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BOARD OF COUNTY COMMISSIONERS
COUNTY of MONROE �� i Mayor Holly Merrill Raschein,District 5
The Florida Keys Mayor Pro Tern James K.Scholl,District 3
Craig Cates,District 1
Michelle Lincoln,District 2
' David Rice,District 4
Board of County Commissioners Meeting
December 13, 2023
Agenda Item Number: L1
2023-1862
BULK ITEM: No DEPARTMENT: Administration
TIME APPROXIMATE: STAFF CONTACT: Roman Gastesi
AGENDA ITEM WORDING:
MAYOR RASCHEIN - Discussion and Direction Regarding the State of Florida Hurricane Evacuation
Modeling Update and Potential for Additional ROGO Allocations for Monroe County.
ITEM BACKGROUND:
On November 14 and 16, 2023, FloridaCommerce held two Florida Keys Evacuation Modeling
webinars to discuss the 2023 Florida Keys Hurricane Evacuation Modeling process and draft results of
the modeling. Hurricane Evacuation Clearance Times are the basis for the FL Keys Area of Critical
State Concern's Rate of Growth Ordinance, and updated data may determine whether additional
residential units will be authorized by the State of Florida beyond the existing allocation.
At the November webinars, FL Commerce presented multiple scenarios that were modeled, with future
allocations ranging from of zero (0) additional units to 7,954 additional units. The attached "Clearance
Times Summary" table was presented by FL Commerce, and includes columns where evacuation was
modeled both with and without of Key West residents; and with mobile home residents evacuated in
both Phase 1 and in Phase 2.
Based on Emergency Management acceptable evacuation practices, the only reasonable summary
column in the table is the column that includes Key West residents, and evacuates mobile home
residents in Phase 1 (early phase) of the evacuation. This column represents how evacuations have
been modeled in the past - inclusive of Key West residents in the evacuation calculations for the entire
Keys but with mobile home residents modeled to evacuate early in Phase 1 with the tourists due to the
less substantial construction of mobile homes.
PREVIOUS RELEVANT BOCC ACTION:
INSURANCE REQUIRED:
No
2623
CONTRACT/AGREEMENT CHANGES:
N/A
STAFF RECOMMENDATION:
DOCUMENTATION:
Clearance Times Summary Table.pdf
FINANCIAL IMPACT:
N/A
2624
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