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Item Q2
Q2 BOARD OF COUNTY COMMISSIONERS COUNTY of MONROE �� i Mayor Holly Merrill Raschein,District 5 The Florida Keys Mayor Pro Tern James K.Scholl,District 3 Craig Cates,District 1 Michelle Lincoln,District 2 ' David Rice,District 4 Board of County Commissioners Meeting October 16, 2024 Agenda Item Number: Q2 2023-3121 BULK ITEM: No DEPARTMENT: Strategic Planning TIME APPROXIMATE: STAFF CONTACT: Kimberly Matthews & Emily Schemper 10:00 AM AGENDA ITEM WORDING: Staff Update on Future Potential Changes to Rate of Growth Ordinance (ROGO). TIME APPROXIMATE 10:00 AM. ITEM BACKGROUND: Staff update on future potential changes to the Rate of Growth Ordinance (ROGO), including: • Results of online surveys 1-4 and public presentation questionnaires. • Emergency Management presentation on Statewide Regional Evacuation Study vs. FL Commerce development planning evacuation model. • Jon Rizzo,National Weather Service Forecast Office Florida Keys -presentation regarding evolution of forecasting technology since 2012, and effect on evacuation timing.Update on private vacant land analysis. • Comparison of assumptions used in FL Commerce evacuation model 2012 vs 2023. • US-1 lane restrictions. • Frequently Asked Questions. • Potential paths forward (legislative vs non-legislative). • Timeline of remaining tasks, meetings, deadlines associated with decision making, and potential paths forward. • Upcoming Planning Public Workshops and Survey. • Request for BOCC to set a Special Workshop meeting for mid-November PREVIOUS RELEVANT BOCC ACTION: INSURANCE REQUIRED: No 5015 CONTRACT/AGREEMENT CHANGES: N/A STAFF RECOMMENDATION: DOCUMENTATION: MCEM Staff Report BOCC Rogo Discussion 10.2024.pdf ROGO At A Glance - Online Surveys 1-4 Number of Through Lanes - Pages from Map Series 4.0 Traffic Circulation Element Summary - 4 Potential Pathways - ROGO update.pdf Planning Public Work-shops -Nov 2024 ROGO Update Vacant Private Parcels.pdf Monroe County Comprehensive Plan regarding US-I Number of Lanes.pdf Evacuation Model Input Assumptions Comparison 2012-2023.pdf ROGO Public Presentation Results Report MASTER .docx FAQs 10-4-2024- ROGO Update.pdf ROGO Timeline.pdf FINANCIAL IMPACT: N/A 5016 0 0 h W Y� �ioN Y'I I juY i��I t p Imo' 0 0 0 cu ,y VVV V V�VI um III VV � VVV IIIIIII O U o a m cn b�A o o m 0 `L ^i cB bo W cc U U _0 O � O N E cc 0 CB � O N U cB N co O O N O bo O O O O = O � O Q M }� O 00 N cB Q W _ O N CD W bo O � O E - N O CU E _0 O M W W O O O Cocn � � O Ci O Q T- 0 OCO U) C: M O c6 c u- cn or- U a) a rn 0 0 ,y �I hIIIIII�III � uuu �' VVV V V�VI um III VV � VVV IIIIIII O U � � +W O a� ^� cc a� 4 cc i > 0LU j > CD C6 CD CD � 0- 0 co LU m -C O N O O \ O CD i U C�6 CIO co O Q O C6 4--� 0 � > O � � O O O _ CD 0 � UCIO O 0 CIO � CD CD ++ a--+ .i U E CD + -0 +' C U C6 0 CD Z3 D U E Ca E � rZ a) - CI? 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M C d' w d � o O _ r U r .. \ O E U � - r o v o . y a>lidNanivoiaold o ' cPRoycJ�o U' ��J o J � a N a w r z ze a ozaf � QU 2 a � a N N p C� ) _ p as u m° s A C 4 a z Li Gm v A > W a w � m m m, S z E U •Cm LU G z J 7 UU _ Av4 E �aA 5z _ 1 AvA I� 1 5034 PATHWAYS TO RECOMMENDATION/RECEIPT OF ADDITIONAL ROGO ALLOCATIONS FROM THE STATE Section 380.0552(9)(a)2., Florida Statutes, requires the Florida Keys Area of Critical State Concern (ACSC) maintain a hurricane evacuation clearance time for permanent residents of no more than 24 hours. Based on Scenario 4 of the State of Florida's 2023 Florida Keys Hurricane Evacuation Modeling Report, the maximum number of additional ROGO/BPAS allocations that can be issued within the Florida Keys ACSC without a legislative change that increases the required evacuation clearance time to more than 24 hours is 220 units. Per Scenario 4: 220 total allocations Monroe County 100 Marathon 40 Islamorada 40 Key West 40 affordable only) There are three potential (non-legislative) pathways for these 220 units to be approved by the State: (1) FL Commerce to include a recommendation in their ACSC 2024 Annual Report that the Administration Commission approve the 220 (distributed per model scenario 4) through the 30-day Report following the Administration Commission hearing. (2) FL Commerce to request a separate agenda sub-item to the Annual Report hearing requesting that the Administration Commission approve the 220 through the 30-day Report following the hearing. (3) Comprehensive Plan Amendment: Local jurisdictions process Comprehensive Plan amendments to accept their portion of the 220 (distributed per model scenario 4) with finding that it is consistent with Section 380.0552(9)(a)2., Florida Statutes. State reviews and approves all Comprehensive Plan amendments. There is also a fourth potential (legislative) pathway if the County desires to request approval of more than 220 units: (4) Statutory change to Section 380.0552(9)(a)2.through the legislative process to increase the required evacuation clearance time to more than 24 hours. Page 1 of 1 5035 Public Participation Town Hall Meetings IIII°°µ ut,uiii of IIIIR G O iiii i iiiiiii,,'oe C wii flew, Hosted by the Monroe County Planning & Environmental Resources Department Monday, November 4 5:30 pm Key West: Harvey Government Center Wednesday, November 6 5:30 pm Key Largo: Murray Nelson Government Center Thursday, November 7 5:30 pm Marathon Government Center 5036 M O O UO IL 0 ui 70 04 � i�i loll. lr V U i® 00 M O O �d CL �� yr Y' lui o- 617 C-) V° w H U'N aka in 1, aN �� i ilk 9wiN J1 R,t1 116 4„D 0 v� �6d 6ai ldi Ifo (f) to L "w cl www W p gg ■ Q m�U v����� Ali �� iiR F� wi CD ma cza a w� ^) lul a w [ w i uai'r � a md&J� af^ V` Af F ia<'b a2 T i 4 U ab'b iUid u a LAI ,. O im ! 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U), t A ua C�') kf'�, wZ, pgr [ kq czl ic;ji cp ilk e ir" t'' 6 to kc) W) Ul) 0 In U) 10 U `Q O U11 if) )U (P U) U) U, Cj (NI CIJ P z g"g c"ll Ir""I Na 21,15 >11 mIn (AI 0mVglllWWIWWIu 0 IN E IM m m fa M a. CL ' CL CL OD ni LU 0 CID m Cn C14 -j C as C� 7 CS cn IMI a J� -,C- ..; 0 -i6 T, CD o Zvp, 6 8 0 3 U 2 a E ■ 0 M lot ololololololomolomm TO o, 4) 4; e I mom 21 0 a 0 CD = p i th 6 aj 0 M 'in JIM 06 C- 0 -0 V) Ixg U'ha TF4 IM In m 46 rrrrrron JO ........... 3,:.............. bo in V T17 <E 00 c),F, u R cn C6■ M� N :2 0 1 U) W—j LU LU � i III it ni ni 2, E 10 1� go III es! 2 es! Monroe County Comprehensive Plan Policies Related to Number of Lanes on US-1 3.3-TRAFFIC CIRCULATION GOAL 301 To provide a safe, convenient, efficient, resilient, and environmentally-compatible motorized and non-motorized transportation system for the movement of people and goods in Monroe County. [F.S. § 163.3177(6)(b)] (0ird, Ir4o, 013 2022, §2(Exh. 1), 8-17-2022) Objective 301.1 Monroe County shall establish level of service (LOS) standards for all paved roads in Monroe County for the purpose of determining existing and future roadway needs. [F.S. § 163.3177(6)(b)] Policy 301.1.1 For all County roads, Monroe County hereby adopts a minimum peak hour level of service (LOS) standard of D, measured by the methodology identified in the most recent edition of the Highway Capacity Manual, as necessary to determine proposed development impacts. The County shall maintain the level of service on County roads within five percent(5%)of LOS D. Policy 301.1.2 For U.S. 1, Monroe County hereby adopts a level of service (LOS) standard of C, as measured bythe methodology established by the U.S. 1 LOS Task Force and adopted by the Board of County Commissioners in February 2021 (BOCC Resolution 064-2021).The level of service on U.S. 1 shall be maintained within five percent(5%)of LOS C. (Ord, Ir4o 022 2021, § 1, 8-18-2021) Policy 301.1.3 Monroe County shall coordinate with municipalities in the review of the systematic traffic monitoring program to monitor traffic volumes and travel speeds of U.S. 1 as well as on each of the 24 study segments on U.S.1. The County and municipalities shall coordinate with FDOT to evaluate segments with deficiencies of LOS to determine necessary improvements and strategies to address any degradation and/or deficiencies. Policy 301.1.4 Monroe County shall update its Long Range Transportation Plan to include roadway improvements on County owned roads designed to improve the LOS on U.S. 1. Objective 301.2 Monroe County shall ensure that all paved roads have sufficient capacity to serve development at the adopted LOS standards concurrent with the impact of said development. [F.S. § 163.3177(6)(b)l.a.] Policy 301.2.1 Monroe County, in coordination with the FDOT, shall continue the systematic traffic monitoring program initiated in March 1991, to monitor peak season traffic volumes at permanent count stations and travel speeds on the overall length of U.S.1 and on each of 24 study segments of U.S. 1,and to determine the cumulative impact of development and through h traffic. Monroe County shall use the methodology developed bythe U.S. 1 LOS Task Force composed of representatives from Monroe County, FDOT, and the Department of Economic Opportunity (DEO) for conducting this analysis and shall request that the Task Force update and refine the methodology's assumptions on a periodic basis when new data becomes available. [F.S. § 163.3177(6)(b)l.b.] 5049 Policy 301.2.2 Monroe County shall utilize the results of the systematic traffic monitoring program for development approval process and to evaluate any potential degradation in LOS and the need for improvements in order to achieve and maintain the adopted LOS standard. Policy301.2.3 Monroe County shall not permit new development which would significantly degrade the LOS below the adopted LOS standards on U.S. 1 (overall and segments)unless the proportionate share of the impact is mitigated. The development of one single family residential unit, on a single parcel, shall be considered de minimis and shall not be subject to this requirement. A five percent projected decrease in travel speeds, below LOS C, is a significant degradation in the level of service on U.S. 1.Traffic volume which exceeds the LOS D standard by more than five percent is a significant degradation in the level of service on any other County road. [F.S.