Lfi t, N O 0 O O7 O O O O O O 0 C O O Ln IL O O O O O O O O O O C O M O O O M 0 O O lTi O O Ln O Ln O �O N M L� '1 O O d' n M CIZ C, 0 O 00 O h C N �O 00 M t� .--i M C N Lf'i e-i M p O f7� O O O O O O O C)O O N t� O O O O O O O C:) O C O O O O O C C CZ)O O N Ln Ln m vi t\ rn \O Ln o Ln M Ln o c Ln d' M M N M N h r-I .-1 ! 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O 0� O O O O O O O O O C Q \ C C:)O C)O C,O O O 00 O L1i N Lfl O c-i L!i C t, C O Z M N - Ln O C d' O O7 4 07 L� h M M .-i o, a' d' •-i CD N O O rz U cOC ai O O OCt O n O O to co L O. O O C c C L bA O bD D i h_A h_0 b_-0 C6 M C4 Cz CC M U U Cz O C [6 C O O O O 'a 2 2 Vi t] Ln C n M d' Ll; \O N d. Ln N l0 N lfi d O d Lq n„i in Lli N [- Lf� '0 r..! CT LO Ln I .� Lr) O CD�--� O " C 00 O (0` C:)N t- z .--i \O �O N d' O �--� Llj d" C) d' L � L1 i �O M N �--� 0 N O O CD C O O O O N O O O O O �O O c-+ O O O C) Ln CO 0,O 0 0 (T O O N M d' L� C O I O i--1 N .--I M e-i M i--� e--I i--1 �--� C N N Traffic Circulation 23 Technical Document: May 2011 Monroe County Comprehensive Plan Update 2i Traffic Circulation 24 Technical Document: May 2011 Monroe County Comprehensive Plan Update Table 4.15 -2009 Two-way and Peak Direction Peak Hour Volumes on U.S.1 Segment 1 •.. Peak Hour ��Two-WaPeak eak Hour NIM NIM Station Volume' Direction 0201 3,228 71,N/A 4.0 5.0 0165 N/A 2 5.0 9.0 0009 2,076 3 9.0 10.5 0010 2,014 4 10.5 16.5 0106 1,734 1,068 5 16.5 20.5 N/A N/A N/A 6 20.5 23.0 N/A N/A 7 j 23.0 25.0 0108 1,417 ���7/64� 8 25.0 27.5 N/A N/A N/A 9 27.5 29.5 0109 1,476 843 10 29.5 33.0 0227 N/A N/A 0016 1,893 1,063 11 33.0 40.0 ! N/A N/A N/A 12 40.0 47.0 0066 1,139 599 13 47.0 54.0 0642 1,338 728 0110 2,533 1,305 0045 2,334 1,207 14 54.0 60.5 5040 1,253 665 15 60.5 63.0 j N/A N/A N/A 16 63.0 73.0 0065/9065 744 393 17 73.0 77.5 0623 1,046 528 18 77.5 79.5 N/A N/A N/A 19 79.5 84.0 1 N/A N/A N/A 20 84.0 86.0 0101/9101 1,089 570 21 86.0 91.5 0102 2,724 1,417 22 91.5 1 99.5 5043&0062 2,159 1,107 5041 1,949 1,067 23 99.5 106.0 0064 2,816 1,552 j 0094 2,753 1,537 24 106.0 1 112.6 0164 N/A N/A 0200 1,707 906 0001 1,391 848 Traffic Circulation 25 Technical Document: May 2011 Monroe County Comprehensive Plan Update located 200 feet south of County road 905 on Key Largo, Station #227 is located FDOT has three permanent count stations on U.S. 1 in Monroe County. Station #ocated fee 164 is feet 200 northeast of North Pine Channel Bridge on Big Pine Key, and Station #165 is l feet east of Cow Key Bridge on Stock Island200 . Table 4.16 summarizes the monthly average daily traffic between 2004 and 2008 at the three permanent count stations. The Remainder of This Page Intentionally Left Blank Traffic Circulation 26 Technical Document: May 2011 Monroe County Comprehensive Plan Update Table 4.16 - 2004 to 2008 Monthly Average Daily Traffic on U.S.1 FDOT Count Station 0165 (Stock Island anuar 38,800 39,600 1 *38,250 136,900 36,700 190,250 Februar 41,000 40,500 41,300 39,200 41,500 138,800 38,700 38,300 L 39,300 36,700 201,900 193,400 A ril may 38,400 38,300 37,100 36,500 35,100 185,400 June 37,900 36,900 36,000 35,500 34,300 180,600 July 38,000 33,900 35,600 35,100 33,300 175,900 A t 34,800 33,500 33,400 34,700 32,200 168,600 A October .. 37,000 , ... N 32,000 35,100 1 34,700 32,600 171,400 November 37,300 40,300 34,400 33,900 32,200 178,100 December 36,600 *36,000 35,400 35.200 34,000 177,200 FDOT Count Station 0227(Big Pine Ke anuar 18,800 18,700 18,500 17,700 17,100 90,800 February 21,100 20,600 20,000 19,300 19,400 100,400 April 19,200 18,200 18,400 18,100 17,300 91,200 May 17,400 17,300 16,700 16,500 15,800 83,700 June 1 17,200 16,500 16,100 16,100 15,400 81,300 July 18,200 16,700 1 16,400 16,700 15,800 83,800 August 15,700 15,300 14,400 15,800 14400 75,600 October 15,800 12,300 14,900 14,700 14,000 71,700 November 16,400 16,300 15,500 15,100 14,500 77,800 December 17,000 17,300 16,000 15,800 15,500 81,600 FDOT Count Station 0164(Key Largo January 24,800 24,300 24,000 23,800 22,700 119,600 iFebbruar April 27,400 26,800 26,400 25,400 25,700 " , 26,400 25,100 26,100 24,900 24,600 129,500 129,300 May 26,200 26,200 25,300 24,700 23,800 126,200 June 25,300 24,200 24,100 23,800 i 22,900 1 120,300 July 27,300 26,200 25,000 25,700 24,100 128,300 Au ust 22,700 25,600 21,700 23,500 21,600 115,100 October 21,900 18,300 21,100 20,200 19,300 100,800 November 23,300 21,900 22,500 21,900 21,100 110,700 December 22,700 23,100 21,800 21,600 21,800 111,000 *Denotes average between the two adjacent years. Data was not available. Traffic Circulation 27 Technical Document: May 2011 Monroe County Comprehensive Plan Update The data indicates that March is the peak month and September is the low month for traffic at the three locations of the Keys. On Big Pine Key, the peak season fluctuations are more extreme on a percentage basis. At this location, March traffic is 19 percent higher than the annual average, and September traffic is 37 percent less than the average traffic. On Stock Island, the same months are 13 percent above and 20 percent below the annual average. On Key Largo, the same months are 13 percent above and 28 percent below the annual average. It should be noted that the drop in traffic during the month of September corresponds almost directly with the drop in hotel occupancy for the Keys. The Trend Report, published annually by Smith Travel Research for the Monroe County Tourist Development Council, documents the monthly hotel/guest quarters occupancy rates for Monroe County and, separately, the City of Key West. A review of the rates for the year 2009 reveals a significant reduction in the Monroe County occupancy rate during the month of September (-38 percent) with respect to the 2009 average occupancy rate of 61.9 percent. In a simialr fashion, the maximum hotel/guest quarters occupancy tends to occur during the months of February and March with an increase of as much as 20 percent above the average annual rate. As such, it appears that the transient population directly impacts the rise aqnd fall of traffic flow in Monroe County. 