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Item L6 #EAR Table of Contents Monroe County 2010 Comprehensive Plan Evaluation and Appraisal Report Evaluation and Appraisal Report Monroe County, Florida TABLE OF CONTENTS ITEM PAGE INTRODUCTION ..................................................................................................................I-1 CHAPTER 1: PUBLIC INVOLVEMENT PROCESS.................................................................1-1 CHAPTER 2: COMMUNITY-WIDE ASSESSMENT ...............................................................2-1 CHAPTER 3:ASSESSMENT OF COMPREHENSIVE PLAN ELEMENTS .................................3-1 Future Land Use Element...........................................................................................................1 Conservation and Coastal Management............................................................................12 Traffic Circulation Element....................................................................................................17 MassTransit................................................................................................................................19 Ports,Aviation and Related Facilities................................................................................20 HousingElement........................................................................................................................23 PotableWater Element............................................................................................................24 SolidWaste..................................................................................................................................26 SanitarySewer............................................................................................................................29 Drainage.......................................................................................................................................32 Natural Groundwater Aquifer Recharge Element.........................................................34 Recreation and Open Space Element..................................................................................35 Intergovernmental Coordination Element.......................................................................37 Capital Improvements Element............................................................................................38 Cultural Resources Element...................................................................................................39 Table of Contents i Evaluation and Appraisal Report October 2011 Keith and Schnars,P.A. Monroe County 2010 Comprehensive Plan Evaluation and Appraisal Report CHAPTER 4: MAJOR ISSUES ANALYSIS.............................................................................4-1 I. County-wide Visioning and Planning (2 Issue Statements) ....................2 Issue Statement#1: Capitalize upon and protect the uniqueness (sense of place) of the various communities within the planning areas; implement the recommendations within the existing visioning plans.....................2 Background...................................................................................................................................................2 Analysis...........................................................................................................................................................2 PolicyFramework.......................................................................................................................................3 Strategies........................................................................................................................................................3 Issue Statement#2:Promote Attractive, Well-Planned Development Adjacent to Services, and Existing Commercial"Hubs; with an emphasis onredevelopment.........................................................................................................................4 Issue Category#2(a):Floor Area Ratios(FAR)..................................................................4 Background...................................................................................................................................................4 Analysis...........................................................................................................................................................4 PolicyFramework.....................................................................................................................................14 Strategies......................................................................................................................................................14 Issue Category#2(b):Redevelopment Incentives..........................................................15 Background.................................................................................................................................................15 Analysis.........................................................................................................................................................15 PolicyFramework.....................................................................................................................................17 Strategies......................................................................................................................................................17 Issue Category 2(c):Discouragement of Density Increases........................................19 Background.................................................................................................................................................19 Analysis.........................................................................................................................................................19 PolicyFramework.....................................................................................................................................19 Strategies......................................................................................................................................................19 Issue Category#2 (d):Impact of Outside jurisdictional Constraints......................20 Background.................................................................................................................................................20 Analysis.........................................................................................................................................................20 PolicyFramework.....................................................................................................................................20 Strategies......................................................................................................................................................20 Table of Contents ii Evaluation and Appraisal Report October 2011 Keith and Schnars,P.A. Monroe County 2010 Comprehensive Plan Evaluation and Appraisal Report Issue Category#2(e):Development of a Commercial Land Use DistrictCategory........................................................................................................................21 Background.................................................................................................................................................21 Analysis.........................................................................................................................................................21 PolicyFramework.....................................................................................................................................21 Strategies......................................................................................................................................................21 11. ECONOMIC$USTAINABILITY ................................................................................... 