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Resolution 296-1989 ". \ orrnp'" Planning Department ,7 Am :32 RESOLUTION NO. 296 -1989 : 1 t( . JUH 1 '1, l_ A RESOLUTION RATIFYING AND ADOPTING THE 1989 ANNUAL ASSESSMENT OF PUBLIC FACILITIES CAPACI- TY REPORT PREPARED BY THE DIRECTOR OF PLAN- NING PURSUANT TO SECTION 9.5-291, ET SEQ., MONROE COUNTY LAND DEVELOPMENT REGULATIONS; FURTHER IDENTIFYING THOSE AREAS WHICH MAY HAVE INADEQUATE SERVICE CAPACITY; MAKING SPECIFIC FINDINGS THAT ALREADY ALLOCATED DEVELOPMENT RIGHTS IN AREAS OF POTENTIALLY INADEQUATE CAPACITY SHOULD BE PERMITTED TO DEVELOP; AND IDENTIFYING FUNDING SOURCES; AND INSTRUCTING THE PLANNING DIRECTOR TO PREPARE A CONCURRENCY MANAGEMENT SYSTEM. WHEREAS, the Monroe County Land Development Regulations, Section 9.5-291, et seq., require that the Board of County Commissioners adopt an annual assessment of public facilities capacity each year; and WHEREAS, it is desired to accept the report prepared by the Planning Director; and WHEREAS, the report indicates the service areas which may have inadequate available capacity to serve residential and non- residential growth and development in the subsequent twelve months; and therefore, BE IT RESOLVED BY THE BOARD OF COUNTY COMMISSIONERS OF MONROE COUNTY, FLORIDA: Section 1. The annual assessment of public facilities capacity report, attached hereto and incorporated by reference, prepared by the Director of Planning dated February, 1989, is hereby approved pursuant to Section 9.5-291, et seq., Monroe County Land Development Regulations. Section 2. The Board hereby specifically finds that the County should consider alternative methods to provide for addi- tional capacity in the affected service area, and provide for rational permitting procedures, which will ensure that development approvals are conditioned so as to minimize the likelyhood of reaching inadequate facility levels of service, and would therefore be preferable to motatoria or to the permit allocation process which is presently dictated by the County's Comprehensive Land Use Plan, Vol. II, to-wit: a) Sec. 2-102(A)(3) which requires the County to "es- tablish a land use management system that promotes orderly and balanced growth in accordance with the capacity of avail- able and planned public facilities and services;" and b) Sec. 2-102(A)(4) which requires the County to "pro- vide for affordable housing in close proximity to places of employment in Monroe County;" and c) Sec. 2-102(A)(5) which requires the County to "es- tablish a land use management system that supports a diverse and sound economic base;" and d) Sec. 21-102(A)(6) which requires the County to "protect the constitutional rights of property owners to own, use and dispose of their real property;" and e) Sec. 2-109 which requires the County to preserve "existing community character;" f) Sec. 2-110(A)(1) which requires the County, inter alia, "To ensure that all development is served by adequate public facilities." Sed. 2-110(A)(2) "To ensure that public services are reason- ably available to all economic segments of Monroe County." g) Sec. 2-112 (B)(l) which requires the County, inter alia, "To limit the location and intensity of future growth and development to that level that can be reasonably support- ed by existing and planned public or private facilities which can be self supporting in an environmentally sound manner." "To equitably distribute the burden of implementing a growth management plan on the owners of all land." "To promote infill development through bonuses and incentives available through a discretionary review procedure." Section 4. The Board of County Commissioners, can discharge its responsibility under Section 9.5-292(b)(4), Monroe County Land Development Regulations (MCLDR), which requires the identification of the funding sources and method of providing the additional transportation capacity now neces- sary, by recommending the adoption of those measures which were previously outlined in the Monre County Growth Manage- ments Division report "Concurrency Strategy Alternatives" and which are deemed most desirable and consistent with the "Ade- quate Facilities Agreement" to be entered into between the Department of Community Affairs (DCA) and Monroe County. Section 5. The annual service capacity report indi- cates that projected growth within the subsequent twelve months could occur in the following areas which have inade- quate solid waste service capacity. a) All area north of life of the Key Largo three years. Section 6. The Board of County Commissioners, in discharge of its responsibility under Sec. 9.5-292(b)(4), Monroe County Landfill Development Regulations, which re- quires the identification of the funding sources and method of providing the additional solid waste capacity now neces- sary, hereby designates the following fundings sources and methods for the area of potentially inadequate service capaci- ty: MM 92.5 due to projected landfill of less than a) Area north MM 92.5 service by the Key Largo landfill. 1) Amend the MCLDR to allow landfill heights to exceed 35 feet with a maximum of 65 feet, subject to meeting strict recycling objectives. 2) Continue with implementation of the Solid Waste Management Program as adopted by the Board of County Commissioners facili- ties county-wide to relieve growth pres- sure on Key Largo by continuing with the near term acquisition plans for expansion on Long Key and Cudjoe Key and long term acquisition plans for composting, recy- cling and transfer sites in other areas, and at site(s) in Dade County. 3) Utilize revenues currently raised by the Municiple Service District (MSD) service charges and/or special assessments. 4) Creation of a surcharge on all solid waste service charges and/or special assessments. 5) Increase the solid waste impact fees. 6) Utilize the Monroe County Land Authority to accelerate the purchase of additional (the Authority) sites. The Authority will purchase the site{s) up front and then convey them to the County as County funds become available. 7) At the North Key Largo landfill site, move the existing communications tower to provide for an additional 2.5 acres of landfill capacity. Section 7. Pursuant to the requirements of Sec. 9.5-292 et seq. the Director of Planning is hereby directed to prepare and initiate a concurrency management system as described in the proposed "Settlement Agreement" between the Department of Community Affairs and the County. PASSED AND ADOPTED by the Board of County Commissioners of Monroe County, Florida, at a regular meeting of said Board held on the~day of /41'- ' A.D., 1989. BOARD OF COUNTY COMMISSIONERS OF MONROE COUNTY, FLORIDA By9~~~ Mayor/Chairman (SEAL) Attest:DANNY L. ~OLHAG~ ~. __...... _u.__.__ . ._ . ~~ ~~".1J!~ Clerk APPROVf AS TO FORM :,_u , ~rr k;jL,----- , $ 0Wic:e c M E M 0 RAN DUM To Board of County Commissioners From: Donald Craig, ACA for Growth Management Date: May 16, 1989 Re Ratification of 1989 Public Facilities Capacity Report - - - - - - - - - - - - - This memorandum requests the Board of County Commissioners to ratify the 1989 Public Facilities Capacity Report. Ratification of the report is required by Section 9.5-292 of the land development regulations and is the first step toward implementing a concurrency management plan. The Report Pursuant to Section 9.5-292 of the land development regulations, the Planning Department has prepared the 1989 Public Facilities Capacity Report. This report provides an assessment of the county's ability to meet demand for roads, solid waste disposal, potable water, and public schools in the Upper, Middle, and Lower Keys service areas. The report will be amended to incorporate comments by the DCA and the FDOT. The DCA has already reviewed the report; their comments are attached to this memo. County staff will meet with the FDOT on 5/18/89 to discuss traffic level of service grades. Determinations made at this meeting may lead to higher grades than those reported in the annual assessment. The Findings Like last year's report, the 1989 assessment identifies traffic and solid waste facilities as inadequate components of the county's infrastructure. Traffic flow in parts of both the Upper and Lower Keys service areas has slowed to levels below that required by county regulations. Traffic conditions in parts of all three service areas have deteriorated to the minimum levels allowed by county regulations. The county's solid waste facilities are similarly strained. The Upper Keys landfill fails to provide the minimum capacity required by county regulations. Both the Middle and Lower Keys landfills have less than five years of remaining capacity. 