4.3.5 2009 Operational Assessment of SR A-1-A Table 4.17 presents a summary of the operational evaluation of SR A-1-A within the City of Key West. As shown in the table, SR A-1-A operates at LOS B or C throughout its length. Table 4.17 - 2009 Operational Assessment of SR A-1-A in the City of Key West Bertha Key Street West 5028 30 4LU Air ort 7,200 1,961 1,183 1470 ,C Key West Flagler Airport Avenue 5027 30 4LU 11,200 1,046 558 1,470 B Flagler Avenue US-1 0049 30 4LU 19,400 1,783 1,085 1,470 B Sources: (1) 2009 Florida Traffic Information DVD, Florida Department of Transportation FDOPT Quality/Level of Service Handbook. and (2) 2009 4.3.6 Existing Modal Split and Vehicle Occupancy Rates The automobile is typically the most convenient mode of transportation because of the ability to travel instantaneously as needed for the individual. Alternative modes of Traffic Circulation 28 Technical Document: May 2011 Monroe County Comprehensive Plan Update transportation often incur delay associated with waiting for a bus, train, airplane, etc., in addition to the actual travel time on that mode to a particular destination. Thus, alternate modes often have difficulty competing against the automobile. Transportation options currently available in the County include the automobile, airplane, bus, bicycle, boat, and as a pedestrian. Information regarding modal split and vehicle occupancy rates for the County is not available. However, the modal split is likely to significantly favor the automobile due to the lack of an extensive transit system, lack of population density, and a lack of connectivity of bicycle/pedestrian paths at the present time. 4.3.7 Significant Existing Pedestrian and Bicycle Facilities In general, the existing pedestrian and bicycle facilities throughout the County parallel U.S. 1 (non -continuous). These facilities are part of The Florida Keys Overseas Heritage Trail Master Plan. The Master Plan will incorporate the existing trail segments to create a continuous pedestrian and bicycle facility from Key Largo at MM 106 to Key West at MM 0 that will connect communities, school, and businesses, along U.S. 1. Most of the trail is currently in existence, while a portion of it is still under construction. There are 60 miles of existing bike paths spread throughout the Keys and an additional 40 miles of new trail started construction in 2010. Map Series 4-5 depicts the significant bicycle and pedestrian ways in the County. 4.3.8 Capacity of Significant Public Parking Facilities There are two significant (i.e. public parking is in excess of 100 spaces) County -owned public parking facilities in the County and one owned by the City of Key West. One of the County facilities is located at the Key West International Airport while the other is at the Florida Keys Marathon Airport as shown in Map Series 4-7. The parking facility located at the Key West International Airport, was completed in 2009 and provides approximately 200 parking spaces at a cost of $10 per day and $50 for 5 to 7 days. This parking facility, which is managed by Republic Parking, Inc., has no separation for short term or long term parking. The Florida Keys Marathon Airport parking facility offers 182 parking spaces, including five handicap accessible spaces at no charge. The Key West Department of Transportation owns and operates the 300-space Old Town Garage, Park-N-Ride, in the Old Town Historic District. The 24-hour access garage is located at the intersection of Grinnell and Caroline Streets. Parking rates are $2.00 per hour with a maximum of $13.00 per day. A monthly permit costs $99.75. A Park-N-Ride Garage ticket entitles the bearer to ride public transportation in the City of Key West for free. Map Series 4-7 also show the location of the Old Town Garage. Traffic Circulation 29 Technical Document: May 2011 Monroe County Comprehensive Plan Update 4.3.9 Availability of Transportation Facilities and Services for Existing Uses [9J-5.019(3)(b)J As previously noted, U.S. 1 is the main arterial roadway within the Florida Keys and the County. County and local roadways, including frontage roads, generally serve shorter trip lengths while providing direct access to adjacent land uses. These current facilities effectively funnel traffic towards U.S. 1. Currently, existing land uses are adequately served by this roadway network since they are either adjacent to or within a few hundred feet of U.S. 1 and the collector roadways. Further supporting the roadway network is an interconnected network of bicycle and pedestrian paths. These bicycle and pedestrian paths generally parallel U.S. 1 providing multimodal access to existing land uses within the County. In addition to U.S. 1, there are more than 600 miles of county (secondary) roads. The Monroe County Division of Public Works is charged with maintaining and improving secondary roads which are located within the boundaries of unincorporated Monroe County. The FDOT is responsible for maintaining U.S. 14 and SR A1A. Pursuant to Sections 15.4.7of the Land Development Code, the Growth Management Department will not issue building permits for all traffic generating developments that would impact roadways with inadequate LOS. 4.3.10 Adequacy to Evacuate Population [9J-5.019(3)(c)J U.S. 1 and Card Sound Road/CR-905 are designated as the evacuation routes for the Florida Keys as depicted in Map Series 4-6. U.S. 1 is the only land -based connection to the mainland with a variable roadway cross-section of two and four travel lanes throughout its length. Northeast of Key Largo, the U.S. 1 corridor splits into two roadways. U.S. 1 veers northwest connecting to Miami -Dade County, while Card Sound Road/CR-905 continues in the northeast direction. U.S. 1 specifically between MM 106 and MM 126 varies between a 2-lane divided roadway and a 4-lane divided roadway. In Florida City, U.S. 1 becomes a 4- lane divided facility. Evacuation clearance times are used as emergency management tools throughout the State of Florida. However, in the County, they are also utilized for regulatory purposes. Specifically, since 1992, the County has implemented policies to ensure that clearance times shall not exceed 24 hours. Table 4.18 summarizes the evacuation clearance times. The 2006 South Florida Regional Hurricane Evacuation Traffic Study, prepared by the South Florida Regional Planning Council, provides a summary and analysis of evacuation of the population of the County via U.S. 1 and Card Sound Road/CR-905. This analysis includes an estimate of the clearance times required to evacuate the County using these two roadways. 12008 Monroe County Public Facilities Capacity Assessment Report Traffic Circulation 30 Technical Document: May 2011 Monroe County Comprehensive Plan Update The study identifies evacuation zones, critical roadway segments, and clearance times based on development patterns, functional population, and behavioral analysis. Based on a Category 4-5 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson scale, analysis indicates that an early, phased evacuation of tourists and mobile home residents prior to the evacuation of permanent residents would result in evacuation clearance times for the County population of less than 24-hours. It was assumed in the analysis that the evacuation of tourists would begin approximately 48 hours in advance, followed by a 36-hour advance evacuation of mobile home residents, and a 30-hour advance evacuation of permanent residents. The Remainder of This Page Intentionally Left Blank Traffic Circulation 31 Technical Document: May 2011 Monroe County Comprehensive Plan Update o V) C0 �o o� Z., u 2 U w Cl7 N L � � N N L C O O CYi i 0 M N d' O 00 O U U TS OJ � C CO � o `c c CIZ O cc v C Ln ' C c0 •- o O U :� u v 0. N U n u U O O f6 r ' •i o 4 Vi L. O U C N ^ O cC U Ln O U K+ O cG Ct . U o O M i x o 3 " 0 0 0 Ln CO CO C �� �c�LO ; M y • • _°��� M o y M V) ° i Cam'•' rC CU O •'O C Vi VI •� i O a ^ ca a� C) _° CC O N Vi E V) co O .0 N CG U i .