§163.3177(6)(b)1.e.](0ird, Ir4o,013 2112,.2, §2(Exh. 1),8-17-2022) Policy 301.2.4 As approved by the County Commission on a case by case basis, Monroe County shall provide funding from gas taxes, impact fees,and any other legally available sources to expedite local projects. Policy 301.2.5 In order to proceed with development, a parcel shall have legal access to public or private roads, rights of way or easements or such access shall be established. Policy 301.2.6 Monroe County shall continue to review and evaluate FDOT surplus property opportunities for the implementation of traffic circulation policies and goals. Objective 301.3 Monroe County shall encourage a multi-modal transportation system that is safe, convenient, resilient, and efficient, with complementary facilities to support non-motorized users. [F.S. §163.3177(6)(b)1.] (0ird..lr4o, 013 2022, §2(Exh. 1), 8-17-2022) Policy 301.3.1 Annually, Monroe County shall update the Capital Improvement Plan to include coordinated bicycle path and pedestrian way improvements, where appropriate, emphasizing access to schools, parks, shopping centers,waterfront and tourist attractions, and other significant features identified in the Livable CommuniKeys Community Master Plan for the area. Coordination efforts should include affected citizens, local municipalities and the State. Policy 301.3.2 The County shall require that any development, occurring on or adjacent to the location of a planned bicycle or pedestrian facility as identified by the County, provide for the construction of that portion of the facility occurring within or adjacent to the development. If the facility has already been built,or if itwill be constructed by an external agency,the development shall be connected to the facility in a safe and convenient manner to ensure that it is part of the development's overall transportation system. For state owned bicycle or pedestrian facilities a connection permit shall be required. Objective 301.4 Monroe County shall plan for an intermodal transportation system that incorporates vehicles and alternative modes such as mass transit, and bicycle/pedestrian facilities. The County shall coordinate with other agencies and entities responsible for mass transit, bicycle/pedestrian and vehicle transportation improvements occurring County-wide. Policy301.4.1 Monroe County shall review the recommendations within the completed 2021 U.S. 1 Transportation Master Plan, through its Long Range Transportation Plan, to develop a coordinated 5050 partnership with the Florida Department of Transportation and the municipalities on prioritizing comprehensive solutions to improve traffic flow, reduce congestion, provide for intermodal transportation facilities, and ensure safety, resiliency and efficient access and travel along U.S. 1 within the Florida Keys. (0ird,.lr4o, 013 2022, §2(Exh. 1), 8-17-2022) Objective 301.5 In order to coordinate the traffic circulation system with the future land uses shown on the Future Land Use Map, Monroe County shall implement the following policies. [F.S. § 163.3177(6)(b)1.d.] Policy301.5.1 The capacity of U.S. 1 in unincorporated Monroe County shall be limited to four lanes. Densities and intensities on the Future Land Use Map and allowed by the permit allocation system shall not exceed those that can be accommodated by the four lane limitation on U.S. 1. Policy 301.5.2 Monroe County shall review the recommendations within the completed 2021 County's U.S. 1 Transportation Master Plan (Long Range Transportation Plan) to develop a coordinated partnership with the Florida Department of Transportation and the municipalities on prioritizing comprehensive solutions to improve traffic flow/circulation, reduce congestion, and ensure safety, resiliency and efficient access and travel along U.S. 1 within the Florida Keys. The County shall request the support of U.S. 1 improvements that address flood resiliency and also further County's road elevation and stormwater projects, which incorporate the considerations of climate change implications to address the Roads Vulnerability Analysis and Capital Plan for County- maintained roads. (0ird, Ir4o, 013 2022, §2(Exh. 1), 8-17-2022) Objective 301.6 Monroe County shall provide a transportation system that facilitates scenic corridor enhancement and beautification within the Florida Keys. Policy 301.6.1 The Land Development Code shall continue to ensure that development along the US-1 Florida Keys Scenic Highway Corridor provides the landscaping and setbacks necessary to minimize impacts on the visual environment. Policy 301.6.2 The Land Development Code shall continue to include regulations to minimize sign clutter. Policy 301.6.3 Monroe County supports the Vision, Goals, Objectives and Strategies of the Florida Scenic Highway Corridor Management Plan and the recommendations of the Florida Scenic Highway Interpretive Master Plan in its transportation planning. (Ord. No. 022-2009) Objective 301.7 Monroe County shall ensure the County's transportation plan are coordinated with the plans and programs of appropriate State agencies and local governments and are consistentwith State and federal regulations. [F.S. § 163.3177(6)(b)] Policy 301.7.1 Each year, prior to the update of the FDOT District Six Five-Year Transportation Plan, Monroe County staff shall meet with officials from FDOT District 6 to review FDOT proposals for and recommend additional improvements to U.S. 1 to ensure County priorities are identified and incorporated. Policy 301.7.2 In recognition of the physical and environmental constraints that may affect the widening of U.S. 1 to four lanes, Monroe County shall coordinate with FDOT on those portions of U.S. 1 that are shown as two lanes on the Future Traffic Circulation Map (Traffic Circulation Number of 5051 Through Lanes Maps)to maintain them as two lanes for the planning horizon.This policy shall not be construed so as to prohibit the addition of a third lane to be used as a continuous two-way turn lane for those segments with a demonstrated public safety risk, if the third lane has been demonstrated to be the safest alternative. [F.S. § 163.3177(6)(b)1.] (0ird, Ir4o,01 3 2022, §2(Exh. 1), 8-17-2022) Policy 301.7.3 Monroe County shall maintain, as necessary, interlocal agreements with Key West, Key Colony Beach, Marathon, Islamorada and Layton addressing coordination of concurrency management with oversight by the South Florida Regional Planning Council. (0ird, Ir4o,01 3 2022, §2(Exh. 1), 8-17-2022) Policy 301.7.4 Monroe County supports the recommendations of the Florida Keys Overseas Heritage Trail Master Plan in its transportation planning. (Ord. No. 022-2009) Objective 301.8 Monroe County shall provide for the protection of existing and future rights-of-way (ROW). Policy 301.8.1 Monroe County staff shall participate in right-of-way planning and preservation efforts including, but not limited to, participating in updates to the FDOT corridor-wide master plan for District 6. Policy 301.8.2 Monroe County shall maintain land development regulations which prohibit unauthorized use of County public ROWs. [F.S. § 163.3177(6)(b)1.] Objective 301.9 Monroe County shall promote a safe, convenient, resilient, and efficient, multi- modal transportation system. [F.S. § 163.3177(6)(b)] (0ird, Ir4o,01 3 2022, §2(Exh. 1), 8-17-2022) Policy 301.9.1 Monroe County shall maintain revisions to the Land Development Code to include guidelines and criteria consistent with nationally-recognized standards which provide for safe and convenient on-site traffic flow, interconnectivity between sites, adequate pedestrian ways and sidewalks, as well as sufficient on-site parking for both motorized and non-motorized vehicles. 5052 M O O O ��r "iaiiN rarjy uN ',�, • • • lllllllluuuuuuuui �IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII ® • ® • ��I�IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII 0 0 0 rarjy uN ',�, O N IIIIIIIIIIIIII � II llllllluuuuuuuu O N � co � •U 0 N IIIIIIII p Q Q co 4-1E > O A IIIIIIIII � co — 4-1a) U co CD a) 4-1 Q :3 U co co N co Co c/) cn U > O 4-1 co 70 N N co N IIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII I I, IIIII,IIIIIIIII, IIII IIII D75 _r_ co co co (n > > W 10� 0- Iumuuuullllllllllll .-. 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I� U Iluuuuluuulll i, III�IIIIII �Shol ��011 f�mm� i Y r IIIIIIIIIII �ioiiiifiil IIIII luur�ll� IIIII IIIIIIIIIIIIIII������ 2024 ROGO/BPAS Public Presentation Analysis of Results I. Process Overview and Background- The Monroe County Board of County Commissioners (BOCC) is facing an important decision in December concerning the future of ROGOs in Monroe County. The BOCC is committed to a robust public participation process in advance of this decision. This process includes monthly updates and opportunity for public comment at the BOCC meeting, online surveys, public townhalls and outreach through interactive public presentations for nonprofit, civic groups, homeowners' associations and more. These county wide public presentations started in June 2024 and were completed in early September. The purpose of these presentations was to provide information and gather community feedback/data from as many Monroe County residents as possible to be used by the County Commission in their decision on the future of ROGOs in Monroe County. An open invitation was extended to the community and organizations County-wide to schedule an interactive public presentation. The presentation provided foundation information on the topic including (dependent upon presentation time available-30 minute minimum) overviews of ROGO, hurricane evacuation, regulatory takings liability for Monroe County taxpayers, the status of ROGO permits remaining within the unincorporated County, Monroe County's land acquisition efforts and consideration such as disbursement timing, infrastructure impacts and more for the future of ROGO allocations. Throughout the presentation attendees were asked to respond to 11 questions and ultimately provide open form feedback on the issues using their personal mobile device and the County's polling system (Slido.com). The purpose of the interactive component was to gather raw data and feedback for the BOCC decision-making process. Public Presentation were presented throughout the Florida Keys from June to September 2024. The presentation provided an overview of regulatory takings claims in Monroe County, ROGO history, the current status of ROGO permits remaining within the unincorporated County, Monroe County's land acquisition efforts, and the County's potential takings liability as to private property owners who would be unable to build in the future if ROGO allocations become unavailable. During each presentation, the County asked 11 questions and provided an opportunity for open feedback. The questions sought to gather community feedback on a "sweet spot" of the number of ROGO permits Monroe County would recommend the State of Florida award, the rate of distribution of any allocations, the preferred designation of such allocation and more. II. Participation- The public response to the "Future of ROGO/BPAS in the Florida Keys" presentation was robust, with 25 presentations delivered to over 1,000 attendees. Of those, 915 accessed the interactive poll, and 760 provided responses to one or more of the questions posed. 5060 Below is a breakdown of the presentations, detailing the date, host organization, location, number of attendees, and number of individuals who accessed the interactive poll: Date Organization/Host Location Attend Login 13-Jun Keller Williams Realty KW Office 37 32 Middle & Lower Keys Association of 18-Jun Realtors Boondocks 65 52 18-Jun Zonta Marathon membership meeting Marathon Yacht Club 25 24 Marathon Rotary Marathon Grill & 19-Jun Alehouse 42 31 20-Jun Safety Harbor Homeowners Association Safety Harbor 17 15 20-Jun Ocean Sotheby's International Realty team Marathon Offices 15 14 9-Jul Key West Sunset Rotary KW Doubletree Resort 29 24 10-Jul Coldwell Banker Schmitt Real Estate Marathon Office 77 64 11-Jul Key Largo Chamber of Commerce Baker's Cay Resort 122 106 LK Resident Presentation hosted IW 12-Jul Realty Summerland Offices 56 47 15-Jul Key Largo Sunset Rotary KL Dennys 27 23 16-Jul Upper Keys Rotary Capt. Craig's 46 43 17-Jul Lodging Association Key West Beachside 63 54 23-Jul Upper Keys Board of Realtors Baker's Cay Resort 73 67 25-Jul Keys Dems Marathon Branch Library 20 18 6-Aug Cudjoe Garden POA Cudjoe Garden 14 12 12-Aug Last Stand Alliance Key West Branch Library 55 52 16-Aug Lower Keys Rotary Lower Keys CofC office 8 7 20-Aug Marathon Chamber of Commerce Faro Blanco 65 54 Sugarloaf Shores POA Sugarloaf Shores Fire 21-Aug Stat. 29 28 27-Aug Open Public Presentation Marathon Gov Center 3 0 Key West Chamber of Commerce Opal Key Resort and 28-Aug Marina 135 117 28-Aug City of Marathon Marathon City Hall 9 9 Open Public Presentation Murray Nelson Gov 29-Aug Center 11 10 4-Sep Open Public Presentation Harvey Gov Center 13 12 1056 915 III. Methodologies: The analysis of results provided is based on total county-wide responses. As breaking down responses by the general geographical areas of the Keys (Upper Keys, Middle Keys, Lower Keys, and Key West) received significant positive feedback in previous survey reports, it was the original intent to present the results as a County-wide total and a break down by the geographical area of the response as in previous survey reports. To that end, we asked respondents to specify their area of residence in more detail in Question 2(Q2). Unfortunately, of the 792 respondents, only 560 answered Q2 making this type of analysis problematic. 