1 The Implications For development in those areas operating below level of service "0" traffic conditions or having less than 3 years solid waste capacity, the land development regulations impose a permit allocation procedure. Due to inadequate capacity at the Key Largo landfill, this situation applies to all areas north of mile marker 85. Due to inadequate levels of service for traffic, this situation also applies to portions of Cross Key, Windley Key, Islamorada, Big Pine Key, Big Coppitt Key, and Stock Island. For those areas operating at level of service "0" traffic conditions or having less than 5 years solid waste capacity, the land development regulations require an area of critical county concern (ACCC) designation. Due to inadequate capacity at the Long Key landfill, this situation applies to all areas between mile markers 42.5 and 92.5. Due to inadequate levels of service for traffic, this situation also applies to Tea Table, Knight Key, Summerland Key, Sugar loaf Key, and Saddlebunch Keys. An Alternative The concurrency management plan provides an alternative to the permit allocation procedure and ACCC designations required by the land development regulations. The county can implement a concurrency management plan county by entering into a 380.032 agreement with the DCA. This type of agreement offers the potential for greater flexibility and creativity when dealing with inadequate public facilities. The first step toward implementing a concurrency management plan is to ratify the 1989 Public Facilities Capacity Report. 2 DCA Comments 1. Page 7 - signalized intersections - LOS should reflect travel speeds and delays (HCM). 2. Secondary roads - LOS standard must be consistent with State standards or guidelines. Use the public works ranking system based on delay time ( See LOS criteria for local & collector streets). Code requires LOS D on secondary roads. 3. Big Pine Access road - not a viable alternative. 4. FDOT 5 year plan is this construction or engineering, and right of way? planning, 5. Solid waste page 8 (height) and proposed DER rule phasing schedule for closures. consider local land regulations on landfill closures. Include 6. Pages 13 and 14 - cite study. 7. Page 19 - commercial development - update to 1988 to include effects of land use plan. 8. Where are the FDOT counter locations? Give time, date, etc. 9. Review rural vs. urban, developed vs. undeveloped categories of LOS with FDOT. 10. Update counts (MM 79 - FDOT cited AADT of 17,000). 11. Use committed funding sources only. 12. Solutions should be based on existing land development regulations (ie. if parallel roads and frontage roads will be required then setback requirements must be strictly enforced). Solid Waste 1. Page 26 Landfill capacity needs to be updated. Capacity figures should reflect land development regulations (ie. height restrictions). 2. Capacity should be adjusted to reflect increased load at Long Key and Cudjoe due to Key Largo closure. FKAA 1. Page 31- What is methodology to project consumption? 3 f r f r r r ( [ l 1(,/ L l l l l l L 1. 1989 PUBLIC FACILITIES CAPACITY REPORT . rl L r f r f f I I I Ie l l L L ANNUAL ASSESSMENT OF PUBLIC FACILITIES CAPACITY MONROE COUNTY PLANNING DEPARTMENT CAPITAL IMPROVEMENTS DIVISION MARCH 1989 L c. 1 j r f( r r f I t l Ie L l l L L L l ANNUAL ASSESSMENT OF PUBLIC FACILITIES CAPACITY KARCH 1989 Table of Contents I. Introduction. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3 II. Findings. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . ~ . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7 III. Growth Analysis................................................ 10 IV. Transportation. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .. 20 V. Solid Waste Disposal Facilities................................ 26 VI. Potable Water Facilities....................................... 30 VII. Educational Facilities................................ . . . . . . . .. 33 Appendix. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . " 41 2 r f r r I { I t lc I I L I L l 1. INTRODUCTION This report is the annual assessment of public facilities capacity mandated by sections 9.5-291 and 9.5-292 of the Monroe County Land Development Regulations. These sections require the director of planning to submit to the Monroe Board of County Commissioners a report on the capacity of roads, solid waste disposal sites, the potable water supply, and schools in unincorporated Monroe County for each of the service areas shown in Figure I and listed below: A. Upper Keys - Unincorporated Monroe County north of the Whale Harbor Bridge; B. Middle Keys - Unincorporated Monroe County between the Seven' Mile Bridge and Whale Harbor Bridge; C. Lower Keys - Unincorporated Monroe County south and/or west of the Seven Mile Bridge. As further required, this report includes 12-month projections of residential and nonresidential growth and indicates by service area, where there is inadequate capacity to serve this growth. Section 9.5-291 requires that no building permit shall be issued after February 28, 1988, unless the propos~d use is or will be serviced by adequate public or private facilities. Section 9.5-29l(a) also requires: "After February 28, 1988, all development or land shall be served by adequate public facilities in accordance with the following standards: 1. Roads. a. U.S. 1 and County Road 905 within three miles of a parcel proposed for development shall have sufficient available capacity to operate at Level of Service D on an annual average at all intersections and/or roadway segments. b, All secondary roads to which traffic entering or leaving the development or use will have direct access shall have sufficient available capacity to operate at Level of Service D on an annual averag(,. c. All bridges along U. S. 1 within six: miles of the parcel proposed for development shall have sufficient available capacity to operate at Level of Service D on an annual average. 3 ,- I re- I f f I I J L I l( L l l l , L ( 2. Solid Waste. Sufficient capacity shall be available at a solid waste disposal site within twenty-five miles of the parcel proposed for development to accommodate all existing and approved development for a period of at least three years from the projected date of completion of the proposed development or use. 3. Potable Water. Sufficient potable water from an approved and permitted source shall be available to satisfy the projected water needs of the proposed development or Use. Approved and permitted sources shall include cisterns, wells, FKAA distribution systems, individual water condensation systems, and any other system which complies with the Florida standards for potable water. 4. Schools. Adequate school classroom capacity shall be available to accommodate all school age children to be generated by the proposed development or use. However, before development is limited, Section 9.5-292(4)(b) requires the Board of County Commissioners to consider this assessment and approve its findings with or without modifications. However, "In the event to Board acts to increase the development capacity of any service area, the Board shall make specific findings of fact as to the reasons for the increase, including the source of funds to be used to pay for the additional capacity required to serve additional development to be permitted during the next 12-month period." This report also identifies if capacity thresholds have been exceeded for roads or solid waste landfills pursuant to section 9.5-473.1 which states: "Areas the annual Concern: of Monroe County which meet the following criteria in report, shall be designated Areas of Critical County a. areas within twenty five miles of a solid waste site with a minimum expected life capacity of less than five years; b.. areas within three miles of any section of U.S. 1, State Road 905 or any secondary road which is operating at Level of Service D on a peak hour basis." Once a threshold area has been identified, the process to formally designate it an Area of Critical County Concern is outlined in section 9.5-473 and requires consideration by the Development Review Committee and Planning Commission. Ultimately, if the Board of County Commissioners does adopt the designation, section 9.5-473(c) requires the designation to include; 4 -( "specific findings regarding the purpose of the designation, the time schedule for the planning effort to be implemented, identification of the sources of funding for the planning and potential implementing mechanisms, delineation of a work program, a schedule for the work program and the appointment of an advisory committee, if appropriate." ~( I I I l... , \ 5 t f .. J f r f I f I f {( l I l, l L I - 1~~...." '~" . , '.., ,.J ~ .. ~:.. ':'.., ..