� U> N > W Lr) Lr)ti NO N ] 0 O O O a N N W .O U 0 ti C n V) '� O _O H O • • vCD .) Cq ) 0 z — rj M Traffic Circulation 32 Technical Document: May 2011 Monroe County Comprehensive Plan Update 4.3.11 FDOT - Five -Year Work Program [9J-5.019(3)(g)J The current County's Capital Improvement Program list does not include roadway improvements. Also, the City of Key West, City of Key Colony Beach, and City of Islamorada do not have future transportation improvements. The City of Marathon and City of Layton transportation improvements are limited to maintenance and resurfacing. However, major improvements scheduled for U.S. 1 are outlined in the FDOT Five -Year Work Program (2010 - 2014) as summarized in Table 4.19 below: Table 4.19 - FDOT's Five -Year Work Program (2010 - 2014) Florida Overseas • The segment from MM 60.5-Craig Key to 62.9-Long Key • The segment from MM 16.5-Lower Sugarloaf to MM 24.5-Summerland Key • The segment from MM 47 to MM 54 for safety improvements • The segment from MM 106 (new trailhead) between U.S. 1 and Card Sound Road • The segment from MM 83.5-Windley Key to MM 84.8 • The segment from MM 92 to MM 96 (safety improvements) • The segment from MM 15 to MM 16.5- Lower Sugarloaf Key • The segment from MM 96 to MM 106- Key Largo • The segment from City of Layton to Channel 5 Bridge • The segment from MM 33.3-Spanish Harbor to MM 40.5-7 mile bridge • The segment from MM 5.2-Key Haven to MM 11-Big Coppitt Key HistoricBridges Reconstruction Overseasof the • The Ohio -Missouri Historic Bridge (MM 39.1) • The Kemp Channel Bridge (MM 23.6) • The Spanish Harbor Historic Bridge (MM 33) • The Historic South Pine Channel Bridge (MM 29) Other Bike Path Trails • Atlantic Boulevard from Bertha Street to White Street • College Road from Florida Keys Community College to SR 5/U.S. 1 • Glenn Archer Drive from SR 5/N Roosevelt Boulevard to Flagler Avenue Bridge Repairs and Rehabilitations • Baypoint Bridge #904140 at Palm Drive (Saddlebunch Key) • Geiger Key Bride #904110 on Boca Chica Road • SR 5/Indian Key Channel Bridge #900095 substructure repairs • SR 5/Overseas Highway Big Spanish channel (Bahia Honda) • SR 5/Spanish Harbor Big Pine Key at Bahia Honda • SR 5/Toms Harbor Channel in Little Duck Key • SR A1A/S. Roosevelt Boulevard Bridge #90054 over Thompson Creek • SR A1A/S. Roosevelt Boulevard from Bertha Street to SR 5/U.S. 1 SR 5/Channel 2 Bridge substructure repairs Traffic Circulation 33 Technical Document: May 2011 Monroe County Comprehensive Plan Update Table 4.19 - FDOT's Five -Year Work Program (2010 - 2014) (Continued) • SR 5 From Ships Way To Sands Rd And From Sands Rd To W Of Key Deer Crossing • SR 5/Overseas Hwy. From N Of 37 St./MM49.1 To N Of Cocoplum Dr/MM 54.6 • SR 5/Overseas Hwy. From Knights Key, MM 47.0 To Coast Guard Entrance, MM 48.0 The Kemp Channel Bridge (MM 23.6) (Hurricane Evacuation) • SR S/Overseas Hwy. From MM 93 To MM 97 (Hurricane Evacuation) • SR 5/Overseas Hwy. From MM 103/Hialeah Lane To MM 107/Lake Surprise Rd (Hurricane Evacuation) • SR 5/Overseas Hwy. From MM 86.8/S Of East Ridge Rd To MM 90/Poinciana Blvd (Hurricane Evacuation) • SR 5/Overseas Hwy. From MM 99.7/S Of Laguna Ave To MM 103.1/Hialeah Ln (Hurricane Evacuation) • SR 5/Overseas Hwy. From N Jo -Jean Way/MM 92 To S Of Camelot Dr/MM 93 (Hurricane Evacuation) • SR 5/Overseas Hwy. From Tavernier Creek Bridge/MM 91 To Jo -Jean Way/MM 92 (Hurricane Evacuation) • SR 5/Overseas Hwy. From Travel Trailer Town/MM 96 To 175' N-Sunset Blvd/MM 99 (Hurricane Evacuation) • SR 5/Overseas Hwy. From 950' E Of Jade Drive To 680' E Of Shark Key • SR 5/Overseas Hwy. From 50' S Of Fontaine Dr To S Of Tavernier Creek Bridge • SR 5/Overseas Hwy. From Blue Isle Blvd, MM 59.9 To N Of Beach Entrance, MM 73.4 • SR 5/Overseas Hwy. From Jerome Ave MM 81.4 To Whale Harbor Channel, MM 84.0 • SR 5/Overseas Hwy. From MM 11.7/Shark Key Entrance To MM 14.6/West Circle Dr • SR 5/Overseas Hwy. From Whale Harbor, MM 84.0 To Smugglers Cove Entrance, MM 85.6 • SR 5/Overseas Hwy, From 270'S Of Harbor View To 760' N Of MM 93 (S/B) • SR 5/Overseas Hwy. From 490'E Of West Indies Dr To 150' W Of Palmetto Ave • SR 5/Overseas Hwy. From 2580' S Of MM 97 To 2000'S Of MM 100(S/B Only) • SR 5/Big Coppitt Key From Rockland Channel Bridge To Old Boca Chica Channel (2L to 3L - Center Turn Lane) • SR 5 from Ships Way to Sands Road and from Sands Road to west of Key Deer Crossing in Big Pine Key (2L to 3L - Center Turn Lane). The Remainder of This Page Intentionally Left Blank Traffic Circulation 34 Technical Document: May 2011 Monroe County Comprehensive Plan Update 4.4 Future Traffic Circulation 4.4.1 Introduction This section of the Traffic Circulation Element describes the procedures developed to forecast future traffic growth in the County through 2030, provides an analysis of the future traffic conditions and presents transportation system improvements necessary to address those deficiencies. Trip forecasts were developed based upon projected household or occupied dwelling unit estimated for the County and the incorporated urban areas: City of Marathon, City of Key West, City of Layton, City of Key Colony Beach, and Islamorada, Village of Islands. Future household estimates for the incorporated urban areas were derived from each of the corresponding jurisdiction's comprehensive plan and/or planning documents. Future household estimates for the County were derived as described in Section 2.6 of the Future Land Use Element. A key traffic capacity limitation in the County is the ability of various segments of U.S. 1 to accommodate traffic volume increases at LOS C. The ability of the County to accommodate traffic volume growth varies by segment of U.S. 1 and by collector roadway. Thus, the distribution of potential residential growth by segment of U.S. 1 (and by Planning Area) will be the critical factor in determining the future roadway segments which are over capacity. 