5061 To address this data shortfall, we attempted to review each presentation's data set and assign a broader geographic area based on the majority of responses to Q2 by each of the 25 presentations as a whole. In cases where a group was evenly distributed across multiple areas, they were labeled as "Mixed." For example, Group Presentation X has 17 respondents. The results of Q2 are 15 -Islamorada, 1 Upper Keys and 1 Marathon. This group would be assigned an Upper Keys designation for the Geographically based analysis. A second methodology was attempted. Assigning each group to a larger geographical area based on the location of the meeting and organization's traditional area of operation. Unfortunately, based on cross comparisons and random samples, the results from both methodologies appeared inaccurate or misrepresentative. Ultimately, both methodologies were rejected. We are currently exploring a hybrid approach— assigning geography based on self-identification through Q2 where available and, when not available, by location of the meeting the respondent attended. If this methodology proves successful, the results will be made available. For the purposes of timely reporting, the data included here is being released without further delay. Because respondents were able to skip questions, the total number of responses varies by question. Therefore, results are presented as percentages rather than raw numbers, ensuring a fair analysis of each question as a standalone item. Q1 Question: Are you a resident of Monroe County? Answer Options: A. Full Time B. Part Time C. No Total Response: ALL ALL% Full Time 527 93.4% Part Time 20 3.5% No 17 3.0% 564 1 100.0% 5062 im F U I I T I me av IP air t T I me mo Nth Q2 Question: Where do you live in the Keys? (Select one) Answer Options: Upper Keys Islamorada (Incorporated) Layton (Incorporated) Middle Keys Key Colony Beach (Incorporated) Marathon (Incorporated) Lower Keys Key Haven/Stock Island Key West (Incorporated) I don't live in the Keys Total Response: ALL All % Upper Keys 96 17.8% Islamorada (incorporated) 52 9.6% Layton incorporated 2 0.4% Middle Keys 9 1.7% Key Colony Beach (incorporated) 7 1.3% Marathon (incorporated) 87 16.1% 5063 Lower Keys 138 25.6% Key Haven/Stock Island 20 3.7% Key West (incorporated) 114 21.2% 1 don't live in the Keys 14 2.6% Q2 Respondents by 11 dent f � ed 11 ocat � an 25.6% 21 .2% 17.8% 16.1% 9.6% 0.4% 1 .7% 1 .3% 3.7% 2.6% MMUMEM SEEM - MIMMEME Q3 Question: Do you feel that the Keys need more affordable housing and/or workforce housing? (select one) Answer Options: A.Affordable (Income Limits apply) B. Workforce (Income Limits apply & 70% of income must come from working within the County) C. Both D. Neither Response: Response Responses by % Affordable 21 3.7% Workforce 221 38.6% Both 302 52.8% Neither 28 4.9% 572 100.0% 5064 ���- ������� �m� ���������n U ��/�����m����� ������ ��� � . ., 350 80.n& 52.8% 300 5O.n& 250 38 6% 40.n& 200 30.n& 150 100 0000000,0,00 50 � 2U.n& 10.n& 0 NMI 0.0% Affordable WorIk Force Both 0eitheir iiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiii Responses —1--i~ Respoose by % � ��� Question: Ufm hurricane/storm is imminent, do you? (Select one that best describes your usual approach) Answer Options: Watch the weather and local news and leave early when they say a storm is likely Leave immediately when Monroe County calls for an evacuation (within a couple of hours) Leave approximately 12 hours (the next morning) after the evacuation order from the County Leave between 12 and 24 hours after the evacuation order Wait and Leave os the winds start blowing in from the hurricane I'm never leaving My Keys home iso2"u home and |'m not usually here but O(] come intn secure my property when o storm is coming My Keys home iso2"u home and I'm not usually here during hurricane season /June- (]ct\ and | do NOT come in before storm My work requires rnetn stay during onevacuation Total Response: ALL ALL % Leave between 12 and 24 hours after the evacuation order 141 26.7% I'm never leaving 107 20.2% Leave approximately 12 hours (the next morning) after the evacuation order from the County 84 15.9% Leave immediately when Monroe County calls for an evacuation (within a couple of hours) 64 12.1% My work requires me to stay in County during an evacuation 50 9.5% 5065 Watch the weather and local news and leave early when they say a storm is likely 48 9.1% Wait and Leave as the winds start blowing in from the hurricane 28 5.3% My Keys home is a 2nd home and I'm not usually here but I DO come in to secure my property when a storm is coming 5 0.9% My Keys home is a 2nd home and I'm not usually here during hurricane season June-Oct and I do NOT come in before a storm 2 0.4% 100.0 529 % 4. _ Ac i O in talkan if Storm/Hurricane i ii mm i iin iri 30.0% 25.7% 20.2 20.0% 15.9% 1 5.0% 12.1 10.0% 9.5% 9,1 5,3 5.0% 0.9% 0.4% 0.0% y. y "rY � Q5 Question: What do you feel is the largest impediment to future growth in the Florida Keys? Select your top three Answer Options: Infrastructure Limits related to Utilities (e.g. water, electric, sewer capacity, etc.) Ability to build additional housing due to number of available ROGO/BPAS allocations Ability to evacuate within 24 hours of a hurricane evacuation order Sea Level Rise Availability of affordable/workforce housing to support a local workforce Additional Traffic Congestion Availability of Public Services (Police, Fire, Schools, etc) Access to and availability of medical care Impact on the environment 5066 Total Response: ALL # ALL % Infrastructure Limits related to Utilities (e.g. water, electric, sewer capacity, etc.) 287 19.2% Additional Traffic Congestion 261 17.5% Availability of Affordable/Workforce housing to support a local workforce 239 16.0% Impact on the environment 176 11.8% Ability to evacuate within 24 hours of a hurricane evacuation order 150 10.0% Access to and availability of Medical Care 129 8.6% Ability to build additional housing due to number of available ROGO/BPAS allocations 113 7.6% Sea Level Rise 78 5.2% Availability of Public Services Police, Fire, Schools, etc. 62 4.1% 100.0 1495 % 5 - 11 argest I mpo i men s o If u u re Growth 19.2 1 .0 1 5.0% 11 . % 10.0 , 10.0�/m 7, .2 ,1 4) o�/m 0.0% a Q6 Question: How concerned are you with the County's ability to maintain a 24 hour hurricane evacuation time on US 1 as required by Florida Statute? Answer Options: Not concerned 5067 Concerned Very concerned Didn't even know there was a requirement Total Response: All by All # % Very concerned 34.7% 181 Not concerned 29.0% 151 Concerned 28.6% 149 1 didn't even know there was a re nt 7.706 40 100.0% 521 Q6 - Cancerri for Mahntahnhng 24. INSrIII:::V c Fime 40.0% 34.7% 35.0% 30.0% 29.0% 28.6% 25.0% 20.0% 15.0% 10.0% 7.7% 5.0% 0.0% Very conceirried Not conceirried Concerned I didn't even Iknow theire was a irequ i rement Q7 Question: If the State were to grant additional ROGO/BPAS allocations, how do you believe they should be designated? Answer Options: 100% Market Rate to assist with potential takings liabilities (property rights litigation) Market Rate +Afford able/Workforce 100% Afford able/Workforce No additional ROGO's under any designation Total Response: Q7 ALL % I ALL # 5068 Market Rate + Affordable and Workforce 51.6% 247 No additional ROGO's under any designation 18.6% 89 100% Market Rate to assist with potential takings liabilities (property rights litigation) 15.4% 74 100% Affordable/Workforce 14.4% 69 100.0 % 479 Q7 Preferred -type of All IIocatian 60.0% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 15.4% 14.4% 10.0% 0.0% Qll XP "I 6Y Q8 Question: If the State were to award additional ROGO/BPAS allocations, would you like to see the rate of distribution for additional lots at... Answer Options: As slow as possible (but enough to avoid takings liabilities/property rights litigation) At a pace that does not overly strain the infrastructure and community As quickly as possible I don't really know and would expect the County to make the best choice knowing all the factors Total Response: ALL ALL % At a pace that does not overly strain the infrastructure and community 56.2% 276 As slow as possible but enough to avoid takings liabilities 36.3% 178 As quickly as possible 5.3% 26 5069 I don't really know so I expect my elected representatives to make the best choice for residents and community needs 2.2% 11 100.0 %] 491 Q8 - IIIreferred Rate of 11) listrli Abu tlian 60.0% 50.0% 40.0% 30.0% 20.0% 10.0% 0.0% At a pace that does As slow as possible As quickly as I don't irea I I y know riot oveir I y stira i n but enough to avoid possible so I expect my the i rifirastiructuire talk i rigs I i ab i I i t i es elected and commun i ty repiresentatigyres to malke the best cho ice for Tresidents and commun i ty needs Q9 Question: If the State were to award additional ROGO/BPAS allocations, do you believe the best option is to accept... Answer Options: None Enough to cover the estimated buildable lots (current est. for unincorporated Monroe 2220) Enough to cover the buildable lots and an additional percentage dedicated to afford able/workforce housing (2220 + %) All the ROGO/BPAS offered Total Response: ALL % ALL Enough to cover the buildable lots and an additional percentage dedicated to afford able/workforce housing (2220 + 20%) 39.4% 200 None 21.9% 111 Enough to cover the estimated buildable vacant lots (current est. for unincorporated Monroe 2220) 21.5% 109 All the ROGO/BPAS offered 17.2% 87 5070 100.0 507 Q9 - Airnourit of A 11 11 ocatit an -to Accept 45.0% 39.4% 40.0% 35.0% 30.0% 25.0% 21 .9% 21 .5% 20.0% 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% _igh to cover the buErtdayhet-datevendtho housing (2220 + 20%) Q10 Question: When you consider additional residential development, what are your primary concerns? Please select 3 Answer Options: Impact on infrastructure Availability of workforce if there is not enough affordable/workforce housing Increased Traffic Property tax increases for all property owners in the Florida Keys (incorporated and unincorporated areas) due to defending and potentially satisfying property rights Hurricane Evacuation Time Impact on my property values Community Character Impact on the environment Total Response: ALL ALL % Impact on infrastructure 326 23.6% Availability of workforce if there is not enough affordable/workforce housing 227 16.4% 5071 Increased Traffic 2601 18.8% Property tax increases for all property owners in the Florida Keys (incorporated and unincorporated areas) due to defending and potentially satisfying ro ert rights 176 12.8% Hurricane Evacuation Time 109 7.9% Impact on my Property Values 62 4.5% Community Character 50 3.6% Impact on the Environment 170 12.3% 138 100.0 0 % 1 - IPrimary CO in c r iiri s wh iiri Cunsiderhng add i . i una II Res iiderit iia II 11'.)eve II Opme ri 20.0% ® 1 1 5.0%m 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% <J /�2r Z Q11 Question: What issue impacts your opinions the most as you consider the Future of ROGO/B PAS? Answer Options: The financial impact for my county tax bill due to potential takings liabilities How it may impact day-to-day traffic The impact on our infrastructure How it may impact my ability to exit the Keys during a hurricane evacuation Potential impacts on the environment My rights as a property owner Other- I will list in the additional comments at the end 5072 Total Response: ALL ALL % The impact on our infrastructure 145 30.0% The financial impact for my county tax bill due to potential takings liabilities 95 19.7% Potential impacts on the environment 90 18.6% How it may impact day-to-day traffic 63 13.0% My rights as a property owner 44 9.1% How it may impact my ability to exit the Keys during a hurricane evacuation 27 5.606 Other 191 3.9% 4831 100.0% 11 - What most i mpacts your op i in ii on about .t h e 11 uture of ROGO? 35.0% 30.0% 25.0% 19.7% 18.6% 20.0% 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% e%' 411 Q12 Question: Additional Feedback Answer Options: (Open Comment) Summary of Responses: 5073 The public comments on the consideration of additional residential development in the Florida Keys show both positive and negative perspectives, often reflecting a balance between growth and sustainability. Here's a summary with equal emphasis on both views: 1. Workforce and Affordable Housing: Many comments highlight the urgent need for workforce and affordable housing. Residents express strong support for development that prioritizes housing for essential workers such as teachers, first responders, and service industry employees. This housing is seen as crucial to keeping the local economy and community functioning. There is optimism that addressing housing shortages will prevent further workforce losses, helping to stabilize businesses and services that are struggling due to a lack of local employees. 