~ I' "- '? 0 .:-,:......--... .~. '" .. '< ,....' ,,~, -..... " 7, ":"\l ~~~""" :.'0 L......." J' '>.-. :'~-' ~:.s..''''''''\ '. . ~ '~~~:.y ~ ~j" J' \\-f ;'.;";;::: -<1'''''", .~.~~ /. '(~ ~ "'~.(' ~ ~'" ,?' .' 0" ':'~'" .~.... ~.. . ,...,/ I .3 ,., .;?.:: '\. '-\... )- '.. " ~ .......~~ ' ... l . .... .~~" \J '~~....:........ ~ ~.~.",--p ". ~ "h'\ ~ '\l. ~ ........, ~ ~~ f- 'I "" ", ... ""t.. \ j~. ';".ps-..'.. " ',,- '-..('\ c:'~" '-''''''' _ , '~ ); - -. l'. ~. ~ ~. 1 ~. -. ~ ~ . ; '.. I \ .. Cl ~ ~ \. ~.. ( ( I .......- ....- ....- ..... ~ ~ ~ o z 0( ....J ~ 0( ::I ~ i::: ~ 'It ~ "t 0( o a: o ....J ... . . \~\ \\.\ ~ "\1\ 'Y:\ \. ~ ~~ ~ '6 ~ ~.~ ~ ~ ;;v _ b _ 1- -:::: \ ... - .~ - '. \ ~\ :.,\ '~' "~!!"'" \ (j/(f .1.-7" - 07.~.:. v-r~" <? .~ /:~ .%'C".~ , \\ ~G/~~~ , II ~l:;n. . . j ':~4~~~J I 11\ ' ~.t-:-:....~ 'r ~ .. '~.~./. ....I'ri.c. r ~ " .d:.I....~';- _ ::. ---.....,. ~~ ". . ~. ~ r fft\\ ~ : .J' ,t...Q~2(~ I ~ " ,,~ \ n\~~7~i i ~. ' \ {l1f'W,f1a ,,\~ "'.; ..'..~~k: :"" ,'H~~I "to-. . " ,T......,.,,~~ J -" .' t<:l-:r I . '~:. . \~~ ~ .. ....,.~::! ': en I- 0 - en 0: >- f- w en ~ Q - ~ - c ~ ::t W <1: <( ~ 0 a: - w "- :J 0:: 0: ~ " 0 <t: \:l --1 - LL U. W w 0 - :r: > .- 0:. W en - 6 - .. z r .L .. "- .. ., z ~ :. .: s ~ .:; :! :( II. Findings ;- Growth The county has issued permits for approximately 1,200 new dwelling units each year since 1980. The majority of these units have been in the upper keys. Many of the dwellings may only be occupied on a part time basis. Nevertheless, the demand for public facilities is expanding and the part time occupancy of new dwelling units may result in an adverse demand for services at peak times. Transportation The traffic on U.S. 111, Stock Island, Big Coppitt Key, Big Pine Key, Islamorada, Windley Key, and Cross Key exceed the adequacy standard of section 9.5-292 (figure II), consequently, Monroe County and the Florida Department of Transportation must act immediately to rectify this deficiency. In addition, these areas pursuant to section 9.5-473 may be designated Areas of Critical County Concern. All the remaining two lane segments of U. S. 111, with the exception of Duc Key and Craig Keys are operating at level of service "0". Therefore, pursuant to Sectin 9.5-473(c), chese areas may also need to be designated as Areas of Critical County Concern. ~( At the unsignalized intersections of U.S. 1, the side street movements are severely hindered at the east end of Plantation Key and Marathon and thus are suspected to operate below the adequacy standard. Therefore, these areas may also become Areas of Critical County Concern. All the signalized intersections, except on Stock Island, adequately handle through and side street traffic although at the sacrifice of average travel speed. Monroe County's secondary roads have sufficient capacity to handle growth for many years. It is recommended the criteria for secondary roads be changed to incorporate the point system established by the public works department to rank the condition of roads. The Florida Department of Transportation is the primary agency responsible for U.S. 1. As such, they have taken the first step of expanding capacity by already beginning an expansion in Plantation Key and placing in their tentative Five Year Construction Plan, the addition of two lanes to all of the existing two lane highway segments. However, these last~rojects are as of yet unfunded. The county has also began to improve the level of service on U.S. 1 on Big Pine Key by acquiring the easements for the Big Pine Key arterial access road. In ordinance 1128-1985 the Board of County Commissioners identified the fifth and sixth cent local option gas tax to fund this project and the county is seeking assistanc~ from FDOT. The sources of funds able to be used to pay for the additional capacity required to serve additional development to be permitted during the next 12-month period includes the traditional funding of the FDOT as the lead agency responsible for U.S. 1. 7 r c-( I f f I f f I L( L L l L The Consolidated Primary Aid System Funds are the most appropriate funds available to FDOT for improvements to U.S. 1 capacity. Additional funds are available from Monroe County and include gas tax revenues and impact fees. Potable Water. The FKAA has undertaken sufficient measures to ensure that the Keys will have the potable water necessary to serve both the existing population and the growth expected over the next year in all of the service districts. These improvements are funded by a system development charge to new customers and a surcharge on water sales. Solid Waste. The landfills in the middle and upper keys have less than five years of capacity and thus should be considered for Areas of Critical County Concern. In addition, the upper keys landfill does not have the minimum capacity required by the county. However, the Municipal Service District is currently seeking permits to expand the capacity in the upper keys and the firm of Hazen and Sawyer is developing specific actions the county can take. The county can fund increases in capacity necessary to serve development permitted during the next l2-month period ~ith service charges, tipping fees, ad valorum taxes and impact fee. Schools. The schools of Monroe County have sufficient capacity of the next year; however, if the current grow~h trend continues, the upper and middle keys will soon be deficient in school capacity unless the planned construction is completed. The Lower Keys have excess capacity available for the coming year. A few of these schools are approaching capacity. 8 '" ~~"', " . ~~~~ en .' ~. .. :'l.. .,I..c..;~ ~ c( .. '-, -- -'-( .~"'.~~ 'U/ ~ \ r .;;:=:' ""'-:-.. ~~ ~.~ .t? ~,,)~ - I <l~ ~. ~ ". d- ~ " ~ " ~~ 0'0. ~ >- '" ~ ... "\,,,,,\,, ,.. W J- .:>"* 40.., \:!;,...~,.... W (3 f)". ,. ,.~~ a: , . ~T _ ~ . c( t , ~ .~,~ o 0- ; ~~qy... ..~... \.~ ::... - ~", ~. ,~ J: ~ .~ '\l "' ~ .... '0 _ ~" ~ 0 1~1>.,'~ ...,~.~ ~~, u. _ J- "-, ./ _ .' \ ;:: 0 ffi ~ _: , .' ~; ~ ~ I t'"f7.".' .~ .'\\ 'C U. ... C U. ~ . ca ::l ~ 'Q >- en g '" z ... W ~ en en o a: o J f f f f I I f l Ie L t l l l L I L en >- w ~ - - W <( 0 a: - 0:: => 0 Cl ..J - l.L u... W I t- '\ en ~ z <( ~ ... W a: : a: :!i <( '1 0: c( >- :c a J- ~ .. <( - ... 0 z a: a <( u 0 0- w '-' :E <( a: z '-' c( 0 :> -I f- en --z 'Co~ C 0 ra - >- U. U. W ::J ~ ~ en ~ \.) >- Z l:) W \.) -I ~ a ~ z "t ~ - "t ~ \ >- J- - U <C 0... en <c <C. U ~ C <C <C 't-O Uoa: - u. f- u... Z <C w a: _ f- U - u... u. :::> en z ~ ~ ~ ~ l<. ~ ~ J- J- w- Za.. _a.. 0..0 ~U -G m_ Ol - - 9 - \~~\ \~ ~ II' .......\ ~ . '~~i\ 'j,. '1',-.\ ~\\ !. ") \:~; 00 c,<~.. .,.