4.4.2 Trip Forecasts for Monroe County Table 4.20 presents the projected functional (seasonal plus permanent) population and household growth for the unincorporated areas of the County from 2010 to 2030. The functional population estimates reflect the County's current general policies regarding limited and controlled growth (see Section 2.6 of the Future Land Use Element). The projected annual population growth rate between 2010 and 2030 is about 0.218 percent per year. The functional households were estimated based upon persons per household factors of 2.2 for the permanent population and 2.7 for the seasonal population. Table 4.21 presents the estimated daily trips per five year period for each of the three Planning Areas (PA). The daily household trips were determined based on the trip generation rate of 8 daily trips per household unit.5 The total new unincorporated County generated daily trips by 2030 are estimated at 8,912. Of this total, the Upper Keys PA is forecast to generate 3,632 of daily trips or 40.8 percent of the total. The Middle Keys PA would generate about 272 daily trips or 3.1 percent of the total; whereas, the Lower Keys PA would generate 5,008 trips or 56.2 percent of the total. 5 2010 U.S. 1 Arterial Travel Time and Delay Study, URS, August 2010. Traffic Circulation 35 Technical Document: May 2011 Monroe County Comprehensive Plan Update Table 4.20 - Functional Population and Household Estimates for the Unincorporated County 2,183 28,980 70,808 16,350 900 11,952 29,202 2,212 29,370 71,763 16,564 912 12,107 29,584 ,234 29,668 72,494 A41,414 16,701 919 12,207 29,827 ,256 29,966 73,225 16,838 926 12,306 30,071 ,278 30,265 73,957 16,976 934 12,40630,315ource: Keith and Schnars, P.A. and Fishkind & Associates, Projections, February 2011 Inc., Unincorporated Monroe County Population Table 4.21- Forecast of Unincorporated Monroe County Trips, 2010-2030 2010 16,350 -- -- 900 11,952 -- -- 2015 16,564 214 1,712 912 12 96 12,107 155 1,240 3,048 2020 16,701 137 11096 919 7 56 12,207 100 800 1,952 2025 16,838 137 1,096 926 7 56 12,306 99 792 1,944 2030 16,976 138 1,104 934 8 64 12,406 100 800 1,968 Totals 2010- 2030 626 5,008 34 272 454 3,632 8,912 Source: Keith and Schnars, P.A. and Fishkind & Associates, Inc., Unincorporated Monroe County Population Projections, February 2011 Traffic Circulation 36 Technical Document: May 2011 Monroe County Comprehensive Plan Update 4.4.3 Trip Forecasts for Incorporated Urban Areas 4.4.3.1 City of Key West The City of Key West is preparing a new Building Permit Allocation System Ordinance. This ordinance, commonly referred to as the Rate of Growth Ordinance (ROGO) allocates units for new development within the City as part of a growth management process mandated by the adopted Comprehensive Plan. The original 1993 plan was devised to tie new growth to hurricane evacuation clearance times. New development would only be allowed if hurricane evacuation stayed under 24 hours. In the beginning, a limited number of new units were allocated and assigned to specific developments. In time, however, almost all the available allocations were exhausted. A small pool of units dedicated to affordable housing and for "beneficial use" (the minimum use needed to provide owners with reasonable use of their land) were reserved. Since February 2008, the City of Key West instituted a "zoning in progress" doctrine during the preparation of the new ordinance. The City will only allocate new units for workforce housing. Because so few new units existed in the system anyway, the zoning in progress resolution has had little impact on actual development in the City. Most development continues to be redevelopment of existing units which are either acknowledged as lawfully established prior to the institution of the Building Permit Allocation System or can demonstrate that they have valid allocations. Due to the inability to project the demand volumes for workforce housing for the City of Key West, for planning purposes, it has been assumed that the City has a minimal housing unit impact with respect to traffic. 4.4.3.2 City of Marathon Housing projections for the City of Marathon were obtained from the City of Marathon Comprehensive Plan, Adopted March 8, 2005. Currently, under the ROGO, the City of Marathon is allocated 30 residential units per each ROGO allocation year by the State of Florida. Based on the housing information from the 2000 U. S. Census, and highlighted in the City's comprehensive plan, the City will have added 600 units by 2020 for a projected total of 7,391 permanent housing units.6 The number of permanent occupied units, 4,996 units, was determined by multiplying the total projected units by 67.59 percent. The number of persons per occupied dwelling unit (or household) is 2.19. The number of seasonal units projected for 2020 is estimated at 3,090. The occupancy is estimated at 59.7 percent with 2.92 persons per unit. 6 Source: Table I-7: Population Estimates and Projections, 2000-2020, page 11 of 218, Chapter I Future Land Use Data Inventory and Analysis, City of Marathon Comprehensive Plan, March 8, 2005. Traffic Circulation 37 Technical Document: May 2011 Monroe County Comprehensive Plan Update Table 4.22 presents the 2010-2030 forecasts for both the permanent and seasonal occupied units as well as estimated daily trips per 5-year forecast period. 4.4.3.3 Cit of Kev Colony Beach The City of Key Colony Beach's housing stock is predominantly duplex and multifamily. According to the U.S. Census Bureau American Community Survey, approximately 80 percent of the City's housing units are multi -family with less than 20 percent being single family units. Table 4.23 presents the forecasted population, household, and daily trip estimates for the City of Key Colony Beach between 2010 and 2030. Projections beyond 2020 were estimated based on the estimated yearly growth rate through 2020. Daily trips were determined by applying the rate of 8 trips per dwelling unit as per the 2010 U.S. 1 Arterial Travel Time and Delay Study, URS, August 2010. Table 4.22 - Forecasted Household and Daily Trip Growth for the City of Marathon, 2010-2030 Permanent Occupied Units 4,692 4,793 4,895 4,996 5,097 5,198 Seasonal Occupied Units 2,829 2,913 3,000 3,090 3,180 3,270 Total Occupied Units 7,521 7,706 7,895 8,086 8,277 8,468 Change per 5-Year Period 185 189 191 191 191 Daily Trips s -- 1,480 1,512 1,528 1,528 1,528 1. Source: City of Marathon Comprehensive Plan, March 2005. 2. Projections beyond 2020 are estimated based on yearly growth estimate. 3. Daily trips determined by applying rate of 8 trips per dwelling unit as per 2010 U.S. Time and Delay Study, URS, August 2010. 