22 Issue Statement.Promote economic sustainability, in a manner consistent with environmental stewardship, with a special focus upon existing businesses....................................................................................................................................22 Background.................................................................................................................................................22 Analysis.........................................................................................................................................................23 PolicyFramework.....................................................................................................................................45 Strategies......................................................................................................................................................46 111. Land Use/Mobility............................................................................................ 49 Issue Statement#1:Promote Attractive, Well-Planned Development Adjacent to Services and Existing Commercial "Hubs" with an emphasis onredevelopment......................................................................................................................49 Issue Category#1(a):Locations for Fire Stations5l Background.................................................................................................................................................51 Analysis.........................................................................................................................................................51 PolicyFramework.....................................................................................................................................51 Strategies......................................................................................................................................................51 Issue Category#1(b): Compliance with Section 380.0552(7)(j), FloridaStatutes.........................................................................................................................................52 Background.................................................................................................................................................52 Analysis.........................................................................................................................................................52 PolicyFramework.....................................................................................................................................52 Strategies......................................................................................................................................................52 Table of Contents iii Evaluation and Appraisal Report October 2011 Keith and Schnars,P.A. Monroe County 2010 Comprehensive Plan Evaluation and Appraisal Report Issue Statement#2: The County Should Meet or Exceed Hurricane Evacuation Requirements as required by State law.....................................................53 Background.................................................................................................................................................53 Analysis.........................................................................................................................................................53 PolicyFramework....................................................................................................................................53 Strategies.....................................................................................................................................................61 Issue Statement#3:Support Historic Preservation......................................................62 Background.................................................................................................................................................62 Analysis.........................................................................................................................................................62 PolicyFramework....................................................................................................................................63 Strategies.....................................................................................................................................................72 Issue Statement#4:Assure Continued Public Waterfront Access; Protect and Expand Water Dependent/Water Related Uses..................................... 73 Background.................................................................................................................................................73 Analysis.........................................................................................................................................................73 PolicyFramework.....................................................................................................................................85 Strategies.....................................................................................................................................................88 Issue Statement#5:Increase Availability and Use ofAlternative Modes of Transportation...........................................................................................................................89 Background.................................................................................................................................................89 Analysis.........................................................................................................................................................89 PolicyFramework.................................................................................................................................111 Strategies..................................................................................................................................................113 