- - ""., ~ ~ '{. -' \~ - -' '- -... ..... "'-,". -' -' -' <I'l ~ ~ ~ ... c( W ex: c( a ~ u o I- en I I f f f I f I f l( l l L l L L I I '- l III. GROWTII ANALYSIS A. Introduction Monroe County has a recent history, like most of Florida, of rapid change in its population. The immigration from the north is well noted and has provided the majority of this change. An additional factor is the effect of the military population which has decreased substantially over the past decade. In Monroe County the population demanding public services is composed of several distinct groups. Permanent residents live the entire year in the county and exert fairly constant demand for services. Nonpermanent or seasonal residents consist of people residing in their own second home and stay up to six months at a time or visit only on weekends. This nonresident population can contribute to a large peak in demand for services. Finally, tourists also reside in the keys on a short term basis, but cumulatively add to the overall population. Tourists also add to a peak demand of services. As the overall population grows, commercial development also grows. If this occurs in existing commercial areas, the demand for facilities can be managed. However, congestion may overwhelm capacity such as on roads. B. Buildin~ Permits A general indication of growth is available by reviewing the number of building permits issued. It should be realized not all permitted dwelling units occupied by permanent residents. Nevertheless, as indicated in Table III-I, there have been approximately 1,200 dwelling units permitted each year with the majority occurring in the upper keys. 10 r f r r f I I l lc I L L I j L Table III-1 New Residences ,by Planning Office for 1980-1988 Year Lower Keys Middle Keys Upper Keys Total ------------------------------------------------------------------ 1988 388 226 347 961 1987 387 80 220 687 1986 533 246 849 1628 1985 524 158 577 1259 1984 293 157 326 776 1983 227 159 849 1235 1982 199 177 467 843 1981 357 444 1029 1830 1980 384 223 813 1420 ------------------------------------------------------------------ Total 3292 1870 5477 10639 ------------------------------------------------------------------ Average 365 207 608 1182 ------------------------------------------------------------------ Source: Monroe County Planning Department C. Resident Population 1. Existing Population The existing resident population of the Keys (excluding the City of Key West) has been estimated at 45, 839 for 1989, to increase to 45,633 by 1990. See Table 111-2 for the breakdown of this population by geographic area (Figures III-I, 111-2, & 111-3). The model used here to project growth relies upon historical patterns of growth in a planning area and the opportunity for additio~al movement into the area, along with the natural change of the population, to predict the expected population for each forecast zone. This model does not attempt to project the military population, and the areas in which it exists have been projected to have no change in population. The model was developed specifically for Monroe County by Professor James Hatchett, a faculty member of the U.liversity of Florida's Urban and Regional Planning Program. Using the 1970 U.S. Census of populat.ion for each forecast area, aging it through to 1980 by the application of standard mortality rates, and allowing for natural increase through the inclusion of births derived from the number of women of child-bearing age, an anticipated population in 1980 devoid of outside influence is obtained. A comparison of this hypothesized population to the actual 1980 population from the U.S. Census for each forecast area provides the migration factor. 11 ,-( I . lC_ L L L L L L il Applying the natural factors of change to the 1980 population and then including the migration element provides a population projection for each forecast area. The rate of migration is adjusted over time to reflect the decreasing area available for development in the county. The adjustment for reduced developable area is made by tabulating the number of vacant lots in each forecast area and filling them based upon existing density levels. 2. 12 - Month Population Projection The resident population of the Keys is expected to increase by 684 over the next year, a 1.5% increase over one year. See Table 111-2 for a detailed breakdown of this growth allocated by planning area. 12 :( ! PAED 1 7. f { PAED 2 7. PAED 3 7. PAED 4 7. PAED 5 f 7. PAED 6 7. ; , t L PAED 7 7. PAED 8 7. PAED 9 7. PAED 10 l( 7. PAED 11 7. PAED12 7. PAED 13 7. PAED 14 7. PAED 15 L 7. PAED 16 7. PAED 17 7. PAED 18 7. PAED 19 MONROE COUNTY PROJECTED POPULATION 1985 TO 2005 By combined county planning area and the 1980. census enumeration district 1980 4444 11.2 ?Q'? _.0_ 7.5 1535 3.9 2398 6.0 2343 5.9 0.2 7559 19.0 97? '- 2.4 785 2.0 414 1.0 1127 2.8 561 1.4 1440 3.6 2933 7.4 1831 4.6 1212 3.0 1798 4'.5 1962 4.9 653 7. 1.6 PAED 20 1831 7. 4.6 PAED 21 648 i. 1.6 PAED 22 221 7. 0.6 Total 39695 Seasonal Ma;dmum 31496 * 1985 4874 11.3 2962 6.9 1785 4.1 2686 6.2 66 2751 6.4 66 0.1 8047 18.7 1013 1986 4944 11.3 2962 6.8 1840 4.2 2739 2849 6.5 66 0.1 8147 18.6 1020 ~ ..,.. .::.~ 0'- .00.:> 2.2 481 1. 1 1182 2.7 639 1.4 1511 ~ I::" .....~ ~~~..., ....:J_.....;,..,4 7.6 2030' 4.6 1328 3.0 2013 4.6 2053 4.7 735 1.7 1980 4.5 754 1.7 221 0.5 43789 38716 6 ? .- 1987 5015 11.3 2962 6.7 1895 4.3 2792 6.3 2948 6.6 66 0.1 8247 18.5 1027 1988 5086 11.3 2962 6.5 1950 2845 6.3 3047 6.7 66 0.1 8348 18.5 1034 ..... ..,.. ...:...,j 1029 ..... ..,.. ..::..~ 501 1.1 1191 2.6 670 1.5 1537 3.4 3472 7.7 2096 4.6 1363 3.0 2091 4.6 2081 4.6 764 1.7 2027 4.5 775 1.7 221 0.5 45156 41474 4.3 1989 5157 11.2 2962 6.5 2005 4.4 2898 6.3 3146 6.9 66 0.1 8448 18.4 1041 1990 5228 11.2 2962 6.4 2061 4.4 2951 6.3 3245 7.0 66 0.1 8549 18.4 1048 ..., ..., ~...:.. 1096 2.4 522 1.1 1200 2.6 702 1.5 1564 3.4 3613 7.8 2163 4.6 1398 3.0 2169 4.7 2110 4.5 793 1.7 2075 4.5 797 1.7 221 0.5 46533 43829 1995 5461 11.0 2962 6.0 2349 4.7 3170 6.4 3816 7..7 66 0.1 9002 18.1 1086 2.2 1261 ..... = ~.-J 561 1.1 1220 ..... = ...:...~ 796 1.6 1609 "'!' ..., ~.""- 3948 7.9 2307 4.6 1474 3.0 2354 4.7 2187 4.4 871 1.7 2176 4.4 813 1.6 221 0.4 49710 49733 2000 5594 10.6 2962 5.6 2633 5.0 3399 6.4 4449 8.4 66 0.1 9379 17.8 1115 2.1 1438 2.7 615 1.2 1240 2.4 885 1.7 1638 3.1 4276 8.1 2422 4.6 1540 2.9 2529 4.8 2288 4.3 957 1.8 2266 4.3 824 1.6 '221 0.4 52736 55449 The /. indicates each PAED~s percentage of the total population .., .,.. .:.. ~. 9:C:(1 2.1 471 1.1 1178 .., - ..::../ 624 1.4 1498 3.5 3262 7.6 1997 4.6 1311 3.0 1975 4.6 2039 4.7 721 1.7 1957 4.5 744 1.7 221 0.5 43112 37407 ..... '7' ..::..~ 996 2.2 491 1.1 1186 2.7 655 1.5 1524 3.4 3402 7.6 2063 4.6 1345 3.0 2052 4.6 2067 4.6 749 1.7 2004 4.5 765 1.7 221 0.5 44472 40071 wl~" L. ~. 1062 ..., , ........ -..J 511 1.1 1195 2.6 686 1.5 1550 3.4 3542 7.7 2129 4.6 1380 3.0 2130 4.6 2095 4.6 778 1.7 2051 4.5 786 1.7 221 '0.5 45839 " 42635 2005 5648 10.1 2962 I::" ..,. ~.,j 2930 5.2 3636 6.5 5155 9.2 66 0.1 9690 17.4 1157 - 2.1 1636 2.9 676 1.2 1263 ..., ..,. .....~ 930 1.7 1650 3.0 4609 8.3 2525 4.5 1600 2.9 2707 4.8 2404 4.3 1061 1.9 2349 4.2 839 1.5 221 0.4 55714 61823 f f f f I I I l 1(. L l l L L L -- !' , Table 1II-2 Resident Population by Geo~raphic Area Forecast Planning Population Area Areas* 1987 1988 1989 1990 ------------------------------------------------------------------ 1 2,3 5,015 5,086 5,157 2 4,5,6,7 2,962 2,962 2,962 3 8,9,10 1,895 1,950 2,005 4 11,12,13,14 15,16,20 2,792 2,845 2,898 5 17,18,19 2,948 3,047 3,146 6 21 66 66 66 ------------------------------------------------------------------ Lower Keys Subtotal 15,678 15,956 16,234 7 22,23 8,247 8,348 8,448 8 25 1,027 1,034 1,041 9 26 996 1,029 1,062 10 27 491 501 511 11 28 1,186 1,191 1,195 12 29,31 655 670 686 13 30 1,524 1,537 1,550 ------------------------------------------------------------------ Middle Keys Subtotal 14,126 14,310 14,493 14 32 3,402 3,472 3,542 15 33 2,063 2,096 2,126 16 34 1,345 1,363 1,380 17 35 2,052 2,09] 2,130 18 36 2,067 2,081 2,095 19 37 749 764 778 20 38 2,004 2,027 2,051 21 39,40,41,42 765 775 786 22 43 221 221 221 ------------------------------------------------------------------ Upper Keys Subtotal 14,668 14,890 15,112 TOTAL 44, 472 45,156 45,839 *Exc1udes City of Key West 14 \?J' .. ! Z r ~ J' II >-~ ~ ..... Z II f ~~ :l <( i DOa. 11 a.u~ ~ i i UIlI -9 . 1 ~OCJ ~ . ~ .~ IIZ 11 I Z - f o Z ~ ~~ ~' .J " a. ------- --- --- f I ~! 1 c1)! ~ ! , ~ a I >- I III :t ~ :l! {r en u ~ :J :> 0 t w ~ l:I .J 0 ... ,-l II ... I:J .J l( 5 0 H ... H 0 H ... oJ III f>;l III L r::o:: w ~ :;:l I I t:l ~ I{;:J ~ >- H I- III ~ -:~ f= I~ :l! 1# 9i L f~ I~ ~ ~ ?~ f I ~ 0 I II I~ IL I~ ~ . I~ L ~ I / . I ... I ~ III i fIT I I l , '" N i f ~ : t; CI) L I ~ I I I Q::1'i) I ~'t.... j I I C . C\J.' . (!)- <....... ~l!.j <~ ~. "'{CI) -J Q IS' i f If f f f I I [ N H I( H .... W 0:: ;J 0 L H ~ l l l L L L I i\ .. . c:..'. --~-:V' : C::;. , ~ t'l" C\J CI) ~ Q:N') "1:__ 01 I <.!)<\JI ~f-' ~~i oq:::tl -JC/) r! .. > ~ I .... za J ct' I o 0 a. . D. u ~ I Uw ~OCl II ~ I z z o z : ~ ct' ' ~ I ~ ~ . ~~I I~"'~i I ' I Hi W I Cl . ~ I ~ i I W II ~ W 3 W 0 .J oJ i 00: a .. I' ~ > ~ I W I :r f.D I ... ~ I ~ I ; j ~ I ~ ~ C) ;;: ~ ~ C) i;! :s on 1 - 16 .. z f IU )-~ .... Za: f( :J~ ooa. a.U~ u ~ III I!! Oz a_ zz f Oz ~ ~ ~ a. "Z. f <l. " u.l. .1 u 0 i (j:! f ..'" ...; I ! 0 ~ "Z. I <l. ~ ~ )- w ll: I 0 .. ~ ~ UJ 0 > ~ ~ [ W a. r""l ~ 0 .. [[ ID H W lC H III H a. ~ .... a. :J ~ "" :J u P:: "" ::> <t III t.:) ~ .. l H W ~ ~ l: ~ I- II IU a. l a. :J f~ ~ 1 0 L j a '>- IL <l tn ~ on Q) L I '" -.. Cf) <l L5 Q I a:. I ~ a:f'() L \A., ~'O ! (!)f'() . 