2. Economic Growth and Development: Some support controlled development as necessary for maintaining economic growth, particularly in tourism and retail sectors. Balanced growth, with attention to environmental and evacuation concerns, is viewed as important for keeping the Keys a viable destination for tourists and ensuring a stable local economy. There is an argument that structured development, including the use of vacant or underutilized buildings for housing, can meet the region's needs without overburdening the infrastructure. 3. Community Input and Transparency: Many residents commend the public engagement process and the clarity of the presentations. The opportunity to contribute to the discussion and learn about the complexities of growth, infrastructure, and legal issues was appreciated, with calls for continued community involvement in future decision. Some participants expressed trust in the local government's approach, believing that careful distribution of ROGOs (Rate of Growth Ordinances) over time can help manage growth responsibly. 4. Environmental and Infrastructure Concerns: A common negative sentiment revolves around the potential strain on already overtaxed infrastructure, including water systems, roads, and sewage. Many residents fear that additional development could lead to further degradation of nearshore water quality and environmental damage to fragile ecosystems. 5074 There are strong concerns about sea level rise and the broader environmental impacts of new developments, with some arguing that the Keys have reached their limit in terms of sustainable growth. 5. Evacuation and Public Safety: Evacuation challenges are a major concern, especially during hurricanes. Many residents believe that the current evacuation models are outdated and that additional growth will make it harder to evacuate the population safely within the required 24-hour window. This is exacerbated by the growing population in Miami-Dade, which shares the same evacuation routes. Some argue that the risks of overdevelopment outweigh the benefits, particularly if new housing adds more residents without addressing evacuation infrastructure. 6. Quality of Life and Overdevelopment: Many comments reflect concerns that overdevelopment will harm the quality of life in the Keys. Residents fear that new developments, particularly vacation homes and short-term rentals, will increase traffic, overcrowd public services, and erode the unique character of the island communities. There is also concern that new developments are catering more to wealthy part-time residents or investors, rather than full-time local residents who contribute to the fabric of the community. Conclusion: There is strong support for growth that focuses on affordable and workforce housing. These positive views are balanced by concerns about the environmental and infrastructure impacts of overdevelopment. Both sides recognize the need for responsible management of growth to preserve the unique character and sustainability of the Florida Keys. Complete Responses: (Presented Alphabetically) - Evacuation of residents during a hurricane - Infrastructure - Sea level rising in the future -Workforce housing 5075 #1 priority should be affordable housing for teachers and first responders. Absolutely, the impact on the infrastructure and the environment needs to be considered very seriously. A very close second needs to be consideration on our impact to safely and quickly evacuate the lower Keys. But, I am also mindful of the potential liabilities of the cost of takings. Affordable/Workforce housing is a huge issue. There are so many job vacancies because people cannot afford to live here. It's difficult to retain staff because of high rent costs. Our economy cannot sustain itself without this population. After attending numerous Islamorada Village council meetings and believing I was educated on the ROGO/BPAS, this presentation absolutely opened my eyes. Excellent presentation!!! All the planners and lawyers need a raise. All the planners and lawyers need a raise. Also affordable housing and workforce housing have different criteria and allocations. They should be separated as affordable housing does not accomplish the goal of providing housing for the residents and property owners that actually work and live in the keys. Also the traffic, I feel I need to pack a cooler to go 7 miles. Bumper to bumper traffic has made it difficult to get to appointments, to get essentials, or just to drive anywhere in the keys. Also you should explain the difference between affordable housing and workforce housing amazing job by kimberly Amazing presentation! Appreciate your time Appreciated the presentation and the style it was presented in. Are we looking at current properties that are uninhabitable, yet still taking up current building allocations? As a 49-year resident of Big Pine Key, I have witnessed the community character of the Keys change dramatically over time. Overdevelopment has made daily traffic almost unbearable and has placed unrealistic demands on all of our infrstructure. I have seen the proliferation of vacation rentals remove thousands of residences from our inventory of year-round rentals for our workforce. Use of shallow wells for sewage disposal continues to degrade nearshore water quality. Under all of these realities, considering requesting additional ROGOs from the State makes no sense. The specter of an avalanch of takings cases is overblown. Let's work together to "get our house in order", solve some of our problems before facilitating more development! As a community we need more reassurance from our BOCC that if we are to have an opinion on adding more ROGO that we must first explain the criteria for what constitutes affordable housing to developers. The community needs to know this criteria as we have seen many 5076 developers build very expensive "affordable housing" and have used our available ROGO over the years to do so. As a person who frequently exits the keys via the Stretch, it only takes one accidentally to shut down traffic for hours. With persons frantically attempting to ""run" from a hurricane with potentially unreliable modes of transportation could lead to potentially dangerous delays. As a property owner and property rights advocate, you can stop change. Stop the regulation and govt involvement. If and only if, the utilities can not keep up with the additional 7k+ homes, then that is understandable. As a sixth generation Conch it is very obvious there has been many changes over the decades in our Island Community. Please note the wealthy & part time residents are majority. I am highly concerned about all the negative impacts. Please consider focusing on our environment & Community in a more positive direction. Thank you for your time & hard work. Let's stay Keys Strong. As a tourist destination and to sustain a viable economy, growth is necessary in the retail, hospitality and attractions segment. Growth at a structured rate that goes along with the impact to the environment and evacuation plans should be adhered to. As a young person who lives in the Keys, I cannot realistically live on my own. I have a good job that pays well yet rent and property costs are three the roof. I would like too see more affordable/workforce housing in the keys to support the people who work and make the keys. Ask for the Rogo's, take time allocating them to mitigate the risk. Beyond this, the hurricane evaluation model of 24 hours might not be enough time with the current rapid intensification that we've seen over the last few years. We would absolutely not support relaxing the current model. But, WAY TOO LONG. Concerns over the ability to relocate rogo exemptions Consider restrictions on how many vacation licenses can be issued as many home that would otherwise house locals are being used as small businesses, with many not collecting or remitting taxes. Continuing updates would be appreciated. Results of polls, how county/state decisions are being made. Cost and availability of Insurance was never mentioned. It should be! Do all 8000 pay taxes on their vacant lot. Do the right thing for the good of the Keys. Do what's best for the community. Eliminate the Energy and Conservation points. They do nothing to retire density. Retirement of density is finally starting to ramp up after years and years of ROGO. Please accept only as 5077 many ROGOs as necessary and design the program to speed up the retiring of density. That needs to be the goal. Evacuation plan did not address the growth of Miami that we must pass through in order to leave Monroe county. We will be trapped on the highway trying to get through Miami. In 2017 it took 9 hours instead of usual 5 hours to get to Ocala. With the additional apartments built in Dade County we cannot even attempt to leave the keys within 24 hours. Evacuation wouldn't be as bad if you fixed the stretch Excellent Excellent presentation and presenter HOWEVER, since the cost of any resulting decision will be born by the property owner on the yearly property taxes, the feedback would be more valid if the questions were put only to property owners. Or, it should be the first question, so the resulting feed back could be studied both ways: property owners and non property owners. Excellent presentation! Extremely informative! Excellent presentation, thank you. Expand the evacuation time. Explain where Habitat Housing would fall under. Give strong consideration to workforce housing, there is opportunity for increased density/ ADUs (which many properties are already doing anyway) affordable allocations can be used for small, affordable 1 bedroom units on single family homesites Good job Michelle! I wish everyone could do this! Good luck!!! Good presentation learned a lot. Thank you, interested in learning more. Good presentation! Good presentation, thank you. Good presentation, I am for no more building permits except a one for one swap. Tear something down to build something new Good to clarify the topic. Great information ! And I did learn something Great information thank you Great information! Great information. Presentation was very well done 5078 Great job -thank you Great presentation Great presentation Great presentation and informative! Great presentation and very informative. Great