IV. NATURAL RESOURCE PROTECTION......................................................................114 Issue Statement#1:Preserve and protect natural resources, including water, habitat and species...............................................................................114 Overall Background114 Issue Category 1(a):Potable Water Supply and Water Conservation..................116 Background 116 Analysis......................................................................................................................................................116 PolicyFramework.................................................................................................................................117 Strategies..................................................................................................................................................121 Table of Contents iv Evaluation and Appraisal Report October 2011 Keith and Schnars,P.A. Monroe County 2010 Comprehensive Plan Evaluation and Appraisal Report Issue Category#1(b):Habitat and Species Protection...............................................122 Background..............................................................................................................................................122 Analysis......................................................................................................................................................122 PolicyFramework..................................................................................................................................134 Strategies...................................................................................................................................................14 9 Issue Category#1(c): Wetlands..........................................................................................153 Background..............................................................................................................................................153 Analysis......................................................................................................................................................153 PolicyFramework..................................................................................................................................157 Strategies...................................................................................................................................................16 7 Issue Category#1(d):Land Acquisition...........................................................................169 Background..............................................................................................................................................169 Analysis......................................................................................................................................................169 PolicyFramework..................................................................................................................................171 Strategies...................................................................................................................................................176 Issue Category#1(e):Habitat Conservation Plan for Big Pine and No-Name Keys...........................................................................................................................177 Background..............................................................................................................................................177 Analysis......................................................................................................................................................177 PolicyFramework..................................................................................................................................180 Strategies...................................................................................................................................................185 Issue Category#1(f): - Water Quality..............................................................................186 Background..............................................................................................................................................186 Analysis......................................................................................................................................................188 PolicyFramework..................................................................................................................................205 Strategies...................................................................................................................................................211 Issue Category#1(g):Numeric-Nutrient Criteria Rule..............................................212 Background..............................................................................................................................................212 Analysis......................................................................................................................................................212 PolicyFramework..................................................................................................................................214 Strategies...................................................................................................................................................214 Table of Contents v Evaluation and Appraisal Report October 2011 Keith and Schnars,P.A. Monroe County 2010 Comprehensive Plan Evaluation and Appraisal Report Issue Category#1(h): Solid Waste....................................................................................215 Background..............................................................................................................................................215 Analysis......................................................................................................................................................215 PolicyFramework..................................................................................................................................219 Strategies...................................................................................................................................................222 Issue Category#1(i): Marine and Terrestrial Litter..................................................223 Background..............................................................................................................................................223 Analysis......................................................................................................................................................223 PolicyFramework..................................................................................................................................223 