0 C); ~tu fo i ~w ~i ~~ ct 0 r0 I? - j f ~( I f f i I I I lC t t l l l L L Ll D. Seasonal Population 1. Existing Tourism Tourists in Monroe County arrive primar.:.ly by car and by air, and to a lesser degree by cruise ship. As reported by the Florida Department of Commerce, Division of Tourism, there has been a steady rise in the total number of out-of-state visitors from 381,078 in 1982 to 457,469 in 1984. This increase has been variously attributed to the increased cost of vacationing overseas, the low cost of gasoline, the concern for safety in other countries, and numerous other factors. There is no doubt that the Keys have become a growing second home and vacation spot for the Miami/Ft. Lauderdale metropolitan area. An estimate of the seasonal population of the Keys has been made based on figures provided by Hammer, Siler, George and Associates in Volume I of the Monroe County Plan. The seasonal population for the entire Keys was estimated to be almost 42,000 for 1987, rising to nearly 43,500 by the end of 1988 (see Table III -2 below). This seasonal population is in the Keys for less than the full year, although exact data are unavailable. Table III-3 Seasonal Population by Geo~raphic Area Area Population 1988 1989 1987 ----------------------------------------------------------------- Lower Keys Middle Keys Upper Keys 15,117 13,437 13,437 15,646 13,908 13,908 16,194 14,395 14,395 ----------------------------------------------------------------- Total 41,991 43,462 44,983 Note: Seasonal population estimated by Hammer, Siler, George and Associates to increase by 3.5% annually. Geographic breakdown based on percent of resident population living in each area. 2. 12 - Month Projection Season&l population growth over the next year is expected to by 3.5% based on the projection prepared by Hammer, Siler, George and Associates during the preparation of the Monroe County Comprehensive Plan. This implies that the seasonal population of Monroe County will increase from 43,462 in 1988 to 44,983 in 1989, a total of 1,521 new seasonal visitors. Currently, growth of the seasonal population of the Keys is greater than that of the resident populat.ion, which has average 1. 5% growth annually over the past several years. 18 j f f f f f f f I LC l l l L E. Commercial Development 1. Existing Commercial" Developments From 1982 to 1986, commercial development has occurred in a fashion consistent with the market demand for space in the Keys (see Table 111-4 below). On the average, approximately 280,000 square feet of commercial space have been developed each year since 1982. Table III-4 Commercial Development Since 1982* 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986** ------------------------------------------------------------------- Sq. Ft. of Space (x1,OOO) 114.4 419.5 253.0 270.3 355.7 *Note: Square footage derived from historic permit fees, not actual measured extent of development. **Estimate based on development from January through July. 2. 12 - Month Projection of Commercial Square Footage The expected level of commercial development over the next year is based on past trends since no more accurate study has been completed. Using the five years as a basis for 1989, it appears that about 280,000 square feet of new commercial space will be developed throughout the Keys. Of this figure, approximately 140,000 square feet can be expected in the Upper Keys, and 70,000 square feet can be expected in both the Middle and Lower Keys. It should be noted ~hat this is a summary figure and is not broken down into individual commercial uses such as restaurants, shopping centers or offices. E. Conclusions In conclusion, the projections indicate that Monroe County will continue to increase in population. This growth will cause increased demand for. infrastructure and services in the rural areas of the county where these new arrivals are locating. 19 I r r-( I f f f I I I tc L l l l IV. TRANSPORTATION FACILITIES The purpose of this section is to identify deficiencies in the road network of unincorporated Monroe County. This is done by proj ecting traffic increases, describing the existing system and planned improvements under construction, determining the capacity after the improvements are made, and comparing the projected traffic with the capacity. A. Traffic Increases As detailed in the growth analysis section of this report, there will be additional permanent and seasonal residents, tourists, and commercial businesses adding traffic to the road system. Each new occupied dwelling will generate nearly ten new trips per day, a hotel room four to ten trips per day and retailing a range of approximately ten to several hundred trips per day per one thousand square feet of gross floor area. It is reasonable to assume the overall growth will add traffic to U. S. 1. However" it is difficult to precisely estimate a general impact and even more difficult to estimate local impacts. For instance, some fill retail development may actually, shorten existing trip, and thus reduce traffic at some locations. This may explain why as indicated in Table 1, the changes in traffic flows has not been consistent from year to year, or location to location. In fact some places have remained fairly stable while traffic at other locations has decreased or increased. Finally without a calibrated traffic model, it is beyond the scope of this report to make detailed traffic projections. Therefore, the existing traffic conditions are reviewed and the existing level of service is established. B. U.S. 1 Roadway Segments and Bridges 1. Current Construction The Florida Department of Transportation (FDOT) is currently adding through lanes to U.S. 1 on Plantation Key and Harathon. The Department has also added a turning lane on Windley Key. L 2. Capacity Determination and Projected Deficiencies L L , ~, , ! Table IV-l shows the historical Annual Average Daily Trips (AADT) as established by FDOT at various count stations on U.S. 1. Table IV-2 also shows the highway capacities for level~ of service C and D and E as established in the generalized daily level of service tables prepared by the FDOT. As shown in this table, U.S. 1 on Stock Island, Big Coppitt, Big Pine, Islamorada, Windley Key, and Cross Key all operate below level of 20 I i -C' I i i r i ! r r l l( I i ! L L L I L '- i \ service D. In addition, all the two long segments of U.S. 1, except on Duck Key and Craig Key, operate at level of service D. The remaining roadway segments operate at acceptable levels of service. The bridges on U.S. 1 generally operate at the same level of service as the approaching roadway segments with the exception of the 4 lane Bahia Honda Bridge. Finally, the Jewfish and Snake Creek drawbridges operate below the level of service of the approaching roadway segments and recently have been stuck such that traffic flow is seriously hindered. C. U.S. 1 Intersections 1. Existing Facilities and Service Levels There are approximately 340 intersections on U.S. 1 indicated on the Straight Line Diagrams prepared by the Florida Department of Transportation. Eight of these intersections have traffic signals (Table IV-2). These traffic signals facilitate cross traffic and allow local traffic to enter and exit U.S. 1 by controlling through traffic. The effect of these signals has been factored into the capacity of the U.S. 1 approaches At unsignalized intersections cross traffic must wait for breaks in through traffic, and hinder through traffic because of the slower speeds of vehicles entering and exiting U.S. 1. 21 TABLE IV-1 U.S. 1 CAPACITY ANALYSIS 1988 ( 24 HR. 2-WAY 1988 NO. CAPACITY (2) LEVEL THROUGH AADT (1) OF STATION KEY HK LANES 1985 1986 1987 1988 LOSC LOS D LOS E SERVICE R165 STOCK ISLAND 4.1 4 31,075 33,442 20,100 30,200 33,200 ElF 9 BOCA CHIC! 5.9 4 18,037 18,058 19,748 19,996 30,900 38,000 47,500 B 10 BIG COPPITT 9.7 2 12,904 13,679 10,352 15,856 7,500 12,300 23,300 E 106 SADDLEBUNCH 11.6 2 8,748 10,542 9,167 11 ,041 9,400 15,000 24,200 D 107 SUGARLOAF 16.4 2 8,051 NA 11,042 10,392 9,400 15,000 24,200 D 108 SWDIERLAND 23.6 2 8,426 NA 11,400 10,346 7,500 12,300 23,000 D 109 BIG PINE 29.4 2 9,504 11,404 9,557 11,948 7,500 11 , 300 15,100 E 16 NEWFOUHD KEY 32.4 2 7,031 11,959 12,556 9,400 15,000 24,200 D 66 KNIGHT KEY 46.9 2 6,390 7,853 10,310 8,499 7,500 12,300 23,000 D 110 HARATHON 48.1 4 18,979 18,668 18,604 19,318 26,400 27,920 29,360 A 45 CRAWL KEY 52.9 4 15,948 17,706 17,344 20,100 30,200 33,200 C 111 DOCK KEY 60.6 2 5,150 8,428 9,003 8,935 9,400 15,000 24,200 C 65 CRAIG KEY 71.4 2 6,783 8,230 8,441 7,635 9,400 15,000 24,200 C 43 TEA TABLE 78.0 2 8,252 11,486 9,765 9,400 15,000 24,200 D -C 63 ISLAHORADA 2 AVERAGE OF TEATABLE/WINDLEY 14,207 7,500 11,300 15,100 E 101 WINDLEY 85.4 2 12,601 15,609 16,618 18,648 7,500 12,300 23,300 E 102 PLANTATION 90.4 2 17,578 21,270 21,993 24,441 7,500 11 , 300 15,100 F AFTER EXPANSION WITH 2 MORE LANES 25,100 27,400 30,300 C 62 TAVERNIER 92.3 4 17,141 26,662 19,416 26,400 28,800 31,900 C 64 KEY LARGO 95.4 4 16,119 19,543 22,187 19,971 26,400 28,800 31,900 B 94 KEY LARGO 101. 