presentation as always Kim! Super informative, thank you so much. The impact on our infrastructure is what worries me the most in addition to our increased taxes. Great presentation Kimberly Great presentation Kimberly. Thank you for taking the time to educate us and considering our feedback for our commissioners to make the decision! Great presentation very informative thank you Great presentation with excellent info and content Great presentation! Very imformative! Great presentation, great information and very much appreciated. Great presentation, very informative! Great presentation, we definitely need more and I think you all are going about it in a great way. The biggest thing to think about is the community impact and updated weather models. Great presentation. Great presentation. The takings issue is huge. But we need more workforce housing! Great presentation. Very well done. I'm much clearer in my basic understanding and know now what I need more information on. As a Realtor trying to sell a vacant lot not in the ROGO system yet, I have concerns for the Seller. Great presentation. Very informative. Thank you Great presentation-thank you great speaker and great info Have a reasonable cost for workforce housing. Have your lobbyists and legislature change the Vacation Rental Statutes. Marathon needs a cap. Holly is an angel and you're a tool for that comment, anonymous 5079 How come the state has been making decisions for our county commission? Telling our county commissioners they are going outside the rules for an area of critical concern. Sounds like the county isn't in control. And our votes are moot. How has the hurricane model been adjusted based on the fact that so many of our properties are second homes? How many joined lots with a residence on the adjacent lot have building rights that can be retired? How will more growth affect our essential workers, our health care, police department, fire department? I am very concerned about environmental impacts. ROGO is obviously very important, but I think day trippers from the mainland are the main offenders. We need to work with the governing agencies to add an in bound toll to discourage these people from coming here and contributing nothing positive. Many buy nothing- bring coolers, leave their trash, and clog the roads. I believe that we have reached the limit of growth in the Keys. Evacuation time, the infrastructure, and the environment can not take anymore. I feel insecure about the number of potential takings. Until this is scientifically obtained I think this discussion is premature. Also I think the TDC is a very big negative factor on the Keys and there is no public forum to discuss this. I grew up here, own my own home, and my husband and I will be leaving the Keys in 2 years after my husband retires from a local utility company. Prices are high, the community has changed and tbh I believe Marathon has reached its max. Great presentation! I have issues with much of the info presented. It is very skewed. Lots of costs for Takings, but none for infrastructure or environmental degradation. Lots of choices between 2220 or 8000 ROGOs, but no mention of having already exceeded MAX build out by 1400 ROGOS. The legal numbers are insane and offensive - reporting how much was REQUESTED which is irrelevant (at least it was mentioned how much was awarded). No question about just accepting the 220 that keeps us within the 24 hour evacuation time. Creating mixed messages between 24 hour evac vs accepting 2220 ROGOS. TOO LONG 2.5 hours! Another problem question was distribute ROGOs as slow as possible vs at a pace not to strain infrastructure, but all without real numbers. I have many worker friends like bartenders and hotel workers that have had to leave because the affordable housing is not affordable. I learned a lot at the session Kimberly Matthews provided. The information she shared was invaluable and I appreciate the work she and the Commissioners are doing to figure out the best plan for ROGO moving forward. I learned a lot, thank you so much! I'd love the county to please do the right thing and look out for the community and the workforce of people who live here full time, affordability is definitely a huge issue. 5080 I learned things I didn't know from the presentation. I really hope our Commissioners really think about what is best for your CURRENT constituency. Kimberly Matthews needs a raise. I only hope the county listens to the responses from the citizens and realize enough is enough! I still feel its time to say enough is enough! The FL Keys are in a critical state and this out weighs everything. We must protect this fragile treasure! I suggest that more information on infrastructure impacts, so that people can vote with a better understanding on that particular impact. I take issue, however, with how some of these issues are being framed (and that is not the fault of Kimberly). I don't think the issue has to be ROGOs or affordable/workforce housing. There is the opportunity to think differently about this and trying to return some of our housing stock that went to AirBnb back to housing, also redeveloping current properties. I think Kimberly did a very informative and educational presentation. I think the county should fight takings lawsuits tooth and nail I think we should take the maximum available but then evaluate infrastructure prior to giving them out. I think a limited number should be given out yearly. I think workforce housing should be a priority over market rate units and the larger balance should be designated for workforce housing. I urge you to take it to consideration the already chaotic roads that we have down here and the TDC continues to promote our paradise while the conditions of our infrastructure diminish! To give additional allocations for investors and secondary homeowners to be able to build would be a mistake. If any allocations are given, they should be for primary residence only and workforce/Affordable Housing. Without our teachers, police officers, firefighters doctors and nurses and restaurant workers This town that we live in would not be possible. The quality of the service staff getting bussed down from the mainland to work at our establishments and bring their nasty attitudes is pitiful and cannot continue. if any allocations are given, they should only be for those assisting and living within our community full-time. I was not clear from the questions if answering the questions as a "resident" was exclusive to property owners . This is important and the feedback you receive may change. I worry about availability of workforce housing but I also believe government should not be involved and that we should allow market drivers to make this happen I would like to see the county and incorporated areas accept all the offered ROGO permits. Each can decide the timing and purpose of the allocations. I'm for using existing structures If it's possible to create townhomes/condos in the vacant Sears or Kmart buildings why not develop affordable/workforce housing . 5081 If resident safety is indeed top priority no more rogo allocations should be made. If the government is taking they should be responsible for compensation, not other property owners who had nothing to do with the taking. The government should be responsible for their actions. Impact of growth on quality of life and character of the community. Impact on infrastructure is important, but I'm concerned about the workforce housing element. Can the keys continue to be a destination location for travelers if we cannot find employees to work the service industry? Or to work any of the many industries that serve the population of the keys? Buying homes is out of the question for many, the long term rental market severely strained (in Key West) and we have seen many workers leave the island due to lack of housing options or rents that have increased by extreme amounts. I would be ok with limiting ROGOs or slowing the rate growth tremendously if we could get back a percentage of the homes we lost in the long term rental market to vacation rentals. We have to address the issue of housing for the people that live and work on the island so that businesses can continue to employ and thrive. Without workers, everyone suffers. In consideration of the choices between market value vs workforce housing, are the Togo points scaled to the population density of the development? It seems like 1 private home might house 3-5 people vs workforce housing would have a higher occupancy and therefore higher occupancy would put the highest strain on our ability to evacuate, infrastructure demands, traffic, environmental impact etc. however I do appreciate the greater need for workforce housing over private residences. Do permits have any restrictions on occupancy? Which type of property generates the most tax revenue to potentially offset any taking litigation? My concern is that differing the potential of takings by slowing the rate of available permits may ultimately end up in higher liability as property values continue to rise. Incredible presentation by Kimberly. Informative presentation. A little more details on some of the examples would make it extra interesting. Thank you Infrastructure is of crucial importance but trying to solve by increasing our infrastructure capabilities will begin to affect our environment. If we lose our environment, we lose our economy! Infrastructure, property rights, and crowding in our communities are important Input should only come from property owners since the resulting decision will be paid for only by property owners taxes!!! Is it possible to offer owners of developable land a financial incentive to pledge that any development on their property would be deed restricted affordable/workforce? Have we explored any types of incentivized voluntary deed restrictions? It seems to work in some other areas. Both deed restricted affordable and deed restricted to only people who work in the county regardless of income. 5082 Issue permits to everyone in the current que, then freeze all further permitting except for affordable and workforce housing. It is important that everyone understand that living in the keys is living in a unique and special environment. If everything you do increases tourism, soon the reason tourists come to the keys will be nonexistent. It is my hope that the County will acquire the number of ROGOS which will allow the County to get out of the private land acquisition business entirely. It is very important for the Commissioners to take the following priorities into consideration when making their decision (not in order of priority) It is very likely that although my family has lived here for generations, my grandchildren who have lived here all their lives will probably never be able to have a house here.! It seems like the best answer for the quality of life and the health of the keys is NO more ROGIS It sound like the gov is squeezing us again. There is 500 kids graduating every year that have to move because they can not stay here and buy a house It was very informative, thank you. It would be really great for our BOCC to listen to the community and not just do what they want because it lines their pockets. (Holly and the Tavernier Publix project) This presentation concreted that is not where we need to spend our ROGOs. It's great Just listen to the constituents and make ROGO a fair and equitable process. Kimberly did a wonderful job. I think we should be very careful about the real impact on takings law suits. Property rights are imperative Kimberly does an excellent jobs in presenting her Information & conducting the survey. Kimberly gave information that I did not know. However, there are many questions that still need to be answered. These decisions need to be made on facts and not on assumptions. The decisions made will affect our lives and should be made in a very disciplined way. Kimberly is great! Happy SHE has mastered this information. But, personally I do NOT trust ANY evacuation plans.... Immediate or long term. Have you seen the growth ABOVE the Blue Bridge ? We ain't getting out of here! Kimberly really did a fantastic job. There's a lot more depth to go into than what was covered, but it is a great start Kimberly's presentation is great . I learned a lot . Traffic down here is insane though so maybe limit as much as possible . 