1 Arterial Travel The Remainder of This Page Intentionally Left Blank Traffic Circulation 38 Technical Document: May 2011 Monroe County Comprehensive Plan Update Table 4.23 - Forecasted Population, Household, and Daily Trip Growth for the City of Key Colony Beach, 2010-2030 Permanent Population 836 832 819 808 795 783 Seasonal Population 1,726 1,768 1,810 1,852 1,897 1,943 Total Peak Population 2,562 2,600 2,629 2,660 2,692 2,726 Change in Population -- 38 29 31 32 34 Dwelling Units 3 20 16 17 17 18 Daily Trips 4 160 128 136 136 144 r;r„ of Kav Cnlnnv Raarh Cnmprehensive Plan. Adonted luly 2007 and amended November 2008, and LaRue Planning and Management Services, Inc., 2005. Projected population based on annual growth rates, 2005-2020. Assumed a factor of 1.87 persons per dwelling unit among both permanent and seasonal populations. Daily trips determined by applying rate of 8 trips per dwelling unit as per 2010 U.S. 1 Arterial Travel Time and Delay Study, URS, August 2010. 4.4.3.4 City of Layton As the smallest incorporated area, the City of Layton is nearing full residential build -out. Forecasted single and multi -unit residential dwelling unit estimates for the City of Layton were determined based on the information provided in the City's 2020 Comprehensive Plan, Adopted November 16, 1990, amended March 12, 2009. In 2007, a capacity for a projected 22 single family dwelling units was determined. Table 4.24 presents the estimated incremental five-year period residential unit growth for the City of Layton, as well as the estimated daily trips for each period. It was assumed that residential build -out of 205 units will be achieved by 2020 and no or negligible growth beyond that period. Traffic Circulation 39 Technical Document: May 2011 Monroe County Comprehensive Plan Update Table 4.24 - Forecasted Residential Dwelling Unit Growth for the City of Layton, 2010-2030 Single Family 130 139 147 152 152 152 Multifamily 54 54 55 58 58 58 Total 184 193 202 210 210 210 Incremental Growth 2010-2030 -- 9 9 g p 0 Daily Trips 3 -- 72 72 64 0 0 1. Dwelling unit estimate based on assessment of Figure 3-3, Existing Land Use Map, May 2007 and Figure 3-4, Future Land Use Map 2020, City of Layton, Florida, Comprehensive Plan, Adopted November 16, 1990, Amended March 12, 2009. 2. Residential development build -out assumed by 2020. 3. Daily trips determined by applying rate of 8 trips per dwelling unit as per 2010 U.S. 1 Arterial Travel Time and Delay Study, URS, August 2010. 4.4.3.5 Islamorada Village of Islands The previous ROGO program for Islamorada allows up to 22 residential units (18 market rate and 4 affordable units) to be constructed each year within the Village. If the Village adheres to this growth rate through the horizon date of its Comprehensive Plan (2020), then 440 new units would be constructed above the 2001 housing stock. The land use plan parameters allows for a residential and commercial mix equal in impact to 396 residential dwelling units, its maximum build -out conditions. After 2003, the annual allotment was set at 14 units per year through year 2020. New residential development should not exceed 302 units over the twenty year (2001-2020) planning period. Table 4.25 presents the forecasted dwelling units and daily trips through 2030 for Islamorada. The Remainder of This Page Intentionally Left Blank Traffic Circulation 40 Technical Document: May 2011 Monroe County Comprehensive Plan Update Table 4.25 - Forecasted Dwelling Units and Daily Trip Growth for Islamorada, Village of Islands, 2010-20301 1. Islamorada, Village of Islands, Comprehensive Plan, Data Inventory and Data Analysis, January 2001. 2. No more than 14 residential units per year can be constructed under the proposed program through year 2020. New residential development should not exceed 302 units over the twenty year (2001-2020) planning period. 3. Build -out assumed by 2020. 4. Daily trips determined by applying rate of 8 trips per dwelling unit as per 2010 U.S. 1 Arterial Travel Time and Delay Study, URS, August 2010. 4 4 3 6 Summary of Daily Trips and Residential Units Table 4.26 shows a summary of the County and incorporated areas forecasted dwelling units and new daily trips per five-year forecast period through 2030. The overall growth trend of future residential units is expected to gradually decrease up through 2025 and reverse upward by 2030. Most of the traffic increase beyond 2020 will be associated with the development of potential residential units in the cities (e.g. Marathon), an upward change in the County's functional population before 2030, and a possible increase in dwelling unit occupancies (Key West and Key Colony Beach). The cities of Layton and Key Colony Beach are expected to have been build -out by 2020. Table 4.26 - Summary of Daily Trip and Residential Unit Forecasts Year 2015 Daily Trips 5,320 Residential Units 665 2020 4,240 530 2025 3,608 451 2030 3,640 455 20-Year Totals 16,808 2,101 Traffic Circulation 41 Technical Document: May 2011 Monroe County Comprehensive Plan Update 4.4.4 Future Traffic Forecasts 4.4.4.1 AADT Forecast Estimates of future AADT along the U.S. 1 corridor were made based upon a combination of the historic AADT volumes and growth rates at each of the FDOT count stations and the estimated daily trips for the forecasted residential development for the county and cities through 2030. The following is a summary of the procedure applied to estimate the forecasted AADT for each of the 24 segments of the U.S. 1 corridor: • An annual system -wide background or ambient growth rate of 0.31 percent per year was applied to all future estimates through 2030 at each of the count stations.? This rate was determined from the weighted average of the 2000=2009 growth rates at the following key stations, located at or near the Keys Planning Area limits: - Station #0009 and Station #0066 which are located at the western and eastern limits, respectively, of the Lower Keys Planning Area; - Station #0066 and Station #0065 which are located at the western and eastern limits, respectively, of the Middle Keys Planning Area; and - Station #0065 and Stations #0001 (U.S. 1) and #0002 (Card Sound Road) which are located at the western and northern limits, respectively, of the Upper Keys Planning Area. • The estimated daily trips generated by the planned or permitted residential units for both the unincorporated county areas and cities, were added to each five-year forecast period at each of the count stations. • Where there were more than one count station within a U.S. 1 segment, the average value of the stations was determined and applied to the segment analysis (Segments 1 (Stock Island), 10 (Big Pine), 12 (7-Mile Bridge), 22 (Travernier), and 23 (Key Largo). • In Segment 13 (Marathon) the station with the highest recorded volume was selected for