4 4 26,088 17,970 21,482 26,400 28,800 31,900 B R164 KEY LARGO 105.7 4 18,714 18,710 26,400 28,800 31,900 B 1 CROSS KEY 107.2 2 10,546 13,100 15,346 13,039 7,500 12,300 23,300 E 32 KEY LARGO 4 13,404 16,017 17,248 NA 2 H KEY LARGO 2 2,351 2,090 2,361 2,387 7,500 12,300 23,300 B ===============================================================================================================:= (1) Florida Department of Transportation, District 6 (2) Florida Department of Transportation, Bureau of Multi-Modal Systems Planning, Generalized Level of Service Tables, January, 1989 -,;{ j, - -( PAGEq 23 HAS BEEN OMITTED. -C \--- r f r f I { l l( I L. L L L L I '-- lH Information on congested intersections was obtained from representatives of the Monroe County Sheriff's Department, the Florida Highway Patrol and field staff of the Planning Department. The most congested intersections were the entrance to Key West and the intersection with Junior College Road, Sombrerro Beach Road in Marathon, the entrance to Key Colony beach and the general area at the east end of Plantation Key. In addition, on Marathon, several pedestrians have been injured attempting to cross the highway. 2. Deficiencies of U.S. 1 Intersections No deficiencies for through traffic on U. S. 1 due to unsignalized intersections have been identified. However, it is not clear what the level of service is for the side street traffic, but clearly, at congested, two-lane segments of U.S. 1, the side road traffic experiences long delays. At the intersections with traffic lights there are no deficiencies for side street traffic. However, the presence of traffic signals generally indicates that, the highway is functioning less as a rural highway and more as an urban arterial. Consequently, the acceptable average running speed is less. D. Secondary Roads 1. Existing Road Network The secondary road network covered in this report includes all public roads other than U.s. 1 in unincorporated Monroe County. Although extensive traffic counts have not been made all indication are that the roads have very low traffic volumes due to small service area and consequently are expected to operate well above Level of Service D. In future reports perhaps the, appropriate criteria for these roads should relate to whether they are in condition to carry traffic safely at acceptable speeds, not solely the volume of vehicles. In 1983, the public works department and county engineer prepared an inventory of the county's roads with an evaluation of the condition of each road ("Monroe County Road System Inventory and Analysis Report of Priority Roadways"). According to this system, each road is rated on a point basis. A score of 75 to 99 points will indicate a fair to poor condition and a score of 100 to 160 will indicate a very poor condition. This evaluation has now been updated and is a basis for the Seven Year Capital Improvements Plans being prepared by the public works department. 2. Deficiencies in the Secondary Road Network Although there are few traffic counts for the secondary road system, these roads are expected to operate at Level of Service C or better. 24 ( It is recommended the criteria of the annual assessment of capacities by revised to incorporate this point system and the planning department work with the public works department and county engineer to establish the minimal requirements for various sizes of roads. E. Transportation Solutions and Fundin~ Sources The FDOT plans to increase the capacity of u.S. 1 by the addition of extra lanes as identified in the FDOT Five Years Construction Plan (Table IV-3). However, these improvements are not yet funded. In addition, the cross Big Pine key arterial access road is expected to remove 3,300 vehicles from U.S. 1 (Monroe County Board of County Commissioners Resolution 026-1986). This would improve the level of service on U.S. 1. The county has already determined to fund this with proceeds from the fifth and sixth cent local option gas tax and seek funds from the State of Florida Local Government Cooperative Assistance Program. Similarly, the level of service on other keys such as Big Coppitt Key, Cudjoe Key, Summerland Key and Lower Matecumbe Key can also be improved by constructing roads parallel to U.S. 1 to handle local traffic. ( In order to determine the most appropriate improvements, the Planning Department will soon work with the county engineers, Post, Buckley, Schuh and Jernigan, Inc. or other traffic consultants and the FDOT to develop a traffic model of the county. This model also will allow a full review of proposed development or changes to the Land Use District Maps. This work will be funded by a grant from the Department of Community Affairs. In addition, the FDOT Highway Planning and Research Program has $100,000 available for planning in Monroe County. In conclusion, U.S. 1 can be expanded or traffic on U.S. 1 reduced by new roads. These projects can be funded by the FDOT with Consolidated Primary Federal Aid System Funds, the State of Florida Local Government Cooperative Assistance Program, local gas tax revenues and local impact fees. 25 r r( r r I I l lC l L L L L L L : (~. V. SOLID WASTE DISPOSAL FACILITIES A. Current Operations There are currently three landfills operating within Monroe County, corresponding to the Lower, Middle and Upper Keys -- Cudjoe Key, Long Key and Key Largo. Collection services are provided by franchise agreement to all areas of the county. After separation of non-combustibles, solid waste is incinerated at each site and the ash is used as cover in the landfills. Both the Key Largo and the Long Key sites are nearing their capacity, and a major, state-funded feasibility and design study by the firm of Hazen and Sawyer is underway to examine the alternatives for replacement sites or technology. The facilities and capacities of the existing three sites is shown on Table V-I below. TABLE V-I Solid Waste Facilities in Monroe County Key Largo (Upper) 3 Incinerators @ 37.5 tons per day = 112.5 tons per day 1 Air Curtain Destructor = 10.0 tons per hour Landfill with 60,000 cubic yards of remaining capacity. Long Key (Middle) 1 Brush and wood crusher 3 Incinerators @ 37.5 tons 1 Air Curtain Destructor = Landfill with 104,000 cubic yards of per day = 112.5 tons per day 10.0 tons per hour remaining capacity. Cudjoe Key (Lower) 2 Incinerators @ 37.5 tons per day = 300.0 tons per day Landfill with 40,000 cubic yards of remaining capacity or 320,000 cubic yards after current expansion. Air Curtain Destructor under construction. TOTAL 8 Incinerators @ 37.5 tons per day = 300.0 tons per day 2 Air Curtain Destructors = 20.0 tons per hour 3 Landfills with a total of 204,000 cubic yards of remaining capacity or 484,000 cubic yards after current expansion. ----------------- Source: Hazen and Sawyer ct. al. Site Screenigg Report, August 1987. B. Existin~ and Proiected Demand Historically the amount of solid waste processed at each landfill has gradually increased. Table V-2 shows the amounts processed at each landfill and the projected demand for the year 2000. As can be seen by comparing the existing capacities from THble V-I with the projected 26 ~(' demand, the county has sufficient solid waste processing capacity to handle the demand till beyond the year 2000. Table V-2 Historic and Proiected Solid Waste GE'neration (tons per day) Year Key Largo Long Key Cudjoe Key 1981 48.8 74.3 41.5 1982 64.2 73.0 33.8 1983 83.4 79.7 39.3 1984 79.5 78.9 40.6 1985 78.3 79.2 43.7 1986 83.2 86.6 56.8 2000 102.8 102.8 65.2 Capacity 122.5 122.5 75.0 ------------ Source: Hazen and Sawyer et. a!. Site Screenin~ Report, August 1987. Monroe County Planning Department However, after the solid waste is processed in the incinerators and air curtain destructors, the residue and remaining materials must