5083 Kimberly's presentation was great. Kristen is awesome! Kristen needs a raise. So does Brian Shea. Land owners have known about ROGO for thirty years. The country should win all taking cases. But should be worried about the 70,000 current residents who will be be greatly affected by more development. Last question did not include an option for the largest concern being employee housing, which is what it is. Let's go with no rogos and fix what is here. Limit growth to preserve quality of life and envioroment and improve infrastructure Listen to residents Living in a small Condominium community in Islamorada which is not a resort we do not want to see anymore than the 10 vacation rentals that are what is grand fathered in. The transient weekly traffic we get now is about all we can take. We have a lot of essential and every day workers who live here. We have teachers, police officer, construction workers, carpenters, diving instructors, young people who are working on the reefs renting full time here. We need affordable housing for our work force and these condos provide that for them, not more vacation rentals. Local traffic congestion in certain areas and infrastructure stress is a concern. Main concern is keeping the economic viability of the Keys alive through protecting the natural environment that brought all of us here and continues to draw visitors that contribute so heavily to our local economy. Major concern with growth is strain on infrastructure. Keep big business growth to a minimum, (I am against the new Publix being built in my area). Increase affordable housing for essential worker's, like police,fire, teachers, nurses.....ect. Make decisions as a resident looking for the best quality of life. Manage ROGOs conservatly and judiciously. Maybe wait until we can deal with what we have now until adding more. Developers do not live here Me and my wife are full time residents of the Keys. Retired Police officer with over 30 years of service. Might consider not overly explaining the question as it might affect the survey's objectivity. More ROGO 5084 Most concerning is the need of workforce housing. My concern continues to be that any additional growth in the county with more ROGOs, that there will not be an adequate and corresponding response in relief for the greater and growing need of additional housing for current workforce and the possible additional workforce that will be needed if we continue to grow. Incentivize local businesses that want to build/invest in workforce housing to alleviate already current workforce housing issues, and prioritize some ROGO allocation for that. My concern is the impact on the keys!! We're overbuilt already .. My main concern is property taxes, traffic, and takings I don't completely understand it very well. My main concerns about more development is the traffic, our terrible health services (fishermans) and the fact that we have had so many water issues over the past few years. However, we also seem to allow new hotels to be built left and right, and that has way more affect on those items than new single family homes. So ultimately I side with property owners since the county seems to ignore the impact of new hotels My preference is to not approve more rogo allocations. I do not believe the $1 b takings risk and the keys cannot turn into Miami. N/A Need workforce housing z&!safe evacuation. No more ROGOV We don't want the keys to become South Miami. Non homesteaded properties including vacation rentals. On the question, "if the state were to award more, what should we do?" Add "I don't know let my county officials decide. " Our infrastructure and environment needs to be considered and taken care of or it wont matter anyways!. Our reef is close to dead and we are still adding more homes. What will it take for the county to understand the impact of further human habitation on these fragile islands and sensitive area of critical concern. Please consider changing zoning to allow secondary living units for affordable housing. X zone homes should be allowed to legally rent downstairs units or secondary living units on property with rental limits for affordable housing. Please consider how backed up US 1 is every weekday through Stock Island and through the triangle. The roads cannot handle additional commuters Please consider the potential taxpayer savings which could be realized by obviating the need for the Land Authority to acquire properties with tenable inverse condemnation cases. 5085 Please do NOT allow more building. Please DO NOT ALLOW MORE ROGO. The traffic is terrible and it took me so long to evacuate for hurricane Irma! Please keep in mind that we are already impacted by the large volume of tourists so additional housing should address workforce housing not people seeking vacation homes or second homes. The keys are already suffering from lack of employees and medical infrastructure. Issues that impact residents are the ones you should be addressing. Please limit further Rogos. So many reasons including hurricane evacuation, daily traffic quality of life Please listen to your constituents, not the developers. Please use the data provided and listen to the people Presentation helped explain the issues Presentation should be for property owners Presentation very informative. Happy we attended Presentation was great and informative. Presentation was needed for Monroe residents, I wish other Florida government used the same effort of service. Presentation was very helpful Pressure the department of transportation to add a second lane to Florida city. All the people that opposed for leaning are now dead. Protect of environment. Protect our environment Protect our quality of Keys life. Public pool in Big Pine Key. Clothing optional Beach in the Lower Keys. Regarding question 1about hurricane evacuation the option to select that your decision made is based on the strength of the storm and its expected path was not included. We don't evacuate for cat 1 or 2 storms. Regarding the number of ROGOs the county should accept the option of receiving the number that is based on the results of the hurricane modeling report was NOT an option. That is what we should do. Rogo permits being bought by non residents. 5086 Say yes to Tavernier Publix Set. Dead line for property owners to submit for building rights. Go to state with that number and allow those property owners to build. Shrink or limit the size and scope off the NoAA sanctuary. Diversity the economy away from tourism. Slides for such a presentation should be shared directly from the computer, not by filming real time and being not only out of focus but also showing speaker walking and standing in front of it. so much you are official so make a decision Some of the questions were leading or incomplete. For my family, there is no set time of evacuation for instance. It depends on our perception of the strength of the storm, where we might go, how quickly we could prepare, when we could leave so that the kids can sleep in the car. State of Florida needs to acknowledge their responsibility to helping local governments defend takings cases. Super helpful for this sort of feedback and intel on the matter. Affordability of living is the Keys is a main concern and the ability to grow my young family in this community. Take all the units, and then give them out over a long period of time. But use that time to buy everything up. That way you never have to use them all. And any leftover may allow for additional affordable units interspersed on existing lots. Take the darn allocations!!! Take the ROGO needed for the amount of vacant lots, and then tell the state to never offer any future ROGO. Even if the state does offer more, never accept any more after this coming round Takings liability needs to be fleshed out. Is the reasonably likely amount a cost we can afford? If so, we should take no market rate ROGOs. If not, what is the lowest amount per year that would defer the liability? For affordable workforce housing, there is a number that is acceptable to me. Perhaps 400 for the entire Keys. Takings tax concern. Terrific, thought provoking presentation Kim. Thank you Thank you Thank you for all of your hard work and dedication in this challenging and ever changing subject. You do a great job in explanation of difficult and nuanced material. Thank you for your patience and perseverance. 5087 Thank you for an informative presentation! Thank you for an informative, clear and concise presentation! Thank you for coming to present to Zonta of the City of Marathon. Thank you for informative presentation and opportunity to participate. Thank you for inviting me to voice my opinion. Well thought out questions. A delicate balance between property rights vs. quality of life for residents. I like the idea of market rate for owner occupied. Thank you for sharing all this information with us. As a business owner we are always going to be challenged with housing for our staffs and control over population in the keys is important but without workforce housing and a control over illegal rentals no one will be able to serve all our guests. Again this pres ration was very informative and we appreciate it. Thank you for the information! Thank you for the presentation. Demystified and super helpful! Thank you for the presentation. I look forward to hearing more about this as the process unfolds. Thank you for this presentation. Thank you for your presentation. Thank you for your presentation. It was most informative and a refresher course for this most important issue that will be facing our communities. Thank you for your time. Very informative and great use of technology. It was a lot to digest but maybe breaking it up in segments Thank you Kimberly. Getting closer to the point that I want to leave the Keys, the place I have called home for nearly 30 years. Thank you so much for your presentation Thank you so much for your taking the time to reach out to the community. I think this presentation was very useful and helpful and greatly appreciated. If you would like to have one of your speakers come talk at another one of our Luncheons to reach 50 - 75 of our Realtor Members we would welcome that. Feel free to send me any emails with questionnaires I will send them to all my 600 real estate professionals. Wayne Carter CEO Marathon and Lower Keys Association of Realtors. CEO@MLKAR.com 305-743-2485 Thank you very much! Thank you wonderful presentation. Thank you! 5088 Thank you! Excellent presentation. Thank you, have a great weekend. Thank you. Thanks Thanks for a great presentation! Thanks for the information! Much seems to be a moving target and I feel I'd be better able to make decisions if some of these things were more miserable, such as hurricane evacuation times. Where do we stand with the current traffic study? How do you measure impacts on environment or infrastructure? And also like to know, how property owners are included in these discussions Thanks Kimberly! Thanks, great presentation Thanks. Amazing information. Well presented The BOCC should consider elevating