Strategies...................................................................................................................................................224 Issue Category#1(j):Invasive Animals...........................................................................225 Background..............................................................................................................................................225 Analysis......................................................................................................................................................225 PolicyFramework..................................................................................................................................225 Strategies...................................................................................................................................................225 Issue Statement#2: Complete Wastewater and Drainage Upgrades .................226 Issue Category#2(a): Wastewater....................................................................................226 Background..............................................................................................................................................226 Analysis......................................................................................................................................................226 PolicyFramework..................................................................................................................................232 Strategies...................................................................................................................................................241 Issue Category#2(h):Stormwater....................................................................................242 Background..............................................................................................................................................242 Analysis......................................................................................................................................................244 PolicyFramework..................................................................................................................................245 Strategies...................................................................................................................................................251 V. CLIMATE CHANGE/HAZARD ..................................................................................252 Issue Statement.Monroe County should support and promote "green"initiatives; address climate change;and develop and implement hazard mitigation/adaptation practices........................................................................252 Background..............................................................................................................................................252 Analysis......................................................................................................................................................252 PolicyFramework..................................................................................................................................270 Strategies...................................................................................................................................................270 Table of Contents vi Evaluation and Appraisal Report October 2011 Keith and Schnars,P.A. Monroe County 2010 Comprehensive Plan Evaluation and Appraisal Report VI. Public Facilities Funding..............................................................................275 Issue Statement.Assure adequate capital funding to complete necessary improvements or purchase lands for conservation or affordable housing purposes.....................................................................................................................................275 Background..............................................................................................................................................275 Analysis......................................................................................................................................................276 PolicyFramework..................................................................................................................................282 Strategies...................................................................................................................................................287 VII. AFFORDABLE HOUSING.......................................................................................288 Issue Statement.Promote the development of affordable, attainable and senior living housing that is well-planned, attractive and energy efficient.......288 Background..............................................................................................................................................288 Analysis......................................................................................................................................................289 PolicyFramework..................................................................................................................................321 Strategies...................................................................................................................................................327 VIII. Public Involvement/Information ..........................................................328 Issue Statement.Promote robust public involvement and information sharing regarding land use issues throughout the planning and development process..............................................................................................................328 Background..............................................................................................................................................328 Analysis......................................................................................................................................................328 PolicyFramework..................................................................................................................................329 Strategies...................................................................................................................................................331 IX. Intergovernmental Coordination ...........................................................332 Issue Statement:Provide effective and efficient intergovernmental, interdepartmental and interagency coordination......................................................332 Issue Category(a):Intergovernmental Coordination 332 Background..............................................................................................................................................332 Analysis......................................................................................................................................................332 