be added to the landfills will be filled to capacity under existing operations. It should be realized once a landfill can no longer accept additional material, the demand on the other landfills will be increased and thus reduce their projected life. ( Table V-3 Proiected Landfill Capacities Landfill Volume Remaining Cubic Yards Landfill Reaches Capacities ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Key Largo 60,000 1988-1989 Long Key 104,000 1992-1993 Cudjoe Key - Existing 40,000 1990 - Expansion 320,000 2003-2004 ---------- Source: Hazen and Sawyer et. a!. Site Scre€:nin~ RCQort, August 1987. The continuing operational improvements and changes in existing permits could extend the life of these sites several years. Nevertheless, within one year the Key Largo landfill may be closed and the Long Key site closed in five years. l_ 27 f f r f f [ l lC l l C. Deficiencies The county has sufficient processing incinerator capacity to handle the projected rates of solid waste generation. However, the areas served by the Long Key and Key Largo landfills are approaching a critical situation. The county has determined that any area not within 25 miles of a solid waste disposal site with five years capacity shall be designated an Area of Critical County Concern (Section 9.5-987(a) and that there be at least three years ca:_.acity for all existing and approved development (Section 9.5-292(a). Table V-4 lists the areas within 25 miles of each landfill. Table V-4 Landfill Locations and Areas within 25 Miles Landfill Location 25 Mile Radius ----------------------------------------------------------------------- Key Largo MM 110 MM 85.0 north to County Line Long Key MM 67.5 MM 42.5 to 92.5 Cudjoe Key MM 21. 5 Key West to MM 46.5 -------------- Source: Monroe County Planning Department Consequently because the Key Largo landfill has less than 3 years of capacity, the area north of mile marker 92.5 will not meet the minimum county standard and the area from mile market 46.5 to mile marker 92.5 will be an Area of Critical County Concern. D. Solutions and Fundin~ Sources There are essentially three methods to extend the life of the county's landfills. 1) Expansion of existing landfill areas or development of new areas. 2) Recycling and reduction of the incoming waste stream. 3) Enhanced technology to process, recover, and reduce the solid waste volume. At this time the Municipal Service District is requesting permits to expand the Key Largo landfill. This expansion would add at least three years of capacity and cost approximately $10,000. The Municipal Service District already has sufficient funds to pay for this expansion. In addition, the firm of Hazen and Sawyer develop a solid management plan for the county. The final plan was heard in a public hearing on March 14, 1989. The Board of County Commissioners has adopted a 40% recycling goal, committed to creating an interior central recycling facility at Long Key, entering into a joint power agreement with the City of Key West to manage solid waste, and adopted the finding of the 28 r r( r f f r f LC I L L ~_h final Hazen & Sawyer report. Finally the county has decided to appoint a citizens risk force to identify the final landfill site and recycling strategy. 29 j f f( f f f f I { l( L l l l t. L L , L~' '- VI. POTABLE WATER FACILITIES A. Current Service Levels Potable water in the Keys is provided by the Florida Keys Aqueduct Authority (FKAA). FKAA has a transmission water main serving the entire Keys from the mainland. The water main begins as a 36" diameter main, reduces at Plantation Key to a 30" diameter main, reduces at the east end of the Seven-Mile Bridge to a 24" diameter main, and finally reduces again at Upper Sugar loaf Key to an 18" diameter main. The main continues as 18" diameter to Key West, except for the portions crossing bridges which are 24" diameter. This main does not have adequate capacity for sustained peak consumption for buildout. Construction is planned for a 24" diameter main from Sugarloaf Key to Stock Island in the mid 1990's. In addition to the transmission from the mainland, FKAA has a reverse-osmosis desalinization plant of Stock Island which is capable of producing up to 2.7 million gallons per day (MGD). This plant is used for system emergencies only. The system as a whole has water tank facilities which provide, an overall storage capacity of 36 million gallons system-wide. The current water withdrawal permit under which FKAA operates (good through 1995) allows an average daily withdrawal of 14.0 MGD, a maximum daily withdrawal of 19.3 MGD, and a yearly maximum of 5. 11 billion gallons. The 1988 usage figures were below this, with an average daily withdrawal of 13.0 MGD, a peak daily withdrawal of 15.4 MGD and a total annual withdrawal of 4.76 billion gallons. (This is approximately 93% of the permitted withdrawal.) The final link in the provision of potable water in the Keys is the distribution lines. FKAA has approximately 500 miles of lines ranging in size from 3/4 inch to 12 inches. FKAA is currently involved in a program to replace deteriorated or undersized lines over a ten-year period funded by a rate surcharge. Recent planning studies have indicated a need to replace about 190 miles of distribution piping to ensure adequate flow and pressure for domestic purposes. Current service provided by FKAA ranges from marginal to adequate throughout.the Keys. In certain areas, FKAA intends to install adequate size lines to be able to provide fire flotols of 750 gallons per minute (GPM) in residential areas and 2000 GPM in commercial, industrial and high density residential areas. In the el/ent that fire protection is opted for in these areas, only strategically located fire flow pumping stations will be required to be constructed at that time. Since the existing transmission I ine serves the entire Keys, and storage capacity is an integral part of the system, the capacity of the entire system has been considered togeth~r, rather than in separate service districts. 30 -( B. Demand Demand for water is a function of the population and outside factors such as droughts. Thus, future demand for water is difficult to predict accurately. Nevertheless, a review of the historic withdrawal of water by FKAA (Table VI-I) can be informative. Table VI-1 FKAA Water Withdrawal Year Annual Withdrawal (million gallons) ------------------------------------------------- -C 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989* 2,930.4 2,965.4 3,050.8 2,854.9 3,101.1 3,497.3 3,390.2 3,467.5 4,138.6 4,641. 5 4,820.0 4,757.9 4,941.0 Note: Calendar year basis *Assumes increase similar to 1986-1987 ----------------- Source: FKAA C. Deficiencies In 1988, the FKAA withdrew 93% of its permitted amount. It is anticipated that an increase in the water withdrawal permit will be required in early to mid 1990's. D. Solutions and Fundin~ Sources The FKAA has developed a long range Capital Improvements Plan to improve the system and expand capacity. The FKAA has determined the funds for these improvements will be paid by the existing surcharge on water sales and impact fees charged to new growth. In 1988 the following projects were completed: 31 f f( 1. Ramrod Key Pump Station was upgraded. Total Cost - $162,000 2. A new transmission pump station was completed in Marathon. f Total Cost - $2,423,000 f 3. On Stock Island a new pumping station was constructed to pump water at a higher pressure towards the mainland. This new backup station will provide Monroe County with sufficient water should the flow from the mainland be interrupted. f Total Cost - $627,624 r In 1989 the following projects will be accomplished: I 1. At Florida City, work on the pump station, wells and treatment plant will continue. Total Cost - $13,149,000 f 2. Distribution System Improvements will be constructed in Key West, Layton, Crains Subdivision - Grassy key, Indian Mounds Subdivision - Sugarloaf, Sunrise Point and Holiday Homesites in Key Largo. t( l l Total Cost - $4,700,000 3. Construction of a new 0.5 MG Storage Tank on Big Coppitt Key. Total Cost - $200,000 l L L L L 32 I r( f lC VII. EDUCATIONAL FACILITIES A. Current Service Levels 1. Districts The schools of Monroe County are split into three subdistricts which are not precisely equivalent to the service areas Comprehensive Plan (see Figures VII-1 through VII-3). County School Board maintains records based on their school board's data have been adopted here for the report. outlined in the Since the Monroe subdistricts, the purpose of this 2. Subdistrict I Subdistrict I extends from Key Largo to Lower Matecumbe Key and includes twol elementary schools and one high school, as shown below. Plantation Key Elementary is currently operating near capacity. Coral Shores High School is operating just above capacity (see Table VII-1 below) . Table VII-1 School Capacity - Subdistrict I Facility Capacity* Oct. 21, 1988 Enrollment Remaining Capacity ------------------------------------------------------------------------ Coral Shores High 659 520 139 (9-12) Key Largo Elementary/ 926 940 -14 Middle (K-8) Plantation Key E1em/ 613 520 93 Middle (K-8) ------------------------------------------------------------------------ TOTAL 2,198 ' 1,980 218 -------------- Source: Telephone conversation with Monroe County School Board. * "Present Desirable Student Capacity" 33 I I r( I I ~, _;'..