building permit approvals on the list for Tier 3 well developed sub divisions and discontinue additional rogo applications. In other words allocate building permits that are currently in rogo tier 3 location. The county is buying back about 50 parcels in unincorp Monroe annually. Any solution should give these programs as much time as possible to buy back as much as possible. We have seriuos infrastructure problems now that are impacting our sensitive environment. Our evacuation guidelines are already exceeded and that using speed limits in excess of legal speed limits for Big Pine Key. Once the "granular" number of parcels is known, the county should accept the bare minimum of rogos to delay takings while the county buys back lots thereby reducing the takings exposure. Focusing of workforce or affordable rogos should be considered If offering workforce or affordable rogos will result in takings liability reductions, that being the difference between market value with regular rogo compared to market value with either workforce or affordable rogo. Before examining these options it is critical to know the infrastructure costs for our existing needs and any proposed growth. The County needs to approve homes to have additional living quarters on their property for elderly family members. The county should not opt to convert residential properties to commercial just to avoid takings. It only degrades the quality of life and negatively affects the environment. The current point system is unfair in one primary aspect, duration of ownership is of no credit and wealthier/speculators are able to quickly rise to the top of the list by manipulating the point system with paid consultants and purchasing of points from the county and/or buying lots to exchange for points. 5089 The full presentation was very informative and nice to hear directly from the county on situations that we get as realtors very frequently. The hurricane evacuation models are overly optimistic for numerous reasons, I've sat in that traffic and it's only going to get worse with any further development, and with the construction already planned on the roads and bridges. Also with the fast developing mega storms, we need to evacuate further than Florida City, which is not taken into account. Also the environmental problems are only getting worse and not being addressed. The infrastructure is failing all over, water pipes bursting, sewage leaking in marathon, roads flooding. I feel any additional development is irresponsible. The impact on property value. Affordable housing is not affordable and neither is workforce housing. The impact on the environment is no longer a question but a big reality here in the keys. The income limits for workforce housing need to be removed and the rent being paid needs to be more realistic. The intro could be shortened - it alone was 40+ minutes long. Most participants don't have almost 2.5 hours to participate The issue of takings doesn't resonate as much with me. This area has been an area of critical concern since 1972, and the conversation about running out of ROGOs has been strong for over a decade. For someone investing in vacant land here during the last 50 years is akin to gambling if the owner didn't take steps before now to move the property through to development. For our family personally, we bought a house rather than buying a lot because we knew about this issue. This, to us, is a buyer beware situation and I'm inclined to reevaluate the risk on the takings. The keys are a special place unlike anywhere else, let's keep it so. The keys are amazing and we are blessed to live here. That being said, if the workforce housing, infrastructure and protecting the environment don't support the people who live here, then no one would want to live here. Therefore the focus really needs to be on those items first and foremost. I don't really care about anyone else wanting to live in paradise if it's at the expense of any of those topics. There are plenty of other places to live. The last question, about the item that most impacts my decision, you didn't say anything about affordable housing. The biggest impact on my decision is will I have somewhere affordable to live. Therefore I want to make sure there's adequate number of rogos available. That is my number 1 reason I would decide how many rogos should be available. The moment I heard the state was going to release more rights, my gut reaction was this is bad for us. After learning more, I do believe that actually accepting the rights and doling them out at a very slow rate and even more stringently than BPAS in the past, that sounds like the best move for us. Thank you for considering the opinion of the whole community to make your decisions. 5090 The presentation clarified and confirmed much of what I knew about the topic. Seems there are many variables involved with the development of the 24 hour evacuation required. Also seems that additional BPAS is sustainable with proper planning. Traffic concerns are at times somewhat realistic but are insignificant in comparison to other adjacent communities. The presentation was excellent. My primary goal is to maintain our current quality of life. The presenter should not try to sway with her opinion/stance as the questions are being answered. The questions do include feedback on the environment, but the presentation seems biased towards the economics (increased taxes if we don't slow down to pay for the takings cases). The reason people want to live here (whether they realize it or not) is for the natural beauty and that includes the biodiversity. The reefs and fisheries have degraded significantly over the last 30 years. Although there are many reasons, including warmer waters and disease, the pressure from rising population levels is clear. However, increased tourism should be a factor when evaluating the impact of growth in the Keys. The small settlement amounts for takings cases do not reflect the actual historical liability. Each one of those lots was in effect a settlement. The transportation infrastructure and number of people needing to evacuate in advance of a hurricane are important considerations. Consideration should also be given to the infrastructure required for rebuilding after a hurricane causes significant damage. Each additional house makes it more difficult to recover. This has been an incredibly valuable tool to facilitate public input and appreciate the opportunity the give feedback. Kimberly is an excellent facilitator for this process! This is a time for leadership and vision. This is an area of critical concern. Destroy the waters with development and the tourists will leave. This was an excellent presentation. Very informative and detailed and well put together. I would like to see another presentation when we have more answers on true potential for takings casings, exactly how many Tier 3 lots are left and how many were sold during Rogo, and most importantly can our current infrastructure handle more Rogos ie: sewer, water, schools, evacuation times, traffic and health care and how much more infrastructure will cost compared to takings cases. This was very informative and learned things I did not know. Thank you. Thus no workers means to me, I will have no town to live in. The Keys has known this for many years. You can build many affordable units, but it's Not affordable. And the water line cannot give water for more people and it needs repaired. 5091 Time to face the facts... we need to find the best way possible to close out new growth in the Keys and find the most adaptable ways to manage the takings process. Fear of litigation doesn't make it acceptable to put people at risk of not being able to evacuate. Safety is more important. TODAY our water supply pressure is being reduced doe to KNOWN age related defects. To add more homes in full knowledge of these facts is tantamount to administrative negligence. The water line replacement costs at over $10M per mile could approach the county's takings liabilities. Today's presentation was informative. Development needs to continue in a responsible manner. Toll booth on Al A! Unfortunately or fortunately, you cannot stop change. I am an advocate for property rights and as a tax paying home owner in this community, I too, do not want us to continue to build. However, it is not my job to stop growth. The keys are not the same they were 20 years ago and we cannot expect for it to remain the same in 20 years. Vacation rentals fuel greed and are destroying much of what we have loved about the Florida Keys Variables to consider in the modeling are the the increase in second/third home ownership as opposed to full time residents, potential vacation rental ordinance changes in Monroe (please don't change to 7 day), better enforcement of illegal vacation rentals. Very informative Very informative and educational Very informative presentation and I appreciate the fact that the BOCC is seeking public input. Very informative presentation! We appreciate you taking the time to ensure we are receiving the correct information and listening to what the community views these issues. Very informative! Great presentation. Very informative! Thank you! Very informative, thank you Very informative. Great speaker Very informative. Great info. Thank you for a great presentation. Was good presentation We already know that the BOCC is going to take at least 2,200 to 3,000 ROGO, why bother with all this obligatory public comment process. Let's see what happens and see how much a waste of everyone's time this was. 5092 We are on the verge of crisis. There are not enough affordable houses to accommodate the working class and serve the people who are buying second and third homes. We are permanent residents and my concerns is the infrastructure, the cost to homeowners for the additional growth. We are residents with a buildable lot. We are very concerned for our property rights We have already exceeded the 24 hour evacuation time. Over the years every time we reach this limit, they find a way to continue allowing development. For example by saying 48 hours for tourists and mobile homes. But storms intensify more quickly as climate warms. Hurricane Otis and Beryl went from TS to Cat 5 I. Less than 24 hours. We have had enough actual hurricane events to know evacuation isn't an issue. Forecasting/technology and awareness along with road improvements have alleviated this. We love our County Commissioner Michelle! We love our County Commissioner Michelle! We need to control traffic on old road in islamorada We need to identify land that currently experiences sea level rise impacts and STOP developing them. This is unsustainable. We were told we could buy a permit for— $300k. What happened in the past 6 years that made the State back away from their previous "hand- shake" commitment to share in the cost of takings? How do we convince them that as a tax donor county, they should honor that commitment to the Keys? What the current status is with the commission. When talking about ROGO, you only address empty lots, not the fact that additional employee housing can be built on lands that are below maximum density. Who and what is going to end up paying for the cost of the over growth of the Keys? I mean that in more ways than monetary. Why do we keep building resorts without the people and infrastructure to staff and support them Why is evacuation modeling not including the rapid intensification of storms? Logic dictates that a reduction in allotted 24 hour time for evacuation is needed, not doing more studies to obtain the official governmental pre-desired answer that we can continue to build and still make the out-dated 24 hours. Also, 24 hours doesn't make sense if we're also going to incur backups due to all of Miami-Dade also being in evacuation mode. With increased storms getting out of the keys has become a big concern. 