the analysis (FDOT Station 0064, MM 100). Table 4.27 presents the estimated 2010-2030 AADT forecasts for each of the U.S. 1 segments. The 2000-2009 AADT growth rate parallels the Monroe County functional population growth rate of 0.3 percent per year. Traffic Circulation 42 Technical Document: May 2011 Monroe County Comprehensive Plan Update Table 4.27 - 2010-2030 Annual Average Daily Traffic Forecasts for U.S. 1 U.S. AverageAnnual Daily Traffic Forecasts 1 Segment Begin MM - Area Stock Island 4.0 - 5.0 Monroe 37,883 39,651 40,807 41,964 43,131 1 2 Boca Chica 5.0 - 9.0 Monroe 25,589 27,685 29,196 30,730 32,295 3 Big Coppitt 9.0 - 10.5 Monroe 21,659 23,696 25,147 26,621 28,124 4 Saddlebunch 10.5 - 16.5 Monroe 20,846 22,871 24,310 25,770 27,261 5 Sugarloaf 16.5 - 20.5 Monroe 19,488 21,492 22,911 24,350 25,820 6 Cudjoe 20.5 - 23.0 Monroe 19,488 21,492 22,911 24,350 25,820 7 Summerland 23.0 - 25.0 Monroe 18,129 20,113 21,511 22,929 24,377 8 Ramrod 25.0 - 27.5 Monroe 18,484 20,473 21,876 23,301 24,754 9 Torch 27.5 - 29.5 Monroe 18,838 20,833 22,241 23,671 25,130 10 Big Pine 29.5 - 33.0 Monroe 18,027 20,009 21,406 22,823 24,269 11 Bahia Honda 33.0 - 40.0 Monroe 17,387 19,360 20,746 22,153 23,590 12 7-Mile Bridge 40.0 - 47.0 Monroe 15,087 17,073 18,641 20,187 21,755 13 Marathon 47.0 - 54.0 Marathon & Key Colony Beach 32,502 34,798 36,582 38,302 40,038 14 Grassy 54.0 - 60.5 Marathon & Key Colony Beach 16,482 18,537 20,321 22,041 23,777 15 Duck 60.5 - 63.0 Monroe 13,208 15,214 16,998 18,718 20,454 16 Long 63.0 - 73.0 Monroe 9,933 11,890 13,674 15,394 17,130 17 Lower Matecumbe 73.0 - 77.5 Islamorada 13,751 15,757 17,794 19,861 21,958 18 Tea Table 77.5 - 79.5 Islamorada 13,793 15,800 17,837 19,904 22,003 19 Upper Matecumbe 79.5 - 84.0 Islamorada 13,793 15,800 17,837 19,904 22,003 20 Windley 84.0 - 86.0 Islamorada 13,834 15,842 17,879 19,948 22,047 21 Plantation 86.0 - 91.5 Islamorada 34,045 37,371 39,731 42,127 44,559 22 Tavernier 91.5 - 99.5 Monroe 26,701 28,902 31,135 33,402 35,703 23 Key Largo 99.5 - 106.0 Monroe 28,738 30,538 33,233 35,532 37,865 24 Cross 106.0 - 112.5 Monroe 17,787 19,854 21,952 24,081 26,242 Traffic Circulation 43 Technical Document: May 2011 Monroe County Comprehensive Plan Update 4.4.4.2 Forecast of Reserve S eed and Residential Ca acit As previously described in Section 4.3.4.4, the difference between segment travel speeds and the LOS C standard is known as the "Reserve Speed". Reserve speed is converted into an estimated reserve capacity of additional traffic volumes and corresponding additional development. If the LOS C standard is exceeded, a fixed number of additional trips for land development are allowed as calculated based on the U.S. 1 Methodology until the next update of the U.S. 1 Arterial Travel Time and Delay Study (the "Study") or until mitigation actions are implemented. Whereas the reserve speeds are derived from the annual travel time and delay studies, a methodology to determine future reserve speeds (and thus, future reserve volumes and residential capacities for each segment) was developed based on the forecasted AADT volumes and median speeds. • The incremental increase in forecast AADT between each 5-year period was determined and a factor of 1,656 trips/mph8 was applied, yielding an estimated reduction factor for the median speed for the segment. • The speed reduction was then applied to the previous 5-year period's median speed to determine the forecast period's median speed. • The difference between the forecast period's median speed and the LOS C value established for each segment provides the reserve speed for that segment. Table 4.28 presents the estimated 2015-2030 forecasts of reserve speeds for each of the U.S. 1 segments. The reserve speeds for 2010 were obtained from the recently completed Study. Table 4.29 presents the estimated 2015-2030 forecasts of reserve volumes and residential capacities for each of the U.S. 1 segments. These were derived through the application of the U.S. 1 Methodology as described in Section 4.3.4.4. The individual reserve volumes may be unobtainable, due to the constraint imposed by the overall reserve volume of 35,240 daily trips as determined in the Study. For planning purposes, the 5 percent allocation for future timeframes was not determined. It is important to note that the median speed, reserve volume, and residential capacity projections are based upon the reserve speeds for 2010 as established in the Study; and as such are valid until the next update of the Study or until mitigation actions are implemented. 8 Source: 2010 U.S. 1 Arterial Travel Time and Delay Study, August 2010 Traffic Circulation 44 Technical Document: May 2011 Monroe County Comprehensive Plan Update Table 4.28 - 2010-2030 Reserve Speed Forecast for U.S. 1 U.S. 1 Segment Stock Island LengthSegment Reserve 2010 1.1 12.0 Speed Forecast 2015 2020 202S 2030 10.9 10.2 9.5 8.8 1 2 Boca Chica 3.9 7.7 6.4 5.5 4.6 3.7 3 Big Coppitt 1.5 0.0 -2.6 -3.5 -4.4 -5.3 4 Saddlebunch 5.8 2.7 1.5 0.6 -0.3 -1.2 5 Sugarloaf 4 0.4 -0.8 -1.7 -2.5 -3.4 6 Cudjoe 2.5 6.1 4.9 4.0 3.2 2.3 7 Summerland 2.2 5.4 4.2 3.4 2.5 1.6 8 Ramrod 2.3 4.9 3.7 2.9 2.0 1.1 9 Torch 2.1 6.0 4.8 3.9 3.1 2.2 10 Big Pine 3.4 2.7 1.5 0.7 -0.2 -1.1 11 Bahia Honda 7 6.2 5.0 4.2 3.3 2.5 12 7-Mile Bridge 6.8 3.3 2.1 1.2 0.2 -0.7 13 Marathon 7.3 14.7 13.3 12.2 11.2 10.1 14 Grassy 6.4 -2.7 -3.9 -5.0 -6.1 -7.1 15 Duck 2.7 3.5 2.3 1.2 0.2 -0.9 16 Long 9.9 4.1 2.9 1.8 0.8 -0.2 17 Lower Matecumbe 4.5 -1.3 -2.5 -3.7 -5.0 -6.3 18 Tea Table 2.2 -0.5 -1.7 -2.9 -4.2 -5.5 19 Upper Matecumbe 4.1 0.9 -0.3 -1.5 -2.8 -4.1 20 Windley 1.9 14.2 13.0 11.8 10.5 9.2 21 Plantation 5.8 3.0 1.0 -0.4 -1.9 -3.3 22 Tavernier 8 7.2 5.9 4.5 3.2 1.8 23 Key Largo 6.8 8.1 7.0 5.4 4.0 2.6 24 Cross 6.2 7.0 5.8 4.5 3.2 1.9 Traffic Circulation 45 Technical Document: May 2011 Monroe County Comprehensive Plan Update Table 4.29 - 2010-2030 Reserve Volume and Residential Unit Capacity Forecast Segment of U.S. 1 2010 per 1 Stock Island 2,186 342 1,991 311 1,864 291 1,737 271 1,609 251 2 Boca Chica 4,973 777 4,156 649 3,566 557 2,968 464 2,358 3 Big Coppitt 5492 86 Note 3 Note 3 Note 3 Note 3 Note 3 Note 3 Note 3 368 4 Saddlebunch 2,593 405 1,419 222 584 91 Note 3 Note Note 3 Note 3 Note 3 5 Sugarloaf 265 41 Note 3 Note Note 3 Not3 Note 3 Note 3 Note 3 3 Note 3 6 Cudjoe 2,525 395 2,024 316 1,670 261 1,310 205 942 3 7 Summerland 1,967 307 1,531 239 1,223 191 911 147 142 593 93 8 Ramrod 1,866 292 1,409 220 1,086 170 758 119 424 9 Torch 2,087 326 1,668 261 1,372 214 1,072 167 765 66 10 Big Pine 1,520 238 846 132 371 58 Note 3 Note Note 3 120 Note 11 Bahia Honda 7,187 1,123 51806 907 4,836 756 3,851 3 602 7-Mile 2,845 445 12 Brid e 3,716 581 