~.:-o C:;"3~~ _." ,.. ~~~~ , f O~ I -:'0. , ~ ~ :.a.. I \ ._... : \. Q '\- I \;:t , , '~- l ' \ " ...... 1 \.,..,. ~\ .~ ~ \ n~ -\ 'eo 'Z. ~ U1 \.:) o ." r ; '0 o .I: U en . :0 'D :i - >- .. 1lI C . E . \.:) W ~ 'Z. 0 ~ ~ ...1 1lI '=<<...J >- .. ~ I \ \ \ , \ \ , , " ~ .. ::) .. ~ ',.... " ~ ", ~ "". ~ .~', r , f ( .i !.) lC a 0 .I: U en .! 'D 'D :E a - >. 0 .. 1lI .- - ~ c:: - . f c;:::7 en E .. I .- w I 1J .a >- ~ .. :3 ~ en (J) c:: ~ 0 - III C III a:: ~ Q ii: ~ 4. \~ , I I I "-I, ~I 11)1 ~I l3: ~l 1-:1 ;.l::. r ~I I :eJ I I r Q~1 ia j j [li .. 34 - \ ~ U ~ '" ~ Ot ; ; '0 o s::. u en s::. DI i: 10 . .. o .I: en \ \ \ \ r \ . \ r :0 I .f{;"1 l!.i2 ~ 2 . > ~ ~.. ZIl J C C 0 ~ nUe u ~ . " ':OZ Il_ Z Z e Z ~ c ~ 11 ,. :. ~! I ~ i :Ie o ~ ~ c m 0 > ~ W 11 ~ 0 ~ << . W . a. ~ a. J :l ~ ~ W 0( :r ~ I- a: . ,11 11 J ~ o a: .. CI) (5 o .c u en .2 :0 ::1 a. >. - r:: ::1 o o Q) o ... r:: o ~ r r( f f I r I 1 l( l l l l L I L I L :( 3. Subdistrict II Subdistrict II extends from Long Key to the Seven-Mile Bridge and includes one elementary and one high school, as show below. Both schools presently have adequate capacity to service the existing population (see Table VII-2 below). Table VII-2 School Capacity - Subdistrict II Facility Capacity* Oct. 21, 1988 Enrollment Remaining Capacity ----------------------------------------------------------------------- Marathon High (7-12) Switlik Sue Moore Elem. (K-6) 828 483 345 668 640 28 ----------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL 1,496 1,123 373 -------------- Source: Telephone 'conversation with Monroe County School Board. * "Present Desirable Student Capacity" 35 j -( I f r t f f - - - (,) l .- L. - U) '- "C l .c ::J en l( J "- l L I \ L ~ ( i . ~ ~! , ! <::::::7 . j r J I ~: - 3& - >- ~ ~ c . E . i&i . ~ o o ::Ii . :J en - .., ~ i en , , , I , I I '. I · r.." I I I , I , , , - I . I , , , I I , I I I I I ! :'0 , l a I 1 I I I I , ------+-------- '~ .., )." ~ ~ 92 ~ ti! ~ 92 ~ ~ ~ r ~. "-.. "...... ".. ... """" ......, ~, ~r a' oq:' , t! ..... ~ ~ tI) '0 o .c u en .c 01 X c o .c - III ~ III ::& .. l . >~ .... lIE :J~ aOIl Q.U~ u. ~oa ltl lZ o l ~ ~ ..I II ~ 1/ . ~ :J U . .. lJ] <( > ~ III It :x: 1/ ~ III 0 .J ..I a 0 a .. ~ > II :Ie III 1: II .. l- I 0 l :Ie ~ 0 l[ II. en "0 o ..r:: o CJ) ~ ::0 :J a. >. ... c: :J o o en o '- c: o ~ 4. Subdistrict III -( Subdistrict III extends from Bahia Honda to and including Key West and includes six elementary schools, one middle school, one high school, and one school for exceptional students. Gerald Adams Elementary School is very near capacity (see Table VII-3 below). Table VII-3 School Capacity Subdistrict III Facility Capacity* Oct. 21, 1988 Enrollment Remaining Capacity Key West High 1,689 1,192 497 (9-12) Horace O. Bryant Middle 900 784 116 (6-8) Gerald Adams Elementary 469 442 27 (K-5) Archer/Reynold Elem. ;581 414 167 (K-5) Poinciana Elementary 517 533 -16 (K-S) Sigsbee Elementary 658 520 138 (K-6) Sugar10af Elementary 841 816 25 ( (K-6) Mary Sands Center 138 40 98 (Exceptional) ----------------------------------------------------------------------- ----------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL 5,793 4,741 1,052 --------------- Source: Telephone conversation with Monroe County School Board. * "Present Desirable Student,Capacity" 37 ( -( \;).# .! ~ ~ ~ " .# c;:J'v'l' I ~ " i J;~~ ;. 1 <0= J. 5' ~~rf..~. r -'. - - : . 5~- --- j' --., _n_ !? /J- .:;;::;~~ D ~ ~ ' ---------- i~ }- ~~ ~ ~ .r I . K '0 . .. .. CJ '0 0 r. u en .! ~ >- j '0 .. . . . '0 C . :i c .. .. C E E .. .. . w w >- ~, Oi 0 .. u . .. 0 :r , , - - - , , , I . . ' .....' -I I 1 irf...l ; {) " ., o " ~ I '>- , .. I ~ , c , .. , E .. I - W , , I , I , " " " ... o .- Ie. ... .~ '0 .0 :::r en J, !P - III o ;: III CI ~ en ~ (II' , , , , , , , , , , , >- .. . c .. E .! w I '~ /~ I~ ,\i , I~ ,~ ,~ , I I I I , ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ <(;) I I , I I v I ~ 0 I ,.." ~ ~t B j.~ c /V' .. .c E I CI .! , i: W , - .. , . ~ I ~ u / .( ~ , ~ t; ::: . c ~ Do .. u " W .. .. c .. o .. '0 C . en -30- ~ z ~. ~I z" ::). DO: a.u. U a ~~e IEZ z - o z I ~ ... a ~ . Ie X CD u > ::) . 0 :II:: ~ ~ a: t . ... 3 e o ~ .J . . III ~ I ~ .. . x I o IE .. ct) "0 o .r:. o CJ) .2 :0 :J Q. >. - c :J o o CI) o ~ c ~ B. Expected Demand -4r The population of school age children has been increasing due to the increase in the resident population, discussed earlier, and the increase in birth rates when the "baby boom" generation started having its families several years ago. Table VII-4 shows school enrollments for the last three years. These numbers can be somewhat mis leading since students from one school may be assigned to another school the next year. Nevertheless, the magnitude of the overall increase is important. Thus in the fall of 1988, there could be roughly 4,900 students in the lower keys, 1,150 in the middle keys and 1,950 in the upper keys. Table VII-4 School Enrollment Oct 25 1985 Oct 24 1986 Oct 14 1987 Capacity ----------------------------------------------------------------------- Lower Keys Mary Sands 128 81 44 138 Sugarloaf Elem. 525 701 759 841 Sigsbee Elem. 512 506 537 658 Poinciana E1em. 421 473 472 517 Archer/Reynold Elem. 416 411 433 581 ( Gerald/Adams Elem. 364 404 459 469 TOTAL ELEMENTARY 2,238 2,495 2,660 3,066 Horace Bryant Middle 893 794 767 900 Key West High 1,144 1,296 1,205 1,689 ----------------------------------------------------------------------- TOTAL 4,403 4,666 4,676 5,793 ----------------------------------------------------------------------- Middle Keys Switlick Elem. Marathon High 536 547 532 549 573 530 668 828 TOTAL ----------~------------------------------------------------------------ 1,073 1,081 1,103 1,496 ----------------------------------------------------------------------- Upper Keys Plantation Key Elem. Key Largo Elem. Coral Shores High 509 585 649 508 607 676 518 655 666 538 855 659 TOTAL ----------------------------------------------------------------------- 1,743 1,791 1,839 2,052 ----------------------------------------------------------------------- GRAND TOTAL 7,229 7,538 7,618 9,341 39 ~ I f( r f f I t i L( r I I L L L C. Deficiencies Based on the preceding analysis, the educational facilities of Monroe County are sufficient to cover next year's growth throughout the Keys (see Table VII-4 below). If the current trend of greater population growth in the Upper Keys continues, there will be a deficiency over time; particularly at Coral Shores High School. However, several factors may eliminate the problem. In the fall of 1988 a portion of eighth graders currently attending Coral Shores High School will attend Plantation Key Elementary. New construction will help facilitate this transfer by increasing Plantation Key Elementary's capacity by 161. New construction at Key Largo elementary will also help relieve the overcrowding at Coral Shores. In the fall of 1990, new classrooms will open and increase capacity by 71. A portion of Coral Shores I seventh and eighth graders will attend key Largo Elementary. Enrollment in some schools in the lower keys has increased as much as 25% in a single year, thus taxing the facilities at these schools. Fortunately, the Lower Keys System has sufficient overall capacity, so that redistricting can solve a single school's overcrowding problem. 40 - I .( f . r r f f I t lC l L Appendix f L I L 41 i f ;; f "lit. t. plltH l" ~b,,/ ... r.:~ ....~~ glt ~h' J t.. I ", I. Lf." .~, t, ' I I .. 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