5093 Work force housing is needed but needs to be adjusted higher than HUD. HUD data is not accurate for realistic needs of living in our market. We need our OWN data. Workforce housing should be provided by private industry. Worst thing you can do, is to ask for our opinion and ignore it. Good presentation. I am opposed to additional ROGOs. Population, infrastructure and tourism capacity is maxed in my opinion. Wouldn't development of a vacant parcel as a workforce or affordable unit offset at least some of that takings liability? Yes her hair is very long! You have not taken into account the lots that are not at maximum density and could build additional workforce housing on the lot. These units would need BPAS in the city. You needed an all of the above choice. Your evacuation question does not take into account that every storm is different. One plan does not fit all, and decisions are made to stay or leave based on category on and track. Your Ruining our environment 5094 ROGO 2024 UPDATE Frequently Asked Questions This document and other information regarding Future Updates to Monroe County's ROGO System can be found on the County's "ROGO 2024" webpage: hiip,,;: ww ,monflo(,(,ol:j utY.:::, i f W���� ,� u����.. lll)reserrutation��,). 1. Question: We believe there are flaws in the FloridaCommerce 2023 Hurricane Evacuation Model. Response: The Evacuation Model is prepared and approved by Florida Department of Commerce. Questions regarding its validity should be addressed to FL Commerce directly. However, staff has provided additional information regarding some specific evacuation model questions below. 2. The model assumes that evacuation ends at Florida City, thereby ignoring any evacuees from South Florida and Ocean Reef. Response: The assumption for planning scenarios that FloridaCommerce and its predecessor agencies, Department of Community Affairs and Department of Economic Opportunity, (Department) are based on a Monroe County only evacuation rather than a Regional Evacuation. The decision was based on the Department's interpretation of Section 380.0552(9)(a)2., Florida Statutes in agreement with the Administration Commission. The Census data was the primary source used in the hurricane evacuation model. Ocean Reef data would have been included in the Census figures for the County and therefore, included in the evacuation. The termination point is established as U.S. Highway One and the Florida Turnpike in Homestead/Florida City as provided for in a decision by an Administrative Law Judge and later codified in Rule 28-20.140(4), Florida Administrative Code and Monroe County Comprehensive Plan.1 3. The model assumes that evacuations occur evenly throughout the 24-hour period. Response: The model uses a 12 hour response curve.A response curve describes the time each individual in the region begins their evacuation, based on a behavioral study. These curves are expressed as a percentage of the population at a given interval of time. The curve is based on when an order to evacuate is given and accounts for population evacuating before an order is given and after. This is the method used within the State-Wide Regional Evacuation Study ' Final Order DOAH 04-2756RP, Paragraph 146; Rule 28-20.140(4), Florida Administrative Code;and Monroe County Comprehensive Plan Policy 215.1.13;Section 1013.40(4)(a) 5095 developed by the Regional Planning Councils for the Florida Division of Emergency Management. 4. The model excludes certain permanent residents, such as mobile home residents, liveaboards, and college students. Response: Mobile home residents are required to evacuate in the first phase of evacuation because of the structural condition of their homes; liveaboards and dormitory occupants also evacuate in the first phase of evacuation.' 5. The model understates the number of evacuees who are in vacation homes during hurricane season or who will enter the Keys before a storm to secure their vacation homes. Response: The model uses license data from both DBPR and local governments for quantifying the vacation rentals in the Florida Keys, which is the only data source available. The model assumes background traffic,which should account for the vehicles on the road from property owners coming to secure their properties prior to a storm. Renters in Vacation Rentals should follow the evacuation directives for tourists, since they are tourists. 6. The model understates the number of vacation rental units because it only includes those that are licensed with the local government. Response: Licensure of units is the best available data. Local governments have processes in place to enforce the licensing of vacation rental units. 7. The model diverges from the 2012 evacuation model in ignoring future conversions of mobile home sites into constructed home sites. Response: The model allocates vehicles between mobile home and site-built units proportionally based on the number of residents of each unit. The State-Wide Regional Evacuation Study provides that each Traffic Evacuation Zone(TEZ) has associated demographic data for: dwelling units, population, vacancy rates, auto ownership, tourists, university population, and percent of households in evacuation zone. Small-area data on housing units by type (permanent, mobile home and tourist), number of people and number of vehicles was based on either traffic analysis zones or Census block groups (BGs). Data exist for each analysis year and are distinguished between site- built and mobile homes. 5096 8. What is the origin of the 24-hour evacuation requirement in FL Statute? Response: In 1993,Monroe County submitted a Remedial Plan Amendment to the Department of Commerce. The Remedial Plan Amendment was a result of the State challenging the County's comprehensive plan amendment. In the final order, the Administrative Law Judge (ALJ)provided a list of stipulated remedial actions that were required to be amendments to the comprehensive plan. Among the actions were: • Include an objective and supporting policies to reduce the 1990 hurricane clearance time from 34 hours to 30 hours by the Year 2000. — To implement this objective, include a policy establishing a permit allocation system to control the annual rate of development based on population growth. The remedial amendment was adopted. The requirement then, as is now, is to receive comments from other state agencies,i.e. Department of Environmental Protection, Department of Transportation, the Regional Planning Councils. The South Florida Regional Planning Council Comprehensive Review Staff Report, July 1992 provided to Department of Community Affairs as a formal comment letter to 1992 Remedial Amendment for Monroe County (DCA amendment number 93R1), states the following: "The Lower Southeast Florida Hurricane Evacuation Study (LSEFHES) for Monroe County identifies the Evacuation time for Monroe County as 34 to 37 hours, depending on assumed seasonal occupancy rates. There is no state or regional level of service for hurricane clearance time. Policy guidance in state law and regional policy both require local governments to "maintain or reduce" clearance times in order to protect the public and their chances for safety. The practical standard that is used nationally is the National Hurricane Center's estimates of forecasting ability to predict landfall. They estimate their forecasting ability at only 15 to 25 percent accuracy 30 hours before landfall, whereas 24 hours before predicted landfall, meteorologists are 35 to 40 percent certain of where landfall will occur. Relying can that expertise, any clearance time above 24 hours may place into j eopardy the ability to know when to issue an evacuation order and the ability to safely evacuate residents if circumstances prohibit such advances in time." Forecasting Improvements Much of the decision-making at that time was done in the shadow of Hurricane Andrew. A 2022 National Hurricane Center article commemorating the 30-year anniversary of Hurricane Andrew landfall, spoke to the improvements in forecasting both track and intensity since Hurricane Andrew made landfall in 1992, states: "According to NOANs National Hurricane Center, NOAA has drastically improved its track and intensity forecasts, increasing track accuracy by 75% and intensity forecasts by 50% since Hurricane Andrew. NOAA scientists now use an array of satellite information, land-based, sea-based, and aircraft-related instruments to collect observational data." Additionally, the current National Weather Service Director, Ken Graham, is quoted in a July 8, 2024, article in Scientific America as saying, "It's remarkable how far we've come since the 5097 year 2000, . . .We've cut the track error by 64 percent, and we've cut intensity error in half." That same article addresses the challenges with rapid intensification. "While intensity forecasts have greatly improved, they haven't come as far as track forecasts. And rapid intensification events when storms make major gains in wind speeds over a short time are a special challenge." He went onto say, "These forecasts are a big priority for scientists these days. When storms unexpectedly balloon into major hurricanes, it reduces the amount of time officials have to issue warnings and call for evacuations. That means rapid intensification events can pose serious threats to coastal communities. " 9. What is the reliability of the online surveys? • How do we know that the people taking the surveys aren't from out of town? Response: Unfortunately, we cannot guarantee this. The first question addresses their residency. The survey results have shown that a very small percentage of respondents do not live in the Florida Keys, and therefore should not affect the overall results significantly. While we can't prevent dishonest answers, the Monroe County Public Information Officer has conducted targeted promotions within our community to limit participation from outside the Florida Keys. • How many times can people take this survey? Response: We use SurveyMonkey's settings, which prevent a device from submitting the survey more than once. If someone tries to manipulate the system using multiple devices, that is beyond our control. • How do we get the results of how many people have taken these surveys? Response: The results of each survey, including the number of respondents, are available on the County's "ROGO 2024" webpage, which includes information about the public process that has been ongoing throughout the year: hiip,,;://www.moDt-O( ,Ouinly.::: 10. Question: What is the County doing to consider Carrying Capacity? Response: Staff is preparing information regarding the progress made since the original carrying capacity study was performed. Additionally, the County is under contract with a consultant to provide an analysis of the infrastructure costs to accommodate additional development. 5098 11. Question: Will staff be hosting town hall meetings to allow for open public input regarding future ROGO allocations? Response: Three town halls are scheduled in the evening as follows: Monday, November 4 - 5:30 pm Key West: Harvey Government Center Wednesday, November 6 -5:30 pm Key Largo: Murray Nelson Government Center Thursday, November 7 - 5:30 pm Marathon Government Center 'Section 380.0552(9)(a)2.a.and Section 1013.40(4)(a), Florida Statutes 5099 0 0 u°a 40 E sID Y � � cta � N o cu r N s � �o (a C ua`)i * � a � � �o sera } u y v a% Oa s bcA s c E o Oa NCEEQ > �v EQU ti Cc '" a a8 ca a) qb LL J N cc N LS) m O O w as -�` as � O N 0 O a% al N —�j >. 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