2,366 370 1,299 203 248 39 Note 3 Note 13 Marathon 17,771 2,777 16,094 2,515 14.792 2,311 13,537 2,115 12,269 1,917 14 Grassy 02 0 Note 3 Not3 Note 3 Note Note 3 Note Note 3 3 Note 3 15 Duck 1,565 245 1,023 160 542 85 77 12 Note 3 3 Note 16 Long 6,722 1,050 4,784 748 3,018 472 1,315 206 Note 3 3 Note Lower 17 Matecumbe 9402 147 Note 3 Note 3 Note 3 Note Note 3 Note Note 3 3 Note 3 3 3 18 Tea Table 7272 114 Note 3 Note Note 3 Note Note 3 Note Note Upper 3 3 3 Note 3 3 19 Matecumbe 611 95 Note 3 Note 3 Note 3 Note Note 3 Note Note 3 Note 20 Windley 4,468 698 41086 638 3,699 3 578 31306 3 517 3 2,907 454 21 Plantation 2,881 450 952 149 Note 3 Note Note 3 Note Note 3 Note 22 Tavernier 9,539 1,490 7,778 1,215 5,991 3 936 4,178 3 653 2,337 3 23 Key Largo 9,121 1,425 7,897 1,234 6,065 948 4,501 703 2,915 365 24 Cross 7,187 1,123 5,906 923 4,605 719 3,285 513 1,945 455 304 1. These individual reserve volumes may be unobtainable, due to the constraint imposed reserve volume. by the overall Traffic Circulation 46 Technical Document: May 2011 Monroe County Comprehensive Plan Update Table 4.29 notes (continued): 2. Value shown is 5% Allocation for 2010. County regulations and FDOT policy allow segments that fail to meet LOS C standards to receive an allocation not to exceed five percent below the LOS C standard. The resulting flexibility allows a limited amount of additional land development (number of residential units as shown) to continue until traffic speeds are measured the following year or until remedial actions are implemented. 3. Residential capacity not determined for future years where forecast reserve capacity is negative. 4.4.4.3 Projected U.S. 1 Level of Service The information presented in Tables 4.28 and 4.29 provides a "snapshot" of the current (2010) segments where there is potential for significant residential development restrictions notwithstanding any restrictions regarding local development, redevelopment, or hurricane evacuation restrictions. These segments are candidates for being designated as either "backlogged" or "constrained" by FDOT. Based upon the measured and forecasted speeds, reserve volumes and residential capacities for all of the U.S. 1 segments, the following segments are projected to operate below the acceptable LOS C: Year 2010 (Current): • U.S.1 on Big Coppitt Key from MM 9.0 to MM 10.5 (segment 3), LOS D; • U.S. 1 on Grassy Key from MM 54.0 to 60.5 (Segment 14), LOS D; • U.S. 1 on Lower Matecumbe Key from MM 73.0 to 77.5 (Segment 17), LOS D; and • U.S. 1 on Tea Table Key from MM 77.5 to MM 79.5 (segment 18), LOS D. Year 2015: • U.S. 1 on Big Coppitt Key from MM 9.0 to MM 10.5 (segment 3), LOS D; • U.S. 1 on Sugarloaf Key from MM 16.5 to 20.5 (segment 5), LOS D; • U.S. 1 on Grassy Key from MM 54.0 to 60.5 (Segment 14), LOS E; • U.S.1 on Lower Matecumbe Key from MM 73.0 to 77.5 (Segment 17), LOS D; • U.S. 1 on Tea Table Key from MM 77.5 to MM 79.5 (segment 18), LOS D; and • U.S.1 on Upper Matecumbe Key from MM 79.5 to 84.0 (Segment 19), LOS D. Year 2020: • U.S. 1 on Big Coppitt Key from MM 9.0 to MM 10.5 (segment 3), LOS D; • U.S. 1 on Sugarloaf Key from MM 16.5 to 20.5 (segment 5), LOS D; • U.S.1 on Grassy Key from MM 54.0 to 60.5 (Segment 14), LOS E; • U.S. 1 on Lower Matecumbe Key from MM 73.0 to 77.5 (Segment 17), LOS D; • U.S. 1 on Tea Table Key from MM 77.5 to MM 79.5 (segment 18), LOS D; • U.S. 1 on Upper Matecumbe Key from MM 79.5 to 84.0 (Segment 19), LOS D; and • U.S. 1 on Plantation Key from MM 86.0 to 91.5 (Segment 21), LOS D. Year 2025: • U.S. 1 on Big Coppitt Key from MM 9.0 to MM 10.5 (segment 3), LOS E; • U.S. 1 on Saddlebunch Key from MM 10.5 to 16.5 (segment 4), LOS D; Traffic Circulation 47 Technical Document: May 2011 Monroe County Comprehensive Plan Update • U.S. 1 on Sugarloaf Key from MM 16.5 to 20.5 (segment 5), LOS D; • U.S. 1 on Big Pine Key from MM 29.5 to 33.0 (segment 10), LOS E; • U.S. 1 on Grassy Key from MM 54.0 to 60.5 (Segment 14), LOS E; • U.S. 1 on Lower Matecumbe Key from MM 73.0 to 77.5 (Segment 17), LOS E; • U.S. 1 on Tea Table Key from MM 77.5 to MM 79.5 (segment 18), LOS E; • U.S. 1 on Upper Matecumbe Key from MM 79.5 to 84.0 (Segment 19), LOS D; and • U.S. 1 on Plantation Key from MM 86.0 to 91.5 (Segment 21), LOS D. Year 2030: • U.S. 1 on Big Coppitt Key from MM 9.0 to MM 10.5 (segment 3), LOS E; • U.S. 1 on Saddlebunch Key from MM 10.5 to 16.5 (segment 4), LOS D; • U.S. 1 on Sugarloaf Key from MM 16.5 to 20.5 (segment 5), LOS E- • U.S. 1 on Big Pine Key from MM 29.5 to 33.0 (segment 10), LOS E; • U.S. 1 on 7-Mile Bridge from MM 40.0 to 47.0 (segment 11), LOS D; • U.S. 1 on Grassy Key from MM 54.0 to 60.5 (Segment 14), LOS E; • U.S. 1 on Duck Key from MM 60.5 to 63.0 (segment 15), LOS D; • U.S. 1 on Long Key from MM 63.0 to 73.0 (segment 16), LOS D; • U.S. 1 on Lower Matecumbe Key from MM 73.0 to 77.5 (Segment 17), LOS E; • U.S. 1 on Tea Table Key from MM 77.5 to MM 79.5 (segment 18), LOS E; • U.S. 1 on Upper Matecumbe Key from MM 79.5 to 84.0 (Segment 19), LOS E; and • U.S. 1 on Plantation Key from MM 86.0 to 91.5 (Segment 21), LOS E. The projected 2010-2030 levels of service for each of the U.S. 1 corridor segments are presented in Table 4.30. The LOS for each segment per forecast period was derived from the application of the LOS criteria as per the Study as presented previously in Table 4.12. Those segments that that have the potential to achieve LOS E prior to 2020 should be more closely monitored and given a higher priority for improvements. Segments that have used -up the 5 percent reserve trips are restricted from new development or redevelopment, except where redevelopment has no net increase in trips. A portion of US 1 in the Grassy Key segment was under construction at the time of the Study and was expected to improve operationally once the construction was completed. Therefore, the restrictions cannot be imposed on this segment until such time that the impact of the improvements are validated. Traffic Circulation 48 Technical Document: May 2011 Monroe County Comprehensive Plan Update Table 4.30 - Projected U.S.1 Level of Service, 2010 - 2030 Level of Service for Forecast Tears 1.2 2010 2015 2020 2025 2030 1 Stock Island 4.0 - 5.0 B B B B B 2 Boca Chica 5.0 - 9.0 A A A A A 3 Big Coppitt 9.0 - 10.5 D D D E E 4 Saddlebunch 10.5 - 16.5 C C C D D 5 Sugarloaf 16.5 - 20.5 C D D D E 6 Cudjoe 20.5 - 23.0 A A B B C 7 Summerland 23.0 - 25.0 B B B B C 8 Ramrod 25.0 - 27.5 B B B B C 9 Torch 27.5 - 29.5 A A B B C 10 Big Pine 29.5 - 33.0 C C C E E 11 Bahia Honda 33.0 - 40.0 A A A A C 12 7-Mile Bridge 40.0 - 47.0 B B B B D 13 Marathon 47.0 - 54.0 A A B B B 14 Grassy 54.0 - 60.5 D E E E E 15 Duck 60.5 - 63.0 B B C C D 16 Long 63.0 - 73.0 B B C C D 17 Lower Matecumbe 73.0 - 77.5 D D D E E 18 Tea Table 77.5 - 79.5 D D D E E 19 Upper Matecumbe 79.5 - 84.0 C D D D E 20 Windley 84.0 - 86.0 A B B B C 21 Plantation 86.0 - 91.5 B C D D E 22 Tavernier 91.5 - 99.5 A B B B B 23 Key Largo 99.5 - 106.0 A A A B B 24 Cross 106.0 - 112.5 A A A B B Notes: 1. Both Monroe County and Florida Department of Transportation have adopted a LOS C standard for U.S. 1. 