PolicyFramework..................................................................................................................................332 Strategies...................................................................................................................................................347 Table of Contents vii Evaluation and Appraisal Report October 2011 Keith and Schnars,P.A. Monroe County 2010 Comprehensive Plan Evaluation and Appraisal Report Issue Category(b):Interdepartmental Data Sharing and Development Review 351 Background.........................................................................................................................................351 Analysis.................................................................................................................................................351 PolicyFramework.............................................................................................................................351 Strategies.............................................................................................................................................352 Issue Category(c):FKAA Supply ofAdequate Water Pressure for Fire Service 353 Background.........................................................................................................................................353 Analysis.................................................................................................................................................354 PolicyFramework....................................................................................................................................355 Strategies.....................................................................................................................................................355 Issue Category(d):Florida Keys Carrying Capacity Study and Model...............356 Background.........................................................................................................................................356 Analysis.................................................................................................................................................356 PolicyFramework.............................................................................................................................357 Strategies.............................................................................................................................................358 CHAPTER 5: SPECIAL TOPICS.......................................................................................5-1 SchoolConcurrency........................................................................................................................... 1 WaterSupply Planning..................................................................................................................... 3 CoastalHigh-Hazard Area...............................................................................................................4 Compatibility with Military Installations.................................................................................. 7 Transportation Concurrency......................................................................................................... 8 CHAPTER 6: ASSESSMENT OF CHANGES TO FLORIDA STATUTES,ADMINISTRATIVE RULES,STATE AND REGIONAL PLANS [163.3191(2)(F)] ..........................................6-1 Introduction.................................................................................................................1 Changes to Chapter 163, F.S....................................................................................1 Table of Contents viii Evaluation and Appraisal Report October 2011 Keith and Schnars,P.A. Monroe County 2010 Comprehensive Plan Evaluation and Appraisal Report LIST OF TABLES TABLE PAGE TABLE 1: UNINCORPORATED FUNCTIONAL POPULATION DISTRIBUTION BY SUB-AREA...................2-6 TABLE 2: UNINCORPORATED FUNCTIONAL POPULATION SERIES.......................................................2-4 TABLE 3: EXISTING LAND USE BY PLANNING AREA(ACRES).................................................................2-5 TABLE 4: FUTURE LAND USE ACREAGE DISTRIBUTION..........................................................................2-6 TABLE 5: VACANT LAND BY TIER AND PLANNING AREA.........................................................................2-8 TABLE 6: UNDER CONSTRUCTION.........................................................................................................2-0 TABLE 7: UNDER CONSTRUCTION.........................................................................................................2-0 TABLE 8: UNDER CONSTRUCTION.........................................................................................................2-0 TABLE 9: FLOOR AREA RATIO BY FUTURE LAND USE DISTRICT.....................................................4-13 TABLE 10: MONROE COUNTY EMPLOYMENT BY INDUSTRY...............................................................4-24 TABLE 11: VISITORS TO THE FLORIDA KEYS BY TYPE AND LOCATION..............................................4-29 TABLE 12: FLORIDA KEYS HURRICANE EVACUATION MODEL(MILLER MODEL) SUMMARYRESULTS.................................................................................................. .............................4-56 TABLE 13: 2006 SOUTH FLORIDA REGIONAL HURRICANE EVACUATION STUDY, SUMMARYRESULTS.................................................................................................. .............................4-57 TABLE 14: PUBLIC ACCESS FACILITIES SUMMARY.................................................. .............................4-82 TABLE 15: COASTAL ROADS AND FACILITIES PROVIDING SCENIC OVERLOOK.....................................4-84 TABLE 16: DADE-MONROE EXPRESS(ROUTE#301) SOUTHBOUND SCHEDULE...................................4-92 TABLE 17: U.S. 1 CORRIDOR MONROE COUNTY BUS PASSENGER SHELTERS AS OF JUNE 2011..............4-93 TABLE 18: LOWER KEYS SHUTTLE BUS STOP SHELTERS...........................................................................4-99 TABLE 19: KWDOT TRANSIT PERFORMANCE INDICATORS...............................................................4-100 TABLE 20: KWDOT TRANSIT ANNUAL RIDERSHIP FORECASTS,2010-2020 .................................4-102 TABLE 21: INTERCITY TRANSIT LEVEL OF SERVICE THRESHOLDS....................................................4-102 TABLE 22: MONROE COUNTY INTERCITY(MDT AND KWDOT)TRANSIT LEVEL OF SERVICE............4-103 TABLE 23: SERVICE FREQUENCY LEVEL OF SERVICE FOR PARATRANSIT SERVICE............................4-105 TABLE 24: THE GUIDANCE/CARE CENTER,INC.TRANSPORTATION SCHEDULE................................4-108 TABLE 25: MIDDLE KEYS TRANSPORTATION FARES PER ONE-WAY TRIP.............. ..........................4-109 TABLE 26: 5-YEAR FORECAST OF TD POPULATION IN MONROE COUNTY, 2008-2010.................4-110 TABLE 27: 1985 FDEP OFW WATER QUALITY DATA............................................ ..........................4-188 TABLE 28: 1999 BASELINE NUTRIENT CONCENTRATIONS..............................................................4-188 TABLE 29: MONROE COUNTY BEACH ADVISORIES AND CLOSINGS(2001) ..........................................4-193 TABLE 30: AVERAGE RATES OF HISTORICAL SEAL LEVEL RISE...............................................................4-262 TABLE 31: IMPACT FEE REVENUES,DETAILED BY FUND,2000-2010................................................4-281 TABLE 32: IMPACT FEE REVENUE PROJECTIONS,DETAILED BY FUND..............................................4-282 TABLE 33: HISTORIC MEDIAN HOUSING VALUE FOR MONROE COUNTY............................................4-291 TABLE 34: QUALIFYING INCOMES FOR SINGLE INCOME PROVIDER(40 HOURS)..............................4-292 TABLE 35: QUALIFYING INCOMES FOR MARRIED OR DOMESTIC PARTNERSHIP Table of Contents ix Evaluation and Appraisal Report October 2011 Keith and Schnars,P.A. Monroe County 2010 Comprehensive Plan Evaluation and Appraisal Report HOUSEHOLDS (60 HOURS).................................................................................................................4-293 TABLE 36: TENANT MAXIMUM RENTAL RATES FOR SINGLE INCOME PROVIDER...............................4-293 TABLE 38: MAXIMUM SELLING PRICE FOR AFFORDABLE UNITS IN 2010........................................4-293 TABLE 39: DISTRIBUTION OF OWNER-OCCUPIED HOUSING BY VALUE,2000..............................4-294 TABLE 40: DISTRIBUTION OF OWNER-OCCUPIED HOUSING BY VALUE, 1990.............................4-295 TABLE 41: MORTGAGE STATUS AND SELECTED MONTHLY OWNER COSTS,UNINCORPORATED MONROECOUNTY,2000...................................................................................................................4-296 TABLE 42: MORTGAGE STATUS AND SELECTED MONTHLY OWNER COSTS MONROECOUNTY, 1990...................................................................................................................4-297 TABLE 43: NON-MORTGAGED STATUS AND SELECTED MONTHLY OWNER COSTS, UNINCORPORATED MONROE COUNTY, 2000...................................................................................4-297 TABLE 44: DISTRIBUTION OF RENTER OCCUPIED UNITS BY CONTRACT RENT RANGE, 2000.....4-298 TABLE 45: DISTRIBUTION OF RENTER OCCUPIED UNITS BY CONTRACT RENT RANGE, 1990.....4-298 TABLE 46: RENT-TO-INCOME FOR RENTER-OCCUPIED UNITS, 1999 ..........................................4-299 TABLE 47: RENT-TO-INCOME FOR RENTER-OCCUPIED UNITS, 1989 ..........................................4-300 TABLE 48: MONTHLY OWNER COST BY INCOME, 1999.................................................................4-300 TABLE 49: SUBSIDIZED HOUSING DEVELOPMENTS,2010.............................................................4-306 TABLE SO: SECTION 8 SUBSIDIZED HOUSING DEVELOPMENTS, 2010...........................................4-306 TABLE 51: MOBILE HOME PARKS....................................................................................................4-308 TABLE 52: ESTIMATED NUMBER OF HOUSEHOLDS NEEDING AFFORDABLE HOUSING BY INCOME LEVEL-LOWER KEYS PLANNING AREA.........................................................................4-310 TABLE 53: ESTIMATED NUMBER OF HOUSEHOLDS NEEDING AFFORDABLE HOUSING BY INCOME LEVEL-MIDDLE KEYS PLANNING AREA .......................................................................4-311 TABLE 54: ESTIMATED NUMBER OF HOUSEHOLDS NEEDING AFFORDABLE HOUSING BY INCOME LEVEL-UPPER KEYS PLANNING AREA.............................................................................................4-313 TABLE 55: PERMANENT POPULATION COST BURDENED HOUSEHOLDS 2010-2030..................4-314 TABLE 56: PERMANENT POPULATION COST BURDENED HOUSEHOLDS 2010-2030 -LOWER KEYS PLANNING AREA .......................................................................................................4-315 TABLE 57: PERMANENT POPULATION COST BURDENED HOUSEHOLDS 2010-2030 -MIDDLE KEYS PLANNING AREA .....................................................................................................4-316 TABLE 58: PERMANENT POPULATION COST BURDENED HOUSEHOLDS 2010-2030 -UPPER KEYS PLANNING AREA........................................................................................................4-317 TABLE 59: DWELLING UNITS BY TYPE, 2010-2030....................................................................4-318 TABLE 60: AFFORDABLE MAXIMUM MONTHLY RENTAL RATES PER AMI PROJECTIONS 2015-2030 ......................................................................................................................................4-319 TABLE 61: AFFORDABLE MAXIMUM SELLING PRICE 2015-2030................................................4-320 TABLE 62: FIRE PROTECTION PARAMETERS FOR SELECTED DISTRIBUTION SYSTEMS THROUGHOUT THE KEYS...................................................................................................................4-354 Table of Contents x Evaluation and Appraisal Report October 2011 Keith and Schnars,P.A. Monroe County 2010 Comprehensive Plan Evaluation and Appraisal Report LIST OFFIGURES FIGURE PAGE FIGURE 1: SHARE OF EMPLOYMENT BY SECTOR 1980-2010.............................................................4-5 FIGURE 2: SHARE OF EMPLOYMENT BY SECTOR 1980-2010..........................................................4-25 FIGURE 3: NET CHANGE IN SHARE OF EMPLOYMENT BY TYPE 1980-2010 ....................................4-27 FIGURE 4: MONROE COUNTY HOTEL ROOM INVENTORY....................................................................4-30 FIGURE 5: AGE OF HOTEL/MOTEL STRUCTURES,UNIN.MONROE COUNTY........................................4-30 FIGURE 6: MONROE COUNTY MONTHLY HOTEL OCCUPANCY.............................................................4-33 FIGURE 7: PLEASURE BOAT LICENSES IN MONROE COUNTY...............................................................4-35 FIGURE H: COMMERCIAL FISHING INDUSTRY-MONROE COUNTY........................................................4-36 FIGURE 9: KEYS PLANNING AREA MAPS.............................................................................................4-39 FIGURE 10: BLUE AND GREEN SHUTTLE BUS ROUTES,CURRENT ROUTE MAP.....................................4-94 FIGURE 11: ORANGE AND RED SHUTTLE BUS ROUTES,CURRENT ROUTE MAP....................................4-95 FIGURE 12: SEA LEVEL RISE PREDICTIONS........................................................................................4-263 FIGURE 13:UNIFIED SEA LEVEL RISE PROJECTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST REGIONAL CLIMATE COMPACT........... .................................................................................................................4-264 APPENDICES 1 -SCOPING MEETING INVITATION 2 - LETTER OF UNDERSTANDING 3 - DATE CERTAIN POLICY ASSESSMENT MATRIX 4 - ECONOMIC TRENDS AND OPPORTUNITIES REPORT 5 -ASSESSMENT OF CHANGES TO FLORIDA STATUTES MATRIX Table of Contents xi Evaluation and Appraisal Report October 2011 Keith and Schnars,P.A.