2. Determination of segment LOS based on criteria and procedures presented in 2010 -- U.S. 1 Arterial Travel Time and Delay Study, Monroe County, Florida; URS Corporation; August 2010. 3. Bold text indicates LOS below C. Traffic Circulation 49 Technical Document: May 2011 Monroe County Comprehensive Plan Update The critical segments (LOS D or E) within County jurisdiction include: • Big Coppitt Key (Segment 3), 2010-2030; • Saddlebunch Key (Segment 4), 2025-2030; • Sugarloaf Key (Segment 5), 2015-2030; • Big Pine Key (Segment 10), 2025-2030; • 7-Mile Bridge Key (Segment 12), 2030; • Duck Key (Segment 15), 2030; and • Long Key (Segment 16), 2030. The segments traversing the cities of Marathon (Grassy Key, Segment 14) and Islamorada (Lower Matecumbe, Tea Table, Upper Matecumbe, and Plantation Keys, Segments 17, 18, 19, and 21, respectively) are the most impacted by future residential and traffic growth. 4.4.4.4 Alternative Miti anon Measures If traditional roadway capacity techniques were to be applied to the potentially failing segments, the constrained segments would have to rely primarily on roadway widenings for relief. However, County and FDOT policies for U.S. 1 and the speed -based methodology do not necessarily depend upon the provision of additional traffic lanes to correct capacity deficiencies. Since level of service (degree of congestion) is measured by median travel speeds, Transportation Systems Management (TSM) techniques have been and should continue to be considered as effective as roadway widening in increasing median travel speeds, and, thereby increasing reserve capacity. Where such TSM techniques are determined to be ineffective at relieving the localized congestion, other, more costly options, including roadway widening may then be considered. Specific TSM actions directly applicable to U.S. 1 include: • Traffic Management Activities (traffic operations, traffic control and access management techniques); • Transit Management Actions (transit operations, transit marketing and inter -modal coordination); • Demand Reduction Activities (carpools/vanpools, dial -a -ride, work hours changes); and • Restraint Measures (parking management, restricted areas, pricing/tolls, time period restrictions on commercial vehicles). Since most of U.S. 1 in the Florida Keys operates as an uninterrupted flow facility; there are few traffic signals on U.S. 1; the public transit service is very limited; and U.S. 1 serves as a local access road for a large portion of the population, the most effective of these TSM techniques to improve travel speeds are those associated with access management. The following four specific access management techniques are considered to have the greatest potential impact: Traffic Circulation 50 Technical Document: May 2011 Monroe County Comprehensive Plan Update • limiting the number of conflict points; • separating basic conflict areas; • limiting deceleration requirements; and • removing turning vehicles from through lanes. The following access management techniques are most appropriate for application to uninterrupted flow segments of U.S. 1: • provide a center, two-way left turn lane within a two-lane section; • limit the number of access drives between U.S. 1 and the existing frontage road (Old U.S. 1) to encourage the use of the frontage road for local access; • provide a non -mountable median on U.S. 1 in two-lane sections to prevent left turn access to and from adjacent property where widening is impractical due to proximity of adjacent land uses; • provide adjacent one-way left turn lanes in sections where driveway spacing is great enough to allow for it; • provide right turn acceleration lanes on high speed sections to facilitate turning movements onto U.S. 1 while reducing the speed differential with through traffic; • provide right turn deceleration lanes on U.S. 1 to allow for vehicles to safely decelerate before entering driveways serving adjacent land uses; • increase turn lane storage lengths at signalized intersections so that vehicles in adjacent through lanes are not impeded; • convert closely -spaced shared driveways to inbound/outbound (one-way) operation; • provide channelizing islands which prevent left turn inbound and outbound movements at driveways; • consolidate access drives to serve adjacent properties; and • construct continuous right turn lanes to serve closely -spaced driveways. Specific measures of site -specific effectiveness will vary depending on such factors as the number of turning vehicles at individual intersections and driveways, driveway spacing and specific traffic signal operations. The current FDOT Five -Year Work Program previously shown in Table 4.19 includes roadway widening with the addition of a center turn lane on two U.S. 1 sections at Big Coppitt Key (Segment 3) and Big Pine Key (Segment 10). The programmed improvement on Big Coppitt Key, which has been identified as one of the four 2010 segments with LOS below C, should help to improve travel speed on Big Coppitt Key, eventually increasing the reserve volume and subsequently increase the residential capacity. Although Big Pine Key (Segment 10) is not expected to have a LOS problem until sometime beyond 2020, the impact of the widening may extend to other segments and push back the date of potential segment failure. Traffic Circulation 51 Technical Document: May 2011 Monroe County Comprehensive Plan Update 4.4.5 Traffic Monitoring Program The currently established U.S. 1 Methodology for determining level of service serves to make a determination as to which segments of US 1 will require improvement in the future and which segments have available reserve volumes and residential capacity for future development and growth. The County should continue the travel speed runs along U.S. 1 every year to determine the cumulative effects of new development along with background growth along U.S. 1, based on the County -adopted speed -based methodology in conjunction with yearly updates of the forecast methodology presented herein. If segments are found to be over capacity, proposed development approvals that would impact these segments would be halted until the necessary capacity improvements are implemented. 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